KickoffDNA
0 live
Sign in
Championship · Matchweek 35
Preston North EndPNE
0–2
FT
MillwallMillwall

Momentum

– PNEMillwall –
now

Match momentum Δ pressure · 0–100

Waiting for pressure data…

Competition

Stage
Regular Season
Round
35

Venue

Stadium
Deepdale, Preston
Capacity
23,408
Surface
grass

Teams

Coaches
Paul Heckingbottom · Alex Neil
Position
11 · 4
Formation
3-4-1-2 · 4-2-3-1

Referee

Ben Toner

Weather

Conditions
scattered clouds
Temperature
6.8° (feels 5.7°)
Wind
1.7
Humidity
73%

Where to watch · 215

2025/2026

#TeamPWDLGFGAGDPtsForm
1 Coventry City 4628117 974552 95 DDWWW
2 Ipswich Town 4623158 804733 84 DWDDW
3 Millwall 46241111 644915 83 DWWDW
4 Southampton 46221410 825626 80 WWDDW
5 Middlesbrough 46221410 724725 80 LDWWD
6 Hull City 46211015 70664 73 LDDLW
7 Wrexham 46191413 69654 71 LWWLD
8 Derby County 4620917 67598 69 LWLWL
9 Norwich City 4619819 63567 65 LWWDL
10 Birmingham City 46171316 57561 64 WDWWD
11 Swansea City 46181018 5759-2 64 WLWDW
12 Bristol City 46171118 59590 62 DLDLW
13 Sheffield United 4618622 66660 60 WWLLW
14 Preston North End 46151516 5562-7 60 WLLWL
15 Queens Park Rangers 46161020 6173-12 58 DLLLL
16 Watford 46141517 5365-12 57 LLLLL
17 Stoke City 46151021 5156-5 55 DLLLL
18 Portsmouth 46141319 4964-15 55 WWLWD
19 Charlton Athletic 46131419 4458-14 53 LDLWL
20 Blackburn Rovers 46131320 4256-14 52 DLDWL
21 West Bromwich Albion (-2) 46131419 4858-10 51 DWWDL
22 Oxford United 46111421 4559-14 47 WLLWL
23 Leicester City (-6) 46121618 5868-10 46 LLDDW
24 Sheffield Wednesday (-18) 4621232 2989-60 0 DDLLW
  • Promotion
  • Promotion Play-off
  • Relegation

Preston North End

DWDLD 1W 3D 1L · 6 pts (1.2 ppg) · GF 5 GA 5 · xG 4.79–9.05 · xPts 4.0

  • D A Swansea City 1–1 xG 1.96–2.26 UK CHAMP
  • L A Blackburn Rovers 0–1 xG 0.18–1.33 UK CHAMP
  • D H Watford 2–2 xG 0.96–1.2 UK CHAMP
  • W H Portsmouth 1–0 xG 0.4–1.46 UK CHAMP
  • D A Ipswich Town 1–1 xG 1.29–2.79 UK CHAMP

Millwall

DWWLW 3W 1D 1L · 10 pts (2.0 ppg) · GF 9 GA 5 · xG 7.53–5.77 · xPts 7.54

  • W H Birmingham City 3–0 xG 1.46–0.24 UK CHAMP
  • L H Portsmouth 1–3 xG 0.51–1.46 UK CHAMP
  • W A Sheffield Wednesday 2–1 xG 3.6–0.89 UK CHAMP
  • W A Wrexham 2–0 xG 0.79–1.52 UK CHAMP
  • D H Sheffield United 1–1 xG 1.17–1.66 UK CHAMP

