Rating 6.86 (59th pct) · G+A 2 + 4 (11% of team goals) · 70% of minutes
Team 1.32 ppg with (31) · 1.07 without (15)
Championship · Matchweek 36
Momentum
– WatfordWrexham –
Match momentum Δ pressure · 0–100
Waiting for pressure data…
Events
- No events yet.
Stats
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Season context
| Watford | at home | Stat | league | away | Wrexham |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 51.2 #12 | – | Ball possession | 50.0 | – | 48.1 #15 |
| 13.8 #5 | – | Shots total | 12.6 | – | 11.3 #18 |
| 4.4 #6 | – | Shots on target | 4.1 | – | 3.8 #16 |
| 4.9 #14 | – | Corners | 5.2 | – | 4.5 #19 |
| 11.0 #8 | – | Fouls | 10.7 | – | 9.7 #21 |
| 1.2 #23 | – | Offsides | 1.8 | – | 2.0 #7 |
| 14.9 #14 | – | Tackles | 15.2 | – | 15.4 #10 |
| 90.4 #19 | – | Attacks | 94.9 | – | 95.4 #13 |
| 42.0 #17 | – | Dangerous attacks | 45.2 | – | 42.5 #15 |
| 414.7 #12 | – | Passes | 400.9 | – | 412.3 #13 |
| 2.2 #3 | – | Yellowcards | 1.9 | – | 1.6 #22 |
| 0.1 #2 | – | Redcards | 0.0 | – | 0.0 #9 |
| 0.8 #16 | – | Assists | 0.9 | – | 1.0 #5 |
| – #8 | – | Btts | 56.5 | – | – #3 |
| – #22 | – | Cleansheet | 24.9 | – | – #10 |
| – #2 | – | Draw | 26.6 | – | – #7 |
| 1.3 #11 | – | Expected goals | 1.4 | – | 1.2 #17 |
| -0.2 #17 | – | Expected goals difference | -0.1 | – | 0.3 #1 |
| – #7 | – | Failed to score | 25.0 | – | – #21 |
| 1.1 #17 | 1.3 | Goals | 1.3 | 1.2 | 1.5 #4 |
| 1.4 #5 | 1.2 | Goals conceded | 1.3 | 1.2 | 1.4 #5 |
| 0.2 #9 | – | Injury time goals | 0.2 | – | 0.2 #4 |
| 9.0 #12 | – | Interceptions | 9.0 | – | 8.9 #14 |
| – #14 | – | Lost | 36.8 | – | – #19 |
| 0.0 #11 | – | Penalties scored | 0.1 | – | 0.1 #8 |
| 6.8 #10 | – | Rating | 6.8 | – | 6.8 #5 |
| 4.3 #6 | – | Shots blocked | 3.8 | – | 3.2 #21 |
| 8.0 #11 | – | Shots insidebox | 8.2 | – | 7.5 #18 |
| 5.1 #6 | – | Shots off target | 4.7 | – | 4.3 #18 |
| 5.9 #1 | – | Shots outsidebox | 4.4 | – | 3.8 #18 |
| – #17 | – | Win | 36.6 | – | – #8 |
Season averages per match; # = rank in league of 24.
League this season · 2025/2026
- Played
- 557 of 558
- Goals / match
- 2.59 (home 1.39 · away 1.2)
- Home / draw / away
- 42% · 27% · 32%
- BTTS · over 2.5
- 57% · 50%
- Cards / match
- 3.99 (reds 0.06)
Trends
Waiting for trends…
Lineups
Waiting for lineups…
Bench
Key players · top 3 by influence, ranks within the current squad
Watford · 2025/2026 · Championship
Rating 6.91 (73th pct) · G+A 4 + 2 (11% of team goals) · 60% of minutes
Team 1.14 ppg with (28) · 1.39 without (18)
Rating 6.83 (73th pct) · G+A 10 + 1 (21% of team goals) · 69% of minutes
Team 1.37 ppg with (35) · 0.82 without (11)
Wrexham · 2025/2026 · Championship
Rating 6.98 (90th pct) · G+A 11 + 4 (22% of team goals) · 65% of minutes
Team 1.43 ppg with (30) · 1.75 without (16)
Rating 7.06 (92th pct) · G+A 15 + 5 (29% of team goals) · 58% of minutes
Team 1.5 ppg with (28) · 1.61 without (18)
Rating 6.87 (61th pct) · G+A 3 + 4 (10% of team goals) · 87% of minutes
Team 1.45 ppg with (40) · 2.17 without (6)
Commentary
- Waiting for commentary…
In-Play Odds
Waiting for in-play odds…
Competition
- Stage
- Regular Season
- Round
- 36
Venue
- Stadium
- Vicarage Road, Watford
- Capacity
- 22,200
- Surface
- grass
- Attendance
- 16,378
Teams
- Coaches
- Edward Still · Phil Parkinson
- Position
- 10 · 6
- Formation
- 4-4-2 · 3-4-2-1
Referee
Adam Herczeg
Weather
- Conditions
- clear sky
- Temperature
- 8.5° (feels 8.5°)
- Wind
- 1.0
- Humidity
- 84%
Where to watch
No broadcast listings.
