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Championship · Matchweek 37
PortsmouthPortsmouth
1–2
FT
Swansea CitySwansea City

Momentum

– PortsmouthSwansea City –
now

Match momentum Δ pressure · 0–100

Waiting for pressure data…

Competition

Stage
Regular Season
Round
37

Venue

Stadium
Fratton Park, Portsmouth
Capacity
20,688
Surface
grass
Attendance
18,508

Teams

Coaches
John Mousinho · Vítor Matos
Position
19 · 13
Formation
4-2-3-1 · 4-3-3

Referee

Gavin Ward

Weather

Conditions
overcast clouds
Temperature
10.5° (feels 9.9°)
Wind
3.1
Humidity
88%

Where to watch · 177

2025/2026

#TeamPWDLGFGAGDPtsForm
1 Coventry City 4628117 974552 95 DDWWW
2 Ipswich Town 4623158 804733 84 DWDDW
3 Millwall 46241111 644915 83 DWWDW
4 Southampton 46221410 825626 80 WWDDW
5 Middlesbrough 46221410 724725 80 LDWWD
6 Hull City 46211015 70664 73 LDDLW
7 Wrexham 46191413 69654 71 LWWLD
8 Derby County 4620917 67598 69 LWLWL
9 Norwich City 4619819 63567 65 LWWDL
10 Birmingham City 46171316 57561 64 WDWWD
11 Swansea City 46181018 5759-2 64 WLWDW
12 Bristol City 46171118 59590 62 DLDLW
13 Sheffield United 4618622 66660 60 WWLLW
14 Preston North End 46151516 5562-7 60 WLLWL
15 Queens Park Rangers 46161020 6173-12 58 DLLLL
16 Watford 46141517 5365-12 57 LLLLL
17 Stoke City 46151021 5156-5 55 DLLLL
18 Portsmouth 46141319 4964-15 55 WWLWD
19 Charlton Athletic 46131419 4458-14 53 LDLWL
20 Blackburn Rovers 46131320 4256-14 52 DLDWL
21 West Bromwich Albion (-2) 46131419 4858-10 51 DWWDL
22 Oxford United 46111421 4559-14 47 WLLWL
23 Leicester City (-6) 46121618 5868-10 46 LLDDW
24 Sheffield Wednesday (-18) 4621232 2989-60 0 DDLLW
  • Promotion
  • Promotion Play-off
  • Relegation

Portsmouth

WWLLD 2W 1D 2L · 7 pts (1.4 ppg) · GF 8 GA 6 · xG 5.8–3.83 · xPts 8.31

  • D A Blackburn Rovers 1–1 xG 0.79–1.18 UK CHAMP
  • L H Hull City 0–1 xG 1.39–0.32 UK CHAMP
  • L A Wrexham 1–2 xG 0.9–0.63 UK CHAMP
  • W A Millwall 3–1 xG 1.46–0.51 UK CHAMP
  • W A Charlton Athletic 3–1 xG 1.26–1.2 UK CHAMP

Swansea City

LWDLW 2W 1D 2L · 7 pts (1.4 ppg) · GF 4 GA 6 · xG 6.44–6.93 · xPts 6.42

  • W H Stoke City 2–0 xG 1.25–1.52 UK CHAMP
  • L A Ipswich Town 0–3 xG 0.54–1.4 UK CHAMP
  • D H Preston North End 1–1 xG 2.26–1.96 UK CHAMP
  • W H Bristol City 1–0 xG 1.08–0.94 UK CHAMP
  • L A Derby County 0–2 xG 1.31–1.11 UK CHAMP

