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Championship · Matchweek 37
Stoke CityStoke City
3–3
FT
Ipswich TownIpswich Town

Momentum

– Stoke CityIpswich Town –
now

Match momentum Δ pressure · 0–100

Waiting for pressure data…

Competition

Stage
Regular Season
Round
37

Venue

Stadium
Bet365 Stadium, Stoke
Capacity
30,089
Surface
grass
Attendance
22,330

Teams

Coaches
Mark Robins · Kieran McKenna
Position
15 · 4
Formation
4-2-3-1 · 4-2-3-1

Referee

Thomas Kirk

Weather

Conditions
overcast clouds
Temperature
9.0° (feels 4.9°)
Wind
9.8
Humidity
65%

Where to watch · 177

2025/2026

#TeamPWDLGFGAGDPtsForm
1 Coventry City 4628117 974552 95 DDWWW
2 Ipswich Town 4623158 804733 84 DWDDW
3 Millwall 46241111 644915 83 DWWDW
4 Southampton 46221410 825626 80 WWDDW
5 Middlesbrough 46221410 724725 80 LDWWD
6 Hull City 46211015 70664 73 LDDLW
7 Wrexham 46191413 69654 71 LWWLD
8 Derby County 4620917 67598 69 LWLWL
9 Norwich City 4619819 63567 65 LWWDL
10 Birmingham City 46171316 57561 64 WDWWD
11 Swansea City 46181018 5759-2 64 WLWDW
12 Bristol City 46171118 59590 62 DLDLW
13 Sheffield United 4618622 66660 60 WWLLW
14 Preston North End 46151516 5562-7 60 WLLWL
15 Queens Park Rangers 46161020 6173-12 58 DLLLL
16 Watford 46141517 5365-12 57 LLLLL
17 Stoke City 46151021 5156-5 55 DLLLL
18 Portsmouth 46141319 4964-15 55 WWLWD
19 Charlton Athletic 46131419 4458-14 53 LDLWL
20 Blackburn Rovers 46131320 4256-14 52 DLDWL
21 West Bromwich Albion (-2) 46131419 4858-10 51 DWWDL
22 Oxford United 46111421 4559-14 47 WLLWL
23 Leicester City (-6) 46121618 5868-10 46 LLDDW
24 Sheffield Wednesday (-18) 4621232 2989-60 0 DDLLW
  • Promotion
  • Promotion Play-off
  • Relegation

Stoke City

LDWLL 1W 1D 3L · 4 pts (0.8 ppg) · GF 6 GA 9 · xG 6.39–9.01 · xPts 5.52

  • L A Swansea City 0–2 xG 1.52–1.25 UK CHAMP
  • L A Coventry City 1–2 xG 0.31–2.75 UK CHAMP
  • W H Oxford United 2–1 xG 1.93–1.65 UK CHAMP
  • D H Leicester City 2–2 xG 2.18–1.58 UK CHAMP
  • L H Fulham 1–2 xG 0.45–1.78 UK FA Cup

Ipswich Town

LWWWD 3W 1D 1L · 10 pts (2.0 ppg) · GF 10 GA 6 · xG 8.25–4.84 · xPts 9.14

  • D H Leicester City 1–1 xG 2.67–0.38 UK CHAMP
  • W H Hull City 1–0 xG 1.66–0.35 UK CHAMP
  • W H Swansea City 3–0 xG 1.4–0.54 UK CHAMP
  • W A Watford 2–0 xG 1.31–1.5 UK CHAMP
  • L A Wrexham 3–5 xG 1.21–2.06 UK CHAMP