2025/2026
| # | Team | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | GD | Pts | Form |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 |  Coventry City |
46 | 28 | 11 | 7 | 97 | 45 | 52 | 95 | DDWWW |
| 2 |  Ipswich Town |
46 | 23 | 15 | 8 | 80 | 47 | 33 | 84 | DWDDW |
| 3 |  Millwall |
46 | 24 | 11 | 11 | 64 | 49 | 15 | 83 | DWWDW |
| 4 |  Southampton |
46 | 22 | 14 | 10 | 82 | 56 | 26 | 80 | WWDDW |
| 5 |  Middlesbrough |
46 | 22 | 14 | 10 | 72 | 47 | 25 | 80 | LDWWD |
| 6 |  Hull City |
46 | 21 | 10 | 15 | 70 | 66 | 4 | 73 | LDDLW |
| 7 |  Wrexham |
46 | 19 | 14 | 13 | 69 | 65 | 4 | 71 | LWWLD |
| 8 |  Derby County |
46 | 20 | 9 | 17 | 67 | 59 | 8 | 69 | LWLWL |
| 9 |  Norwich City |
46 | 19 | 8 | 19 | 63 | 56 | 7 | 65 | LWWDL |
| 10 |  Birmingham City |
46 | 17 | 13 | 16 | 57 | 56 | 1 | 64 | WDWWD |
| 11 |  Swansea City |
46 | 18 | 10 | 18 | 57 | 59 | -2 | 64 | WLWDW |
| 12 |  Bristol City |
46 | 17 | 11 | 18 | 59 | 59 | 0 | 62 | DLDLW |
| 13 |  Sheffield United |
46 | 18 | 6 | 22 | 66 | 66 | 0 | 60 | WWLLW |
| 14 |  Preston North End |
46 | 15 | 15 | 16 | 55 | 62 | -7 | 60 | WLLWL |
| 15 |  Queens Park Rangers |
46 | 16 | 10 | 20 | 61 | 73 | -12 | 58 | DLLLL |
| 16 |  Watford |
46 | 14 | 15 | 17 | 53 | 65 | -12 | 57 | LLLLL |
| 17 |  Stoke City |
46 | 15 | 10 | 21 | 51 | 56 | -5 | 55 | DLLLL |
| 18 |  Portsmouth |
46 | 14 | 13 | 19 | 49 | 64 | -15 | 55 | WWLWD |
| 19 |  Charlton Athletic |
46 | 13 | 14 | 19 | 44 | 58 | -14 | 53 | LDLWL |
| 20 |  Blackburn Rovers |
46 | 13 | 13 | 20 | 42 | 56 | -14 | 52 | DLDWL |
| 21 |  West Bromwich Albion (-2) |
46 | 13 | 14 | 19 | 48 | 58 | -10 | 51 | DWWDL |
| 22 |  Oxford United |
46 | 11 | 14 | 21 | 45 | 59 | -14 | 47 | WLLWL |
| 23 |  Leicester City (-6) |
46 | 12 | 16 | 18 | 58 | 68 | -10 | 46 | LLDDW |
| 24 |  Sheffield Wednesday (-18) |
46 | 2 | 12 | 32 | 29 | 89 | -60 | 0 | DDLLW |
| # | Team | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | GD | Pts | Form |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Coventry City |
23 | 17 | 4 | 2 | 51 | 19 | 32 | 55 | DDWWW |
| 2 | Ipswich Town |
23 | 14 | 8 | 1 | 43 | 17 | 26 | 50 | DWDDW |
| 3 | Southampton |
23 | 12 | 8 | 3 | 38 | 19 | 19 | 44 | WWDDW |
| 4 | Birmingham City |
23 | 12 | 8 | 3 | 39 | 22 | 17 | 44 | WDWWD |
| 5 | Middlesbrough |
23 | 12 | 6 | 5 | 34 | 18 | 16 | 42 | LDWWD |
| 6 | Millwall |
23 | 13 | 3 | 7 | 33 | 25 | 8 | 42 | DWWDW |
| 7 | Swansea City |
23 | 11 | 6 | 6 | 34 | 27 | 7 | 39 | WLWDW |
| 8 | Hull City |
23 | 11 | 5 | 7 | 35 | 34 | 1 | 38 | LDDLW |
| 9 | Wrexham |
23 | 10 | 7 | 6 | 41 | 37 | 4 | 37 | LWWLD |
| 10 | Watford |
23 | 10 | 7 | 6 | 30 | 27 | 3 | 37 | LLLLL |
| 11 | Derby County |
23 | 10 | 6 | 7 | 31 | 27 | 4 | 36 | LWLWL |
| 12 | West Bromwich Albion |
23 | 8 | 10 | 5 | 28 | 25 | 3 | 34 | DWWDL |
| 13 | Stoke City |
23 | 9 | 6 | 8 | 34 | 28 | 6 | 33 | DLLLL |
| 14 | Queens Park Rangers |
23 | 10 | 3 | 10 | 40 | 37 | 3 | 33 | DLLLL |
| 15 | Sheffield United |
23 | 9 | 4 | 10 | 38 | 33 | 5 | 31 | WWLLW |
| 16 | Bristol City |
23 | 9 | 4 | 10 | 33 | 31 | 2 | 31 | DLDLW |
| 17 | Preston North End |
23 | 8 | 7 | 8 | 28 | 30 | -2 | 31 | WLLWL |
| 18 | Charlton Athletic |
23 | 9 | 4 | 10 | 23 | 26 | -3 | 31 | LDLWL |
| 19 | Portsmouth |
23 | 8 | 6 | 9 | 25 | 23 | 2 | 30 | WWLWD |
| 20 | Norwich City |
23 | 9 | 3 | 11 | 27 | 28 | -1 | 30 | LWWDL |