All meetings · 23 matches since 2005

Preston North End 49 draws10 Millwall

Goals 20–32 · 2.26 per match · BTTS 52% · over 2.5 30%

Last 10 · 10 matches

Preston North End 06 draws4 Millwall

Goals 8–16 · 2.4 per match · BTTS 70% · over 2.5 20%

Last 5 · 5 matches

Preston North End 03 draws2 Millwall

Goals 4–8 · 2.4 per match · BTTS 80% · over 2.5 20%

Recent meetings

  • L Preston North End 0–2 Millwall UK CHAMP · Regular Season
  • D Millwall 1–1 Preston North End UK CHAMP · Regular Season
  • D Preston North End 1–1 Millwall UK CHAMP · Regular Season
  • L Millwall 3–1 Preston North End UK CHAMP · Regular Season
  • D Millwall 1–1 Preston North End UK CHAMP · Regular Season
  • D Preston North End 1–1 Millwall UK CHAMP · Regular Season
  • L Millwall 2–0 Preston North End UK CHAMP · Regular Season
  • L Preston North End 2–4 Millwall UK CHAMP · Regular Season
  • D Preston North End 1–1 Millwall UK CHAMP · Regular Season
  • D Millwall 0–0 Preston North End UK CHAMP · Regular Season
MetricPreston North End all · 46Preston North End at home · 23Millwall all · 48Millwall away · 24
Results
Matches46234824
Points per game1.301.351.751.75
W / D / L15 / 15 / 168 / 7 / 824 / 12 / 1211 / 9 / 4
Goals for / match1.201.221.331.29
Goals against / match1.351.301.061.00
Clean sheets20%22%40%33%
Failed to score26%26%21%21%
Both teams scored59%56%48%58%
Over 2.548%48%46%42%
Expected goals
xG for / match1.181.221.501.38
xG against / match1.631.421.331.51
xG difference-0.45-0.200.18-0.13
Finishing vs xG0.020.00-0.17-0.08
xPts / match1.131.251.471.30
Points vs xPts0.170.100.280.45
Game state
Scored first41%39%52%46%
PPG when scoring first2.162.332.602.64
PPG when conceding first0.680.690.791.00
Came back from behind38%43%43%60%
Leads held62%73%86%85%
Minutes leading28%27%27%20%
Minutes level45%46%56%61%
Minutes trailing27%27%17%18%
First goal (min)36404451
First goal conceded (min)42434342
Timing
Goals scored in 2nd half51%61%61%71%
Goals conceded in 2nd half50%60%67%50%
Late goals for (76'+)0.260.300.350.38
Late goals against0.300.350.350.25
Style
Possession46%48%48%46%
Shots10.911.312.912.3
On target3.63.44.23.8
Shot conversion11%11%10%10%
Shots inside box68%69%68%65%
Big chances created1.61.72.32.2
Corners4.55.35.75.2
xG from set plays34%35%33%30%
Goals from headers22%21%16%13%
Pressure index8.89.511.99.1
Dominant minutes40.542.344.439.2
Pass accuracy72%73%70%69%
Fouls10.410.112.614.4
Cards2.092.131.902.42

Goal timing for / against per 15 min

Preston North End

0–15'1111
16–30'107
31–45'613
46–60'109
61–75'68
76–90'1214

Millwall

0–15'66
16–30'96
31–45'105
46–60'1112
61–75'115
76–90'1717

Pressure DNA · intensity v an average side in the same situations, SD units

Preston North End · 7 matches

Pressure below an average side in the same situations (-0.18) · stands out: late chase (76+, behind) -0.54

Tempo

Overall intensity-0.187
Early press (0-15, level)-0.177
Late push (76+, level)+0.013
Late chase (76+, behind)-0.546

Game state

When ahead-0.162
When level+0.017
When behind-0.336
10 min after conceding-0.327
10 min after scoring+0.295

Situations

At home-0.194
Away-0.163
3 days rest or fewer-0.052
4+ days rest-0.235

Opposition

v mid-tier opponents-0.222
v bottom-tier opponents-0.175
Evenly matched-0.154
As underdog-0.223

Conceded

Pressure conceded+0.107
Conceded when ahead+0.172
Conceded late (76+)-0.027

Congested vs rested +0.18 · Ahead vs level -0.17 · Behind vs level -0.34

Millwall · 7 matches

Pressure in line with an average side in the same situations (-0.01) · stands out: 10 min after scoring +0.54

Tempo

Overall intensity-0.017
Early press (0-15, level)+0.217

Game state

When ahead+0.045
When level+0.017
When behind-0.133
10 min after conceding-0.344
10 min after scoring+0.546

Situations

Against ten men-0.122
At home+0.043
Away-0.044
3 days rest or fewer-0.322
4+ days rest+0.135

