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Championship · Matchweek 36
Queens Park RangersQPR
0–4
FT
MiddlesbroughMID

Momentum

– QPRMID –
now

Match momentum Δ pressure · 0–100

Waiting for pressure data…

Competition

Stage
Regular Season
Round
36

Venue

Stadium
MATRADE Loftus Road, London
Capacity
18,500
Surface
grass

Teams

Coaches
Julien Stéphan · Kim Hellberg
Position
16 · 2
Formation
4-4-2 · 4-1-4-1

Referee

Joshua Smith

Weather

Conditions
mist
Temperature
9.1° (feels 7.7°)
Wind
2.6
Humidity
91%

Where to watch · 219

2025/2026

#TeamPWDLGFGAGDPtsForm
1 Coventry City 4628117 974552 95 DDWWW
2 Ipswich Town 4623158 804733 84 DWDDW
3 Millwall 46241111 644915 83 DWWDW
4 Southampton 46221410 825626 80 WWDDW
5 Middlesbrough 46221410 724725 80 LDWWD
6 Hull City 46211015 70664 73 LDDLW
7 Wrexham 46191413 69654 71 LWWLD
8 Derby County 4620917 67598 69 LWLWL
9 Norwich City 4619819 63567 65 LWWDL
10 Birmingham City 46171316 57561 64 WDWWD
11 Swansea City 46181018 5759-2 64 WLWDW
12 Bristol City 46171118 59590 62 DLDLW
13 Sheffield United 4618622 66660 60 WWLLW
14 Preston North End 46151516 5562-7 60 WLLWL
15 Queens Park Rangers 46161020 6173-12 58 DLLLL
16 Watford 46141517 5365-12 57 LLLLL
17 Stoke City 46151021 5156-5 55 DLLLL
18 Portsmouth 46141319 4964-15 55 WWLWD
19 Charlton Athletic 46131419 4458-14 53 LDLWL
20 Blackburn Rovers 46131320 4256-14 52 DLDWL
21 West Bromwich Albion (-2) 46131419 4858-10 51 DWWDL
22 Oxford United 46111421 4559-14 47 WLLWL
23 Leicester City (-6) 46121618 5868-10 46 LLDDW
24 Sheffield Wednesday (-18) 4621232 2989-60 0 DDLLW
  • Promotion
  • Promotion Play-off
  • Relegation

Queens Park Rangers

DLWLL 1W 1D 3L · 4 pts (0.8 ppg) · GF 4 GA 11 · xG 6.51–7.74 · xPts 5.86

  • L H Sheffield United 0–2 xG 1.08–1.45 UK CHAMP
  • L A Southampton 0–5 xG 0.28–1.71 UK CHAMP
  • W A Hull City 3–1 xG 0.86–2.2 UK CHAMP
  • L H Blackburn Rovers 1–3 xG 2.92–0.98 UK CHAMP
  • D A Charlton Athletic 0–0 xG 1.37–1.4 UK CHAMP

Middlesbrough

WLDDW 2W 2D 1L · 8 pts (1.6 ppg) · GF 7 GA 6 · xG 6.93–5.4 · xPts 7.94

  • W A Birmingham City 3–1 xG 0.74–0.7 UK CHAMP
  • D H Leicester City 1–1 xG 1.39–0.64 UK CHAMP
  • D H Oxford United 0–0 xG 1.99–1.04 UK CHAMP
  • L A Coventry City 1–3 xG 1.37–1.98 UK CHAMP
  • W A Sheffield United 2–1 xG 1.44–1.05 UK CHAMP

