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Championship · Matchweek 36
Derby CountyDerby County
2–1
FT
Sheffield WednesdaySHF

Momentum

– Derby CountySHF –
now

Match momentum Δ pressure · 0–100

Waiting for pressure data…

Competition

Stage
Regular Season
Round
36

Venue

Stadium
Pride Park Stadium, Derby
Capacity
33,597
Surface
grass

Teams

Coaches
John Eustace · Henrik Pedersen
Position
8 · 24
Formation
4-2-3-1 · 3-1-4-2

Referee

Oliver Langford

Weather

Conditions
broken clouds
Temperature
8.6° (feels 6.5°)
Wind
3.6
Humidity
77%

Where to watch · 224

2025/2026

#TeamPWDLGFGAGDPtsForm
1 Coventry City 4628117 974552 95 DDWWW
2 Ipswich Town 4623158 804733 84 DWDDW
3 Millwall 46241111 644915 83 DWWDW
4 Southampton 46221410 825626 80 WWDDW
5 Middlesbrough 46221410 724725 80 LDWWD
6 Hull City 46211015 70664 73 LDDLW
7 Wrexham 46191413 69654 71 LWWLD
8 Derby County 4620917 67598 69 LWLWL
9 Norwich City 4619819 63567 65 LWWDL
10 Birmingham City 46171316 57561 64 WDWWD
11 Swansea City 46181018 5759-2 64 WLWDW
12 Bristol City 46171118 59590 62 DLDLW
13 Sheffield United 4618622 66660 60 WWLLW
14 Preston North End 46151516 5562-7 60 WLLWL
15 Queens Park Rangers 46161020 6173-12 58 DLLLL
16 Watford 46141517 5365-12 57 LLLLL
17 Stoke City 46151021 5156-5 55 DLLLL
18 Portsmouth 46141319 4964-15 55 WWLWD
19 Charlton Athletic 46131419 4458-14 53 LDLWL
20 Blackburn Rovers 46131320 4256-14 52 DLDWL
21 West Bromwich Albion (-2) 46131419 4858-10 51 DWWDL
22 Oxford United 46111421 4559-14 47 WLLWL
23 Leicester City (-6) 46121618 5868-10 46 LLDDW
24 Sheffield Wednesday (-18) 4621232 2989-60 0 DDLLW
  • Promotion
  • Promotion Play-off
  • Relegation

Derby County

LWLLW 2W 0D 3L · 6 pts (1.2 ppg) · GF 8 GA 9 · xG 6.43–6.32 · xPts 6.95

  • W H Blackburn Rovers 3–1 xG 1.54–0.74 UK CHAMP
  • L A Hull City 2–4 xG 2.23–0.78 UK CHAMP
  • L A Watford 0–2 xG 0.52–1.95 UK CHAMP
  • W H Swansea City 2–0 xG 1.11–1.31 UK CHAMP
  • L H Ipswich Town 1–2 xG 1.04–1.54 UK CHAMP

Sheffield Wednesday

LLLLL 0W 0D 5L · 0 pts (0.0 ppg) · GF 3 GA 13 · xG 2.45–11.63 · xPts 1.77

  • L H Southampton 1–3 xG 0.85–2.04 UK CHAMP
  • L A Norwich City 0–2 xG 0.4–2.3 UK CHAMP
  • L A Sheffield United 1–2 xG 0.23–1.37 UK CHAMP
  • L H Millwall 1–2 xG 0.89–3.6 UK CHAMP
  • L A Swansea City 0–4 xG 0.07–2.32 UK CHAMP

