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Championship · Matchweek 37

Momentum

WBASouthampton
now

Match momentum Δ pressure · 0–100

Waiting for pressure data…

Competition

Stage
Regular Season
Round
37

Venue

Stadium
The Hawthorns, West Bromwich
Capacity
26,445
Surface
grass
Attendance
22,127

Teams

Coaches
James Morrison · Tonda Eckert
Position
22 · 8
Formation
4-4-2 · 4-2-3-1

Referee

Ben Speedie

Weather

Conditions
scattered clouds
Temperature
5.9° (feels 5.9°)
Wind
0.5
Humidity
83%

Where to watch · 177

2025/2026

#TeamPWDLGFGAGDPtsForm
1 Coventry City 4628117 974552 95 DDWWW
2 Ipswich Town 4623158 804733 84 DWDDW
3 Millwall 46241111 644915 83 DWWDW
4 Southampton 46221410 825626 80 WWDDW
5 Middlesbrough 46221410 724725 80 LDWWD
6 Hull City 46211015 70664 73 LDDLW
7 Wrexham 46191413 69654 71 LWWLD
8 Derby County 4620917 67598 69 LWLWL
9 Norwich City 4619819 63567 65 LWWDL
10 Birmingham City 46171316 57561 64 WDWWD
11 Swansea City 46181018 5759-2 64 WLWDW
12 Bristol City 46171118 59590 62 DLDLW
13 Sheffield United 4618622 66660 60 WWLLW
14 Preston North End 46151516 5562-7 60 WLLWL
15 Queens Park Rangers 46161020 6173-12 58 DLLLL
16 Watford 46141517 5365-12 57 LLLLL
17 Stoke City 46151021 5156-5 55 DLLLL
18 Portsmouth 46141319 4964-15 55 WWLWD
19 Charlton Athletic 46131419 4458-14 53 LDLWL
20 Blackburn Rovers 46131320 4256-14 52 DLDWL
21 West Bromwich Albion (-2) 46131419 4858-10 51 DWWDL
22 Oxford United 46111421 4559-14 47 WLLWL
23 Leicester City (-6) 46121618 5868-10 46 LLDDW
24 Sheffield Wednesday (-18) 4621232 2989-60 0 DDLLW
  • Promotion
  • Promotion Play-off
  • Relegation

West Bromwich Albion

LLDLD 0W 2D 3L · 2 pts (0.4 ppg) · GF 4 GA 9 · xG 5.79–5.7 · xPts 7.33

  • D A Sheffield United 1–1 xG 1.11–1.14 UK CHAMP
  • L A Oxford United 1–2 xG 1.27–0.91 UK CHAMP
  • D H Charlton Athletic 1–1 xG 1.77–0.2 UK CHAMP
  • L H Coventry City 0–2 xG 0.93–0.72 UK CHAMP
  • L A Norwich City 1–3 xG 0.71–2.73 UK FA Cup

Southampton

WDWWW 4W 1D 0L · 13 pts (2.6 ppg) · GF 12 GA 3 · xG 8.3–5.27 · xPts 9.03

  • W A Fulham 1–0 xG 1.5–2.0 UK FA Cup
  • W A Sheffield Wednesday 3–1 xG 2.04–0.85 UK CHAMP
  • W H Queens Park Rangers 5–0 xG 1.71–0.28 UK CHAMP
  • D H Charlton Athletic 1–1 xG 1.64–0.95 UK CHAMP
  • W H Leicester City 2–1 aet xG 1.4–1.2 UK FA Cup

