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Championship · Matchweek 37
Sheffield WednesdaySHF
1–1
FT
WatfordWatford

Momentum

– SHFWatford –
now

Match momentum Δ pressure · 0–100

Waiting for pressure data…

Competition

Stage
Regular Season
Round
37

Venue

Stadium
Hillsborough Stadium, Sheffield
Capacity
34,835
Surface
grass
Attendance
19,653

Teams

Coaches
Henrik Pedersen · Edward Still
Position
24 · 9
Formation
5-3-2 · 4-4-2

Referee

Elliot Bell

Weather

Conditions
light rain
Temperature
10.0° (feels 9.2°)
Wind
0.9
Humidity
82%

Where to watch · 177

2025/2026

#TeamPWDLGFGAGDPtsForm
1 Coventry City 4628117 974552 95 DDWWW
2 Ipswich Town 4623158 804733 84 DWDDW
3 Millwall 46241111 644915 83 DWWDW
4 Southampton 46221410 825626 80 WWDDW
5 Middlesbrough 46221410 724725 80 LDWWD
6 Hull City 46211015 70664 73 LDDLW
7 Wrexham 46191413 69654 71 LWWLD
8 Derby County 4620917 67598 69 LWLWL
9 Norwich City 4619819 63567 65 LWWDL
10 Birmingham City 46171316 57561 64 WDWWD
11 Swansea City 46181018 5759-2 64 WLWDW
12 Bristol City 46171118 59590 62 DLDLW
13 Sheffield United 4618622 66660 60 WWLLW
14 Preston North End 46151516 5562-7 60 WLLWL
15 Queens Park Rangers 46161020 6173-12 58 DLLLL
16 Watford 46141517 5365-12 57 LLLLL
17 Stoke City 46151021 5156-5 55 DLLLL
18 Portsmouth 46141319 4964-15 55 WWLWD
19 Charlton Athletic 46131419 4458-14 53 LDLWL
20 Blackburn Rovers 46131320 4256-14 52 DLDWL
21 West Bromwich Albion (-2) 46131419 4858-10 51 DWWDL
22 Oxford United 46111421 4559-14 47 WLLWL
23 Leicester City (-6) 46121618 5868-10 46 LLDDW
24 Sheffield Wednesday (-18) 4621232 2989-60 0 DDLLW
  • Promotion
  • Promotion Play-off
  • Relegation

Sheffield Wednesday

LLLLL 0W 0D 5L · 0 pts (0.0 ppg) · GF 4 GA 11 · xG 2.92–11.02 · xPts 2.2

  • L A Derby County 1–2 xG 0.54–1.71 UK CHAMP
  • L H Southampton 1–3 xG 0.85–2.04 UK CHAMP
  • L A Norwich City 0–2 xG 0.4–2.3 UK CHAMP
  • L A Sheffield United 1–2 xG 0.23–1.37 UK CHAMP
  • L H Millwall 1–2 xG 0.89–3.6 UK CHAMP

Watford

LDWLW 2W 1D 2L · 7 pts (1.4 ppg) · GF 6 GA 6 · xG 7.18–4.35 · xPts 8.85

  • W A Bristol City 2–1 xG 1.37–0.95 UK CHAMP
  • L H Ipswich Town 0–2 xG 1.5–1.31 UK CHAMP
  • W H Derby County 2–0 xG 1.95–0.52 UK CHAMP
  • D A Preston North End 2–2 xG 1.2–0.96 UK CHAMP
  • L A Southampton 0–1 xG 1.15–0.61 UK CHAMP

