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Championship · Matchweek 37

Momentum

MIDCHA
now

Match momentum Δ pressure · 0–100

Waiting for pressure data…

Competition

Stage
Regular Season
Round
37

Venue

Stadium
Riverside Stadium, Middlesbrough
Capacity
34,988
Surface
grass
Attendance
24,668

Teams

Coaches
Kim Hellberg · Nathan Jones
Position
2 · 18
Formation
4-2-2-2 · 3-4-1-2

Referee

Adam Herczeg

Weather

Conditions
scattered clouds
Temperature
8.3° (feels 4.5°)
Wind
8.2
Humidity
78%

Where to watch · 177

2025/2026

#TeamPWDLGFGAGDPtsForm
1 Coventry City 4628117 974552 95 DDWWW
2 Ipswich Town 4623158 804733 84 DWDDW
3 Millwall 46241111 644915 83 DWWDW
4 Southampton 46221410 825626 80 WWDDW
5 Middlesbrough 46221410 724725 80 LDWWD
6 Hull City 46211015 70664 73 LDDLW
7 Wrexham 46191413 69654 71 LWWLD
8 Derby County 4620917 67598 69 LWLWL
9 Norwich City 4619819 63567 65 LWWDL
10 Birmingham City 46171316 57561 64 WDWWD
11 Swansea City 46181018 5759-2 64 WLWDW
12 Bristol City 46171118 59590 62 DLDLW
13 Sheffield United 4618622 66660 60 WWLLW
14 Preston North End 46151516 5562-7 60 WLLWL
15 Queens Park Rangers 46161020 6173-12 58 DLLLL
16 Watford 46141517 5365-12 57 LLLLL
17 Stoke City 46151021 5156-5 55 DLLLL
18 Portsmouth 46141319 4964-15 55 WWLWD
19 Charlton Athletic 46131419 4458-14 53 LDLWL
20 Blackburn Rovers 46131320 4256-14 52 DLDWL
21 West Bromwich Albion (-2) 46131419 4858-10 51 DWWDL
22 Oxford United 46111421 4559-14 47 WLLWL
23 Leicester City (-6) 46121618 5868-10 46 LLDDW
24 Sheffield Wednesday (-18) 4621232 2989-60 0 DDLLW
  • Promotion
  • Promotion Play-off
  • Relegation

Middlesbrough

LDDWW 2W 2D 1L · 8 pts (1.6 ppg) · GF 9 GA 5 · xG 9.73–5.14 · xPts 9.1

  • W A Queens Park Rangers 4–0 xG 4.24–0.78 UK CHAMP
  • W A Birmingham City 3–1 xG 0.74–0.7 UK CHAMP
  • D H Leicester City 1–1 xG 1.39–0.64 UK CHAMP
  • D H Oxford United 0–0 xG 1.99–1.04 UK CHAMP
  • L A Coventry City 1–3 xG 1.37–1.98 UK CHAMP

Charlton Athletic

LDDLW 1W 2D 2L · 5 pts (1.0 ppg) · GF 4 GA 6 · xG 5.04–5.81 · xPts 6.44

  • W H Birmingham City 1–0 xG 1.08–0.39 UK CHAMP
  • L H Wrexham 0–1 xG 1.62–0.75 UK CHAMP
  • D A West Bromwich Albion 1–1 xG 0.2–1.77 UK CHAMP
  • D A Southampton 1–1 xG 0.95–1.64 UK CHAMP
  • L H Portsmouth 1–3 xG 1.2–1.26 UK CHAMP