All meetings · 29 matches since 2002

West Bromwich Albion 69 draws14 Southampton

Goals 26–34 · 2.07 per match · BTTS 38% · over 2.5 38%

Last 10 · 10 matches

West Bromwich Albion 12 draws7 Southampton

Goals 11–18 · 2.9 per match · BTTS 60% · over 2.5 60%

Last 5 · 5 matches

West Bromwich Albion 02 draws3 Southampton

Goals 4–9 · 2.6 per match · BTTS 60% · over 2.5 40%

Recent meetings

  • D West Bromwich Albion 1–1 Southampton UK CHAMP · Regular Season
  • L Southampton 3–2 West Bromwich Albion UK CHAMP · Regular Season
  • L Southampton 3–1 West Bromwich Albion neutral UK CHAMP · Promotion Play-offs - Semi-finals · leg 2/2
  • D West Bromwich Albion 0–0 Southampton UK CHAMP · Promotion Play-offs - Semi-finals · leg 1/2
  • L West Bromwich Albion 0–2 Southampton UK CHAMP · Regular Season
  • L Southampton 2–1 West Bromwich Albion UK CHAMP · Regular Season
  • W West Bromwich Albion 3–0 Southampton UK PL · Regular Season
  • L Southampton 2–0 West Bromwich Albion UK PL · Regular Season
  • L West Bromwich Albion 1–2 Southampton UK FA Cup · 5th Round
  • L West Bromwich Albion 2–3 Southampton UK PL · Regular Season
MetricWest Bromwich Albion all · 46West Bromwich Albion at home · 23Southampton all · 48Southampton away · 24
Results
Matches46234824
Points per game1.151.481.751.54
W / D / L13 / 14 / 198 / 10 / 523 / 15 / 1010 / 7 / 7
Goals for / match1.041.221.751.83
Goals against / match1.261.091.191.54
Clean sheets30%35%25%8%
Failed to score33%30%12%8%
Both teams scored50%52%71%88%
Over 2.546%44%62%71%
Expected goals
xG for / match1.441.671.711.64
xG against / match1.050.781.331.57
xG difference0.390.890.380.06
Finishing vs xG-0.40-0.450.040.20
xPts / match1.621.951.591.41
Points vs xPts-0.47-0.480.160.13
Game state
Scored first41%52%52%54%
PPG when scoring first2.052.002.241.85
PPG when conceding first0.380.861.261.20
Came back from behind17%29%54%46%
Leads held62%57%72%62%
Minutes leading25%32%34%31%
Minutes level50%52%49%49%
Minutes trailing25%16%18%20%
First goal (min)42384040
First goal conceded (min)45504446
Timing
Goals scored in 2nd half52%54%55%61%
Goals conceded in 2nd half53%64%61%65%
Late goals for (76'+)0.260.170.380.50
Late goals against0.260.300.270.38
Style
Possession52%54%56%54%
Shots13.415.214.413.1
On target4.14.75.35.1
Shot conversion8%8%12%14%
Shots inside box65%63%68%71%
Big chances created2.12.42.92.8
Corners5.26.15.85.0
xG from set plays36%41%28%32%
Goals from headers26%22%22%19%
Pressure index13.416.317.914.7
Dominant minutes52.957.359.054.2
Pass accuracy80%81%83%82%
Fouls10.210.110.711.5
Cards1.831.611.882.13

Goal timing for / against per 15 min

West Bromwich Albion

0–15'66
16–30'89
31–45'912
46–60'511
61–75'88
76–90'1212

Southampton

0–15'135
16–30'178
31–45'79
46–60'1710
61–75'1212
76–90'1713

Pressure DNA · intensity v an average side in the same situations, SD units

West Bromwich Albion · 7 matches

Pressure in line with an average side in the same situations (+0.14) · stands out: 10 min after scoring +0.38

Tempo

Overall intensity+0.147
Early press (0-15, level)+0.027
Late push (76+, level)-0.292

Game state

When ahead+0.085
When level+0.197
When behind-0.033
10 min after conceding-0.105
10 min after scoring+0.387

Situations

At home+0.274
Away-0.043
3 days rest or fewer+0.052
4+ days rest+0.175

Opposition

v mid-tier opponents+0.003
v bottom-tier opponents+0.234
As favourite+0.224
As underdog-0.072

Conceded

Pressure conceded-0.047
Conceded when ahead-0.165
Conceded late (76+)-0.257

Congested vs rested -0.11 · Ahead vs level -0.11 · Behind vs level -0.22

Southampton · 7 matches

Pressure above an average side in the same situations (+0.18) · stands out: late push (76+, level) +0.39

Tempo

Overall intensity+0.187
Early press (0-15, level)-0.267
Late push (76+, level)+0.393

Game state

When ahead+0.196
When level+0.037
When behind+0.622
10 min after conceding-0.187
10 min after scoring+0.297

