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Championship · Matchweek 35

Momentum

CVCStoke City
now

Match momentum Δ pressure · 0–100

Waiting for pressure data…

Competition

Stage
Regular Season
Round
35

Venue

Stadium
The Coventry Building Society Arena, Coventry
Capacity
32,609
Surface
grass

Teams

Coaches
Frank Lampard · Mark Robins
Position
1 · 13
Formation
4-2-3-1 · 4-2-3-1

Referee

Andrew Kitchen

Weather

Conditions
broken clouds
Temperature
8.0° (feels 8.0°)
Wind
0.9
Humidity
71%

Where to watch · 183

2025/2026

#TeamPWDLGFGAGDPtsForm
1 Coventry City 4628117 974552 95 DDWWW
2 Ipswich Town 4623158 804733 84 DWDDW
3 Millwall 46241111 644915 83 DWWDW
4 Southampton 46221410 825626 80 WWDDW
5 Middlesbrough 46221410 724725 80 LDWWD
6 Hull City 46211015 70664 73 LDDLW
7 Wrexham 46191413 69654 71 LWWLD
8 Derby County 4620917 67598 69 LWLWL
9 Norwich City 4619819 63567 65 LWWDL
10 Birmingham City 46171316 57561 64 WDWWD
11 Swansea City 46181018 5759-2 64 WLWDW
12 Bristol City 46171118 59590 62 DLDLW
13 Sheffield United 4618622 66660 60 WWLLW
14 Preston North End 46151516 5562-7 60 WLLWL
15 Queens Park Rangers 46161020 6173-12 58 DLLLL
16 Watford 46141517 5365-12 57 LLLLL
17 Stoke City 46151021 5156-5 55 DLLLL
18 Portsmouth 46141319 4964-15 55 WWLWD
19 Charlton Athletic 46131419 4458-14 53 LDLWL
20 Blackburn Rovers 46131320 4256-14 52 DLDWL
21 West Bromwich Albion (-2) 46131419 4858-10 51 DWWDL
22 Oxford United 46111421 4559-14 47 WLLWL
23 Leicester City (-6) 46121618 5868-10 46 LLDDW
24 Sheffield Wednesday (-18) 4621232 2989-60 0 DDLLW
  • Promotion
  • Promotion Play-off
  • Relegation

Coventry City

LDWWW 3W 1D 1L · 10 pts (2.0 ppg) · GF 8 GA 4 · xG 6.08–5.59 · xPts 7.08

  • W A Sheffield United 2–1 xG 0.95–1.78 UK CHAMP
  • W A West Bromwich Albion 2–0 xG 0.72–0.93 UK CHAMP
  • W H Middlesbrough 3–1 xG 1.98–1.37 UK CHAMP
  • D H Oxford United 0–0 xG 1.82–0.16 UK CHAMP
  • L A Queens Park Rangers 1–2 xG 0.6–1.35 UK CHAMP

Stoke City

DLLDW 1W 2D 2L · 5 pts (1.0 ppg) · GF 5 GA 6 · xG 5.55–7.37 · xPts 5.41

  • W H Oxford United 2–1 xG 1.93–1.65 UK CHAMP
  • D H Leicester City 2–2 xG 2.18–1.58 UK CHAMP
  • L H Fulham 1–2 xG 0.45–1.78 UK FA Cup
  • L A Charlton Athletic 0–1 xG 0.65–1.8 UK CHAMP
  • D A West Bromwich Albion 0–0 xG 0.34–0.57 UK CHAMP