| 21 | Oxford United |
23 | 7 | 8 | 8 | 24 | 27 | -3 | 29 | WLLWL |
| 22 | Leicester City |
23 | 7 | 7 | 9 | 31 | 34 | -3 | 28 | LLDDW |
| 23 | Blackburn Rovers |
23 | 4 | 9 | 10 | 19 | 27 | -8 | 21 | DLDWL |
| 24 | Sheffield Wednesday |
23 | 1 | 7 | 15 | 14 | 44 | -30 | 10 | DDLLW |
| # | Team | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | GD | Pts | Form |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Millwall |
23 | 11 | 8 | 4 | 31 | 24 | 7 | 41 | DWWDW |
| 2 | Coventry City |
23 | 11 | 7 | 5 | 46 | 26 | 20 | 40 | DDWWW |
| 3 | Middlesbrough |
23 | 10 | 8 | 5 | 38 | 29 | 9 | 38 | LDWWD |
| 4 | Southampton |
23 | 10 | 6 | 7 | 44 | 37 | 7 | 36 | WWDDW |
| 5 | Norwich City |
23 | 10 | 5 | 8 | 36 | 28 | 8 | 35 | LWWDL |
| 6 | Hull City |
23 | 10 | 5 | 8 | 35 | 32 | 3 | 35 | LDDLW |
| 7 | Ipswich Town |
23 | 9 | 7 | 7 | 37 | 30 | 7 | 34 | DWDDW |
| 8 | Wrexham |
23 | 9 | 7 | 7 | 28 | 28 | 0 | 34 | LWWLD |
| 9 | Derby County |
23 | 10 | 3 | 10 | 36 | 32 | 4 | 33 | LWLWL |
| 10 | Bristol City |
23 | 8 | 7 | 8 | 26 | 28 | -2 | 31 | DLDLW |
| 11 | Blackburn Rovers |
23 | 9 | 4 | 10 | 23 | 29 | -6 | 31 | DLDWL |
| 12 | Sheffield United |
23 | 9 | 2 | 12 | 28 | 33 | -5 | 29 | WWLLW |
| 13 | Preston North End |
23 | 7 | 8 | 8 | 27 | 32 | -5 | 29 | WLLWL |
| 14 | Swansea City |
23 | 7 | 4 | 12 | 23 | 32 | -9 | 25 | WLWDW |
| 15 | Queens Park Rangers |
23 | 6 | 7 | 10 | 21 | 36 | -15 | 25 | DLLLL |
| 16 | Portsmouth |
23 | 6 | 7 | 10 | 24 | 41 | -17 | 25 | WWLWD |
| 17 | Leicester City |
23 | 5 | 9 | 9 | 27 | 34 | -7 | 24 | LLDDW |
| 18 | Charlton Athletic |
23 | 4 | 10 | 9 | 21 | 32 | -11 | 22 | LDLWL |
| 19 | Stoke City |
23 | 6 | 4 | 13 | 17 | 28 | -11 | 22 | DLLLL |
| 20 | Watford |
23 | 4 | 8 | 11 | 23 | 38 | -15 | 20 | LLLLL |
| 21 | Birmingham City |
23 | 5 | 5 | 13 | 18 | 34 | -16 | 20 | WDWWD |
| 22 | West Bromwich Albion |
23 | 5 | 4 | 14 | 20 | 33 | -13 | 19 | DWWDL |
| 23 | Oxford United |
23 | 4 | 6 | 13 | 21 | 32 | -11 | 18 | WLLWL |
| 24 | Sheffield Wednesday |
23 | 1 | 5 | 17 | 15 | 45 | -30 | 8 | DDLLW |
- Promotion
- Promotion Play-off
- Relegation
Watford
WLWDL 2W 1D 2L · 7 pts (1.4 ppg) · GF 6 GA 7 · xG 8.67–6.42 · xPts 8.44
- L
A
Stoke City
1–3
xG 1.64–2.11
UK CHAMP
- D
A
Sheffield Wednesday
1–1
xG 2.21–1.54
UK CHAMP
- W
A
Bristol City
2–1
xG 1.37–0.95
UK CHAMP
- L
H
Ipswich Town
0–2
xG 1.5–1.31
UK CHAMP
- W
H
Derby County
2–0
xG 1.95–0.52
UK CHAMP
DLDLDWLWDL 2W 4D 4L · 10 pts (1.0 ppg) · GF 9 GA 13 · xG 14.8–11.27 · xPts 16.52
- L
A
Stoke City
1–3
xG 1.64–2.11
UK CHAMP
- D
A
Sheffield Wednesday
1–1
xG 2.21–1.54
UK CHAMP
- W
A
Bristol City
2–1
xG 1.37–0.95
UK CHAMP
- L
H
Ipswich Town
0–2
xG 1.5–1.31
UK CHAMP
- W
H
Derby County
2–0
xG 1.95–0.52
UK CHAMP
- D
A
Preston North End
2–2
xG 1.2–0.96
UK CHAMP
- L
A
Southampton
0–1
xG 1.15–0.61
UK CHAMP
- D
A
Hull City
0–0
xG 1.39–0.34
UK CHAMP
- L
H
Swansea City
0–2
xG 0.97–2.3
UK CHAMP
- D
A
Blackburn Rovers
1–1
xG 1.42–0.64
UK CHAMP
Wrexham
WWLLW 3W 0D 2L · 9 pts (1.8 ppg) · GF 8 GA 7 · xG 5.07–6.9 · xPts 5.47
- W
H
Swansea City
2–0
xG 0.76–0.82
UK CHAMP
- L
H
Hull City
1–2
xG 1.09–1.47
UK CHAMP
- L
H
Chelsea
2–4 aet
xG 1.84–2.09
UK FA Cup - W
A
Charlton Athletic
1–0
xG 0.75–1.62
UK CHAMP
- W
H
Portsmouth
2–1
xG 0.63–0.9
UK CHAMP
WLWDWWWLLW 6W 1D 3L · 19 pts (1.9 ppg) · GF 17 GA 14 · xG 12.45–11.73 · xPts 14.17
- W
H
Swansea City
2–0
