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Championship · Matchweek 36

Momentum

CHABRC
now

Match momentum Δ pressure · 0–100

Waiting for pressure data…

Competition

Stage
Regular Season
Round
36

Venue

Stadium
The Valley, London
Capacity
27,111
Surface
grass

Teams

Coaches
Nathan Jones · Chris Davies
Position
18 · 11
Formation
3-5-2 · 4-2-3-1

Referee

James Linington

Weather

Conditions
mist
Temperature
8.9° (feels 6.8°)
Wind
3.6
Humidity
91%

Where to watch · 183

2025/2026

#TeamPWDLGFGAGDPtsForm
1 Coventry City 4628117 974552 95 DDWWW
2 Ipswich Town 4623158 804733 84 DWDDW
3 Millwall 46241111 644915 83 DWWDW
4 Southampton 46221410 825626 80 WWDDW
5 Middlesbrough 46221410 724725 80 LDWWD
6 Hull City 46211015 70664 73 LDDLW
7 Wrexham 46191413 69654 71 LWWLD
8 Derby County 4620917 67598 69 LWLWL
9 Norwich City 4619819 63567 65 LWWDL
10 Birmingham City 46171316 57561 64 WDWWD
11 Swansea City 46181018 5759-2 64 WLWDW
12 Bristol City 46171118 59590 62 DLDLW
13 Sheffield United 4618622 66660 60 WWLLW
14 Preston North End 46151516 5562-7 60 WLLWL
15 Queens Park Rangers 46161020 6173-12 58 DLLLL
16 Watford 46141517 5365-12 57 LLLLL
17 Stoke City 46151021 5156-5 55 DLLLL
18 Portsmouth 46141319 4964-15 55 WWLWD
19 Charlton Athletic 46131419 4458-14 53 LDLWL
20 Blackburn Rovers 46131320 4256-14 52 DLDWL
21 West Bromwich Albion (-2) 46131419 4858-10 51 DWWDL
22 Oxford United 46111421 4559-14 47 WLLWL
23 Leicester City (-6) 46121618 5868-10 46 LLDDW
24 Sheffield Wednesday (-18) 4621232 2989-60 0 DDLLW
  • Promotion
  • Promotion Play-off
  • Relegation

Charlton Athletic

WLDDL 1W 2D 2L · 5 pts (1.0 ppg) · GF 4 GA 6 · xG 5.76–6.06 · xPts 6.68

  • L H Wrexham 0–1 xG 1.62–0.75 UK CHAMP
  • D A West Bromwich Albion 1–1 xG 0.2–1.77 UK CHAMP
  • D A Southampton 1–1 xG 0.95–1.64 UK CHAMP
  • L H Portsmouth 1–3 xG 1.2–1.26 UK CHAMP
  • W H Stoke City 1–0 xG 1.8–0.65 UK CHAMP

Birmingham City

DDWLL 1W 2D 2L · 5 pts (1.0 ppg) · GF 4 GA 8 · xG 8.42–8.91 · xPts 6.45

  • L H Middlesbrough 1–3 xG 0.7–0.74 UK CHAMP
  • L A Millwall 0–3 xG 0.24–1.46 UK CHAMP
  • W A Norwich City 2–1 xG 1.5–1.9 UK CHAMP
  • D H Leeds United 1–1 lost on pens None–None xG 4.56–4.32 UK FA Cup
  • D H West Bromwich Albion 0–0 xG 1.42–0.49 UK CHAMP

