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Championship · Matchweek 36
Hull CityHull City
1–3
FT
MillwallMillwall

Momentum

– Hull CityMillwall –
now

Match momentum Δ pressure · 0–100

Waiting for pressure data…

Competition

Stage
Regular Season
Round
36

Venue

Stadium
MKM Stadium, Hull
Capacity
25,586
Surface
grass

Teams

Coaches
Sergej Jakirović · Alex Neil
Position
5 · 4
Formation
4-2-3-1 · 4-2-3-1

Referee

David Webb

Weather

Conditions
overcast clouds
Temperature
8.8° (feels 7.4°)
Wind
2.6
Humidity
77%

Where to watch · 186

2025/2026

#TeamPWDLGFGAGDPtsForm
1 Coventry City 4628117 974552 95 DDWWW
2 Ipswich Town 4623158 804733 84 DWDDW
3 Millwall 46241111 644915 83 DWWDW
4 Southampton 46221410 825626 80 WWDDW
5 Middlesbrough 46221410 724725 80 LDWWD
6 Hull City 46211015 70664 73 LDDLW
7 Wrexham 46191413 69654 71 LWWLD
8 Derby County 4620917 67598 69 LWLWL
9 Norwich City 4619819 63567 65 LWWDL
10 Birmingham City 46171316 57561 64 WDWWD
11 Swansea City 46181018 5759-2 64 WLWDW
12 Bristol City 46171118 59590 62 DLDLW
13 Sheffield United 4618622 66660 60 WWLLW
14 Preston North End 46151516 5562-7 60 WLLWL
15 Queens Park Rangers 46161020 6173-12 58 DLLLL
16 Watford 46141517 5365-12 57 LLLLL
17 Stoke City 46151021 5156-5 55 DLLLL
18 Portsmouth 46141319 4964-15 55 WWLWD
19 Charlton Athletic 46131419 4458-14 53 LDLWL
20 Blackburn Rovers 46131320 4256-14 52 DLDWL
21 West Bromwich Albion (-2) 46131419 4858-10 51 DWWDL
22 Oxford United 46111421 4559-14 47 WLLWL
23 Leicester City (-6) 46121618 5868-10 46 LLDDW
24 Sheffield Wednesday (-18) 4621232 2989-60 0 DDLLW
  • Promotion
  • Promotion Play-off
  • Relegation

Hull City

LLWWL 2W 0D 3L · 6 pts (1.2 ppg) · GF 6 GA 10 · xG 4.72–8.34 · xPts 4.43

  • L A Ipswich Town 0–1 xG 0.35–1.66 UK CHAMP
  • W A Portsmouth 1–0 xG 0.32–1.39 UK CHAMP
  • W H Derby County 4–2 xG 0.78–2.23 UK CHAMP
  • L H Queens Park Rangers 1–3 xG 2.2–0.86 UK CHAMP
  • L H Chelsea 0–4 xG 1.07–2.19 UK FA Cup

Millwall

WWLWW 4W 0D 1L · 12 pts (2.4 ppg) · GF 10 GA 4 · xG 8.78–4.65 · xPts 9.01

  • W A Preston North End 2–0 xG 2.43–0.54 UK CHAMP
  • W H Birmingham City 3–0 xG 1.46–0.24 UK CHAMP
  • L H Portsmouth 1–3 xG 0.51–1.46 UK CHAMP
  • W A Sheffield Wednesday 2–1 xG 3.6–0.89 UK CHAMP
  • W A Wrexham 2–0 xG 0.79–1.52 UK CHAMP