All meetings · 27 matches since 2009

Queens Park Rangers 103 draws14 Middlesbrough

Goals 38–50 · 3.26 per match · BTTS 56% · over 2.5 67%

Last 10 · 10 matches

Queens Park Rangers 21 draws7 Middlesbrough

Goals 11–23 · 3.4 per match · BTTS 60% · over 2.5 70%

Last 5 · 5 matches

Queens Park Rangers 00 draws5 Middlesbrough

Goals 3–14 · 3.4 per match · BTTS 60% · over 2.5 80%

Recent meetings

  • L Queens Park Rangers 0–1 Middlesbrough UK CHAMP · Regular Season
  • L Queens Park Rangers 0–4 Middlesbrough UK CHAMP · Regular Season
  • L Middlesbrough 3–1 Queens Park Rangers UK CHAMP · Regular Season
  • L Middlesbrough 2–1 Queens Park Rangers UK CHAMP · Regular Season
  • L Queens Park Rangers 1–4 Middlesbrough UK CHAMP · Regular Season
  • L Queens Park Rangers 0–2 Middlesbrough UK CHAMP · Regular Season
  • W Middlesbrough 0–2 Queens Park Rangers UK CHAMP · Regular Season
  • L Middlesbrough 3–1 Queens Park Rangers UK CHAMP · Regular Season
  • W Queens Park Rangers 3–2 Middlesbrough UK CHAMP · Regular Season
  • D Queens Park Rangers 2–2 Middlesbrough UK CHAMP · Regular Season
MetricQueens Park Rangers all · 46Queens Park Rangers at home · 23Middlesbrough all · 49Middlesbrough away · 25
Results
Matches46234925
Points per game1.261.431.651.52
W / D / L16 / 10 / 2010 / 3 / 1022 / 15 / 1210 / 8 / 7
Goals for / match1.331.741.491.56
Goals against / match1.591.611.021.28
Clean sheets22%17%29%16%
Failed to score28%17%26%24%
Both teams scored63%74%55%64%
Over 2.563%78%53%64%
Expected goals
xG for / match1.301.631.591.55
xG against / match1.331.211.051.15
xG difference-0.030.420.530.40
Finishing vs xG0.020.11-0.100.01
xPts / match1.371.681.701.60
Points vs xPts-0.11-0.24-0.04-0.08
Game state
Scored first33%48%53%52%
PPG when scoring first2.472.272.462.31
PPG when conceding first0.600.600.670.64
Came back from behind26%17%46%50%
Leads held84%77%79%71%
Minutes leading20%30%32%31%
Minutes level46%45%49%47%
Minutes trailing34%26%19%22%
First goal (min)45413736
First goal conceded (min)34434645
Timing
Goals scored in 2nd half57%55%51%49%
Goals conceded in 2nd half48%68%55%52%
Late goals for (76'+)0.390.520.220.28
Late goals against0.260.480.290.28
Style
Possession46%47%59%58%
Shots12.714.316.215.3
On target4.15.04.84.5
Shot conversion10%12%9%10%
Shots inside box63%63%64%65%
Big chances created1.82.42.42.5
Corners4.85.46.85.8
xG from set plays31%28%24%18%
Goals from headers17%15%12%10%
Pressure index11.715.419.718.4
Dominant minutes46.754.463.163.2
Pass accuracy76%75%84%84%
Fouls11.011.19.39.5
Cards1.912.131.612.12

Goal timing for / against per 15 min

Queens Park Rangers

0–15'712
16–30'711
31–45'1215
46–60'716
61–75'107
76–90'1812

Middlesbrough

0–15'97
16–30'1010
31–45'175
46–60'136
61–75'138
76–90'1113

Pressure DNA · intensity v an average side in the same situations, SD units

Queens Park Rangers · 7 matches

Pressure above an average side in the same situations (+0.29) · stands out: as favourite +0.67

Tempo

Overall intensity+0.297
Early press (0-15, level)+0.047
Late push (76+, level)-0.093

Game state

When ahead+0.414
When level+0.367
When behind-0.233
10 min after conceding-0.315
10 min after scoring+0.394

Situations

At home+0.203
Away+0.354
3 days rest or fewer-0.172
4+ days rest+0.475

Opposition

v mid-tier opponents-0.172
v bottom-tier opponents+0.475
As favourite+0.673
Evenly matched+0.083

Conceded

Pressure conceded-0.077
Conceded when ahead-0.324
Conceded late (76+)-0.397

Congested vs rested -0.65 · Ahead vs level +0.04 · Behind vs level -0.59

Middlesbrough · 7 matches

Pressure above an average side in the same situations (+0.38) · stands out: when behind +1.00

Tempo

Overall intensity+0.387
Early press (0-15, level)+0.477
Late push (76+, level)+0.294

Game state

When ahead+0.196
When level+0.237
When behind+1.004
10 min after conceding+0.276
10 min after scoring+0.697

