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Championship · Matchweek 37

Momentum

WrexhamHull City
now

Match momentum Δ pressure · 0–100

Waiting for pressure data…

Competition

Stage
Regular Season
Round
37

Venue

Stadium
Racecourse Ground, Racecourse Ground
Capacity
10,771
Surface
grass
Attendance
10,502

Teams

Coaches
Phil Parkinson · Sergej Jakirović
Position
6 · 5
Formation
3-4-2-1 · 3-4-2-1

Referee

Stephen Martin

Weather

Conditions
light rain
Temperature
9.5° (feels 6.2°)
Wind
7.2
Humidity
86%

Where to watch · 185

2025/2026

#TeamPWDLGFGAGDPtsForm
1 Coventry City 4628117 974552 95 DDWWW
2 Ipswich Town 4623158 804733 84 DWDDW
3 Millwall 46241111 644915 83 DWWDW
4 Southampton 46221410 825626 80 WWDDW
5 Middlesbrough 46221410 724725 80 LDWWD
6 Hull City 46211015 70664 73 LDDLW
7 Wrexham 46191413 69654 71 LWWLD
8 Derby County 4620917 67598 69 LWLWL
9 Norwich City 4619819 63567 65 LWWDL
10 Birmingham City 46171316 57561 64 WDWWD
11 Swansea City 46181018 5759-2 64 WLWDW
12 Bristol City 46171118 59590 62 DLDLW
13 Sheffield United 4618622 66660 60 WWLLW
14 Preston North End 46151516 5562-7 60 WLLWL
15 Queens Park Rangers 46161020 6173-12 58 DLLLL
16 Watford 46141517 5365-12 57 LLLLL
17 Stoke City 46151021 5156-5 55 DLLLL
18 Portsmouth 46141319 4964-15 55 WWLWD
19 Charlton Athletic 46131419 4458-14 53 LDLWL
20 Blackburn Rovers 46131320 4256-14 52 DLDWL
21 West Bromwich Albion (-2) 46131419 4858-10 51 DWWDL
22 Oxford United 46111421 4559-14 47 WLLWL
23 Leicester City (-6) 46121618 5868-10 46 LLDDW
24 Sheffield Wednesday (-18) 4621232 2989-60 0 DDLLW
  • Promotion
  • Promotion Play-off
  • Relegation

Wrexham

DWWWL 3W 1D 1L · 10 pts (2.0 ppg) · GF 12 GA 10 · xG 6.24–6.26 · xPts 6.8

  • L H Chelsea 2–4 aet xG 1.84–2.09 UK FA Cup
  • W A Charlton Athletic 1–0 xG 0.75–1.62 UK CHAMP
  • W H Portsmouth 2–1 xG 0.63–0.9 UK CHAMP
  • W H Ipswich Town 5–3 xG 2.06–1.21 UK CHAMP
  • D A Bristol City 2–2 xG 0.96–0.44 UK CHAMP

Hull City

LWWLL 2W 0D 3L · 6 pts (1.2 ppg) · GF 7 GA 9 · xG 6.08–7.65 · xPts 5.64

  • L H Millwall 1–3 xG 2.44–1.5 UK CHAMP
  • L A Ipswich Town 0–1 xG 0.35–1.66 UK CHAMP
  • W A Portsmouth 1–0 xG 0.32–1.39 UK CHAMP
  • W H Derby County 4–2 xG 0.78–2.23 UK CHAMP
  • L H Queens Park Rangers 1–3 xG 2.2–0.86 UK CHAMP