All meetings · 28 matches since 2000

Middlesbrough 129 draws7 Charlton Athletic

Goals 33–23 · 2.0 per match · BTTS 36% · over 2.5 39%

Last 10 · 10 matches

Middlesbrough 71 draws2 Charlton Athletic

Goals 12–5 · 1.7 per match · BTTS 20% · over 2.5 30%

Last 5 · 5 matches

Middlesbrough 30 draws2 Charlton Athletic

Goals 4–4 · 1.6 per match · BTTS 20% · over 2.5 20%

Recent meetings

  • L Middlesbrough 0–1 Charlton Athletic UK CHAMP · Regular Season
  • W Charlton Athletic 1–2 Middlesbrough UK CHAMP · Regular Season
  • W Charlton Athletic 0–1 Middlesbrough UK CHAMP · Regular Season
  • W Middlesbrough 1–0 Charlton Athletic UK CHAMP · Regular Season
  • L Charlton Athletic 2–0 Middlesbrough UK CHAMP · Regular Season
  • W Middlesbrough 3–0 Charlton Athletic UK CHAMP · Regular Season
  • W Middlesbrough 3–1 Charlton Athletic UK CHAMP · Regular Season
  • D Charlton Athletic 0–0 Middlesbrough UK CHAMP · Regular Season
  • W Middlesbrough 1–0 Charlton Athletic neutral UK CHAMP · Regular Season
  • W Charlton Athletic 0–1 Middlesbrough UK CHAMP · Regular Season
MetricMiddlesbrough all · 49Middlesbrough at home · 24Charlton Athletic all · 46Charlton Athletic away · 23
Results
Matches49244623
Points per game1.651.791.150.96
W / D / L22 / 15 / 1212 / 7 / 513 / 14 / 194 / 10 / 9
Goals for / match1.491.420.960.91
Goals against / match1.020.751.261.39
Clean sheets29%42%28%22%
Failed to score26%29%22%26%
Both teams scored55%46%54%56%
Over 2.553%42%39%35%
Expected goals
xG for / match1.591.621.151.03
xG against / match1.050.951.551.76
xG difference0.530.67-0.40-0.72
Finishing vs xG-0.10-0.21-0.19-0.12
xPts / match1.701.801.191.00
Points vs xPts-0.04-0.01-0.03-0.04
Game state
Scored first53%54%48%39%
PPG when scoring first2.462.622.051.78
PPG when conceding first0.670.710.270.38
Came back from behind46%38%24%36%
Leads held79%86%59%44%
Minutes leading32%33%16%14%
Minutes level49%52%56%61%
Minutes trailing19%15%28%26%
First goal (min)37385661
First goal conceded (min)46474350
Timing
Goals scored in 2nd half51%53%66%71%
Goals conceded in 2nd half55%61%53%69%
Late goals for (76'+)0.220.170.260.22
Late goals against0.290.290.330.61
Style
Possession59%60%42%40%
Shots16.217.311.09.2
On target4.85.23.53.0
Shot conversion9%8%9%10%
Shots inside box64%63%68%68%
Big chances created2.42.31.91.7
Corners6.87.84.13.2
xG from set plays24%30%39%44%
Goals from headers12%15%19%20%
Pressure index19.721.07.04.7
Dominant minutes63.163.134.427.4
Pass accuracy84%84%70%69%
Fouls9.39.212.012.7
Cards1.611.082.202.09

Goal timing for / against per 15 min

Middlesbrough

0–15'97
16–30'1010
31–45'175
46–60'136
61–75'138
76–90'1113

Charlton Athletic

0–15'28
16–30'58
31–45'811
46–60'78
61–75'108
76–90'1215

Pressure DNA · intensity v an average side in the same situations, SD units

Middlesbrough · 7 matches

Pressure above an average side in the same situations (+0.38) · stands out: when behind +1.00

Tempo

Overall intensity+0.387
Early press (0-15, level)+0.477
Late push (76+, level)+0.294

Game state

When ahead+0.196
When level+0.237
When behind+1.004
10 min after conceding+0.276
10 min after scoring+0.697

Situations

At home+0.464
Away+0.263
3 days rest or fewer+0.822
4+ days rest+0.205

Opposition

v mid-tier opponents+0.415
v bottom-tier opponents+0.282
As favourite+0.435
Evenly matched+0.262

Conceded

Pressure conceded-0.137
Conceded when ahead-0.116
Conceded late (76+)-0.417

Congested vs rested +0.62 · Ahead vs level -0.04 · Behind vs level +0.77

Charlton Athletic · 7 matches

Pressure in line with an average side in the same situations (-0.11) · stands out: 10 min after conceding -0.57

Tempo

Overall intensity-0.117
Early press (0-15, level)+0.437
Late push (76+, level)-0.354

Game state

When ahead-0.333
When level-0.027
When behind-0.113
10 min after conceding-0.574
10 min after scoring+0.044

Situations

At home-0.034
Away-0.263
3 days rest or fewer+0.342
4+ days rest-0.225

Opposition

v mid-tier opponents-0.372
v bottom-tier opponents+0.154
Evenly matched+0.182
As underdog-0.304

