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Championship · Matchweek 37
Leicester CityLEI
2–0
FT
Bristol CityBristol City

Momentum

– LEIBristol City –
now

Match momentum Δ pressure · 0–100

Waiting for pressure data…

Competition

Stage
Regular Season
Round
37

Venue

Stadium
King Power Stadium, Leicester
Capacity
32,312
Surface
grass
Attendance
25,476

Teams

Coaches
Gary Rowett · Gerhard Struber
Position
22 · 10
Formation
4-2-3-1 · 3-4-1-2

Referee

Tom Nield

Weather

Conditions
overcast clouds
Temperature
9.8° (feels 6.1°)
Wind
9.6
Humidity
82%

Where to watch · 177

2025/2026

#TeamPWDLGFGAGDPtsForm
1 Coventry City 4628117 974552 95 DDWWW
2 Ipswich Town 4623158 804733 84 DWDDW
3 Millwall 46241111 644915 83 DWWDW
4 Southampton 46221410 825626 80 WWDDW
5 Middlesbrough 46221410 724725 80 LDWWD
6 Hull City 46211015 70664 73 LDDLW
7 Wrexham 46191413 69654 71 LWWLD
8 Derby County 4620917 67598 69 LWLWL
9 Norwich City 4619819 63567 65 LWWDL
10 Birmingham City 46171316 57561 64 WDWWD
11 Swansea City 46181018 5759-2 64 WLWDW
12 Bristol City 46171118 59590 62 DLDLW
13 Sheffield United 4618622 66660 60 WWLLW
14 Preston North End 46151516 5562-7 60 WLLWL
15 Queens Park Rangers 46161020 6173-12 58 DLLLL
16 Watford 46141517 5365-12 57 LLLLL
17 Stoke City 46151021 5156-5 55 DLLLL
18 Portsmouth 46141319 4964-15 55 WWLWD
19 Charlton Athletic 46131419 4458-14 53 LDLWL
20 Blackburn Rovers 46131320 4256-14 52 DLDWL
21 West Bromwich Albion (-2) 46131419 4858-10 51 DWWDL
22 Oxford United 46111421 4559-14 47 WLLWL
23 Leicester City (-6) 46121618 5868-10 46 LLDDW
24 Sheffield Wednesday (-18) 4621232 2989-60 0 DDLLW
  • Promotion
  • Promotion Play-off
  • Relegation

Leicester City

LDDLD 0W 3D 2L · 3 pts (0.6 ppg) · GF 5 GA 8 · xG 4.37–9.23 · xPts 3.91

  • D A Ipswich Town 1–1 xG 0.38–2.67 UK CHAMP
  • L H Norwich City 0–2 xG 0.57–1.58 UK CHAMP
  • D A Middlesbrough 1–1 xG 0.64–1.39 UK CHAMP
  • D A Stoke City 2–2 xG 1.58–2.18 UK CHAMP
  • L A Southampton 1–2 aet xG 1.2–1.4 UK FA Cup

Bristol City

LWLLL 1W 0D 4L · 3 pts (0.6 ppg) · GF 3 GA 7 · xG 6.18–7.38 · xPts 6.12

  • L H Coventry City 0–2 xG 1.5–1.3 UK CHAMP
  • L A Port Vale 0–1 aet xG 1.62–1.29 UK FA Cup
  • L H Watford 1–2 xG 0.95–1.37 UK CHAMP
  • W A Blackburn Rovers 2–1 xG 1.17–2.34 UK CHAMP
  • L A Swansea City 0–1 xG 0.94–1.08 UK CHAMP