All meetings · 22 matches since 2002

Charlton Athletic 89 draws5 Birmingham City

Goals 23–20 · 1.95 per match · BTTS 54% · over 2.5 18%

Last 10 · 10 matches

Charlton Athletic 43 draws3 Birmingham City

Goals 8–8 · 1.6 per match · BTTS 40% · over 2.5 10%

Last 5 · 5 matches

Charlton Athletic 22 draws1 Birmingham City

Goals 5–4 · 1.8 per match · BTTS 60% · over 2.5 20%

Recent meetings

  • W Charlton Athletic 1–0 Birmingham City UK CHAMP · Regular Season
  • D Birmingham City 1–1 Charlton Athletic UK CHAMP · Regular Season
  • D Birmingham City 1–1 Charlton Athletic UK CHAMP · Regular Season
  • L Charlton Athletic 0–1 Birmingham City UK CHAMP · Regular Season
  • W Charlton Athletic 2–1 Birmingham City UK CHAMP · Regular Season
  • W Birmingham City 0–1 Charlton Athletic UK CHAMP · Regular Season
  • L Birmingham City 1–0 Charlton Athletic UK CHAMP · Regular Season
  • D Charlton Athletic 1–1 Birmingham City UK CHAMP · Regular Season
  • L Charlton Athletic 0–2 Birmingham City UK CHAMP · Regular Season
  • W Birmingham City 0–1 Charlton Athletic UK CHAMP · Regular Season
MetricCharlton Athletic all · 46Charlton Athletic at home · 23Birmingham City all · 46Birmingham City away · 23
Results
Matches46234623
Points per game1.151.351.390.87
W / D / L13 / 14 / 199 / 4 / 1017 / 13 / 165 / 5 / 13
Goals for / match0.961.001.240.78
Goals against / match1.261.131.221.48
Clean sheets28%35%22%13%
Failed to score22%17%24%39%
Both teams scored54%52%56%48%
Over 2.539%44%46%44%
Expected goals
xG for / match1.151.271.491.07
xG against / match1.551.341.141.27
xG difference-0.40-0.080.35-0.21
Finishing vs xG-0.19-0.27-0.25-0.28
xPts / match1.191.381.571.23
Points vs xPts-0.03-0.03-0.18-0.36
Game state
Scored first48%56%50%22%
PPG when scoring first2.052.232.352.40
PPG when conceding first0.270.110.410.44
Came back from behind24%9%33%32%
Leads held59%69%71%83%
Minutes leading16%18%28%11%
Minutes level56%51%42%38%
Minutes trailing28%31%31%51%
First goal (min)56523952
First goal conceded (min)43343527
Timing
Goals scored in 2nd half66%61%49%61%
Goals conceded in 2nd half53%35%39%32%
Late goals for (76'+)0.260.300.240.30
Late goals against0.330.040.150.13
Style
Possession42%45%54%52%
Shots11.012.813.69.9
On target3.54.14.12.6
Shot conversion9%8%9%8%
Shots inside box68%69%64%67%
Big chances created1.92.12.41.8
Corners4.15.15.85.0
xG from set plays39%36%30%33%
Goals from headers19%17%21%17%
Pressure index7.09.314.410.4
Dominant minutes34.441.354.344.6
Pass accuracy70%71%77%77%
Fouls12.011.311.712.3
Cards2.202.302.112.22

Goal timing for / against per 15 min

Charlton Athletic

0–15'28
16–30'58
31–45'811
46–60'78
61–75'108
76–90'1215

Birmingham City

0–15'1010
16–30'1112
31–45'812
46–60'98
61–75'87
76–90'117

Pressure DNA · intensity v an average side in the same situations, SD units

Charlton Athletic · 7 matches

Pressure in line with an average side in the same situations (-0.11) · stands out: 10 min after conceding -0.57

Tempo

Overall intensity-0.117
Early press (0-15, level)+0.437
Late push (76+, level)-0.354

Game state

When ahead-0.333
When level-0.027
When behind-0.113
10 min after conceding-0.574
10 min after scoring+0.044

Situations

At home-0.034
Away-0.263
3 days rest or fewer+0.342
4+ days rest-0.225

Opposition

v mid-tier opponents-0.372
v bottom-tier opponents+0.154
Evenly matched+0.182
As underdog-0.304

Conceded

Pressure conceded+0.447
Conceded when ahead+0.363
Conceded late (76+)+0.096

Congested vs rested +0.56 · Ahead vs level -0.30 · Behind vs level -0.09

Birmingham City · 7 matches

Pressure in line with an average side in the same situations (+0.12) · stands out: 10 min after conceding -0.36

Tempo

Overall intensity+0.127
Early press (0-15, level)+0.137
Late push (76+, level)-0.194
Late chase (76+, behind)-0.552

Game state

When ahead+0.152
When level+0.247
When behind-0.295
10 min after conceding-0.366
10 min after scoring+0.296

