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Championship · Matchweek 36
Swansea CitySwansea City
2–0
FT
Stoke CityStoke City

Momentum

– Swansea CityStoke City –
now

Match momentum Δ pressure · 0–100

Waiting for pressure data…

Competition

Stage
Regular Season
Round
36

Venue

Stadium
Swansea.com Stadium, Swansea
Capacity
20,827
Surface
grass

Teams

Coaches
Vitor Matos · Mark Robins
Position
16 · 14
Formation
4-3-3 · 4-2-3-1

Referee

Ruebyn Ricardo

Weather

Conditions
overcast clouds
Temperature
8.9° (feels 8.6°)
Wind
1.3
Humidity
88%

Where to watch · 183

2025/2026

#TeamPWDLGFGAGDPtsForm
1 Coventry City 4628117 974552 95 DDWWW
2 Ipswich Town 4623158 804733 84 DWDDW
3 Millwall 46241111 644915 83 DWWDW
4 Southampton 46221410 825626 80 WWDDW
5 Middlesbrough 46221410 724725 80 LDWWD
6 Hull City 46211015 70664 73 LDDLW
7 Wrexham 46191413 69654 71 LWWLD
8 Derby County 4620917 67598 69 LWLWL
9 Norwich City 4619819 63567 65 LWWDL
10 Birmingham City 46171316 57561 64 WDWWD
11 Swansea City 46181018 5759-2 64 WLWDW
12 Bristol City 46171118 59590 62 DLDLW
13 Sheffield United 4618622 66660 60 WWLLW
14 Preston North End 46151516 5562-7 60 WLLWL
15 Queens Park Rangers 46161020 6173-12 58 DLLLL
16 Watford 46141517 5365-12 57 LLLLL
17 Stoke City 46151021 5156-5 55 DLLLL
18 Portsmouth 46141319 4964-15 55 WWLWD
19 Charlton Athletic 46131419 4458-14 53 LDLWL
20 Blackburn Rovers 46131320 4256-14 52 DLDWL
21 West Bromwich Albion (-2) 46131419 4858-10 51 DWWDL
22 Oxford United 46111421 4559-14 47 WLLWL
23 Leicester City (-6) 46121618 5868-10 46 LLDDW
24 Sheffield Wednesday (-18) 4621232 2989-60 0 DDLLW
  • Promotion
  • Promotion Play-off
  • Relegation

Swansea City

WLWDL 2W 1D 2L · 7 pts (1.4 ppg) · GF 6 GA 6 · xG 7.51–5.48 · xPts 7.99

  • L A Ipswich Town 0–3 xG 0.54–1.4 UK CHAMP
  • D H Preston North End 1–1 xG 2.26–1.96 UK CHAMP
  • W H Bristol City 1–0 xG 1.08–0.94 UK CHAMP
  • L A Derby County 0–2 xG 1.31–1.11 UK CHAMP
  • W H Sheffield Wednesday 4–0 xG 2.32–0.07 UK CHAMP

Stoke City

LLDWL 1W 1D 3L · 4 pts (0.8 ppg) · GF 6 GA 8 · xG 5.52–9.55 · xPts 4.56

  • L A Coventry City 1–2 xG 0.31–2.75 UK CHAMP
  • W H Oxford United 2–1 xG 1.93–1.65 UK CHAMP
  • D H Leicester City 2–2 xG 2.18–1.58 UK CHAMP
  • L H Fulham 1–2 xG 0.45–1.78 UK FA Cup
  • L A Charlton Athletic 0–1 xG 0.65–1.8 UK CHAMP