Situations

At home+0.464
Away+0.263
3 days rest or fewer+0.822
4+ days rest+0.205

Opposition

v mid-tier opponents+0.415
v bottom-tier opponents+0.282
As favourite+0.435
Evenly matched+0.262

Conceded

Pressure conceded-0.137
Conceded when ahead-0.116
Conceded late (76+)-0.417

Congested vs rested +0.61 · Ahead vs level -0.04 · Behind vs level +0.77

Queens Park Rangers

Current: unbeaten 2 · winless 3 · scoring 1 · conceding 1

FormationUsePPGGFGAxGxGA
4-2-3-123 50%1.391.261.481.321.24
4-4-223 50%1.131.391.71.281.42

Middlesbrough

Current: unbeaten 5 · winless 1 · scoring 7 · conceding 2

FormationUsePPGGFGAxGxGA
3-4-2-114 29%1.431.140.931.521.11
4-2-3-111 22%2.452.00.731.541.13
4-2-2-28 16%0.750.630.881.921.08
4-4-25 10%2.42.41.61.131.07
4-3-33 6%2.331.670.01.250.75

Windows with fewer than 5 matches show no figures.

Pre-match movement · ends at kick-off

Every snapshot up to kick-off only — in-play prices are in Match Hub. Movement is in fair-probability points since the first snapshot (overround removed): ▲ shortened, ▼ drifted.

No pre-match movement recorded for this fixture.

Latest prices

bet365 · pre-match line -0.0h before kick-off · recorded after kick-off. Fair % removes the overround; P = Pinnacle fair %.

Fulltime Result

4.2Home 23% P 23%3.6Draw 26% P 26%1.85Away 51% P 51%

Double Chance

1.9QPR or Draw 25% P 24%1.28QPR or Middlesbrough 37% P 37%1.22Draw or Middlesbrough 39% P 39%

Draw No Bet

3.251 29%1.332 71%

Both Teams To Score

1.72Yes 54% P 54%2.0No 46% P 46%

Goals Over/Under

2.51.9Over 50% P 51%1.9Under 50% P 49%

Total Corners

11.0Under 6 8%3.256 - 8 27%2.69 - 11 34%4.012 - 14 22%9.0Over 14 10%

Number of Cards

3.51.72Over 54%2.0Under 46%
4.52.2Over 42%1.61Under 58%

Fixtures priced like this · Pinnacle closing price · 2017–2026

Every past fixture whose Pinnacle fair price fell in the same band as this one, and how it finished at 90 minutes. Band = mean price in the band; ± = actual minus price, in probability points.

Match result · home 22.5–25% · away 50–52.5% · 348 fixtures

This matchBandActual±
Home23%24%27%+3.4
Draw26%25%29%+3.7
Away51%51%44%-7.1

In those fixtures: 2.7 goals a game · BTTS 55% · over 2.5 54%

Both teams to score · yes 52.5–55% · 3,040 fixtures

This matchBandActual±
Yes54%54%54%-0.2

Goals over/under 2.5 · over 50–52.5% · 3,575 fixtures

This matchBandActual±
Over 2.551%51%51%-0.1

Joshua Smith

Career
156 matches · 10 seasons
Cards / match
4.09 (3.95 yellow · 0.08 red)
Fouls / match
22.1 · 5.3 fouls per card
Penalties / match
0.2
Cards to home side
47%

Style in Championship (5-year window · 121 matches)

MetricRefereeLeaguevs peerspct
Cards / match4.284.05+0.4163
Fouls / match22.221.8+0.28
Fouls per card5.35.4-0.36 (+ = lenient)
Penalties / match0.20.17+0.2867
Time added6.97.2-0.3735
First card
35' on average
Card timing
16% in first 30' · 35% in last 15'
Cards to home side
45% (league 45%)

Recent matches

DateYRFoulsPens1st card+min
2026-02-22 82 310 16'9
2026-02-15 30 150 45'6
2026-02-07 71 231 13'6
2026-01-31 · Queens Park Rangers 30 150 25'12
2026-01-24 50 191 22'7
2026-01-16 · Middlesbrough 20 150 69'5
2026-01-10 –– 12– –7
2026-01-01 50 170 15'7
2025-12-26 50 220 19'9
2025-12-09 50 260 29'10