All meetings · 22 matches since 2005

Sheffield Wednesday 38 draws11 Watford

Goals 20–38 · 2.64 per match · BTTS 64% · over 2.5 46%

Last 10 · 10 matches

Sheffield Wednesday 06 draws4 Watford

Goals 6–15 · 2.1 per match · BTTS 50% · over 2.5 20%

Last 5 · 5 matches

Sheffield Wednesday 04 draws1 Watford

Goals 5–9 · 2.8 per match · BTTS 80% · over 2.5 20%

Recent meetings

  • D Sheffield Wednesday 1–1 Watford UK CHAMP · Regular Season
  • D Watford 1–1 Sheffield Wednesday UK CHAMP · Regular Season
  • D Watford 1–1 Sheffield Wednesday UK CHAMP · Regular Season
  • L Sheffield Wednesday 2–6 Watford UK CHAMP · Regular Season
  • D Sheffield Wednesday 0–0 Watford UK CHAMP · Regular Season
  • L Watford 1–0 Sheffield Wednesday UK CHAMP · Regular Season
  • L Watford 1–0 Sheffield Wednesday neutral UK CHAMP · Regular Season
  • D Sheffield Wednesday 0–0 Watford UK CHAMP · Regular Season
  • D Watford 1–1 Sheffield Wednesday neutral UK CHAMP · Regular Season
  • L Sheffield Wednesday 0–3 Watford UK CHAMP · Regular Season
MetricSheffield Wednesday all · 46Sheffield Wednesday at home · 23Watford all · 46Watford away · 23
Results
Matches46234623
Points per game0.390.431.240.87
W / D / L2 / 12 / 321 / 7 / 1514 / 15 / 174 / 8 / 11
Goals for / match0.630.611.151.00
Goals against / match1.931.911.411.65
Clean sheets9%4%15%9%
Failed to score50%52%30%30%
Both teams scored48%48%59%65%
Over 2.552%48%48%52%
Expected goals
xG for / match0.880.961.341.19
xG against / match2.011.951.251.34
xG difference-1.13-0.990.10-0.15
Finishing vs xG-0.25-0.35-0.19-0.19
xPts / match0.730.831.431.30
Points vs xPts-0.34-0.40-0.20-0.43
Game state
Scored first26%35%26%22%
PPG when scoring first1.001.002.331.80
PPG when conceding first0.100.070.840.59
Came back from behind9%6%47%35%
Leads held15%12%67%40%
Minutes leading13%16%18%10%
Minutes level41%45%49%50%
Minutes trailing46%39%34%40%
First goal (min)38364853
First goal conceded (min)36433432
Timing
Goals scored in 2nd half48%43%58%70%
Goals conceded in 2nd half55%64%48%45%
Late goals for (76'+)0.070.040.300.30
Late goals against0.430.430.280.35
Style
Possession45%47%51%51%
Shots8.79.313.812.0
On target2.52.54.43.5
Shot conversion7%6%8%8%
Shots inside box68%71%58%58%
Big chances created1.21.42.12.0
Corners4.34.84.94.4
xG from set plays33%35%27%31%
Goals from headers17%29%14%9%
Pressure index6.97.710.99.5
Dominant minutes32.836.547.041.8
Pass accuracy73%74%80%79%
Fouls11.811.711.010.8
Cards1.701.522.152.43

Goal timing for / against per 15 min

Sheffield Wednesday

0–15'516
16–30'79
31–45'315
46–60'713
61–75'416
76–90'320

Watford

0–15'59
16–30'613
31–45'1112
46–60'910
61–75'88
76–90'1413

Pressure DNA · intensity v an average side in the same situations, SD units

Sheffield Wednesday

No pressure profile yet.

Watford · 7 matches

Pressure in line with an average side in the same situations (-0.09) · stands out: late push (76+, level) -0.45

Tempo

Overall intensity-0.097
Early press (0-15, level)-0.117
Late push (76+, level)-0.453
Late chase (76+, behind)-0.193

Game state

When ahead-0.144
When level-0.157
When behind+0.004
10 min after conceding-0.177
10 min after scoring-0.015