All meetings · 20 matches since 2005

Coventry City 104 draws6 Stoke City

Goals 22–19 · 2.05 per match · BTTS 40% · over 2.5 40%

Last 10 · 10 matches

Coventry City 52 draws3 Stoke City

Goals 10–10 · 2.0 per match · BTTS 30% · over 2.5 30%

Last 5 · 5 matches

Coventry City 30 draws2 Stoke City

Goals 6–5 · 2.2 per match · BTTS 40% · over 2.5 40%

Recent meetings

  • W Coventry City 2–1 Stoke City UK CHAMP · Regular Season
  • L Stoke City 1–0 Coventry City UK FA Cup · Round 3
  • W Stoke City 0–1 Coventry City UK CHAMP · Regular Season
  • W Coventry City 3–2 Stoke City UK CHAMP · Regular Season
  • L Stoke City 1–0 Coventry City UK CHAMP · Regular Season
  • W Stoke City 0–1 Coventry City UK CHAMP · Regular Season
  • D Coventry City 0–0 Stoke City UK CHAMP · Regular Season
  • L Coventry City 0–4 Stoke City UK CHAMP · Regular Season
  • W Stoke City 0–2 Coventry City UK CHAMP · Regular Season
  • D Stoke City 1–1 Coventry City UK CHAMP · Regular Season
MetricCoventry City all · 46Coventry City at home · 23Stoke City all · 46Stoke City away · 23
Results
Matches46234623
Points per game2.072.391.200.96
W / D / L28 / 11 / 717 / 4 / 215 / 10 / 216 / 4 / 13
Goals for / match2.112.221.110.74
Goals against / match0.980.831.221.22
Clean sheets37%35%28%30%
Failed to score15%17%37%52%
Both teams scored59%61%44%26%
Over 2.563%65%44%30%
Expected goals
xG for / match2.042.351.241.03
xG against / match1.141.091.431.67
xG difference0.901.27-0.19-0.63
Finishing vs xG0.07-0.14-0.13-0.30
xPts / match1.832.031.281.01
Points vs xPts0.230.36-0.08-0.05
Game state
Scored first65%56%44%35%
PPG when scoring first2.433.002.252.38
PPG when conceding first1.551.860.270.08
Came back from behind53%71%22%7%
Leads held80%100%71%75%
Minutes leading38%39%24%16%
Minutes level50%48%50%51%
Minutes trailing12%13%27%32%
First goal (min)33353742
First goal conceded (min)45424440
Timing
Goals scored in 2nd half53%59%55%65%
Goals conceded in 2nd half62%47%62%50%
Late goals for (76'+)0.480.570.150.04
Late goals against0.170.170.350.35
Style
Possession55%58%52%51%
Shots16.318.011.29.8
On target5.65.83.82.8
Shot conversion13%12%10%8%
Shots inside box72%72%65%62%
Big chances created2.83.21.81.4
Corners5.35.96.05.6
xG from set plays36%34%28%19%
Goals from headers20%14%16%19%
Pressure index17.021.313.310.2
Dominant minutes58.865.352.748.2
Pass accuracy80%82%78%78%
Fouls9.69.510.410.2
Cards1.611.352.302.35

Goal timing for / against per 15 min

Coventry City

0–15'155
16–30'106
31–45'216
46–60'189
61–75'1111
76–90'228

Stoke City

0–15'88
16–30'55
31–45'108
46–60'1314
61–75'85
76–90'716

Pressure DNA · intensity v an average side in the same situations, SD units

Coventry City · 4 matches

Pressure in line with an average side in the same situations (-0.10) · stands out: early press (0-15, level) -0.28

Tempo

Overall intensity-0.104
Early press (0-15, level)-0.284
Late chase (76+, behind)-0.242

Game state

When level+0.024
When behind-0.224
10 min after conceding-0.264

Situations

At home+0.102
Away-0.342
4+ days rest-0.104

Opposition

v top-tier opponents-0.163
As underdog-0.163

Conceded

Pressure conceded+0.074
Conceded late (76+)-0.462

Behind vs level -0.24

Stoke City · 7 matches

Pressure in line with an average side in the same situations (+0.10) · stands out: 10 min after scoring +0.80

Tempo

Overall intensity+0.107
Early press (0-15, level)+0.177
Late push (76+, level)-0.442
Late chase (76+, behind)-0.453

Game state

When ahead+0.166
When level+0.057
When behind+0.113
10 min after conceding-0.265
10 min after scoring+0.807

Situations

At home-0.273
Away+0.314
3 days rest or fewer-0.222
4+ days rest+0.255

Opposition

v mid-tier opponents-0.154
v bottom-tier opponents+0.543
Evenly matched+0.362
As underdog-0.074

