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Championship · Matchweek 35
Derby CountyDerby County
3–1
FT
Blackburn RoversBBR

Momentum

– Derby CountyBBR –
now

Match momentum Δ pressure · 0–100

Waiting for pressure data…

Competition

Stage
Regular Season
Round
35

Venue

Stadium
Pride Park Stadium, Derby
Capacity
33,597
Surface
grass

Teams

Coaches
John Eustace · Michael O'Neill
Position
12 · 20
Formation
4-2-3-1 · 3-4-2-1

Referee

Leigh Doughty

Weather

Conditions
light rain
Temperature
7.2° (feels 3.0°)
Wind
8.2
Humidity
89%

Where to watch · 186

2025/2026

#TeamPWDLGFGAGDPtsForm
1 Coventry City 4628117 974552 95 DDWWW
2 Ipswich Town 4623158 804733 84 DWDDW
3 Millwall 46241111 644915 83 DWWDW
4 Southampton 46221410 825626 80 WWDDW
5 Middlesbrough 46221410 724725 80 LDWWD
6 Hull City 46211015 70664 73 LDDLW
7 Wrexham 46191413 69654 71 LWWLD
8 Derby County 4620917 67598 69 LWLWL
9 Norwich City 4619819 63567 65 LWWDL
10 Birmingham City 46171316 57561 64 WDWWD
11 Swansea City 46181018 5759-2 64 WLWDW
12 Bristol City 46171118 59590 62 DLDLW
13 Sheffield United 4618622 66660 60 WWLLW
14 Preston North End 46151516 5562-7 60 WLLWL
15 Queens Park Rangers 46161020 6173-12 58 DLLLL
16 Watford 46141517 5365-12 57 LLLLL
17 Stoke City 46151021 5156-5 55 DLLLL
18 Portsmouth 46141319 4964-15 55 WWLWD
19 Charlton Athletic 46131419 4458-14 53 LDLWL
20 Blackburn Rovers 46131320 4256-14 52 DLDWL
21 West Bromwich Albion (-2) 46131419 4858-10 51 DWWDL
22 Oxford United 46111421 4559-14 47 WLLWL
23 Leicester City (-6) 46121618 5868-10 46 LLDDW
24 Sheffield Wednesday (-18) 4621232 2989-60 0 DDLLW
  • Promotion
  • Promotion Play-off
  • Relegation

Derby County

WLWLL 2W 0D 3L · 6 pts (1.2 ppg) · GF 10 GA 8 · xG 7.66–6.06 · xPts 7.65

  • L A Hull City 2–4 xG 2.23–0.78 UK CHAMP
  • L A Watford 0–2 xG 0.52–1.95 UK CHAMP
  • W H Swansea City 2–0 xG 1.11–1.31 UK CHAMP
  • L H Ipswich Town 1–2 xG 1.04–1.54 UK CHAMP
  • W A Bristol City 5–0 xG 2.77–0.49 UK CHAMP

Blackburn Rovers

WLWWL 3W 0D 2L · 9 pts (1.8 ppg) · GF 6 GA 5 · xG 6.43–5.83 · xPts 7.65

  • L H Bristol City 1–2 xG 2.34–1.17 UK CHAMP
  • W H Preston North End 1–0 xG 1.33–0.18 UK CHAMP
  • W A Queens Park Rangers 3–1 xG 0.98–2.92 UK CHAMP
  • L A Norwich City 0–2 xG 0.43–1.13 UK CHAMP
  • W H Sheffield Wednesday 1–0 xG 1.35–0.43 UK CHAMP