All meetings · 28 matches since 2005

Hull City 119 draws8 Millwall

Goals 32–28 · 2.14 per match · BTTS 46% · over 2.5 39%

Last 10 · 10 matches

Hull City 54 draws1 Millwall

Goals 11–6 · 1.7 per match · BTTS 30% · over 2.5 30%

Last 5 · 5 matches

Hull City 31 draws1 Millwall

Goals 7–4 · 2.2 per match · BTTS 40% · over 2.5 40%

Recent meetings

  • W Millwall 0–2 Hull City UK CHAMP · Promotion Play-offs - Semi-finals · leg 2/2
  • D Hull City 0–0 Millwall UK CHAMP · Promotion Play-offs - Semi-finals · leg 1/2
  • L Hull City 1–3 Millwall UK CHAMP · Regular Season
  • W Millwall 1–3 Hull City UK CHAMP · Regular Season
  • W Millwall 0–1 Hull City UK CHAMP · Regular Season
  • D Hull City 0–0 Millwall UK CHAMP · Regular Season
  • W Hull City 1–0 Millwall UK CHAMP · Regular Season
  • D Millwall 2–2 Hull City UK CHAMP · Regular Season
  • W Hull City 1–0 Millwall UK CHAMP · Regular Season
  • D Millwall 0–0 Hull City UK CHAMP · Regular Season
MetricHull City all · 49Hull City at home · 25Millwall all · 48Millwall away · 24
Results
Matches49254824
Points per game1.631.681.751.75
W / D / L23 / 11 / 1512 / 6 / 724 / 12 / 1211 / 9 / 4
Goals for / match1.491.441.331.29
Goals against / match1.351.361.061.00
Clean sheets29%28%40%33%
Failed to score18%24%21%21%
Both teams scored61%60%48%58%
Over 2.561%56%46%42%
Expected goals
xG for / match1.371.461.501.38
xG against / match1.661.421.331.51
xG difference-0.290.040.18-0.13
Finishing vs xG0.12-0.02-0.17-0.08
xPts / match1.251.411.471.30
Points vs xPts0.380.270.280.45
Game state
Scored first57%48%52%46%
PPG when scoring first2.182.422.602.64
PPG when conceding first0.881.000.791.00
Came back from behind35%36%43%60%
Leads held72%80%86%85%
Minutes leading30%28%27%20%
Minutes level53%54%56%61%
Minutes trailing17%18%17%18%
First goal (min)32304451
First goal conceded (min)40384342
Timing
Goals scored in 2nd half45%42%61%71%
Goals conceded in 2nd half52%41%67%50%
Late goals for (76'+)0.270.200.350.38
Late goals against0.310.240.350.25
Style
Possession45%47%48%46%
Shots11.111.212.912.3
On target4.13.84.23.8
Shot conversion13%13%10%10%
Shots inside box68%68%68%65%
Big chances created2.22.12.32.2
Corners4.44.25.75.2
xG from set plays21%27%33%30%
Goals from headers14%9%16%13%
Pressure index9.311.011.99.1
Dominant minutes39.846.744.439.2
Pass accuracy72%73%70%69%
Fouls11.210.812.614.4
Cards2.552.081.902.42

Goal timing for / against per 15 min

Hull City

0–15'117
16–30'1413
31–45'1512
46–60'910
61–75'119
76–90'1315

Millwall

0–15'66
16–30'96
31–45'105
46–60'1112
61–75'115
76–90'1717

Pressure DNA · intensity v an average side in the same situations, SD units

Hull City · 4 matches

Pressure below an average side in the same situations (-0.42) · stands out: early press (0-15, level) -0.57

Tempo

Overall intensity-0.424
Early press (0-15, level)-0.574
Late push (76+, level)-0.503

Game state

When ahead-0.363
When level-0.444
10 min after scoring+0.133

Situations

At home-0.452
Away-0.392
4+ days rest-0.424

Opposition

v top-tier opponents-0.393
As underdog-0.424

Conceded

Pressure conceded+0.364
Conceded when ahead+0.573
Conceded late (76+)+0.274

Ahead vs level +0.08 · Behind vs level -0.08

Millwall · 7 matches

Pressure in line with an average side in the same situations (-0.01) · stands out: 10 min after scoring +0.54

Tempo

Overall intensity-0.017
Early press (0-15, level)+0.217

Game state

When ahead+0.045
When level+0.017
When behind-0.133
10 min after conceding-0.344
10 min after scoring+0.546

Situations

Against ten men-0.122
At home+0.043
Away-0.044
3 days rest or fewer-0.322
4+ days rest+0.135

Opposition

v mid-tier opponents+0.054
v bottom-tier opponents-0.073
Evenly matched+0.104
As underdog-0.112