All meetings · 14 matches since 2007

Leicester City 63 draws5 Bristol City

Goals 20–15 · 2.5 per match · BTTS 43% · over 2.5 43%

Last 10 · 10 matches

Leicester City 51 draws4 Bristol City

Goals 16–11 · 2.7 per match · BTTS 40% · over 2.5 50%

Last 5 · 5 matches

Leicester City 31 draws1 Bristol City

Goals 9–3 · 2.4 per match · BTTS 20% · over 2.5 40%

Recent meetings

  • W Leicester City 2–0 Bristol City UK CHAMP · Regular Season
  • D Bristol City 2–2 Leicester City UK CHAMP · Regular Season
  • L Bristol City 1–0 Leicester City UK CHAMP · Regular Season
  • W Leicester City 1–0 Bristol City UK CHAMP · Regular Season
  • W Bristol City 0–4 Leicester City UK CHAMP · Regular Season
  • W Leicester City 2–0 Bristol City UK CHAMP · Regular Season
  • L Bristol City 3–2 Leicester City UK CHAMP · Regular Season
  • L Leicester City 1–2 Bristol City UK CHAMP · Regular Season
  • W Leicester City 2–1 Bristol City UK CHAMP · Regular Season
  • L Bristol City 2–0 Leicester City UK CHAMP · Regular Season
MetricLeicester City all · 46Leicester City at home · 23Bristol City all · 46Bristol City away · 23
Results
Matches46234623
Points per game1.131.221.351.35
W / D / L12 / 16 / 187 / 7 / 917 / 11 / 188 / 7 / 8
Goals for / match1.261.351.281.13
Goals against / match1.481.481.281.22
Clean sheets13%13%30%26%
Failed to score20%22%33%35%
Both teams scored72%70%46%52%
Over 2.554%52%46%44%
Expected goals
xG for / match1.281.341.181.16
xG against / match1.471.271.481.46
xG difference-0.190.07-0.29-0.31
Finishing vs xG-0.020.010.10-0.03
xPts / match1.261.391.201.19
Points vs xPts-0.13-0.170.150.16
Game state
Scored first48%61%39%35%
PPG when scoring first1.731.642.332.50
PPG when conceding first0.550.500.670.67
Came back from behind33%25%31%33%
Leads held46%44%77%80%
Minutes leading26%34%30%28%
Minutes level43%41%41%43%
Minutes trailing31%25%29%29%
First goal (min)40303236
First goal conceded (min)39443029
Timing
Goals scored in 2nd half48%39%46%38%
Goals conceded in 2nd half50%56%44%39%
Late goals for (76'+)0.370.300.240.13
Late goals against0.280.300.240.17
Style
Possession52%54%49%46%
Shots12.913.812.211.7
On target4.24.04.14.2
Shot conversion10%10%10%10%
Shots inside box59%54%60%62%
Big chances created1.72.01.91.9
Corners5.36.14.85.0
xG from set plays34%30%24%29%
Goals from headers12%13%21%20%
Pressure index12.615.311.99.3
Dominant minutes47.152.443.939.0
Pass accuracy80%82%78%76%
Fouls10.810.79.510.3
Cards1.961.741.832.00

Goal timing for / against per 15 min

Leicester City

0–15'1412
16–30'86
31–45'816
46–60'88
61–75'313
76–90'1713

Bristol City

0–15'911
16–30'1115
31–45'127
46–60'115
61–75'510
76–90'1111

Pressure DNA · intensity v an average side in the same situations, SD units

Leicester City

No pressure profile yet.

Bristol City · 7 matches

Pressure above an average side in the same situations (+0.35) · stands out: as underdog +0.72

Tempo

Overall intensity+0.357
Early press (0-15, level)+0.347
Late push (76+, level)+0.213
Late chase (76+, behind)+0.134

Game state

When ahead+0.114
When level+0.397
When behind+0.514
10 min after conceding+0.077
10 min after scoring+0.565

Situations

At home+0.033
Away+0.614
3 days rest or fewer+0.372
4+ days rest+0.355

Opposition

v mid-tier opponents+0.514
v bottom-tier opponents+0.153
As favourite+0.022
Evenly matched+0.162
As underdog+0.723

