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Championship · Matchweek 35

Momentum

PortsmouthHull City
now

Match momentum Δ pressure · 0–100

Waiting for pressure data…

Competition

Stage
Regular Season
Round
35

Venue

Stadium
Fratton Park, Portsmouth
Capacity
20,688
Surface
grass

Teams

Coaches
John Mousinho · Sergej Jakirović
Position
19 · 5
Formation
4-2-3-1 · 4-2-3-1

Referee

Samuel Allison

Weather

Conditions
few clouds
Temperature
11.1° (feels 10.0°)
Wind
7.3
Humidity
67%

Where to watch · 184

2025/2026

#TeamPWDLGFGAGDPtsForm
1 Coventry City 4628117 974552 95 DDWWW
2 Ipswich Town 4623158 804733 84 DWDDW
3 Millwall 46241111 644915 83 DWWDW
4 Southampton 46221410 825626 80 WWDDW
5 Middlesbrough 46221410 724725 80 LDWWD
6 Hull City 46211015 70664 73 LDDLW
7 Wrexham 46191413 69654 71 LWWLD
8 Derby County 4620917 67598 69 LWLWL
9 Norwich City 4619819 63567 65 LWWDL
10 Birmingham City 46171316 57561 64 WDWWD
11 Swansea City 46181018 5759-2 64 WLWDW
12 Bristol City 46171118 59590 62 DLDLW
13 Sheffield United 4618622 66660 60 WWLLW
14 Preston North End 46151516 5562-7 60 WLLWL
15 Queens Park Rangers 46161020 6173-12 58 DLLLL
16 Watford 46141517 5365-12 57 LLLLL
17 Stoke City 46151021 5156-5 55 DLLLL
18 Portsmouth 46141319 4964-15 55 WWLWD
19 Charlton Athletic 46131419 4458-14 53 LDLWL
20 Blackburn Rovers 46131320 4256-14 52 DLDWL
21 West Bromwich Albion (-2) 46131419 4858-10 51 DWWDL
22 Oxford United 46111421 4559-14 47 WLLWL
23 Leicester City (-6) 46121618 5868-10 46 LLDDW
24 Sheffield Wednesday (-18) 4621232 2989-60 0 DDLLW
  • Promotion
  • Promotion Play-off
  • Relegation

Portsmouth

LLWWL 2W 0D 3L · 6 pts (1.2 ppg) · GF 7 GA 6 · xG 7.33–4.37 · xPts 9.0

  • L A Wrexham 1–2 xG 0.9–0.63 UK CHAMP
  • W A Millwall 3–1 xG 1.46–0.51 UK CHAMP
  • W A Charlton Athletic 3–1 xG 1.26–1.2 UK CHAMP
  • L H Sheffield United 0–1 xG 2.25–1.63 UK CHAMP
  • L A Preston North End 0–1 xG 1.46–0.4 UK CHAMP

Hull City

DLLLW 1W 1D 3L · 4 pts (0.8 ppg) · GF 7 GA 12 · xG 5.71–8.09 · xPts 5.32

  • W H Derby County 4–2 xG 0.78–2.23 UK CHAMP
  • L H Queens Park Rangers 1–3 xG 2.2–0.86 UK CHAMP
  • L H Chelsea 0–4 xG 1.07–2.19 UK FA Cup
  • L H Bristol City 2–3 xG 1.32–1.41 UK CHAMP
  • D H Watford 0–0 xG 0.34–1.39 UK CHAMP

