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Championship · Matchweek 36
Preston North EndPNE
1–3
FT
Oxford UnitedOXF

Momentum

– PNEOXF –
now

Match momentum Δ pressure · 0–100

Waiting for pressure data…

Competition

Stage
Regular Season
Round
36

Venue

Stadium
Deepdale, Preston
Capacity
23,408
Surface
grass
Attendance
14,009

Teams

Coaches
Paul Heckingbottom · Matt Bloomfield
Position
11 · 23
Formation
4-2-3-1 · 4-2-3-1

Referee

Andrew Kitchen

Weather

Conditions
broken clouds
Temperature
6.4° (feels 6.4°)
Wind
1.1
Humidity
91%

Where to watch · 215

2025/2026

#TeamPWDLGFGAGDPtsForm
1 Coventry City 4628117 974552 95 DDWWW
2 Ipswich Town 4623158 804733 84 DWDDW
3 Millwall 46241111 644915 83 DWWDW
4 Southampton 46221410 825626 80 WWDDW
5 Middlesbrough 46221410 724725 80 LDWWD
6 Hull City 46211015 70664 73 LDDLW
7 Wrexham 46191413 69654 71 LWWLD
8 Derby County 4620917 67598 69 LWLWL
9 Norwich City 4619819 63567 65 LWWDL
10 Birmingham City 46171316 57561 64 WDWWD
11 Swansea City 46181018 5759-2 64 WLWDW
12 Bristol City 46171118 59590 62 DLDLW
13 Sheffield United 4618622 66660 60 WWLLW
14 Preston North End 46151516 5562-7 60 WLLWL
15 Queens Park Rangers 46161020 6173-12 58 DLLLL
16 Watford 46141517 5365-12 57 LLLLL
17 Stoke City 46151021 5156-5 55 DLLLL
18 Portsmouth 46141319 4964-15 55 WWLWD
19 Charlton Athletic 46131419 4458-14 53 LDLWL
20 Blackburn Rovers 46131320 4256-14 52 DLDWL
21 West Bromwich Albion (-2) 46131419 4858-10 51 DWWDL
22 Oxford United 46111421 4559-14 47 WLLWL
23 Leicester City (-6) 46121618 5868-10 46 LLDDW
24 Sheffield Wednesday (-18) 4621232 2989-60 0 DDLLW
  • Promotion
  • Promotion Play-off
  • Relegation

Preston North End

WDLDL 1W 2D 2L · 5 pts (1.0 ppg) · GF 4 GA 6 · xG 4.05–8.68 · xPts 3.72

  • L H Millwall 0–2 xG 0.54–2.43 UK CHAMP
  • D A Swansea City 1–1 xG 1.96–2.26 UK CHAMP
  • L A Blackburn Rovers 0–1 xG 0.18–1.33 UK CHAMP
  • D H Watford 2–2 xG 0.96–1.2 UK CHAMP
  • W H Portsmouth 1–0 xG 0.4–1.46 UK CHAMP

Oxford United

LLDLW 1W 1D 3L · 4 pts (0.8 ppg) · GF 3 GA 7 · xG 5.53–8.3 · xPts 5.0

  • W H West Bromwich Albion 2–1 xG 0.91–1.27 UK CHAMP
  • L A Stoke City 1–2 xG 1.65–1.93 UK CHAMP
  • D A Middlesbrough 0–0 xG 1.04–1.99 UK CHAMP
  • L H Sunderland 0–1 xG 1.19–1.8 UK FA Cup
  • L H Norwich City 0–3 xG 0.74–1.31 UK CHAMP

All meetings · 4 matches since 2024

Preston North End 11 draws2 Oxford United

Goals 5–8 · 3.25 per match · BTTS 100% · over 2.5 75%

Last 10 · 4 matches

Preston North End 11 draws2 Oxford United

Goals 5–8 · 3.25 per match · BTTS 100% · over 2.5 75%

Last 5 · 4 matches

Preston North End 11 draws2 Oxford United

Goals 5–8 · 3.25 per match · BTTS 100% · over 2.5 75%

Recent meetings

  • L Preston North End 1–3 Oxford United UK CHAMP · Regular Season
  • W Oxford United 1–2 Preston North End UK CHAMP · Regular Season
  • D Preston North End 1–1 Oxford United UK CHAMP · Regular Season
  • L Oxford United 3–1 Preston North End UK CHAMP · Regular Season
MetricPreston North End all · 46Preston North End at home · 23Oxford United all · 46Oxford United away · 23
Results
Matches46234623
Points per game1.301.351.020.78
W / D / L15 / 15 / 168 / 7 / 811 / 14 / 214 / 6 / 13
Goals for / match1.201.220.980.91
Goals against / match1.351.301.281.39
Clean sheets20%22%17%13%
Failed to score26%26%41%44%
Both teams scored59%56%52%56%
Over 2.548%48%46%48%
Expected goals
xG for / match1.181.221.170.99
xG against / match1.631.421.431.68
xG difference-0.45-0.20-0.25-0.70
Finishing vs xG0.020.00-0.20-0.07
xPts / match1.131.251.210.95
Points vs xPts0.170.10-0.19-0.17
Game state
Scored first41%39%39%35%
PPG when scoring first2.162.332.061.63
PPG when conceding first0.680.690.220.17
Came back from behind38%43%19%13%
Leads held62%73%58%44%
Minutes leading28%27%21%19%
Minutes level45%46%47%47%
Minutes trailing27%27%32%34%
First goal (min)36402829
First goal conceded (min)42433538
Timing
Goals scored in 2nd half51%61%38%38%
Goals conceded in 2nd half50%60%41%41%
Late goals for (76'+)0.260.300.150.13
Late goals against0.300.350.150.26
Style
Possession46%48%40%38%
Shots10.911.311.99.8
On target3.63.43.42.6
Shot conversion11%11%8%9%
Shots inside box68%69%54%53%
Big chances created1.61.71.61.6
Corners4.55.34.03.4
xG from set plays34%35%40%33%
Goals from headers22%21%16%19%
Pressure index8.89.56.43.8
Dominant minutes40.542.333.723.1
Pass accuracy72%73%69%70%
Fouls10.410.110.811.0
Cards2.092.131.672.04