All meetings · 12 matches since 2006

Stoke City 46 draws2 Ipswich Town

Goals 15–11 · 2.17 per match · BTTS 42% · over 2.5 25%

Last 10 · 10 matches

Stoke City 35 draws2 Ipswich Town

Goals 9–8 · 1.7 per match · BTTS 30% · over 2.5 10%

Last 5 · 5 matches

Stoke City 03 draws2 Ipswich Town

Goals 4–7 · 2.2 per match · BTTS 40% · over 2.5 20%

Recent meetings

  • D Stoke City 3–3 Ipswich Town UK CHAMP · Regular Season
  • L Ipswich Town 1–0 Stoke City UK CHAMP · Regular Season
  • D Stoke City 0–0 Ipswich Town UK CHAMP · Regular Season
  • L Ipswich Town 2–0 Stoke City UK CHAMP · Regular Season
  • D Ipswich Town 1–1 Stoke City UK CHAMP · Regular Season
  • W Stoke City 2–0 Ipswich Town UK CHAMP · Regular Season
  • W Stoke City 1–0 Ipswich Town UK CHAMP · Regular Season
  • D Ipswich Town 1–1 Stoke City UK CHAMP · Regular Season
  • D Stoke City 0–0 Ipswich Town UK CHAMP · Regular Season
  • W Ipswich Town 0–1 Stoke City UK CHAMP · Regular Season
MetricStoke City all · 46Stoke City at home · 23Ipswich Town all · 46Ipswich Town away · 23
Results
Matches46234623
Points per game1.201.431.831.48
W / D / L15 / 10 / 219 / 6 / 823 / 15 / 89 / 7 / 7
Goals for / match1.111.481.741.61
Goals against / match1.221.221.021.30
Clean sheets28%26%37%30%
Failed to score37%22%13%17%
Both teams scored44%61%56%61%
Over 2.544%56%52%48%
Expected goals
xG for / match1.241.441.831.59
xG against / match1.431.191.031.22
xG difference-0.190.260.800.36
Finishing vs xG-0.130.03-0.090.02
xPts / match1.281.551.881.61
Points vs xPts-0.08-0.12-0.06-0.13
Game state
Scored first44%52%54%39%
PPG when scoring first2.252.172.682.78
PPG when conceding first0.270.560.780.58
Came back from behind22%38%60%46%
Leads held71%69%79%75%
Minutes leading24%31%33%21%
Minutes level50%48%50%53%
Minutes trailing27%21%17%26%
First goal (min)37344050
First goal conceded (min)44474035
Timing
Goals scored in 2nd half55%50%59%76%
Goals conceded in 2nd half62%75%51%47%
Late goals for (76'+)0.150.260.500.52
Late goals against0.350.350.130.22
Style
Possession52%53%56%56%
Shots11.212.715.113.7
On target3.84.75.14.5
Shot conversion10%12%12%12%
Shots inside box65%67%67%66%
Big chances created1.82.12.82.2
Corners6.06.45.75.2
xG from set plays28%34%32%36%
Goals from headers16%15%12%19%
Pressure index13.316.318.816.9
Dominant minutes52.757.362.357.8
Pass accuracy78%79%81%80%
Fouls10.410.611.212.0
Cards2.302.261.932.48

Goal timing for / against per 15 min

Stoke City

0–15'88
16–30'55
31–45'108
46–60'1314
61–75'85
76–90'716

Ipswich Town

0–15'124
16–30'56
31–45'1613
46–60'149
61–75'109
76–90'236

Pressure DNA · intensity v an average side in the same situations, SD units

Stoke City · 7 matches

Pressure in line with an average side in the same situations (+0.10) · stands out: 10 min after scoring +0.80

Tempo

Overall intensity+0.107
Early press (0-15, level)+0.177
Late push (76+, level)-0.442
Late chase (76+, behind)-0.453

Game state

When ahead+0.166
When level+0.057
When behind+0.113
10 min after conceding-0.265
10 min after scoring+0.807

Situations

At home-0.273
Away+0.314
3 days rest or fewer-0.222
4+ days rest+0.255

Opposition

v mid-tier opponents-0.154
v bottom-tier opponents+0.543
Evenly matched+0.362
As underdog-0.074

Conceded

Pressure conceded+0.117
Conceded when ahead-0.016
Conceded late (76+)+0.326

Congested vs rested -0.47 · Ahead vs level +0.10 · Behind vs level +0.05

Ipswich Town · 4 matches

Pressure below an average side in the same situations (-0.25) · stands out: early press (0-15, level) -0.49

Tempo

Overall intensity-0.254
Early press (0-15, level)-0.494
Late push (76+, level)-0.762