All meetings · 12 matches since 2008

Portsmouth 35 draws4 Hull City

Goals 15–15 · 2.5 per match · BTTS 58% · over 2.5 42%

Last 10 · 10 matches

Portsmouth 33 draws4 Hull City

Goals 13–13 · 2.6 per match · BTTS 60% · over 2.5 40%

Last 5 · 5 matches

Portsmouth 12 draws2 Hull City

Goals 6–6 · 2.4 per match · BTTS 60% · over 2.5 20%

Recent meetings

  • L Portsmouth 0–1 Hull City UK CHAMP · Regular Season
  • L Hull City 3–2 Portsmouth UK CHAMP · Regular Season
  • D Portsmouth 1–1 Hull City UK CHAMP · Regular Season
  • D Hull City 1–1 Portsmouth UK CHAMP · Regular Season
  • W Portsmouth 2–0 Hull City UK CHAMP · Regular Season
  • L Hull City 1–0 Portsmouth UK CHAMP · Regular Season
  • L Portsmouth 2–3 Hull City UK CHAMP · Regular Season
  • W Hull City 1–2 Portsmouth UK CHAMP · Regular Season
  • W Portsmouth 3–2 Hull City UK PL · Regular Season
  • D Hull City 0–0 Portsmouth UK PL · Regular Season
MetricPortsmouth all · 46Portsmouth at home · 23Hull City all · 49Hull City away · 24
Results
Matches46234924
Points per game1.201.301.631.58
W / D / L14 / 13 / 198 / 6 / 923 / 11 / 1511 / 5 / 8
Goals for / match1.071.091.491.54
Goals against / match1.391.001.351.33
Clean sheets22%26%29%29%
Failed to score28%30%18%12%
Both teams scored54%48%61%62%
Over 2.544%39%61%67%
Expected goals
xG for / match1.181.461.371.27
xG against / match1.241.121.661.91
xG difference-0.060.34-0.29-0.63
Finishing vs xG-0.11-0.370.120.27
xPts / match1.361.601.251.09
Points vs xPts-0.16-0.300.380.49
Game state
Scored first46%48%57%67%
PPG when scoring first2.192.272.182.00
PPG when conceding first0.300.360.880.71
Came back from behind27%31%35%33%
Leads held64%67%72%65%
Minutes leading18%23%30%32%
Minutes level51%51%53%52%
Minutes trailing31%27%17%16%
First goal (min)50453233
First goal conceded (min)41454044
Timing
Goals scored in 2nd half61%56%45%49%
Goals conceded in 2nd half55%56%52%62%
Late goals for (76'+)0.280.350.270.33
Late goals against0.280.130.310.38
Style
Possession50%54%45%43%
Shots12.215.411.111.0
On target3.74.44.14.3
Shot conversion9%7%13%14%
Shots inside box65%67%68%68%
Big chances created1.61.82.22.3
Corners5.66.34.44.6
xG from set plays40%41%21%13%
Goals from headers16%20%14%19%
Pressure index11.714.89.37.6
Dominant minutes49.757.039.832.6
Pass accuracy74%74%72%71%
Fouls10.29.811.211.5
Cards1.931.742.553.04

Goal timing for / against per 15 min

Portsmouth

0–15'59
16–30'512
31–45'98
46–60'814
61–75'98
76–90'1313

Hull City

0–15'117
16–30'1413
31–45'1512
46–60'910
61–75'119
76–90'1315

Pressure DNA · intensity v an average side in the same situations, SD units

Portsmouth · 6 matches

Pressure in line with an average side in the same situations (+0.01) · stands out: late chase (76+, behind) -0.40

Tempo

Overall intensity+0.016
Early press (0-15, level)-0.056
Late chase (76+, behind)-0.403

Game state

When ahead+0.163
When level+0.056
When behind-0.153
10 min after conceding-0.104
10 min after scoring+0.024

Situations

At home-0.013
Away+0.033
4+ days rest-0.015

Opposition

v mid-tier opponents-0.052
v bottom-tier opponents+0.044
Evenly matched-0.004

Conceded

Pressure conceded+0.036
Conceded when ahead+0.013
Conceded late (76+)-0.286

Congested vs rested +0.16 · Ahead vs level +0.11 · Behind vs level -0.20

Hull City · 4 matches

Pressure below an average side in the same situations (-0.42) · stands out: early press (0-15, level) -0.57

Tempo

Overall intensity-0.424
Early press (0-15, level)-0.574
Late push (76+, level)-0.503