xG 0.76–0.82
UK CHAMP
- L
H
Hull City
1–2
xG 1.09–1.47
UK CHAMP
- L
H
Chelsea
2–4 aet
xG 1.84–2.09
UK FA Cup
- W
A
Charlton Athletic
1–0
xG 0.75–1.62
UK CHAMP
- W
H
Portsmouth
2–1
xG 0.63–0.9
UK CHAMP
- W
H
Ipswich Town
5–3
xG 2.06–1.21
UK CHAMP
- D
A
Bristol City
2–2
xG 0.96–0.44
UK CHAMP
- W
H
Ipswich Town
1–0
xG 1.06–1.83
UK FA Cup
- L
H
Millwall
0–2
xG 1.52–0.79
UK CHAMP
- W
A
Sheffield Wednesday
1–0
xG 1.78–0.56
UK CHAMP
All meetings · 3 matches since 2025
Goals 6–4 · 3.33 per match · BTTS 100% · over 2.5 67%
Last 10 · 3 matches
Goals 6–4 · 3.33 per match · BTTS 100% · over 2.5 67%
Last 5 · 3 matches
Goals 6–4 · 3.33 per match · BTTS 100% · over 2.5 67%
Recent meetings
- D Wrexham 1–1 Watford UK CHAMP · Regular Season
- W Watford 3–1 Wrexham UK CHAMP · Regular Season
- D Wrexham 2–2 Watford UK CHAMP · Regular Season
| Metric | Watford all · 46 | Watford at home · 23 | Wrexham all · 46 | Wrexham away · 23 |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Results | ||||
| Matches | 46 | 23 | 46 | 23 |
| Points per game | 1.24 | 1.61 | 1.54 | 1.48 |
| W / D / L | 14 / 15 / 17 | 10 / 7 / 6 | 19 / 14 / 13 | 9 / 7 / 7 |
| Goals for / match | 1.15 | 1.30 | 1.50 | 1.22 |
| Goals against / match | 1.41 | 1.17 | 1.41 | 1.22 |
| Clean sheets | 15% | 22% | 26% | 30% |
| Failed to score | 30% | 30% | 13% | 22% |
| Both teams scored | 59% | 52% | 65% | 56% |
| Over 2.5 | 48% | 44% | 50% | 44% |
| Expected goals | ||||
| xG for / match | 1.34 | 1.50 | 1.22 | 0.91 |
| xG against / match | 1.25 | 1.15 | 1.48 | 1.68 |
| xG difference | 0.10 | 0.34 | -0.26 | -0.77 |
| Finishing vs xG | -0.19 | -0.19 | 0.28 | 0.31 |
| xPts / match | 1.43 | 1.57 | 1.22 | 0.91 |
| Points vs xPts | -0.20 | 0.04 | 0.32 | 0.57 |
| Game state | ||||
| Scored first | 26% | 30% | 52% | 48% |
| PPG when scoring first | 2.33 | 2.71 | 2.08 | 1.91 |
| PPG when conceding first | 0.84 | 1.13 | 0.95 | 1.10 |
| Came back from behind | 47% | 60% | 46% | 42% |
| Leads held | 67% | 91% | 63% | 64% |
| Minutes leading | 18% | 25% | 31% | 32% |
| Minutes level | 49% | 48% | 46% | 49% |
| Minutes trailing | 34% | 27% | 23% | 20% |
| First goal (min) | 48 | 42 | 37 | 36 |
| First goal conceded (min) | 34 | 36 | 40 | 43 |
| Timing | ||||
| Goals scored in 2nd half | 58% | 50% | 54% | 61% |
| Goals conceded in 2nd half | 48% | 52% | 55% | 61% |
| Late goals for (76'+) | 0.30 | 0.30 | 0.37 | 0.26 |
| Late goals against | 0.28 | 0.22 | 0.41 | 0.48 |
| Style | ||||
| Possession | 51% | 52% | 48% | 45% |
| Shots | 13.8 | 15.7 | 11.3 | 8.5 |
| On target | 4.4 | 5.4 | 3.8 | 2.7 |
| Shot conversion | 8% | 8% | 13% | 14% |
| Shots inside box | 58% | 57% | 66% | 64% |
| Big chances created | 2.1 | 2.4 | 2.3 | 1.7 |
| Corners | 4.9 | 5.4 | 4.5 | 3.7 |
| xG from set plays | 27% | 23% | 32% | 25% |
| Goals from headers | 14% | 17% | 29% | 15% |
| Pressure index | 10.9 | 12.4 | 10.1 | 7.1 |
| Dominant minutes | 47.0 | 52.2 | 41.9 | 32.4 |
| Pass accuracy | 80% | 81% | 78% | 76% |
| Fouls | 11.0 | 11.1 | 9.7 | 10.5 |
| Cards | 2.15 | 1.87 | 1.59 | 1.91 |
Goal timing for / against per 15 min
Watford
0–15'59
16–30'613
31–45'1112
46–60'910
61–75'88
76–90'1413
Wrexham
0–15'98
16–30'119
31–45'1212
46–60'138
61–75'79
76–90'1719
Pressure DNA · intensity v an average side in the same situations, SD units
Watford · 8 matches