All meetings · 31 matches since 2011

Swansea City 106 draws15 Stoke City

Goals 40–45 · 2.74 per match · BTTS 58% · over 2.5 55%

Last 10 · 10 matches

Swansea City 33 draws4 Stoke City

Goals 12–14 · 2.6 per match · BTTS 60% · over 2.5 60%

Last 5 · 5 matches

Swansea City 21 draws2 Stoke City

Goals 6–6 · 2.4 per match · BTTS 60% · over 2.5 60%

Recent meetings

  • W Stoke City 1–2 Swansea City UK CHAMP · Regular Season
  • W Swansea City 2–0 Stoke City UK CHAMP · Regular Season
  • L Stoke City 2–1 Swansea City UK CHAMP · Regular Season
  • L Stoke City 3–1 Swansea City UK CHAMP · Regular Season
  • D Swansea City 0–0 Stoke City UK CHAMP · Regular Season
  • W Swansea City 3–0 Stoke City UK CHAMP · Regular Season
  • D Stoke City 1–1 Swansea City UK CHAMP · Regular Season
  • L Swansea City 1–3 Stoke City UK CHAMP · Regular Season
  • D Stoke City 1–1 Swansea City UK CHAMP · Regular Season
  • L Stoke City 3–0 Swansea City UK CHAMP · Regular Season
MetricSwansea City all · 46Swansea City at home · 23Stoke City all · 46Stoke City away · 23
Results
Matches46234623
Points per game1.391.701.200.96
W / D / L18 / 10 / 1811 / 6 / 615 / 10 / 216 / 4 / 13
Goals for / match1.241.481.110.74
Goals against / match1.281.171.221.22
Clean sheets26%30%28%30%
Failed to score22%9%37%52%
Both teams scored54%61%44%26%
Over 2.550%52%44%30%
Expected goals
xG for / match1.221.351.241.03
xG against / match1.371.371.431.67
xG difference-0.15-0.02-0.19-0.63
Finishing vs xG0.020.13-0.13-0.30
xPts / match1.281.361.281.01
Points vs xPts0.120.34-0.08-0.05
Game state
Scored first48%61%44%35%
PPG when scoring first2.362.362.252.38
PPG when conceding first0.480.670.270.08
Came back from behind28%40%22%7%
Leads held72%69%71%75%
Minutes leading25%28%24%16%
Minutes level48%48%50%51%
Minutes trailing27%23%27%32%
First goal (min)46493742
First goal conceded (min)40374440
Timing
Goals scored in 2nd half65%65%55%65%
Goals conceded in 2nd half52%44%62%50%
Late goals for (76'+)0.350.430.150.04
Late goals against0.300.300.350.35
Style
Possession55%56%52%51%
Shots12.313.611.29.8
On target3.93.83.82.8
Shot conversion10%11%10%8%
Shots inside box58%60%65%62%
Big chances created1.71.71.81.4
Corners4.55.16.05.6
xG from set plays36%36%28%19%
Goals from headers13%16%16%19%
Pressure index12.815.213.310.2
Dominant minutes51.958.052.748.2
Pass accuracy79%80%78%78%
Fouls9.89.110.410.2
Cards2.001.912.302.35

Goal timing for / against per 15 min

Swansea City

0–15'66
16–30'86
31–45'616
46–60'1011
61–75'116
76–90'1614

Stoke City

0–15'88
16–30'55
31–45'108
46–60'1314
61–75'85
76–90'716

Pressure DNA · intensity v an average side in the same situations, SD units

Swansea City · 7 matches

Pressure in line with an average side in the same situations (+0.04) · stands out: 10 min after scoring +0.35

Tempo

Overall intensity+0.047
Early press (0-15, level)+0.097
Late push (76+, level)-0.222

Game state

When ahead+0.214
When level-0.097
When behind-0.102
10 min after conceding-0.093
10 min after scoring+0.355

Situations

At home-0.024
Away+0.123
3 days rest or fewer-0.092
4+ days rest+0.095

Opposition

v mid-tier opponents-0.083
v bottom-tier opponents+0.134
As favourite+0.002
Evenly matched+0.114

Conceded

Pressure conceded-0.017
Conceded when ahead-0.074
Conceded late (76+)-0.237

Congested vs rested -0.18 · Ahead vs level +0.30 · Behind vs level -0.01

Stoke City · 7 matches

Pressure in line with an average side in the same situations (+0.10) · stands out: 10 min after scoring +0.80

Tempo

Overall intensity+0.107
Early press (0-15, level)+0.177
Late push (76+, level)-0.442
Late chase (76+, behind)-0.453

Game state

When ahead+0.166
When level+0.057
When behind+0.113
10 min after conceding-0.265
10 min after scoring+0.807