Conceded

Pressure conceded+0.117
Conceded when ahead-0.016
Conceded late (76+)+0.326

Congested vs rested -0.47 · Ahead vs level +0.10 · Behind vs level +0.05

Coventry City

Current: winless 4 · conceding 4

FormationUsePPGGFGAxGxGA
4-2-3-136 78%2.142.170.862.091.12
4-4-24 9%2.252.251.51.831.58
5-4-11 2%1.01.01.01.870.48
4-3-31 2%3.03.01.02.011.29
3-4-31 2%3.02.01.02.550.79

Stoke City

Current: unbeaten 4 · wins 1 · scoring 7 · conceding 2

FormationUsePPGGFGAxGxGA
4-2-3-141 89%1.241.11.151.21.34
3-4-2-13 6%1.331.331.331.762.14
4-4-22 4%0.01.02.51.292.17

Windows with fewer than 5 matches show no figures.

Pre-match movement · ends at kick-off

Every snapshot up to kick-off only — in-play prices are in Match Hub. Movement is in fair-probability points since the first snapshot (overround removed): ▲ shortened, ▼ drifted.

No pre-match movement recorded for this fixture.

Latest prices

bet365 · pre-match line -0.9h before kick-off · recorded after kick-off. Fair % removes the overround; P = Pinnacle fair %.

Fulltime Result

1.53Home 61% P 63%4.2Draw 22% P 21%5.75Away 16% P 16%

Double Chance

1.14Coventry or Draw 41% P 43%1.22Coventry or Stoke 39% P 39%2.37Draw or Stoke 20% P 18%

Draw No Bet

1.181 79%4.52 21%

Both Teams To Score

1.8Yes 51% P 53%1.9No 49% P 47%

Goals Over/Under

2.51.72Over 55% P 56%2.1Under 45% P 44%

Total Corners

13.0Under 6 7%3.66 - 8 25%2.629 - 11 34%3.7512 - 14 24%8.0Over 14 11%

Number of Cards

3.51.8Over 51% P 48%1.9Under 49% P 52%

Fixtures priced like this · Pinnacle closing price · 2017–2026

Every past fixture whose Pinnacle fair price fell in the same band as this one, and how it finished at 90 minutes. Band = mean price in the band; ± = actual minus price, in probability points.

Match result · home 62.5–65% · away 15–17.5% · 339 fixtures

This matchBandActual±
Home63%63%64%+0.8
Draw21%21%19%-2.1
Away16%16%17%+1.3

In those fixtures: 3.2 goals a game · BTTS 58% · over 2.5 62%

Both teams to score · yes 52.5–55% · 3,040 fixtures

This matchBandActual±
Yes53%54%54%-0.2

Goals over/under 2.5 · over 55–57.5% · 2,508 fixtures

This matchBandActual±
Over 2.556%56%56%-0.2

Andrew Kitchen

Career
95 matches · 8 seasons
Cards / match
3.09 (3.01 yellow · 0.05 red)
Fouls / match
22.4 · 7.1 fouls per card
Penalties / match
0.18
Cards to home side
46%

Style in Championship (5-year window · 78 matches)

MetricRefereeLeaguevs peerspct
Cards / match3.334.05-1.318
Fouls / match22.821.8+0.84
Fouls per card7.05.4+2.15 (+ = lenient)
Penalties / match0.180.17+0.0155
Time added7.57.2+0.3357
First card
43' on average
Card timing
11% in first 30' · 31% in last 15'
Cards to home side
44% (league 45%)

Recent matches

DateYRFoulsPens1st card+min
2026-02-24 20 200 43'9
2026-02-14 50 320 27'7
2026-01-31 21 191 15'16
2026-01-20 · Coventry City 30 190 19'6
2026-01-17 40 210 25'7
2025-12-26 30 191 65'6
2025-12-13 70 170 56'9
2025-12-10 10 141 57'7
2025-12-04 40 220 8'6
2025-11-25 20 300 82'5