Pressure in line with an average side in the same situations (-0.12) · stands out: late push (76+, level) -0.45
Tempo
Overall intensity-0.128
Early press (0-15, level)-0.178
Late push (76+, level)-0.453
Late chase (76+, behind)-0.264
Game state
When ahead-0.144
When level-0.198
When behind-0.055
10 min after conceding-0.218
10 min after scoring-0.015
Situations
At home-0.234
Away-0.014
3 days rest or fewer+0.062
4+ days rest-0.186
Opposition
v mid-tier opponents+0.024
v bottom-tier opponents-0.203
As underdog-0.126
Conceded
Pressure conceded+0.308
Conceded when ahead+0.454
Conceded late (76+)+0.068
Congested vs rested +0.24 · Ahead vs level +0.04 · Behind vs level +0.14
Wrexham · 7 matches
Pressure in line with an average side in the same situations (+0.02) · stands out: v bottom-tier opponents +0.16
Tempo
Overall intensity+0.027
Early press (0-15, level)-0.137
Late push (76+, level)-0.044
Game state
When ahead+0.122
When level+0.017
When behind-0.034
10 min after conceding-0.135
10 min after scoring+0.135
Situations
At home+0.053
Away+0.004
3 days rest or fewer+0.073
4+ days rest-0.014
Opposition
v mid-tier opponents-0.103
v bottom-tier opponents+0.163
As favourite+0.053
Evenly matched+0.033
Conceded
Pressure conceded+0.087
Conceded when ahead+0.062
Conceded late (76+)-0.165
Congested vs rested +0.07 · Ahead vs level +0.12 · Behind vs level -0.04
Watford
Current: winless 2 · conceding 15
| Formation | Use | PPG | GF | GA | xG | xGA |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 4-4-2 | 21 46% | 1.48 | 1.29 | 1.29 | 1.25 | 1.32 |
| 4-2-3-1 | 10 22% | 1.3 | 1.2 | 1.1 | 1.25 | 0.83 |
| 3-5-2 | 5 11% | 0.4 | 0.8 | 2.0 | 0.86 | 1.68 |
| 3-4-1-2 | 3 6% | 2.33 | 2.0 | 1.33 | 3.0 | 1.2 |
| 4-3-3 | 2 4% | 0.0 | 0.5 | 2.0 | 1.48 | 1.61 |
Wrexham
Current: winless 3 · conceding 2
| Formation | Use | PPG | GF | GA | xG | xGA |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 3-4-2-1 | 23 50% | 1.61 | 1.57 | 1.39 | 1.17 | 1.25 |
| 3-5-2 | 8 17% | 0.5 | 0.88 | 1.88 | 0.96 | 2.43 |
| 3-5-1-1 | 6 13% | 1.5 | 1.17 | 1.5 | 1.64 | 1.12 |
| 3-1-4-2 | 3 6% | 2.33 | 2.0 | 0.67 | 0.9 | 1.43 |
| 3-4-1-2 | 3 6% | 1.67 | 1.33 | 1.0 | 1.34 | 1.59 |
| Metric | Watford all · 10 | Watford at home · 10 | Wrexham all · 10 | Wrexham away · 10 |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Results | ||||
| Matches | 10 | 10 | 10 | 10 |
| Points per game | 0.80 | 1.20 | 1.10 | 1.20 |
| W / D / L | 2 / 2 / 6 | 3 / 3 / 4 | 2 / 5 / 3 | 3 / 3 / 4 |
| Goals for / match | 0.80 | 1.00 | 1.10 | 1.10 |
| Goals against / match | 1.90 | 1.50 | 1.60 | 1.80 |
| Clean sheets | 0% | 10% | 30% | 30% |
| Failed to score | 40% | 40% | 20% | 30% |
| Both teams scored | 60% | 60% | 60% | 50% |
| Over 2.5 | 50% | 50% | 50% | 60% |
| Expected goals | ||||
| xG for / match | 1.15 | 1.32 | 1.42 | 1.03 |
| xG against / match | 1.80 | 1.42 | 1.39 | 1.55 |
| xG difference | -0.64 | -0.09 | 0.03 | -0.52 |
| Finishing vs xG | -0.35 | -0.32 | -0.32 | 0.07 |
| xPts / match | 0.99 | 1.33 | 1.45 | 1.09 |
| Points vs xPts | -0.19 | -0.13 | -0.35 | 0.11 |
| Game state | ||||
| Scored first | 30% | 30% | 30% | 30% |
| PPG when scoring first | 1.67 | 2.33 | 2.33 | 2.33 |
| PPG when conceding first | 0.43 | 0.67 | 0.50 | 0.67 |
| Came back from behind | 14% | 33% | 50% | 33% |
| Leads held | 50% | 75% | 50% | 75% |
| Minutes leading | 12% | 19% | 22% | 23% |
| Minutes level | 37% | 49% | 55% | 51% |