All meetings · 32 matches since 2005

Derby County 1411 draws7 Sheffield Wednesday

Goals 49–34 · 2.59 per match · BTTS 53% · over 2.5 53%

Last 10 · 10 matches

Derby County 43 draws3 Sheffield Wednesday

Goals 18–15 · 3.3 per match · BTTS 80% · over 2.5 70%

Last 5 · 5 matches

Derby County 21 draws2 Sheffield Wednesday

Goals 11–10 · 4.2 per match · BTTS 80% · over 2.5 100%

Recent meetings

  • W Derby County 2–1 Sheffield Wednesday UK CHAMP · Regular Season
  • W Sheffield Wednesday 0–3 Derby County UK CHAMP · Regular Season
  • L Sheffield Wednesday 4–2 Derby County UK CHAMP · Regular Season
  • L Derby County 1–2 Sheffield Wednesday UK CHAMP · Regular Season
  • D Derby County 3–3 Sheffield Wednesday UK CHAMP · Regular Season
  • L Sheffield Wednesday 1–0 Derby County UK CHAMP · Regular Season
  • W Sheffield Wednesday 1–3 Derby County UK CHAMP · Regular Season
  • D Derby County 1–1 Sheffield Wednesday UK CHAMP · Regular Season
  • D Derby County 1–1 Sheffield Wednesday UK CHAMP · Regular Season
  • W Sheffield Wednesday 1–2 Derby County UK CHAMP · Regular Season
MetricDerby County all · 46Derby County at home · 23Sheffield Wednesday all · 46Sheffield Wednesday away · 23
Results
Matches46234623
Points per game1.501.570.390.35
W / D / L20 / 9 / 1710 / 6 / 72 / 12 / 321 / 5 / 17
Goals for / match1.461.350.630.65
Goals against / match1.281.171.931.96
Clean sheets26%30%9%13%
Failed to score9%4%50%48%
Both teams scored65%65%48%48%
Over 2.552%39%52%56%
Expected goals
xG for / match1.231.270.880.80
xG against / match1.321.112.012.07
xG difference-0.090.16-1.13-1.27
Finishing vs xG0.230.07-0.25-0.15
xPts / match1.331.470.730.62
Points vs xPts0.170.09-0.34-0.28
Game state
Scored first54%52%26%17%
PPG when scoring first2.242.331.001.00
PPG when conceding first0.620.730.100.12
Came back from behind35%46%9%10%
Leads held69%71%15%20%
Minutes leading30%29%13%9%
Minutes level46%46%41%37%
Minutes trailing24%25%46%53%
First goal (min)40453840
First goal conceded (min)40363628
Timing
Goals scored in 2nd half52%55%48%53%
Goals conceded in 2nd half58%48%55%47%
Late goals for (76'+)0.260.260.070.09
Late goals against0.300.260.430.43
Style
Possession44%48%45%43%
Shots11.011.98.78.0
On target3.63.72.52.5
Shot conversion13%11%7%8%
Shots inside box70%65%68%65%
Big chances created2.22.31.20.9
Corners4.55.54.33.9
xG from set plays39%44%33%29%
Goals from headers28%32%17%7%
Pressure index10.111.66.96.1
Dominant minutes39.945.732.829.2
Pass accuracy73%77%73%72%
Fouls12.311.911.811.9
Cards2.632.301.701.87

Goal timing for / against per 15 min

Derby County

0–15'811
16–30'95
31–45'159
46–60'135
61–75'1015
76–90'1214

Sheffield Wednesday

0–15'516
16–30'79
31–45'315
46–60'713
61–75'416
76–90'320

Pressure DNA · intensity v an average side in the same situations, SD units

Derby County · 7 matches

Pressure in line with an average side in the same situations (-0.15) · stands out: late chase (76+, behind) -0.31

Tempo

Overall intensity-0.157
Early press (0-15, level)+0.287
Late push (76+, level)-0.552
Late chase (76+, behind)-0.315

Game state

When ahead-0.053
When level-0.057
When behind-0.256
10 min after conceding-0.286
10 min after scoring+0.254

Situations

At home-0.174
Away-0.123
3 days rest or fewer-0.212
4+ days rest-0.125

Opposition

v mid-tier opponents-0.223
v bottom-tier opponents-0.033
Evenly matched-0.183
As underdog-0.153

Conceded

Pressure conceded+0.257
Conceded when ahead+0.203
Conceded late (76+)+0.207

Congested vs rested -0.09 · Ahead vs level -0.00 · Behind vs level -0.20

Sheffield Wednesday

No pressure profile yet.

