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Championship · Matchweek 37
Oxford UnitedOXF
1–0
FT
Blackburn RoversBBR

Momentum

– OXFBBR –
now

Match momentum Δ pressure · 0–100

Waiting for pressure data…

Competition

Stage
Regular Season
Round
37

Venue

Stadium
The Kassam Stadium, Oxford
Capacity
12,500
Surface
grass
Attendance
9,993

Teams

Coaches
Matt Bloomfield · Michael O'Neill
Position
23 · 20
Formation
4-2-3-1 · 3-4-2-1

Referee

David Webb

Weather

Conditions
few clouds
Temperature
6.7° (feels 3.0°)
Wind
6.2
Humidity
81%

Where to watch · 177

2025/2026

#TeamPWDLGFGAGDPtsForm
1 Coventry City 4628117 974552 95 DDWWW
2 Ipswich Town 4623158 804733 84 DWDDW
3 Millwall 46241111 644915 83 DWWDW
4 Southampton 46221410 825626 80 WWDDW
5 Middlesbrough 46221410 724725 80 LDWWD
6 Hull City 46211015 70664 73 LDDLW
7 Wrexham 46191413 69654 71 LWWLD
8 Derby County 4620917 67598 69 LWLWL
9 Norwich City 4619819 63567 65 LWWDL
10 Birmingham City 46171316 57561 64 WDWWD
11 Swansea City 46181018 5759-2 64 WLWDW
12 Bristol City 46171118 59590 62 DLDLW
13 Sheffield United 4618622 66660 60 WWLLW
14 Preston North End 46151516 5562-7 60 WLLWL
15 Queens Park Rangers 46161020 6173-12 58 DLLLL
16 Watford 46141517 5365-12 57 LLLLL
17 Stoke City 46151021 5156-5 55 DLLLL
18 Portsmouth 46141319 4964-15 55 WWLWD
19 Charlton Athletic 46131419 4458-14 53 LDLWL
20 Blackburn Rovers 46131320 4256-14 52 DLDWL
21 West Bromwich Albion (-2) 46131419 4858-10 51 DWWDL
22 Oxford United 46111421 4559-14 47 WLLWL
23 Leicester City (-6) 46121618 5868-10 46 LLDDW
24 Sheffield Wednesday (-18) 4621232 2989-60 0 DDLLW
  • Promotion
  • Promotion Play-off
  • Relegation

Oxford United

LDLWW 2W 1D 2L · 7 pts (1.4 ppg) · GF 6 GA 5 · xG 7.12–7.93 · xPts 6.32

  • W A Preston North End 3–1 xG 2.33–0.94 UK CHAMP
  • W H West Bromwich Albion 2–1 xG 0.91–1.27 UK CHAMP
  • L A Stoke City 1–2 xG 1.65–1.93 UK CHAMP
  • D A Middlesbrough 0–0 xG 1.04–1.99 UK CHAMP
  • L H Sunderland 0–1 xG 1.19–1.8 UK FA Cup

Blackburn Rovers

WWLLD 2W 1D 2L · 7 pts (1.4 ppg) · GF 7 GA 7 · xG 6.57–6.6 · xPts 7.26

  • D H Portsmouth 1–1 xG 1.18–0.79 UK CHAMP
  • L A Derby County 1–3 xG 0.74–1.54 UK CHAMP
  • L H Bristol City 1–2 xG 2.34–1.17 UK CHAMP
  • W H Preston North End 1–0 xG 1.33–0.18 UK CHAMP
  • W A Queens Park Rangers 3–1 xG 0.98–2.92 UK CHAMP

All meetings · 5 matches since 2016

Oxford United 21 draws2 Blackburn Rovers

Goals 4–6 · 2.0 per match · BTTS 40% · over 2.5 40%

Last 10 · 5 matches

Oxford United 21 draws2 Blackburn Rovers

Goals 4–6 · 2.0 per match · BTTS 40% · over 2.5 40%

Last 5 · 5 matches

Oxford United 21 draws2 Blackburn Rovers

Goals 4–6 · 2.0 per match · BTTS 40% · over 2.5 40%

Recent meetings

  • W Oxford United 1–0 Blackburn Rovers UK CHAMP · Regular Season
  • D Blackburn Rovers 1–1 Oxford United UK CHAMP · Regular Season
  • W Oxford United 1–0 Blackburn Rovers UK CHAMP · Regular Season
  • L Blackburn Rovers 2–1 Oxford United UK CHAMP · Regular Season
  • L Oxford United 0–3 Blackburn Rovers UK FA Cup · 4th Round
MetricOxford United all · 46Oxford United at home · 23Blackburn Rovers all · 46Blackburn Rovers away · 23
Results
Matches46234623
Points per game1.021.261.131.35
W / D / L11 / 14 / 217 / 8 / 813 / 13 / 209 / 4 / 10
Goals for / match0.981.040.911.00
Goals against / match1.281.171.221.26
Clean sheets17%22%26%30%
Failed to score41%39%35%39%
Both teams scored52%48%48%39%
Over 2.546%44%39%48%
Expected goals
xG for / match1.171.361.201.13
xG against / match1.431.171.301.45
xG difference-0.250.19-0.10-0.31
Finishing vs xG-0.20-0.32-0.28-0.13
xPts / match1.211.481.321.19
Points vs xPts-0.19-0.22-0.190.16
Game state
Scored first39%44%46%52%
PPG when scoring first2.062.401.762.17
PPG when conceding first0.220.270.520.33
Came back from behind19%27%26%9%
Leads held58%70%56%69%
Minutes leading21%23%21%28%
Minutes level47%47%55%48%
Minutes trailing32%30%24%24%
First goal (min)28264436
First goal conceded (min)35334944
Timing
Goals scored in 2nd half38%38%48%39%
Goals conceded in 2nd half41%41%59%66%
Late goals for (76'+)0.150.170.220.09
Late goals against0.150.040.390.35
Style
Possession40%42%48%47%
Shots11.914.111.511.4
On target3.44.23.23.1
Shot conversion8%7%8%9%
Shots inside box54%55%67%66%
Big chances created1.61.72.02.2
Corners4.04.65.34.9
xG from set plays40%46%27%24%
Goals from headers16%12%27%27%
Pressure index6.49.110.19.4
Dominant minutes33.744.244.643.4
Pass accuracy69%69%74%75%
Fouls10.810.510.511.3
Cards1.671.302.172.35