| Minutes trailing | 51% | 32% | 23% | 26% |
| First goal (min) | 42 | 47 | 32 | 35 |
| First goal conceded (min) | 26 | 39 | 28 | 40 |
| Timing | ||||
| Goals scored in 2nd half | 50% | 50% | 36% | 64% |
| Goals conceded in 2nd half | 37% | 60% | 50% | 61% |
| Late goals for (76'+) | 0.20 | 0.30 | 0.00 | 0.10 |
| Late goals against | 0.20 | 0.20 | 0.50 | 0.60 |
| Style | ||||
| Possession | 45% | 47% | 50% | 48% |
| Shots | 11.7 | 14.1 | 12.3 | 10.2 |
| On target | 3.5 | 4.2 | 3.8 | 2.7 |
| Shot conversion | 7% | 7% | 9% | 11% |
| Shots inside box | 69% | 67% | 71% | 67% |
| Big chances created | 1.8 | 1.6 | 2.0 | 1.4 |
| Corners | 3.2 | 5.2 | 5.1 | 4.7 |
| xG from set plays | 18% | 25% | 27% | 33% |
| Goals from headers | 25% | 10% | 20% | 18% |
| Pressure index | 8.7 | 9.3 | 10.9 | 9.3 |
| Dominant minutes | 39.8 | 44.8 | 46.3 | 44.2 |
| Pass accuracy | 81% | 80% | 80% | 78% |
| Fouls | 11.9 | 12.4 | 12.4 | 11.5 |
| Cards | 2.70 | 2.40 | 1.30 | 1.30 |
Goal timing for / against per 15 min
Watford
0–15'23
16–30'24
31–45'05
46–60'14
61–75'11
76–90'22
Wrexham
0–15'13
16–30'43
31–45'22
46–60'31
61–75'12
76–90'05
Watford
Current: winless 2 · conceding 15
| Formation | Use | PPG | GF | GA | xG | xGA |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 4-2-3-1 | 6 60% | 0.83 | 0.83 | 1.33 | 1.03 | 1.75 |
| 3-4-1-2 | 1 10% | 0.0 | 0.0 | 1.0 | 0.55 | 1.59 |
| 3-5-2 | 1 10% | 0.0 | 1.0 | 5.0 | 1.13 | 2.51 |
| 3-5-1-1 | 1 10% | 0.0 | 0.0 | 4.0 | 1.61 | 1.41 |
| 4-1-4-1 | 1 10% | 3.0 | 2.0 | 1.0 | 2.02 | 1.93 |
Wrexham
Current: winless 3 · conceding 2
| Formation | Use | PPG | GF | GA | xG | xGA |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 3-4-2-1 | 7 70% | 1.0 | 1.14 | 1.71 | 1.42 | 1.43 |
| 3-5-1-1 | 2 20% | 1.5 | 1.0 | 1.5 | 1.29 | 1.41 |
| 5-4-1 | 1 10% | 1.0 | 1.0 | 1.0 | 1.69 | 1.07 |
| Metric | Watford all · 50 | Watford at home · 24 | Wrexham all · 51 | Wrexham away · 25 |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Results | ||||
| Matches | 50 | 24 | 51 | 25 |
| Points per game | 1.20 | 1.67 | 1.53 | 1.44 |
| W / D / L | 15 / 15 / 20 | 11 / 7 / 6 | 20 / 18 / 13 | 9 / 9 / 7 |
| Goals for / match | 1.12 | 1.33 | 1.45 | 1.16 |
| Goals against / match | 1.48 | 1.17 | 1.43 | 1.32 |
| Clean sheets | 14% | 21% | 28% | 32% |
| Failed to score | 30% | 25% | 16% | 28% |
| Both teams scored | 60% | 58% | 63% | 52% |
| Over 2.5 | 48% | 46% | 47% | 44% |
| Expected goals | ||||
| xG for / match | 1.34 | 1.52 | 1.24 | 0.91 |
| xG against / match | 1.33 | 1.18 | 1.40 | 1.48 |
| xG difference | 0.00 | 0.34 | -0.16 | -0.56 |
| Finishing vs xG | -0.22 | -0.19 | 0.21 | 0.25 |
| xPts / match | 1.38 | 1.56 | 1.28 | 1.03 |
| Points vs xPts | -0.18 | 0.11 | 0.25 | 0.41 |
| Game state | ||||
| Scored first | 26% | 33% | 51% | 44% |
| PPG when scoring first | 2.23 | 2.50 | 2.08 | 2.00 |
| PPG when conceding first | 0.83 | 1.27 | 0.95 | 1.00 |
| Came back from behind | 43% | 60% | 50% | 42% |
| Leads held | 65% | 85% | 62% | 64% |
| Minutes leading | 16% | 26% | 30% | 31% |
| Minutes level | 47% | 48% | 47% | 48% |
| Minutes trailing | 37% | 26% | 23% | 21% |
| First goal (min) | 48 | 43 | 36 | 34 |
| First goal conceded (min) | 30 | 36 | 39 | 42 |
| Timing | ||||
| Goals scored in 2nd half | 59% | 50% | 53% | 59% |
| Goals conceded in 2nd half | 43% | 50% | 55% | 61% |
| Late goals for (76'+) | 0.30 | 0.33 | 0.31 | 0.20 |