Opposition

v mid-tier opponents+0.054
v bottom-tier opponents-0.073
Evenly matched+0.104
As underdog-0.112

Conceded

Pressure conceded+0.257
Conceded when ahead+0.275
Conceded late (76+)-0.035

Congested vs rested -0.45 · Ahead vs level +0.03 · Behind vs level -0.14

Preston North End

Current: winless 2 · conceding 22

FormationUsePPGGFGAxGxGA
3-5-214 30%1.51.361.361.191.42
3-1-4-29 20%1.221.111.111.221.23
5-3-27 15%0.710.861.710.971.94
3-4-1-25 11%1.21.01.21.231.86
4-4-25 11%1.81.41.61.441.99

Millwall

Current: unbeaten 1 · winless 2 · scoring 3 · conceding 2

FormationUsePPGGFGAxGxGA
4-2-3-140 83%1.81.41.081.541.27
4-4-24 8%1.750.750.751.480.88
4-4-1-12 4%0.51.01.51.252.23
4-3-1-21 2%3.02.01.01.073.62
4-1-4-11 2%1.01.01.01.11.34

Windows with fewer than 5 matches show no figures.

Pre-match movement · ends at kick-off

Every snapshot up to kick-off only — in-play prices are in Match Hub. Movement is in fair-probability points since the first snapshot (overround removed): ▲ shortened, ▼ drifted.

No pre-match movement recorded for this fixture.

Latest prices

bet365 · pre-match line -0.8h before kick-off · recorded after kick-off. Fair % removes the overround; P = Pinnacle fair %.

Fulltime Result

3.1Home 30% P 30%3.5Draw 27% P 27%2.2Away 43% P 43%

Double Chance

1.57Preston or Draw 30% P 29%1.3Preston or Millwall 36% P 36%1.36Draw or Millwall 34% P 35%

Draw No Bet

2.11 44%1.662 56%

Both Teams To Score

1.83Yes 50% P 52%1.83No 50% P 48%

Goals Over/Under

2.52.1Over 45% P 47%1.72Under 55% P 53%

Total Corners

11.0Under 6 8%3.46 - 8 26%2.69 - 11 34%4.012 - 14 22%8.0Over 14 11%

Number of Cards

3.51.72Over 54% P 53%2.0Under 46% P 47%

Fixtures priced like this · Pinnacle closing price · 2017–2026

Every past fixture whose Pinnacle fair price fell in the same band as this one, and how it finished at 90 minutes. Band = mean price in the band; ± = actual minus price, in probability points.

Match result · home 30–32.5% · away 42.5–45% · 201 fixtures

This matchBandActual±
Home30%31%31%-0.1
Draw27%26%26%+0.2
Away43%43%43%-0.1

In those fixtures: 3.1 goals a game · BTTS 65% · over 2.5 64%

Both teams to score · yes 50–52.5% · 3,449 fixtures

This matchBandActual±
Yes52%51%51%-0.6

Goals over/under 2.5 · over 45–47.5% · 2,885 fixtures

This matchBandActual±
Over 2.547%46%45%-1.2

Ben Toner

Career
64 matches · 12 seasons
Cards / match
3.77 (3.66 yellow · 0.08 red)
Fouls / match
22.1 · 5.2 fouls per card
Penalties / match
0.25
Cards to home side
46%

Style in Championship (5-year window · 42 matches)

MetricRefereeLeaguevs peerspct
Cards / match4.384.05+0.5971
Fouls / match24.721.8+2.49
Fouls per card5.65.4+0.11 (+ = lenient)
Penalties / match0.260.17+1.1690
Time added7.97.2+0.7874
First card
34' on average
Card timing
14% in first 30' · 35% in last 15'
Cards to home side
41% (league 45%)

Recent matches

DateYRFoulsPens1st card+min
2026-02-24 50 301 25'15
2026-02-10 10 240 30'10
2026-01-31 40 300 56'5
2026-01-21 20 210 51'9
2025-12-26 62 300 29'10
2025-12-20 60 220 30'8
2025-12-09 · Preston North End 11 180 39'8
2025-11-29 · Millwall 30 171 36'8
2025-11-22 60 280 15'7
2025-11-01 20 310 70'11