Conceded

Pressure conceded+0.257
Conceded when ahead+0.275
Conceded late (76+)-0.035

Congested vs rested -0.45 · Ahead vs level +0.03 · Behind vs level -0.14

Hull City

Current: unbeaten 8 · winless 2 · scoring 1 · conceding 1

FormationUsePPGGFGAxGxGA
4-2-3-136 74%1.641.611.441.491.76
3-4-2-16 12%1.51.01.171.091.37
4-4-22 4%3.01.50.51.091.08
3-4-1-22 4%0.51.52.01.251.52
4-3-31 2%1.00.00.00.561.69

Millwall

Current: unbeaten 1 · winless 2 · scoring 3 · conceding 2

FormationUsePPGGFGAxGxGA
4-2-3-140 83%1.81.41.081.541.27
4-4-24 8%1.750.750.751.480.88
4-4-1-12 4%0.51.01.51.252.23
4-3-1-21 2%3.02.01.01.073.62
4-1-4-11 2%1.01.01.01.11.34

Windows with fewer than 5 matches show no figures.

Pre-match movement · ends at kick-off

Every snapshot up to kick-off only — in-play prices are in Match Hub. Movement is in fair-probability points since the first snapshot (overround removed): ▲ shortened, ▼ drifted.

No pre-match movement recorded for this fixture.

Latest prices

bet365 · pre-match line 0.1h before kick-off. Fair % removes the overround; P = Pinnacle fair %.

Fulltime Result

3.0Home 31% P 32%3.3Draw 29% P 28%2.35Away 40% P 40%

Double Chance

1.61Hull or Draw 29% P 30%1.33Hull or Millwall 36% P 36%1.36Draw or Millwall 35% P 34%

Draw No Bet

2.251 41%1.572 59%

Both Teams To Score

1.83Yes 50% P 53%1.83No 50% P 47%

Goals Over/Under

2.52.1Over 45% P 46%1.72Under 55% P 54%

Total Corners

11.0Under 6 8%3.56 - 8 25%2.69 - 11 34%4.012 - 14 22%8.0Over 14 11%

Number of Cards

3.51.61Over 58%2.2Under 42%
4.52.2Over 42%1.61Under 58%

Fixtures priced like this · Pinnacle closing price · 2017–2026

Every past fixture whose Pinnacle fair price fell in the same band as this one, and how it finished at 90 minutes. Band = mean price in the band; ± = actual minus price, in probability points.

Match result · home 30–32.5% · away 37.5–40% · 556 fixtures

This matchBandActual±
Home32%31%31%-0.2
Draw28%30%31%+1.5
Away40%39%38%-1.3

In those fixtures: 2.4 goals a game · BTTS 52% · over 2.5 44%

Both teams to score · yes 52.5–55% · 3,040 fixtures

This matchBandActual±
Yes53%54%54%-0.2

Goals over/under 2.5 · over 45–47.5% · 2,885 fixtures

This matchBandActual±
Over 2.546%46%45%-1.2

David Webb

Career
296 matches · 18 seasons
Cards / match
2.96 (2.84 yellow · 0.09 red)
Fouls / match
18.7 · 5.3 fouls per card
Penalties / match
0.19
Cards to home side
49%

Style in Championship (5-year window · 136 matches)

MetricRefereeLeaguevs peerspct
Cards / match3.264.05-1.436
Fouls / match20.421.8-1.29
Fouls per card6.55.4+1.45 (+ = lenient)
Penalties / match0.160.17-0.2247
Time added7.67.2+0.4463
First card
38' on average
Card timing
16% in first 30' · 34% in last 15'
Cards to home side
47% (league 45%)

Recent matches

DateYRFoulsPens1st card+min
2026-02-24 40 220 56'6
2026-02-21 40 240 23'5
2026-02-07 20 170 22'10
2026-01-31 –– 20– –8
2026-01-04 50 271 48'9
2025-12-29 · Millwall 50 230 23'9
2025-12-20 20 180 49'12
2025-12-13 10 212 32'7
2025-12-06 20 200 49'8
2025-11-29 20 150 14'12