| Late goals against | 0.22 | 0.17 | 0.45 | 0.48 |
| Style | ||||
| Possession | 50% | 50% | 48% | 46% |
| Shots | 13.5 | 15.5 | 11.5 | 8.9 |
| On target | 4.4 | 5.4 | 3.8 | 2.8 |
| Shot conversion | 8% | 9% | 13% | 13% |
| Shots inside box | 60% | 60% | 66% | 65% |
| Big chances created | 2.2 | 2.4 | 2.1 | 1.5 |
| Corners | 4.9 | 5.3 | 4.7 | 4.0 |
| xG from set plays | 26% | 24% | 31% | 23% |
| Goals from headers | 14% | 16% | 25% | 10% |
| Pressure index | 10.8 | 12.5 | 10.5 | 7.8 |
| Dominant minutes | 45.7 | 51.0 | 43.3 | 35.9 |
| Pass accuracy | 80% | 81% | 78% | 77% |
| Fouls | 10.8 | 11.0 | 10.0 | 10.4 |
| Cards | 2.22 | 2.04 | 1.51 | 1.68 |
Goal timing for / against per 15 min
Watford
0–15'711
16–30'616
31–45'1015
46–60'911
61–75'910
76–90'1511
Wrexham
0–15'910
16–30'1310
31–45'1312
46–60'159
61–75'89
76–90'1621
Pressure DNA · intensity v an average side in the same situations, SD units
Watford · 50 matches
Pressure in line with an average side in the same situations (+0.01) · stands out: with ten men -0.27
Tempo
Overall intensity+0.0150
Early press (0-15, level)-0.0050
Late push (76+, level)+0.0820
Late chase (76+, behind)-0.0620
Game state
When ahead-0.0223
When level+0.0550
When behind-0.0235
10 min after conceding-0.2143
10 min after scoring+0.2433
Situations
With ten men-0.273
At home-0.0424
Away+0.0626
3 days rest or fewer+0.1117
4+ days rest-0.0433
Opposition
v mid-tier opponents-0.0127
v bottom-tier opponents+0.0216
As favourite+0.0714
Evenly matched-0.0320
As underdog+0.0216
Conceded
Pressure conceded+0.1150
Conceded when ahead+0.1523
Conceded late (76+)-0.1644
Congested vs rested +0.14 · Ahead vs level -0.07 · Behind vs level -0.07
Wrexham · 51 matches
Pressure in line with an average side in the same situations (-0.02) · stands out: 10 min after scoring +0.36
Tempo
Overall intensity-0.0251
Early press (0-15, level)-0.0151
Late push (76+, level)-0.1725
Late chase (76+, behind)+0.0115
Game state
When ahead+0.0432
When level-0.0451
When behind-0.0825
10 min after conceding-0.2237
10 min after scoring+0.3643
Situations
Against ten men+0.482
At home+0.0126
Away-0.0525
3 days rest or fewer+0.0417
4+ days rest-0.0534
Opposition
v top-tier opponents-0.333
v mid-tier opponents-0.0924
v bottom-tier opponents+0.0819
As favourite+0.0011
Evenly matched+0.0223
As underdog-0.1017
Conceded
Pressure conceded+0.1451
Conceded when ahead+0.1132
Conceded late (76+)-0.0849
Congested vs rested +0.09 · Ahead vs level +0.07 · Behind vs level -0.04
Watford
Current: winless 2 · conceding 15
| Formation | Use | PPG | GF | GA | xG | xGA |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 4-4-2 | 21 42% | 1.48 | 1.29 | 1.29 | 1.25 | 1.32 |
| 4-2-3-1 | 16 32% | 1.13 | 1.06 | 1.19 | 1.17 | 1.18 |
| 3-4-1-2 | 4 8% | 1.75 | 1.5 | 1.25 | 2.39 | 1.3 |
| 3-5-2 | 2 4% | 0.0 | 0.5 | 3.0 | 1.0 | 1.79 |
| 5-4-1 | 2 4% | 0.0 | 0.5 | 3.5 | 1.16 | 1.82 |
Wrexham
Current: winless 3 · conceding 2
| Formation | Use | PPG | GF | GA | xG | xGA |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 3-4-2-1 | 31 61% | 1.52 | 1.48 | 1.45 | 1.22 | 1.33 |
| 3-5-2 | 6 12% | 0.5 | 0.67 | 1.83 | 0.74 | 2.11 |
| 3-5-1-1 | 4 8% | 2.25 | 1.0 | 0.75 | 1.47 | 0.84 |
| 3-4-1-2 | 3 6% | 1.67 | 1.33 | 1.0 | 1.34 | 1.59 |
| 3-4-3 | 2 4% | 1.5 | 3.5 | 3.5 | 2.12 | 2.13 |
Windows with fewer than 5 matches show no figures.