Conceded

Pressure conceded+0.447
Conceded when ahead+0.363
Conceded late (76+)+0.096

Congested vs rested +0.56 · Ahead vs level -0.30 · Behind vs level -0.09

Middlesbrough

Current: unbeaten 5 · winless 1 · scoring 7 · conceding 2

FormationUsePPGGFGAxGxGA
3-4-2-114 29%1.431.140.931.521.11
4-2-3-111 22%2.452.00.731.541.13
4-2-2-28 16%0.750.630.881.921.08
4-4-25 10%2.42.41.61.131.07
4-3-33 6%2.331.670.01.250.75

Charlton Athletic

Current: unbeaten 2 · winless 4 · clean sheets 2

FormationUsePPGGFGAxGxGA
3-1-4-214 30%0.860.861.641.081.41
3-5-210 22%1.10.91.01.031.55
3-4-2-16 13%0.830.831.51.421.54
3-4-1-25 11%1.00.61.01.021.72
4-2-3-13 6%1.331.01.331.261.01

Windows with fewer than 5 matches show no figures.

Pre-match movement · ends at kick-off

Every snapshot up to kick-off only — in-play prices are in Match Hub. Movement is in fair-probability points since the first snapshot (overround removed): ▲ shortened, ▼ drifted.

No pre-match movement recorded for this fixture.

Latest prices

bet365 · pre-match line -0.4h before kick-off · recorded after kick-off. Fair % removes the overround; P = Pinnacle fair %.

Fulltime Result

1.27Home 73% P 75%6.0Draw 16% P 16%8.5Away 11% P 9%

Double Chance

1.1Middlesbrough or Draw 43% P 45%1.16Middlesbrough or Charlton 41% P 42%3.0Draw or Charlton 16% P 13%

Draw No Bet

1.11 86%7.02 14%

Both Teams To Score

2.0Yes 46% P 47%1.72No 54% P 53%

Goals Over/Under

2.51.66Over 57% P 60%2.2Under 43% P 40%

Total Corners

13.0Under 6 7%3.66 - 8 24%2.629 - 11 33%3.7512 - 14 23%7.0Over 14 12%

Number of Cards

3.51.72Over 54%2.0Under 46%
4.52.2Over 42%1.61Under 58%

Fixtures priced like this · Pinnacle closing price · 2017–2026

Every past fixture whose Pinnacle fair price fell in the same band as this one, and how it finished at 90 minutes. Band = mean price in the band; ± = actual minus price, in probability points.

Match result · home 72.5–75% · away 7.5–10% · 458 fixtures

This matchBandActual±
Home75%74%74%+0.5
Draw16%17%18%+0.9
Away9%9%8%-1.5

In those fixtures: 3.0 goals a game · BTTS 48% · over 2.5 60%

Both teams to score · yes 45–47.5% · 2,102 fixtures

This matchBandActual±
Yes47%46%47%+0.3

Goals over/under 2.5 · over 60–62.5% · 2,027 fixtures

This matchBandActual±
Over 2.560%61%63%+1.5

Adam Herczeg

Career
41 matches · 6 seasons
Cards / match
3.66 (3.54 yellow · 0.1 red)
Fouls / match
21.8 · 5.8 fouls per card
Penalties / match
0.12
Cards to home side
48%

Style in Championship (5-year window · 34 matches)

MetricRefereeLeaguevs peerspct
Cards / match3.914.05-0.2645
Fouls / match22.321.8+0.38
Fouls per card5.75.4+0.22 (+ = lenient)
Penalties / match0.150.17-0.4422
Time added7.97.2+0.7974
First card
37' on average
Card timing
15% in first 30' · 36% in last 15'
Cards to home side
48% (league 45%)

Recent matches

DateYRFoulsPens1st card+min
2026-02-28 40 160 57'8
2026-02-24 40 280 2'7
2026-02-10 60 260 16'7
2026-02-07 40 260 71'8
2026-01-24 20 150 45'7
2026-01-21 · Middlesbrough 41 210 45'7
2026-01-10 10 180 81'5
2025-12-29 60 240 13'6
2025-12-20 21 210 26'11
2025-12-10 20 220 79'5