All meetings · 2 matches since 2025

Wrexham 00 draws2 Hull City

Goals 1–4 · 2.5 per match · BTTS 50% · over 2.5 50%

Last 10 · 2 matches

Wrexham 00 draws2 Hull City

Goals 1–4 · 2.5 per match · BTTS 50% · over 2.5 50%

Last 5 · 2 matches

Wrexham 00 draws2 Hull City

Goals 1–4 · 2.5 per match · BTTS 50% · over 2.5 50%

Recent meetings

  • L Wrexham 1–2 Hull City UK CHAMP · Regular Season
  • L Hull City 2–0 Wrexham UK CHAMP · Regular Season
MetricWrexham all · 46Wrexham at home · 23Hull City all · 49Hull City away · 24
Results
Matches46234924
Points per game1.541.611.631.58
W / D / L19 / 14 / 1310 / 7 / 623 / 11 / 1511 / 5 / 8
Goals for / match1.501.781.491.54
Goals against / match1.411.611.351.33
Clean sheets26%22%29%29%
Failed to score13%4%18%12%
Both teams scored65%74%61%62%
Over 2.550%56%61%67%
Expected goals
xG for / match1.221.541.371.27
xG against / match1.481.281.661.91
xG difference-0.260.26-0.29-0.63
Finishing vs xG0.280.240.120.27
xPts / match1.221.541.251.09
Points vs xPts0.320.070.380.49
Game state
Scored first52%56%57%67%
PPG when scoring first2.082.232.182.00
PPG when conceding first0.950.800.880.71
Came back from behind46%50%35%33%
Leads held63%62%72%65%
Minutes leading31%30%30%32%
Minutes level46%43%53%52%
Minutes trailing23%26%17%16%
First goal (min)37383233
First goal conceded (min)40374044
Timing
Goals scored in 2nd half54%49%45%49%
Goals conceded in 2nd half55%51%52%62%
Late goals for (76'+)0.370.480.270.33
Late goals against0.410.350.310.38
Style
Possession48%51%45%43%
Shots11.314.111.111.0
On target3.84.84.14.3
Shot conversion13%13%13%14%
Shots inside box66%68%68%68%
Big chances created2.32.82.22.3
Corners4.55.24.44.6
xG from set plays32%36%21%13%
Goals from headers29%38%14%19%
Pressure index10.113.19.37.6
Dominant minutes41.951.339.832.6
Pass accuracy78%80%72%71%
Fouls9.78.811.211.5
Cards1.591.262.553.04

Goal timing for / against per 15 min

Wrexham

0–15'98
16–30'119
31–45'1212
46–60'138
61–75'79
76–90'1719

Hull City

0–15'117
16–30'1413
31–45'1512
46–60'910
61–75'119
76–90'1315

Pressure DNA · intensity v an average side in the same situations, SD units

Wrexham · 7 matches

Pressure in line with an average side in the same situations (+0.02) · stands out: v bottom-tier opponents +0.16

Tempo

Overall intensity+0.027
Early press (0-15, level)-0.137
Late push (76+, level)-0.044

Game state

When ahead+0.122
When level+0.017
When behind-0.034
10 min after conceding-0.135
10 min after scoring+0.135

Situations

At home+0.053
Away+0.004
3 days rest or fewer+0.073
4+ days rest-0.014

Opposition

v mid-tier opponents-0.103
v bottom-tier opponents+0.163
As favourite+0.053
Evenly matched+0.033

Conceded

Pressure conceded+0.087
Conceded when ahead+0.062
Conceded late (76+)-0.165

Congested vs rested +0.07 · Ahead vs level +0.12 · Behind vs level -0.04

Hull City · 4 matches

Pressure below an average side in the same situations (-0.42) · stands out: early press (0-15, level) -0.57

Tempo

Overall intensity-0.424
Early press (0-15, level)-0.574
Late push (76+, level)-0.503

Game state

When ahead-0.363
When level-0.444
10 min after scoring+0.133

Situations

At home-0.452
Away-0.392
4+ days rest-0.424

Opposition

v top-tier opponents-0.393
As underdog-0.424

Conceded

Pressure conceded+0.364
Conceded when ahead+0.583
Conceded late (76+)+0.274

Ahead vs level +0.08 · Behind vs level -0.08

Wrexham

Current: winless 3 · conceding 2

FormationUsePPGGFGAxGxGA
3-4-2-123 50%1.611.571.391.171.25
3-5-28 17%0.50.881.880.962.43
3-5-1-16 13%1.51.171.51.641.12
3-4-1-23 6%1.671.331.01.341.59
3-1-4-23 6%2.332.00.670.91.43