Derby County

Current: winless 3 · scoring 1 · conceding 3

FormationUsePPGGFGAxGxGA
4-2-3-124 52%1.621.461.131.481.25
3-4-2-111 24%1.821.551.180.921.35
3-4-1-25 11%1.21.41.61.031.95
4-4-24 9%0.251.02.250.831.09
3-4-31 2%3.03.00.01.470.12

Sheffield Wednesday

Current: unbeaten 1 · wins 1 · scoring 2 · conceding 4

FormationUsePPGGFGAxGxGA
3-4-2-113 28%0.540.381.540.851.98
3-5-212 26%0.670.751.750.831.9
4-2-3-16 13%0.00.332.330.472.39
3-4-1-24 9%0.251.02.51.242.19
3-4-34 9%0.250.752.01.051.86

Windows with fewer than 5 matches show no figures.

Pre-match movement · ends at kick-off

Every snapshot up to kick-off only — in-play prices are in Match Hub. Movement is in fair-probability points since the first snapshot (overround removed): ▲ shortened, ▼ drifted.

No pre-match movement recorded for this fixture.

Latest prices

bet365 · pre-match line -0.2h before kick-off · recorded after kick-off. Fair % removes the overround; P = Pinnacle fair %.

Fulltime Result

1.27Home 74% P 75%5.25Draw 18% P 17%11.0Away 9% P 8%

Double Chance

1.05Derby or Draw 45% P 46%1.16Derby or Sheff Wed 41% P 42%3.5Draw or Sheff Wed 14% P 12%

Draw No Bet

1.061 90%10.02 10%

Both Teams To Score

2.2Yes 42% P 44%1.61No 58% P 56%

Goals Over/Under

2.51.66Over 57% P 57%2.2Under 43% P 43%

Total Corners

13.0Under 6 7%3.756 - 8 23%2.629 - 11 33%3.612 - 14 24%6.5Over 14 13%

Number of Cards

3.51.83Over 50% P 50%1.83Under 50% P 50%

Fixtures priced like this · Pinnacle closing price · 2017–2026

Every past fixture whose Pinnacle fair price fell in the same band as this one, and how it finished at 90 minutes. Band = mean price in the band; ± = actual minus price, in probability points.

Match result · home 75–77.5% · away 7.5–10% · 515 fixtures

This matchBandActual±
Home75%76%77%+0.9
Draw17%15%15%-0.5
Away8%9%8%-0.4

In those fixtures: 3.3 goals a game · BTTS 49% · over 2.5 66%

Both teams to score · yes 42.5–45% · 1,287 fixtures

This matchBandActual±
Yes44%44%48%+4.3

Goals over/under 2.5 · over 55–57.5% · 2,508 fixtures

This matchBandActual±
Over 2.557%56%56%-0.2

Oliver Langford

Career
353 matches · 18 seasons
Cards / match
3.37 (3.23 yellow · 0.1 red)
Fouls / match
20.9 · 5.1 fouls per card
Penalties / match
0.23
Cards to home side
43%

Style in Championship (5-year window · 119 matches)

MetricRefereeLeaguevs peerspct
Cards / match3.824.05-0.4229
Fouls / match20.821.8-0.91
Fouls per card5.55.4-0.02 (+ = lenient)
Penalties / match0.150.17-0.3731
Time added7.47.2+0.2157
First card
35' on average
Card timing
17% in first 30' · 35% in last 15'
Cards to home side
41% (league 45%)

Recent matches

DateYRFoulsPens1st card+min
2026-02-24 10 180 16'8
2026-02-21 40 200 39'6
2026-02-07 20 180 81'12
2026-01-24 51 260 12'6
2026-01-17 62 200 35'8
2026-01-09 20 191 71'8
2026-01-04 30 190 64'8
2025-12-29 · Sheffield Wednesday 50 230 57'4
2025-12-19 40 180 18'8
2025-12-09 50 230 31'7