Game state

When ahead+0.003
When level-0.364
When behind-0.233
10 min after conceding-0.444
10 min after scoring+0.143

Situations

At home-0.202
Away-0.302
4+ days rest-0.254

Opposition

v top-tier opponents-0.202
v mid-tier opponents-0.282
As underdog-0.263

Conceded

Pressure conceded+0.034
Conceded when ahead-0.363
Conceded late (76+)-0.123

Ahead vs level +0.36 · Behind vs level +0.12

Stoke City

Current: unbeaten 4 · wins 1 · scoring 7 · conceding 2

FormationUsePPGGFGAxGxGA
4-2-3-141 89%1.241.11.151.21.34
3-4-2-13 6%1.331.331.331.762.14
4-4-22 4%0.01.02.51.292.17

Ipswich Town

Current: unbeaten 1 · wins 1 · scoring 1 · conceding 4

FormationUsePPGGFGAxGxGA
4-2-3-145 98%1.841.761.021.841.03
4-4-1-11 2%1.01.01.01.271.19

Windows with fewer than 5 matches show no figures.

Pre-match movement · ends at kick-off

Every snapshot up to kick-off only — in-play prices are in Match Hub. Movement is in fair-probability points since the first snapshot (overround removed): ▲ shortened, ▼ drifted.

No pre-match movement recorded for this fixture.

Latest prices

bet365 · pre-match line 0.0h before kick-off. Fair % removes the overround; P = Pinnacle fair %.

Fulltime Result

5.0Home 19% P 18%4.2Draw 22% P 23%1.6Away 59% P 59%

Double Chance

2.1Stoke or Draw 22% P 20%1.25Stoke or Ipswich 38% P 39%1.18Draw or Ipswich 40% P 41%

Draw No Bet

3.751 25%1.252 75%

Both Teams To Score

1.9Yes 49% P 53%1.8No 51% P 47%

Goals Over/Under

2.51.9Over 50% P 53%1.9Under 50% P 47%

Total Corners

11.0Under 6 8%3.46 - 8 26%2.69 - 11 34%4.012 - 14 22%9.0Over 14 10%

Number of Cards

4.51.66Over 56% P 55%2.1Under 44% P 45%
5.52.0Over 46%1.72Under 54%

Fixtures priced like this · Pinnacle closing price · 2017–2026

Every past fixture whose Pinnacle fair price fell in the same band as this one, and how it finished at 90 minutes. Band = mean price in the band; ± = actual minus price, in probability points.

Match result · home 17.5–20% · away 57.5–60% · 326 fixtures

This matchBandActual±
Home18%19%15%-3.2
Draw23%23%21%-1.4
Away59%59%63%+4.6

In those fixtures: 3.1 goals a game · BTTS 55% · over 2.5 59%

Both teams to score · yes 52.5–55% · 3,040 fixtures

This matchBandActual±
Yes53%54%54%-0.2

Goals over/under 2.5 · over 52.5–55% · 2,940 fixtures

This matchBandActual±
Over 2.553%54%54%+0.8

Thomas Kirk

Career
51 matches · 5 seasons
Cards / match
4.55 (4.39 yellow · 0.04 red)
Fouls / match
22.1 · 4.8 fouls per card
Penalties / match
0.26
Cards to home side
45%

Style in Championship (5-year window · 34 matches)

MetricRefereeLeaguevs peerspct
Cards / match4.444.05+0.7074
Fouls / match21.721.8-0.12
Fouls per card4.95.4-0.98 (+ = lenient)
Penalties / match0.210.17+0.3974
Time added8.07.2+0.9178
First card
35' on average
Card timing
16% in first 30' · 38% in last 15'
Cards to home side
41% (league 45%)

Recent matches

DateYRFoulsPens1st card+min
2026-03-02 60 230 58'9
2026-02-22 81 321 15'11
2026-02-15 70 291 33'7
2026-02-08 40 240 12'4
2026-01-26 30 190 18'11
2026-01-21 40 250 53'7
2026-01-11 70 310 51'13
2026-01-07 62 280 43'10
2026-01-01 60 240 30'8
2025-12-26 · Stoke City 60 200 16'11