Situations

At home+0.034
Away+0.363
3 days rest or fewer+0.252
4+ days rest+0.155

Opposition

v mid-tier opponents+0.234
v bottom-tier opponents+0.123
As favourite+0.206

Conceded

Pressure conceded+0.117
Conceded when ahead+0.166
Conceded late (76+)-0.446

Congested vs rested +0.09 · Ahead vs level +0.16 · Behind vs level +0.59

West Bromwich Albion

Current: unbeaten 4 · winless 1 · scoring 8 · conceding 1

FormationUsePPGGFGAxGxGA
4-2-3-124 52%1.251.171.291.480.98
4-4-217 37%1.291.00.821.521.08
3-4-2-13 6%0.00.03.00.861.62
5-4-12 4%0.51.52.01.180.75

Southampton

Current: unbeaten 6 · wins 2 · scoring 8 · conceding 8

FormationUsePPGGFGAxGxGA
4-2-3-120 42%2.051.950.951.521.23
3-4-2-117 35%1.181.651.651.951.44
3-4-34 8%1.51.51.51.071.7
4-2-2-22 4%2.02.01.52.560.86
5-4-12 4%2.01.50.02.420.33

Windows with fewer than 5 matches show no figures.

Pre-match movement · ends at kick-off

Every snapshot up to kick-off only — in-play prices are in Match Hub. Movement is in fair-probability points since the first snapshot (overround removed): ▲ shortened, ▼ drifted.

No pre-match movement recorded for this fixture.

Latest prices

bet365 · pre-match line -0.4h before kick-off · recorded after kick-off. Fair % removes the overround; P = Pinnacle fair %.

Fulltime Result

3.1Home 30% P 30%3.5Draw 27% P 27%2.2Away 43% P 43%

Double Chance

1.66West Brom or Draw 28% P 29%1.28West Brom or Southampton 37% P 36%1.36Draw or Southampton 35% P 35%

Draw No Bet

2.251 41%1.572 59%

Both Teams To Score

1.72Yes 54% P 55%2.0No 46% P 45%

Goals Over/Under

2.51.9Over 50% P 49%1.9Under 50% P 51%

Total Corners

11.0Under 6 8%3.46 - 8 26%2.69 - 11 34%4.012 - 14 22%9.0Over 14 10%

Number of Cards

3.52.0Over 46% P 47%1.72Under 54% P 53%

Fixtures priced like this · Pinnacle closing price · 2017–2026

Every past fixture whose Pinnacle fair price fell in the same band as this one, and how it finished at 90 minutes. Band = mean price in the band; ± = actual minus price, in probability points.

Match result · home 27.5–30% · away 42.5–45% · 505 fixtures

This matchBandActual±
Home30%29%23%-5.8
Draw27%28%27%-0.3
Away43%44%50%+6.1

In those fixtures: 2.8 goals a game · BTTS 56% · over 2.5 57%

Both teams to score · yes 55–57.5% · 2,581 fixtures

This matchBandActual±
Yes55%56%57%+1.1

Goals over/under 2.5 · over 47.5–50% · 3,307 fixtures

This matchBandActual±
Over 2.549%49%50%+1.3

Ben Speedie

Career
30 matches · 8 seasons
Cards / match
3.07 (2.97 yellow · 0.07 red)
Fouls / match
21.6 · 6.8 fouls per card
Penalties / match
0.03
Cards to home side
46%

Style in Championship (5-year window · 12 matches)

MetricRefereeLeaguevs peerspct
Cards / match3.04.05-1.910
Fouls / match20.121.8-1.56
Fouls per card7.35.4+2.55 (+ = lenient)
Penalties / match0.080.17-1.338
Time added8.07.2+0.9178
First card
45' on average
Card timing
14% in first 30' · 36% in last 15'
Cards to home side
33% (league 45%)

Recent matches

DateYRFoulsPens1st card+min
2026-02-13 10 150 83'6
2026-01-24 19 6
2026-01-09 40 210 25'15
2025-12-05 40 170 53'7
2025-09-27 20 230 75'8
2025-09-13 10 150 82'9
2025-08-30 21 161 44'4
2025-08-16 10 220 73'9
2025-04-26 20 200 32'9
2025-03-11 40 240 29'7