Pre-match movement · ends at kick-off
Every snapshot up to kick-off only — in-play prices are in Match Hub. Movement is in fair-probability points since the first snapshot (overround removed): ▲ shortened, ▼ drifted.
No pre-match movement recorded for this fixture.
Latest prices
bet365 · pre-match line 0.1h before kick-off. Fair % removes the overround; P = Pinnacle fair %.
Fulltime Result
2.2Home 43% P 43%3.4Draw 28% P 28%3.2Away 29% P 29%
Double Chance
1.36Watford or Draw 35% P 35%1.3Watford or Wrexham 37% P 36%1.66Draw or Wrexham 29% P 29%
Draw No Bet
1.661 56%2.12 44%
Both Teams To Score
1.8Yes 51% P 53%1.9No 49% P 47%
Goals Over/Under
2.52.0Over 47% P 47%1.8Under 53% P 53%
Total Corners
11.0Under 6 8%3.256 - 8 27%2.69 - 11 34%4.012 - 14 22%9.0Over 14 10%
Number of Cards
3.51.61Over 58%2.2Under 42%
4.52.1Over 44%1.66Under 56%
Fixtures priced like this · Pinnacle closing price · 2017–2026
Every past fixture whose Pinnacle fair price fell in the same band as this one, and how it finished at 90 minutes. Band = mean price in the band; ± = actual minus price, in probability points.
Match result · home 42.5–45% · away 27.5–30% · 766 fixtures
| This match | Band | Actual | ± | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Home | 43% | 44% | 43% | -0.3 |
| Draw | 28% | 28% | 30% | +2.4 |
| Away | 29% | 29% | 26% | -2.1 |
In those fixtures: 2.7 goals a game · BTTS 58% · over 2.5 52%
Both teams to score · yes 52.5–55% · 3,040 fixtures
| This match | Band | Actual | ± | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Yes | 53% | 54% | 54% | -0.2 |
Goals over/under 2.5 · over 45–47.5% · 2,885 fixtures
| This match | Band | Actual | ± | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Over 2.5 | 47% | 46% | 45% | -1.2 |
Adam Herczeg
- Career
- 41 matches · 6 seasons
- Cards / match
- 3.66 (3.54 yellow · 0.1 red)
- Fouls / match
- 21.8 · 5.8 fouls per card
- Penalties / match
- 0.12
- Cards to home side
- 48%
Style in Championship (5-year window · 34 matches)
| Metric | Referee | League | vs peers | pct |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Cards / match | 3.91 | 4.05 | -0.26 | 43 |
| Fouls / match | 22.3 | 21.8 | +0.38 | |
| Fouls per card | 5.7 | 5.4 | +0.22 (+ = lenient) | |
| Penalties / match | 0.15 | 0.17 | -0.42 | 22 |
| Time added | 7.9 | 7.2 | +0.78 | 74 |
- First card
- 37' on average
- Card timing
- 15% in first 30' · 36% in last 15'
- Cards to home side
- 48% (league 45%)
Recent matches
| Date | Y | R | Fouls | Pens | 1st card | +min |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-03-11 | 2 | 0 | 20 | 0 | 39' | 7 |
| 2026-02-28 | 4 | 0 | 16 | 0 | 57' | 8 |
| 2026-02-24 | 4 | 0 | 28 | 0 | 2' | 7 |
| 2026-02-10 | 6 | 0 | 26 | 0 | 16' | 7 |
| 2026-02-07 | 4 | 0 | 26 | 0 | 71' | 8 |
| 2026-01-24 · Watford | 2 | 0 | 15 | 0 | 45' | 7 |
| 2026-01-21 | 4 | 1 | 21 | 0 | 45' | 7 |
| 2026-01-10 | 1 | 0 | 18 | 0 | 81' | 5 |
| 2025-12-29 | 6 | 0 | 24 | 0 | 13' | 6 |
| 2025-12-20 | 2 | 1 | 21 | 0 | 26' | 11 |