Conceded

Pressure conceded-0.127
Conceded when ahead-0.294
Conceded late (76+)-0.387

Congested vs rested +0.02 · Ahead vs level -0.28 · Behind vs level +0.13

Leicester City

Current: unbeaten 3 · wins 1 · scoring 3 · clean sheets 1

FormationUsePPGGFGAxGxGA
4-2-3-145 98%1.131.271.491.291.48
4-3-31 2%1.01.01.00.851.11

Bristol City

Current: winless 2 · conceding 7

FormationUsePPGGFGAxGxGA
3-4-2-125 54%1.481.441.41.161.42
4-2-3-18 17%1.131.251.380.971.51
3-5-25 11%0.81.01.01.521.38
3-4-1-24 9%1.00.751.51.481.44
4-3-2-11 2%3.02.01.02.461.9

Windows with fewer than 5 matches show no figures.

Pre-match movement · ends at kick-off

Every snapshot up to kick-off only — in-play prices are in Match Hub. Movement is in fair-probability points since the first snapshot (overround removed): ▲ shortened, ▼ drifted.

No pre-match movement recorded for this fixture.

Latest prices

bet365 · pre-match line 0.0h before kick-off. Fair % removes the overround; P = Pinnacle fair %.

Fulltime Result

2.4Home 39% P 40%3.5Draw 27% P 28%2.8Away 34% P 32%

Double Chance

1.4Leicester or Draw 33% P 34%1.28Leicester or Bristol City 37% P 36%1.57Draw or Bristol City 30% P 30%

Draw No Bet

1.661 56%2.12 44%

Both Teams To Score

1.72Yes 54% P 55%2.0No 46% P 45%

Goals Over/Under

2.51.9Over 50% P 49%1.9Under 50% P 51%

Total Corners

11.0Under 6 8%3.46 - 8 26%2.69 - 11 34%4.012 - 14 22%8.0Over 14 11%

Number of Cards

3.52.0Over 46% P 47%1.72Under 54% P 53%

Fixtures priced like this · Pinnacle closing price · 2017–2026

Every past fixture whose Pinnacle fair price fell in the same band as this one, and how it finished at 90 minutes. Band = mean price in the band; ± = actual minus price, in probability points.

Match result · home 37.5–40% · away 30–32.5% · 800 fixtures

This matchBandActual±
Home40%39%39%-0.2
Draw28%30%31%+1.5
Away32%31%30%-1.3

In those fixtures: 2.4 goals a game · BTTS 54% · over 2.5 44%

Both teams to score · yes 55–57.5% · 2,581 fixtures

This matchBandActual±
Yes55%56%57%+1.1

Goals over/under 2.5 · over 47.5–50% · 3,307 fixtures

This matchBandActual±
Over 2.549%49%50%+1.3

Tom Nield

Career
79 matches · 11 seasons
Cards / match
3.9 (3.86 yellow · 0.03 red)
Fouls / match
23.7 · 5.7 fouls per card
Penalties / match
0.17
Cards to home side
44%

Style in Championship (5-year window · 62 matches)

MetricRefereeLeaguevs peerspct
Cards / match4.114.05+0.1057
Fouls / match23.321.8+1.27
Fouls per card5.85.4+0.29 (+ = lenient)
Penalties / match0.140.17-0.4720
Time added7.67.2+0.4463
First card
37' on average
Card timing
16% in first 30' · 37% in last 15'
Cards to home side
43% (league 45%)

Recent matches

DateYRFoulsPens1st card+min
2026-03-07 20 140 83'5
2026-02-28 40 190 79'6
2026-01-30 · Bristol City 20 240 11'8
2026-01-24 61 261 39'11
2026-01-17 –– 24– –7
2026-01-10 50 320 34'9
2026-01-01 40 170 30'8
2025-12-20 · Leicester City 30 231 35'8
2025-12-06 30 170 8'10
2025-11-29 30 240 32'6