Situations

At home-0.273
Away+0.314
3 days rest or fewer-0.222
4+ days rest+0.255

Opposition

v mid-tier opponents-0.154
v bottom-tier opponents+0.543
Evenly matched+0.362
As underdog-0.074

Conceded

Pressure conceded+0.117
Conceded when ahead-0.016
Conceded late (76+)+0.326

Congested vs rested -0.47 · Ahead vs level +0.10 · Behind vs level +0.05

Swansea City

Current: unbeaten 1 · wins 1 · scoring 2 · conceding 2

FormationUsePPGGFGAxGxGA
4-2-3-122 48%1.321.231.411.191.3
4-1-4-111 24%1.821.360.731.351.38
4-3-37 15%1.431.141.141.131.33
3-4-2-12 4%0.01.03.00.80.88
4-4-1-11 2%3.01.00.00.611.68

Stoke City

Current: unbeaten 4 · wins 1 · scoring 7 · conceding 2

FormationUsePPGGFGAxGxGA
4-2-3-141 89%1.241.11.151.21.34
3-4-2-13 6%1.331.331.331.762.14
4-4-22 4%0.01.02.51.292.17

Windows with fewer than 5 matches show no figures.

Pre-match movement · ends at kick-off

Every snapshot up to kick-off only — in-play prices are in Match Hub. Movement is in fair-probability points since the first snapshot (overround removed): ▲ shortened, ▼ drifted.

No pre-match movement recorded for this fixture.

Latest prices

bet365 · pre-match line -0.5h before kick-off · recorded after kick-off. Fair % removes the overround; P = Pinnacle fair %.

Fulltime Result

1.85Home 50% P 51%3.4Draw 27% P 27%4.2Away 22% P 22%

Double Chance

1.22Swansea or Draw 38% P 39%1.3Swansea or Stoke 36% P 37%1.83Draw or Stoke 26% P 25%

Draw No Bet

1.361 69%3.02 31%

Both Teams To Score

1.83Yes 50% P 49%1.83No 50% P 51%

Goals Over/Under

2.52.1Over 45% P 45%1.72Under 55% P 55%

Total Corners

10.0Under 6 9%3.26 - 8 28%2.69 - 11 34%4.3312 - 14 20%10.0Over 14 9%

Number of Cards

4.51.83Over 50%1.83Under 50%
5.52.1Over 44%1.66Under 56%

Fixtures priced like this · Pinnacle closing price · 2017–2026

Every past fixture whose Pinnacle fair price fell in the same band as this one, and how it finished at 90 minutes. Band = mean price in the band; ± = actual minus price, in probability points.

Match result · home 50–52.5% · away 20–22.5% · 722 fixtures

This matchBandActual±
Home51%51%55%+3.6
Draw27%27%26%-1.4
Away22%21%19%-2.1

In those fixtures: 2.5 goals a game · BTTS 51% · over 2.5 47%

Both teams to score · yes 47.5–50% · 2,898 fixtures

This matchBandActual±
Yes49%49%49%+0.0

Goals over/under 2.5 · over 45–47.5% · 2,885 fixtures

This matchBandActual±
Over 2.545%46%45%-1.2

Ruebyn Ricardo

Career
36 matches · 5 seasons
Cards / match
4.47 (4.36 yellow · 0.03 red)
Fouls / match
21.8 · 4.6 fouls per card
Penalties / match
0.17
Cards to home side
44%

Style in Championship (5-year window · 26 matches)

MetricRefereeLeaguevs peerspct
Cards / match5.384.05+2.4198
Fouls / match22.621.8+0.67
Fouls per card4.55.4-1.52 (+ = lenient)
Penalties / match0.150.17-0.3435
Time added7.57.2+0.3357
First card
34' on average
Card timing
16% in first 30' · 30% in last 15'
Cards to home side
42% (league 45%)

Recent matches

DateYRFoulsPens1st card+min
2026-02-25 –– 15– –9
2026-02-17 50 240 40'8
2026-02-07 91 200 34'10
2026-01-17 80 290 45'12
2026-01-01 40 210 59'8
2025-12-29 –– 21– –6
2025-12-20 81 311 28'12
2025-12-13 · Swansea City · Stoke City 70 300 17'8
2025-11-26 30 180 41'6
2025-11-08 40 240 34'8