All meetings · 7 matches since 2009

Portsmouth 22 draws3 Swansea City

Goals 9–8 · 2.43 per match · BTTS 43% · over 2.5 57%

Last 10 · 7 matches

Portsmouth 22 draws3 Swansea City

Goals 9–8 · 2.43 per match · BTTS 43% · over 2.5 57%

Last 5 · 5 matches

Portsmouth 12 draws2 Swansea City

Goals 7–5 · 2.4 per match · BTTS 40% · over 2.5 60%

Recent meetings

  • L Portsmouth 1–2 Swansea City UK CHAMP · Regular Season
  • L Swansea City 1–0 Portsmouth UK CHAMP · Regular Season
  • W Portsmouth 4–0 Swansea City UK CHAMP · Regular Season
  • D Swansea City 2–2 Portsmouth UK CHAMP · Regular Season
  • D Portsmouth 0–0 Swansea City UK CHAMP · Regular Season
  • W Swansea City 1–2 Portsmouth UK CHAMP · Regular Season
  • L Portsmouth 0–2 Swansea City UK FA Cup · 4th Round
MetricPortsmouth all · 46Portsmouth at home · 23Swansea City all · 46Swansea City away · 23
Results
Matches46234623
Points per game1.201.301.391.09
W / D / L14 / 13 / 198 / 6 / 918 / 10 / 187 / 4 / 12
Goals for / match1.071.091.241.00
Goals against / match1.391.001.281.39
Clean sheets22%26%26%22%
Failed to score28%30%22%35%
Both teams scored54%48%54%48%
Over 2.544%39%50%48%
Expected goals
xG for / match1.181.461.221.10
xG against / match1.241.121.371.37
xG difference-0.060.34-0.15-0.27
Finishing vs xG-0.11-0.370.02-0.10
xPts / match1.361.601.281.19
Points vs xPts-0.16-0.300.12-0.11
Game state
Scored first46%48%48%35%
PPG when scoring first2.192.272.362.38
PPG when conceding first0.300.360.480.36
Came back from behind27%31%28%20%
Leads held64%67%72%78%
Minutes leading18%23%25%22%
Minutes level51%51%48%47%
Minutes trailing31%27%27%31%
First goal (min)50454643
First goal conceded (min)41454042
Timing
Goals scored in 2nd half61%56%65%65%
Goals conceded in 2nd half55%56%52%59%
Late goals for (76'+)0.280.350.350.26
Late goals against0.280.130.300.30
Style
Possession50%54%55%54%
Shots12.215.412.311.0
On target3.74.43.94.0
Shot conversion9%7%10%9%
Shots inside box65%67%58%56%
Big chances created1.61.81.71.8
Corners5.66.34.54.0
xG from set plays40%41%36%36%
Goals from headers16%20%13%9%
Pressure index11.714.812.810.5
Dominant minutes49.757.051.945.9
Pass accuracy74%74%79%79%
Fouls10.29.89.810.6
Cards1.931.742.002.09

Goal timing for / against per 15 min

Portsmouth

0–15'59
16–30'512
31–45'98
46–60'814
61–75'98
76–90'1313

Swansea City

0–15'66
16–30'86
31–45'616
46–60'1011
61–75'116
76–90'1614

Pressure DNA · intensity v an average side in the same situations, SD units

Portsmouth · 6 matches

Pressure in line with an average side in the same situations (+0.01) · stands out: late chase (76+, behind) -0.39

Tempo

Overall intensity+0.016
Early press (0-15, level)-0.056
Late chase (76+, behind)-0.393

Game state

When ahead+0.163
When level+0.056
When behind-0.153
10 min after conceding-0.104
10 min after scoring+0.034

Situations

At home-0.013
Away+0.033
4+ days rest-0.015

Opposition

v mid-tier opponents-0.052
v bottom-tier opponents+0.044
Evenly matched-0.004

Conceded

Pressure conceded+0.036
Conceded when ahead+0.013
Conceded late (76+)-0.286

Congested vs rested +0.16 · Ahead vs level +0.11 · Behind vs level -0.19

Swansea City · 7 matches

Pressure in line with an average side in the same situations (+0.04) · stands out: 10 min after scoring +0.35

Tempo

Overall intensity+0.047
Early press (0-15, level)+0.097
Late push (76+, level)-0.222

Game state

When ahead+0.214
When level-0.097
When behind-0.102
10 min after conceding-0.093
10 min after scoring+0.355