Situations

At home-0.063
Away+0.274
3 days rest or fewer+0.362
4+ days rest+0.035

Opposition

v mid-tier opponents+0.155
v bottom-tier opponents+0.072
Evenly matched+0.093
As underdog+0.263

Conceded

Pressure conceded-0.117
Conceded when ahead-0.122
Conceded late (76+)-0.207

Congested vs rested +0.33 · Ahead vs level -0.09 · Behind vs level -0.53

Charlton Athletic

Current: unbeaten 2 · winless 4 · clean sheets 2

FormationUsePPGGFGAxGxGA
3-1-4-214 30%0.860.861.641.081.41
3-5-210 22%1.10.91.01.031.55
3-4-2-16 13%0.830.831.51.421.54
3-4-1-25 11%1.00.61.01.021.72
4-2-3-13 6%1.331.01.331.261.01

Birmingham City

Current: unbeaten 1 · wins 1 · scoring 6 · conceding 6

FormationUsePPGGFGAxGxGA
4-2-3-140 87%1.381.331.281.541.16
4-4-22 4%1.50.50.51.160.61
4-4-1-12 4%1.51.01.51.730.5
3-4-31 2%0.00.01.00.251.91
4-1-4-11 2%3.01.00.00.831.5

Windows with fewer than 5 matches show no figures.

Pre-match movement · ends at kick-off

Every snapshot up to kick-off only — in-play prices are in Match Hub. Movement is in fair-probability points since the first snapshot (overround removed): ▲ shortened, ▼ drifted.

No pre-match movement recorded for this fixture.

Latest prices

bet365 · pre-match line 0.2h before kick-off. Fair % removes the overround; P = Pinnacle fair %.

Fulltime Result

3.9Home 24% P 25%3.3Draw 28% P 28%1.95Away 48% P 47%

Double Chance

1.8Charlton or Draw 26% P 26%1.33Charlton or Birmingham 36% P 36%1.25Draw or Birmingham 38% P 37%

Draw No Bet

2.751 34%1.42 66%

Both Teams To Score

1.9Yes 49% P 50%1.8No 51% P 50%

Goals Over/Under

2.52.2Over 43% P 45%1.66Under 57% P 55%

Total Corners

10.0Under 6 9%3.16 - 8 28%2.69 - 11 34%4.3312 - 14 20%10.0Over 14 9%

Number of Cards

3.51.83Over 50%1.83Under 50%

Fixtures priced like this · Pinnacle closing price · 2017–2026

Every past fixture whose Pinnacle fair price fell in the same band as this one, and how it finished at 90 minutes. Band = mean price in the band; ± = actual minus price, in probability points.

Match result · home 22.5–25% · away 45–47.5% · 191 fixtures

This matchBandActual±
Home25%24%21%-3.2
Draw28%29%29%-0.6
Away47%46%50%+3.8

In those fixtures: 2.3 goals a game · BTTS 40% · over 2.5 38%

Both teams to score · yes 47.5–50% · 2,898 fixtures

This matchBandActual±
Yes50%49%49%+0.0

Goals over/under 2.5 · over 45–47.5% · 2,885 fixtures

This matchBandActual±
Over 2.545%46%45%-1.2

James Linington

Career
298 matches · 17 seasons
Cards / match
3.82 (3.69 yellow · 0.08 red)
Fouls / match
20.7 · 4.6 fouls per card
Penalties / match
0.24
Cards to home side
45%

Style in Championship (5-year window · 103 matches)

MetricRefereeLeaguevs peerspct
Cards / match4.324.05+0.4969
Fouls / match22.021.8+0.11
Fouls per card5.15.4-0.61 (+ = lenient)
Penalties / match0.220.17+0.6280
Time added7.27.2-0.0247
First card
33' on average
Card timing
17% in first 30' · 33% in last 15'
Cards to home side
42% (league 45%)
VAR events / match
1.0

Recent matches

DateYRFoulsPens1st card+min
2026-02-25 30 160 10'5
2026-02-21 30 170 16'6
2026-02-14 50 240 25'11
2026-02-07 40 230 74'7
2026-01-24 30 240 44'9
2026-01-20 · Charlton Athletic 41 260 31'11
2026-01-10 20 200 87'5
2026-01-04 · Birmingham City 41 210 36'12
2026-01-01 70 220 2'7
2025-12-26 30 230 62'7