Hull City

Current: unbeaten 8 · winless 2 · scoring 1 · conceding 1

FormationUsePPGGFGAxGxGA
4-2-3-136 74%1.641.611.441.491.76
3-4-2-16 12%1.51.01.171.091.37
4-4-22 4%3.01.50.51.091.08
3-4-1-22 4%0.51.52.01.251.52
3-5-21 2%3.01.00.00.521.73

Windows with fewer than 5 matches show no figures.

Pre-match movement · ends at kick-off

Every snapshot up to kick-off only — in-play prices are in Match Hub. Movement is in fair-probability points since the first snapshot (overround removed): ▲ shortened, ▼ drifted.

No pre-match movement recorded for this fixture.

Latest prices

bet365 · pre-match line 0.0h before kick-off. Fair % removes the overround; P = Pinnacle fair %.

Fulltime Result

1.95Home 48% P 48%3.6Draw 26% P 26%3.6Away 26% P 26%

Double Chance

1.25Wrexham or Draw 37% P 37%1.28Wrexham or Hull 37% P 37%1.8Draw or Hull 26% P 26%

Draw No Bet

1.41 66%2.752 34%

Both Teams To Score

1.72Yes 54% P 56%2.0No 46% P 44%

Goals Over/Under

2.51.8Over 53% P 52%2.0Under 47% P 48%

Total Corners

11.0Under 6 8%3.56 - 8 25%2.69 - 11 34%4.012 - 14 22%8.0Over 14 11%

Number of Cards

3.51.61Over 58% P 55%2.2Under 42% P 45%
4.52.2Over 42%1.61Under 58%

Fixtures priced like this · Pinnacle closing price · 2017–2026

Every past fixture whose Pinnacle fair price fell in the same band as this one, and how it finished at 90 minutes. Band = mean price in the band; ± = actual minus price, in probability points.

Match result · home 47.5–50% · away 25–27.5% · 375 fixtures

This matchBandActual±
Home48%48%47%-1.0
Draw26%26%27%+1.9
Away26%26%25%-0.9

In those fixtures: 3.0 goals a game · BTTS 61% · over 2.5 57%

Both teams to score · yes 55–57.5% · 2,581 fixtures

This matchBandActual±
Yes56%56%57%+1.1

Goals over/under 2.5 · over 50–52.5% · 3,575 fixtures

This matchBandActual±
Over 2.552%51%51%-0.1

Stephen Martin

Career
78 matches · 5 seasons
Cards / match
4.68 (4.58 yellow · 0.04 red)
Fouls / match
22.9 · 4.8 fouls per card
Penalties / match
0.12
Cards to home side
44%

Style in Championship (5-year window · 72 matches)

MetricRefereeLeaguevs peerspct
Cards / match4.64.05+0.9986
Fouls / match23.021.8+1.06
Fouls per card5.25.4-0.59 (+ = lenient)
Penalties / match0.110.17-0.9412
Time added7.77.2+0.5667
First card
35' on average
Card timing
15% in first 30' · 32% in last 15'
Cards to home side
43% (league 45%)

Recent matches

DateYRFoulsPens1st card+min
2026-02-21 30 210 17'7
2026-02-14 50 260 36'15
2026-01-31 40 190 22'7
2026-01-20 · Hull City 51 250 45'10
2026-01-10 30 211 14'5
2026-01-05 10 160 77'7
2025-12-26 · Hull City 60 170 28'9
2025-12-20 50 280 37'8
2025-12-13 40 280 57'6
2025-12-06 30 211 33'7