All meetings · 27 matches since 2001

Derby County 95 draws13 Blackburn Rovers

Goals 30–40 · 2.59 per match · BTTS 56% · over 2.5 56%

Last 10 · 10 matches

Derby County 40 draws6 Blackburn Rovers

Goals 15–19 · 3.4 per match · BTTS 70% · over 2.5 90%

Last 5 · 5 matches

Derby County 30 draws2 Blackburn Rovers

Goals 10–10 · 4.0 per match · BTTS 100% · over 2.5 100%

Recent meetings

  • W Derby County 3–1 Blackburn Rovers UK CHAMP · Regular Season
  • W Blackburn Rovers 1–2 Derby County UK CHAMP · Regular Season
  • W Derby County 2–1 Blackburn Rovers UK CHAMP · Regular Season
  • L Blackburn Rovers 4–2 Derby County UK CHAMP · Regular Season
  • L Blackburn Rovers 3–1 Derby County UK CHAMP · Regular Season
  • L Derby County 1–2 Blackburn Rovers neutral UK CHAMP · Regular Season
  • L Blackburn Rovers 2–1 Derby County UK CHAMP · Regular Season
  • L Derby County 0–4 Blackburn Rovers UK CHAMP · Regular Season
  • W Derby County 3–0 Blackburn Rovers UK CHAMP · Regular Season
  • L Blackburn Rovers 1–0 Derby County UK CHAMP · Regular Season
MetricDerby County all · 46Derby County at home · 23Blackburn Rovers all · 46Blackburn Rovers away · 23
Results
Matches46234623
Points per game1.501.571.131.35
W / D / L20 / 9 / 1710 / 6 / 713 / 13 / 209 / 4 / 10
Goals for / match1.461.350.911.00
Goals against / match1.281.171.221.26
Clean sheets26%30%26%30%
Failed to score9%4%35%39%
Both teams scored65%65%48%39%
Over 2.552%39%39%48%
Expected goals
xG for / match1.231.271.201.13
xG against / match1.321.111.301.45
xG difference-0.090.16-0.10-0.31
Finishing vs xG0.230.07-0.28-0.13
xPts / match1.331.471.321.19
Points vs xPts0.170.09-0.190.16
Game state
Scored first54%52%46%52%
PPG when scoring first2.242.331.762.17
PPG when conceding first0.620.730.520.33
Came back from behind35%46%26%9%
Leads held69%71%56%69%
Minutes leading30%29%21%28%
Minutes level46%46%55%48%
Minutes trailing24%25%24%24%
First goal (min)40454436
First goal conceded (min)40364944
Timing
Goals scored in 2nd half52%55%48%39%
Goals conceded in 2nd half58%48%59%66%
Late goals for (76'+)0.260.260.220.09
Late goals against0.300.260.390.35
Style
Possession44%48%48%47%
Shots11.011.911.511.4
On target3.63.73.23.1
Shot conversion13%11%8%9%
Shots inside box70%65%67%66%
Big chances created2.22.32.02.2
Corners4.55.55.34.9
xG from set plays39%44%27%24%
Goals from headers28%32%27%27%
Pressure index10.111.610.19.4
Dominant minutes39.945.744.643.4
Pass accuracy73%77%74%75%
Fouls12.311.910.511.3
Cards2.632.302.172.35

Goal timing for / against per 15 min

Derby County

0–15'811
16–30'95
31–45'159
46–60'135
61–75'1015
76–90'1214

Blackburn Rovers

0–15'54
16–30'67
31–45'1112
46–60'69
61–75'46
76–90'1018

Pressure DNA · intensity v an average side in the same situations, SD units

Derby County · 7 matches

Pressure in line with an average side in the same situations (-0.15) · stands out: late chase (76+, behind) -0.31

Tempo

Overall intensity-0.157
Early press (0-15, level)+0.287
Late push (76+, level)-0.552
Late chase (76+, behind)-0.315

Game state

When ahead-0.053
When level-0.057
When behind-0.256
10 min after conceding-0.286
10 min after scoring+0.254

Situations

At home-0.174
Away-0.123
3 days rest or fewer-0.212
4+ days rest-0.125

Opposition

v mid-tier opponents-0.223
v bottom-tier opponents-0.033
Evenly matched-0.183
As underdog-0.153

Conceded

Pressure conceded+0.257
Conceded when ahead+0.203
Conceded late (76+)+0.207

Congested vs rested -0.09 · Ahead vs level -0.00 · Behind vs level -0.20

Blackburn Rovers · 7 matches

Pressure in line with an average side in the same situations (+0.04) · stands out: 10 min after scoring +0.55

Tempo

Overall intensity+0.047
Early press (0-15, level)-0.197
Late push (76+, level)+0.512
Late chase (76+, behind)-0.353

Game state

When ahead-0.145
When level+0.067
When behind+0.155
10 min after conceding+0.236
10 min after scoring+0.556