Situations

At home-0.234
Away+0.093
3 days rest or fewer+0.062
4+ days rest-0.155

Opposition

v mid-tier opponents+0.024
v bottom-tier opponents-0.122
As underdog-0.085

Conceded

Pressure conceded+0.277
Conceded when ahead+0.454
Conceded late (76+)-0.017

Congested vs rested +0.21 · Ahead vs level +0.01 · Behind vs level +0.16

Sheffield Wednesday

Current: unbeaten 1 · wins 1 · scoring 2 · conceding 4

FormationUsePPGGFGAxGxGA
3-4-2-113 28%0.540.381.540.851.98
3-5-212 26%0.670.751.750.831.9
4-2-3-16 13%0.00.332.330.472.39
3-4-34 9%0.250.752.01.051.86
5-3-24 9%0.250.52.01.052.15

Watford

Current: winless 1 · scoring 2 · conceding 14

FormationUsePPGGFGAxGxGA
4-4-221 46%1.481.291.291.251.32
4-2-3-110 22%1.31.21.11.250.83
3-5-25 11%0.40.82.00.861.68
3-4-1-23 6%2.332.01.333.01.2
4-3-32 4%0.00.52.01.481.61

Windows with fewer than 5 matches show no figures.

Pre-match movement · ends at kick-off

Every snapshot up to kick-off only — in-play prices are in Match Hub. Movement is in fair-probability points since the first snapshot (overround removed): ▲ shortened, ▼ drifted.

No pre-match movement recorded for this fixture.

Latest prices

bet365 · pre-match line 0.0h before kick-off. Fair % removes the overround; P = Pinnacle fair %.

Fulltime Result

8.0Home 12% P 12%4.5Draw 21% P 21%1.4Away 67% P 67%

Double Chance

2.75Sheff Wed or Draw 17% P 16%1.18Sheff Wed or Watford 40% P 40%1.08Draw or Watford 43% P 44%

Draw No Bet

6.51 15%1.112 85%

Both Teams To Score

2.2Yes 42% P 43%1.61No 58% P 57%

Goals Over/Under

2.51.9Over 50% P 49%1.9Under 50% P 51%

Total Corners

11.0Under 6 8%3.56 - 8 25%2.69 - 11 34%4.012 - 14 22%8.0Over 14 11%

Number of Cards

3.52.1Over 44%1.66Under 56%

Fixtures priced like this · Pinnacle closing price · 2017–2026

Every past fixture whose Pinnacle fair price fell in the same band as this one, and how it finished at 90 minutes. Band = mean price in the band; ± = actual minus price, in probability points.

Match result · home 10–15% · away 65–70% · 653 fixtures

This matchBandActual±
Home12%13%13%+0.8
Draw21%20%18%-1.7
Away67%67%68%+1.0

In those fixtures: 3.0 goals a game · BTTS 50% · over 2.5 59%

Both teams to score · yes 42.5–45% · 1,287 fixtures

This matchBandActual±
Yes43%44%48%+4.3

Goals over/under 2.5 · over 47.5–50% · 3,307 fixtures

This matchBandActual±
Over 2.549%49%50%+1.3

Elliot Bell

Career
25 matches · 4 seasons
Cards / match
4.6 (4.48 yellow · 0.04 red)
Fouls / match
24.2 · 5.0 fouls per card
Penalties / match
0.04
Cards to home side
55%

Style in Championship (5-year window · 20 matches)

MetricRefereeLeaguevs peerspct
Cards / match4.64.05+0.9986
Fouls / match22.421.8+0.44
Fouls per card4.95.4-1.02 (+ = lenient)
Penalties / match0.050.17-1.792
Time added8.37.2+1.2692
First card
39' on average
Card timing
14% in first 30' · 38% in last 15'
Cards to home side
56% (league 45%)

Recent matches

DateYRFoulsPens1st card+min
2026-03-03 70 290 13'7
2026-02-07 · Watford 40 200 53'8
2026-01-20 40 220 14'5
2026-01-11 40 230 55'6
2025-12-20 30 220 31'10
2025-11-01 50 300 32'6
2025-10-25 40 230 69'13
2025-10-22 41 240 37'8
2025-09-30 40 160 25'6
2025-09-27 30 200 74'6