Goal timing for / against per 15 min

Oxford United

0–15'1013
16–30'108
31–45'814
46–60'511
61–75'56
76–90'77

Blackburn Rovers

0–15'54
16–30'67
31–45'1112
46–60'69
61–75'46
76–90'1018

Pressure DNA · intensity v an average side in the same situations, SD units

Oxford United

No pressure profile yet.

Blackburn Rovers · 7 matches

Pressure in line with an average side in the same situations (+0.04) · stands out: 10 min after scoring +0.55

Tempo

Overall intensity+0.047
Early press (0-15, level)-0.197
Late push (76+, level)+0.512
Late chase (76+, behind)-0.353

Game state

When ahead-0.145
When level+0.067
When behind+0.155
10 min after conceding+0.236
10 min after scoring+0.556

Situations

At home+0.004
Away+0.103
3 days rest or fewer+0.282
4+ days rest-0.055

Opposition

v mid-tier opponents+0.016
Evenly matched+0.125
As underdog-0.142

Conceded

Pressure conceded-0.067
Conceded when ahead+0.045
Conceded late (76+)-0.057

Congested vs rested +0.32 · Ahead vs level -0.21 · Behind vs level +0.09

Oxford United

Current: winless 1 · conceding 4

FormationUsePPGGFGAxGxGA
4-2-3-127 59%1.070.931.191.31.37
4-4-26 13%0.831.331.51.331.73
3-4-2-14 9%1.00.751.50.781.22
5-4-14 9%1.01.01.50.841.78
4-1-4-13 6%1.331.01.00.881.11

Blackburn Rovers

Current: unbeaten 1 · wins 1 · scoring 3 · conceding 3

FormationUsePPGGFGAxGxGA
3-4-1-217 37%1.060.941.291.311.11
4-2-3-113 28%1.080.921.231.131.34
3-4-2-112 26%1.170.831.081.151.35
3-5-22 4%1.51.51.01.062.12
5-3-21 2%3.01.00.01.330.18

Windows with fewer than 5 matches show no figures.

Pre-match movement · ends at kick-off

Every snapshot up to kick-off only — in-play prices are in Match Hub. Movement is in fair-probability points since the first snapshot (overround removed): ▲ shortened, ▼ drifted.

No pre-match movement recorded for this fixture.

Latest prices

bet365 · pre-match line 0.0h before kick-off. Fair % removes the overround; P = Pinnacle fair %.

Fulltime Result

2.75Home 34% P 35%3.0Draw 31% P 32%2.75Away 34% P 34%

Double Chance

1.4Oxford Utd or Draw 34% P 33%1.4Oxford Utd or Blackburn 34% P 34%1.44Draw or Blackburn 33% P 33%

Draw No Bet

1.81 51%1.92 49%

Both Teams To Score

2.1Yes 44% P 46%1.66No 56% P 54%

Goals Over/Under

2.52.62Over 36% P 38%1.5Under 64% P 62%

Total Corners

11.0Under 6 8%3.56 - 8 25%2.69 - 11 34%4.012 - 14 22%8.0Over 14 11%

Number of Cards

3.52.0Over 46% P 46%1.72Under 54% P 54%

Fixtures priced like this · Pinnacle closing price · 2017–2026

Every past fixture whose Pinnacle fair price fell in the same band as this one, and how it finished at 90 minutes. Band = mean price in the band; ± = actual minus price, in probability points.

Match result · home 32.5–35% · away 32.5–35% · 336 fixtures

This matchBandActual±
Home35%34%36%+2.3
Draw32%32%29%-3.3
Away34%34%35%+1.0

In those fixtures: 2.2 goals a game · BTTS 48% · over 2.5 40%

Both teams to score · yes 45–47.5% · 2,102 fixtures

This matchBandActual±
Yes46%46%47%+0.3

Goals over/under 2.5 · over 37.5–40% · 1,310 fixtures

This matchBandActual±
Over 2.538%39%39%+0.7

David Webb

Career
296 matches · 18 seasons
Cards / match
2.96 (2.84 yellow · 0.09 red)
Fouls / match
18.7 · 5.3 fouls per card
Penalties / match
0.19
Cards to home side
49%

Style in Championship (5-year window · 137 matches)

MetricRefereeLeaguevs peerspct
Cards / match3.264.05-1.446
Fouls / match20.421.8-1.35
Fouls per card6.55.4+1.44 (+ = lenient)
Penalties / match0.160.17-0.2445
Time added7.67.2+0.4463
First card
38' on average
Card timing
16% in first 30' · 34% in last 15'
Cards to home side
48% (league 45%)

Recent matches

DateYRFoulsPens1st card+min
2026-03-07 60 230 31'9
2026-02-24 40 220 56'6
2026-02-21 40 240 23'5
2026-02-07 20 170 22'10
2026-01-31 –– 20– –8
2026-01-04 · Blackburn Rovers 50 271 48'9
2025-12-29 50 230 23'9
2025-12-20 20 180 49'12
2025-12-13 10 212 32'7
2025-12-06 20 200 49'8