Situations

At home+0.004
Away+0.103
3 days rest or fewer+0.282
4+ days rest-0.055

Opposition

v mid-tier opponents+0.016
Evenly matched+0.125
As underdog-0.142

Conceded

Pressure conceded-0.067
Conceded when ahead+0.045
Conceded late (76+)-0.057

Congested vs rested +0.32 · Ahead vs level -0.21 · Behind vs level +0.09

Derby County

Current: winless 3 · scoring 1 · conceding 3

FormationUsePPGGFGAxGxGA
4-2-3-124 52%1.621.461.131.481.25
3-4-2-111 24%1.821.551.180.921.35
3-4-1-25 11%1.21.41.61.031.95
4-4-24 9%0.251.02.250.831.09
3-4-31 2%3.03.00.01.470.12

Blackburn Rovers

Current: unbeaten 1 · wins 1 · scoring 3 · conceding 3

FormationUsePPGGFGAxGxGA
3-4-1-217 37%1.060.941.291.311.11
4-2-3-113 28%1.080.921.231.131.34
3-4-2-112 26%1.170.831.081.151.35
3-5-22 4%1.51.51.01.062.12
5-3-21 2%3.01.00.01.330.18

Windows with fewer than 5 matches show no figures.

Pre-match movement · ends at kick-off

Every snapshot up to kick-off only — in-play prices are in Match Hub. Movement is in fair-probability points since the first snapshot (overround removed): ▲ shortened, ▼ drifted.

No pre-match movement recorded for this fixture.

Latest prices

bet365 · pre-match line -1.0h before kick-off · recorded after kick-off. Fair % removes the overround; P = Pinnacle fair %.

Fulltime Result

2.1Home 44% P 45%3.3Draw 28% P 29%3.4Away 27% P 27%

Double Chance

1.28Derby or Draw 37% P 37%1.36Derby or Blackburn 35% P 36%1.66Draw or Blackburn 28% P 27%

Draw No Bet

1.51 62%2.52 38%

Both Teams To Score

2.0Yes 46% P 50%1.72No 54% P 50%

Goals Over/Under

2.52.3Over 41% P 44%1.61Under 59% P 56%

Total Corners

10.0Under 6 9%3.16 - 8 28%2.69 - 11 34%4.3312 - 14 20%10.0Over 14 9%

Number of Cards

4.51.9Over 49%1.8Under 51%

Fixtures priced like this · Pinnacle closing price · 2017–2026

Every past fixture whose Pinnacle fair price fell in the same band as this one, and how it finished at 90 minutes. Band = mean price in the band; ± = actual minus price, in probability points.

Match result · home 42.5–45% · away 25–27.5% · 725 fixtures

This matchBandActual±
Home45%44%44%-0.2
Draw29%30%28%-1.4
Away27%26%28%+1.6

In those fixtures: 2.5 goals a game · BTTS 53% · over 2.5 45%

Both teams to score · yes 50–52.5% · 3,449 fixtures

This matchBandActual±
Yes50%51%51%-0.6

Goals over/under 2.5 · over 42.5–45% · 2,474 fixtures

This matchBandActual±
Over 2.544%44%43%-1.2

Leigh Doughty

Career
119 matches · 9 seasons
Cards / match
4.44 (4.29 yellow · 0.08 red)
Fouls / match
22.4 · 4.8 fouls per card
Penalties / match
0.22
Cards to home side
50%

Style in Championship (5-year window · 93 matches)

MetricRefereeLeaguevs peerspct
Cards / match4.514.05+0.8378
Fouls / match22.121.8+0.20
Fouls per card5.05.4-0.89 (+ = lenient)
Penalties / match0.230.17+0.6784
Time added6.97.2-0.3735
First card
35' on average
Card timing
14% in first 30' · 29% in last 15'
Cards to home side
49% (league 45%)

Recent matches

DateYRFoulsPens1st card+min
2026-02-21 90 240 26'10
2026-02-17 90 231 7'8
2026-02-03 70 210 34'7
2026-01-20 30 190 41'5
2025-12-29 60 220 15'8
2025-12-26 30 230 8'5
2025-12-09 · Blackburn Rovers 30 231 40'6
2025-11-26 11 171 39'6
2025-11-08 50 191 8'10
2025-11-04 40 190 40'7