Situations

At home-0.024
Away+0.123
3 days rest or fewer-0.092
4+ days rest+0.095

Opposition

v mid-tier opponents-0.083
v bottom-tier opponents+0.134
As favourite+0.002
Evenly matched+0.114

Conceded

Pressure conceded-0.017
Conceded when ahead-0.074
Conceded late (76+)-0.237

Congested vs rested -0.18 · Ahead vs level +0.30 · Behind vs level -0.01

Portsmouth

Current: unbeaten 2 · winless 1 · clean sheets 2

FormationUsePPGGFGAxGxGA
4-2-3-143 94%1.261.091.31.181.23
3-4-2-12 4%0.51.01.51.461.28
3-4-31 2%0.00.05.00.341.67

Swansea City

Current: unbeaten 1 · wins 1 · scoring 2 · conceding 2

FormationUsePPGGFGAxGxGA
4-2-3-122 48%1.321.231.411.191.3
4-1-4-111 24%1.821.360.731.351.38
4-3-37 15%1.431.141.141.131.33
3-4-2-12 4%0.01.03.00.80.88
4-4-21 2%0.01.03.01.932.01

Windows with fewer than 5 matches show no figures.

Pre-match movement · ends at kick-off

Every snapshot up to kick-off only — in-play prices are in Match Hub. Movement is in fair-probability points since the first snapshot (overround removed): ▲ shortened, ▼ drifted.

No pre-match movement recorded for this fixture.

Latest prices

bet365 · pre-match line 0.0h before kick-off. Fair % removes the overround; P = Pinnacle fair %.

Fulltime Result

2.35Home 40% P 40%3.3Draw 29% P 30%3.0Away 31% P 30%

Double Chance

1.36Portsmouth or Draw 35% P 35%1.33Portsmouth or Swansea 36% P 35%1.66Draw or Swansea 29% P 30%

Draw No Bet

1.571 59%2.252 41%

Both Teams To Score

2.0Yes 46% P 48%1.72No 54% P 52%

Goals Over/Under

2.52.37Over 40% P 41%1.57Under 60% P 59%

Total Corners

10.0Under 6 9%3.16 - 8 28%2.69 - 11 34%4.3312 - 14 20%10.0Over 14 9%

Number of Cards

3.51.9Over 49%1.8Under 51%

Fixtures priced like this · Pinnacle closing price · 2017–2026

Every past fixture whose Pinnacle fair price fell in the same band as this one, and how it finished at 90 minutes. Band = mean price in the band; ± = actual minus price, in probability points.

Match result · home 40–42.5% · away 30–32.5% · 701 fixtures

This matchBandActual±
Home40%41%41%-0.1
Draw30%28%26%-1.9
Away30%31%33%+2.1

In those fixtures: 2.7 goals a game · BTTS 55% · over 2.5 52%

Both teams to score · yes 47.5–50% · 2,898 fixtures

This matchBandActual±
Yes48%49%49%+0.0

Goals over/under 2.5 · over 40–42.5% · 2,093 fixtures

This matchBandActual±
Over 2.541%41%41%-0.4

Gavin Ward

Career
292 matches · 18 seasons
Cards / match
3.58 (3.43 yellow · 0.09 red)
Fouls / match
21.6 · 4.6 fouls per card
Penalties / match
0.2
Cards to home side
43%

Style in Championship (5-year window · 124 matches)

MetricRefereeLeaguevs peerspct
Cards / match3.834.05-0.4031
Fouls / match20.821.8-0.99
Fouls per card5.55.4+0.00 (+ = lenient)
Penalties / match0.160.17-0.2345
Time added7.27.2-0.0245
First card
39' on average
Card timing
13% in first 30' · 36% in last 15'
Cards to home side
44% (league 45%)

Recent matches

DateYRFoulsPens1st card+min
2026-02-28 10 230 89'8
2026-02-21 30 110 50'9
2026-02-14 60 270 37'5
2026-02-09 51 250 65'7
2026-01-24 20 211 26'8
2026-01-11 30 140 54'7
2026-01-01 20 180 55'6
2025-12-29 30 220 83'11
2025-12-13 31 190 57'9
2025-12-06 20 160 39'13