Game state

When ahead-0.363
When level-0.444
10 min after scoring+0.133

Situations

At home-0.452
Away-0.392
4+ days rest-0.424

Opposition

v top-tier opponents-0.393
As underdog-0.424

Conceded

Pressure conceded+0.364
Conceded when ahead+0.583
Conceded late (76+)+0.274

Ahead vs level +0.08 · Behind vs level -0.08

Portsmouth

Current: unbeaten 2 · winless 1 · clean sheets 2

FormationUsePPGGFGAxGxGA
4-2-3-143 94%1.261.091.31.181.23
3-4-2-12 4%0.51.01.51.461.28
3-4-31 2%0.00.05.00.341.67

Hull City

Current: unbeaten 8 · winless 2 · scoring 1 · conceding 1

FormationUsePPGGFGAxGxGA
4-2-3-136 74%1.641.611.441.491.76
3-4-2-16 12%1.51.01.171.091.37
4-4-22 4%3.01.50.51.091.08
3-4-1-22 4%0.51.52.01.251.52
4-3-31 2%1.00.00.00.561.69

Windows with fewer than 5 matches show no figures.

Pre-match movement · ends at kick-off

Every snapshot up to kick-off only — in-play prices are in Match Hub. Movement is in fair-probability points since the first snapshot (overround removed): ▲ shortened, ▼ drifted.

No pre-match movement recorded for this fixture.

Latest prices

bet365 · pre-match line -0.5h before kick-off · recorded after kick-off. Fair % removes the overround; P = Pinnacle fair %.

Fulltime Result

1.9Home 49% P 50%3.4Draw 27% P 27%4.0Away 23% P 23%

Double Chance

1.28Portsmouth or Draw 37% P 38%1.3Portsmouth or Hull 36% P 36%1.72Draw or Hull 27% P 25%

Draw No Bet

1.51 62%2.52 38%

Both Teams To Score

1.83Yes 50% P 49%1.83No 50% P 51%

Goals Over/Under

2.52.1Over 45% P 44%1.72Under 55% P 56%

Total Corners

15.0Under 6 6%4.06 - 8 22%2.629 - 11 33%3.512 - 14 25%6.0Over 14 14%

Number of Cards

3.51.61Over 58%2.2Under 42%

Fixtures priced like this · Pinnacle closing price · 2017–2026

Every past fixture whose Pinnacle fair price fell in the same band as this one, and how it finished at 90 minutes. Band = mean price in the band; ± = actual minus price, in probability points.

Match result · home 47.5–50% · away 22.5–25% · 808 fixtures

This matchBandActual±
Home50%49%47%-1.9
Draw27%28%29%+1.7
Away23%24%24%+0.3

In those fixtures: 2.6 goals a game · BTTS 54% · over 2.5 48%

Both teams to score · yes 47.5–50% · 2,898 fixtures

This matchBandActual±
Yes49%49%49%+0.0

Goals over/under 2.5 · over 42.5–45% · 2,473 fixtures

This matchBandActual±
Over 2.544%44%43%-1.2

Samuel Allison

Career
80 matches · 10 seasons
Cards / match
3.88 (3.8 yellow · 0.03 red)
Fouls / match
22.2 · 5.4 fouls per card
Penalties / match
0.15
Cards to home side
49%

Style in Championship (5-year window · 64 matches)

MetricRefereeLeaguevs peerspct
Cards / match3.834.05-0.4029
Fouls / match22.121.8+0.25
Fouls per card5.95.4+0.47 (+ = lenient)
Penalties / match0.110.17-0.9710
Time added7.37.2+0.1053
First card
33' on average
Card timing
15% in first 30' · 31% in last 15'
Cards to home side
48% (league 45%)

Recent matches

DateYRFoulsPens1st card+min
2026-02-24 50 270 10'8
2026-02-10 20 200 53'6
2026-01-17 · Hull City 20 200 38'7
2026-01-04 23 12
2025-12-26 20 260 11'4
2025-12-20 60 270 25'6
2025-12-09 40 250 8'9
2025-11-29 · Portsmouth 30 230 31'7
2025-11-08 20 220 30'11
2025-11-01 40 260 63'9