Goal timing for / against per 15 min

Preston North End

0–15'1111
16–30'107
31–45'613
46–60'109
61–75'68
76–90'1214

Oxford United

0–15'1013
16–30'108
31–45'814
46–60'511
61–75'56
76–90'77

Pressure DNA · intensity v an average side in the same situations, SD units

Preston North End · 7 matches

Pressure below an average side in the same situations (-0.18) · stands out: late chase (76+, behind) -0.54

Tempo

Overall intensity-0.187
Early press (0-15, level)-0.177
Late push (76+, level)+0.013
Late chase (76+, behind)-0.546

Game state

When ahead-0.162
When level+0.017
When behind-0.336
10 min after conceding-0.327
10 min after scoring+0.295

Situations

At home-0.194
Away-0.163
3 days rest or fewer-0.052
4+ days rest-0.235

Opposition

v mid-tier opponents-0.222
v bottom-tier opponents-0.165
Evenly matched-0.154
As underdog-0.223

Conceded

Pressure conceded+0.107
Conceded when ahead+0.172
Conceded late (76+)-0.027

Congested vs rested +0.18 · Ahead vs level -0.17 · Behind vs level -0.34

Oxford United

No pressure profile yet.

Preston North End

Current: winless 2 · conceding 22

FormationUsePPGGFGAxGxGA
3-5-214 30%1.51.361.361.191.42
3-1-4-29 20%1.221.111.111.221.23
5-3-27 15%0.710.861.710.971.94
4-4-25 11%1.81.41.61.441.99
3-4-1-25 11%1.21.01.21.231.86

Oxford United

Current: winless 1 · conceding 4

FormationUsePPGGFGAxGxGA
4-2-3-127 59%1.070.931.191.31.37
4-4-26 13%0.831.331.51.331.73
5-4-14 9%1.01.01.50.841.78
3-4-2-14 9%1.00.751.50.781.22
4-1-4-13 6%1.331.01.00.881.11

Windows with fewer than 5 matches show no figures.

Pre-match movement · ends at kick-off

Every snapshot up to kick-off only — in-play prices are in Match Hub. Movement is in fair-probability points since the first snapshot (overround removed): ▲ shortened, ▼ drifted.

No pre-match movement recorded for this fixture.

Latest prices

bet365 · pre-match line -0.2h before kick-off · recorded after kick-off. Fair % removes the overround; P = Pinnacle fair %.

Fulltime Result

2.2Home 43% P 43%3.3Draw 28% P 29%3.25Away 29% P 28%

Double Chance

1.28Preston or Draw 37% P 36%1.36Preston or Oxford Utd 35% P 35%1.66Draw or Oxford Utd 28% P 28%

Draw No Bet

1.441 65%2.622 35%

Both Teams To Score

1.9Yes 49% P 52%1.8No 51% P 48%

Goals Over/Under

2.52.3Over 41% P 46%1.61Under 59% P 54%

Total Corners

11.0Under 6 8%3.46 - 8 26%2.69 - 11 34%4.012 - 14 22%8.0Over 14 11%

Number of Cards

3.51.9Over 49% P 45%1.8Under 51% P 55%

Fixtures priced like this · Pinnacle closing price · 2017–2026

Every past fixture whose Pinnacle fair price fell in the same band as this one, and how it finished at 90 minutes. Band = mean price in the band; ± = actual minus price, in probability points.

Match result · home 42.5–45% · away 27.5–30% · 766 fixtures

This matchBandActual±
Home43%44%43%-0.3
Draw29%28%30%+2.4
Away28%29%26%-2.1

In those fixtures: 2.7 goals a game · BTTS 58% · over 2.5 52%

Both teams to score · yes 50–52.5% · 3,449 fixtures

This matchBandActual±
Yes52%51%51%-0.6

Goals over/under 2.5 · over 45–47.5% · 2,885 fixtures

This matchBandActual±
Over 2.546%46%45%-1.2

Andrew Kitchen

Career
95 matches · 8 seasons
Cards / match
3.09 (3.01 yellow · 0.05 red)
Fouls / match
22.4 · 7.1 fouls per card
Penalties / match
0.18
Cards to home side
46%

Style in Championship (5-year window · 78 matches)

MetricRefereeLeaguevs peerspct
Cards / match3.334.05-1.3110
Fouls / match22.821.8+0.82
Fouls per card7.05.4+2.14 (+ = lenient)
Penalties / match0.180.17+0.0255
Time added7.57.2+0.3259
First card
43' on average
Card timing
11% in first 30' · 31% in last 15'
Cards to home side
44% (league 45%)

Recent matches

DateYRFoulsPens1st card+min
2026-02-28 20 130 90'10
2026-02-24 20 200 43'9
2026-02-14 50 320 27'7
2026-01-31 21 191 15'16
2026-01-20 30 190 19'6
2026-01-17 40 210 25'7
2025-12-26 30 191 65'6
2025-12-13 70 170 56'9
2025-12-10 10 141 57'7
2025-12-04 40 220 8'6