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Championship · Matchweek 38
Birmingham CityBRC
1–1
FT
Sheffield UnitedSHU

Momentum

– BRCSHU –
now

Match momentum Δ pressure · 0–100

Waiting for pressure data…

Competition

Stage
Regular Season
Round
38

Venue

Stadium
St. Andrew's Stadium, Birmingham
Capacity
29,409
Surface
grass

Teams

Coaches
Chris Davies · Chris Wilder
Position
10 · 13
Formation
4-2-3-1 · 4-4-2

Referee

Tim Robinson

Weather

Conditions
broken clouds
Temperature
9.1° (feels 9.1°)
Wind
0.9
Humidity
54%

Where to watch · 185

2025/2026

#TeamPWDLGFGAGDPtsForm
1 Coventry City 4628117 974552 95 DDWWW
2 Ipswich Town 4623158 804733 84 DWDDW
3 Millwall 46241111 644915 83 DWWDW
4 Southampton 46221410 825626 80 WWDDW
5 Middlesbrough 46221410 724725 80 LDWWD
6 Hull City 46211015 70664 73 LDDLW
7 Wrexham 46191413 69654 71 LWWLD
8 Derby County 4620917 67598 69 LWLWL
9 Norwich City 4619819 63567 65 LWWDL
10 Birmingham City 46171316 57561 64 WDWWD
11 Swansea City 46181018 5759-2 64 WLWDW
12 Bristol City 46171118 59590 62 DLDLW
13 Sheffield United 4618622 66660 60 WWLLW
14 Preston North End 46151516 5562-7 60 WLLWL
15 Queens Park Rangers 46161020 6173-12 58 DLLLL
16 Watford 46141517 5365-12 57 LLLLL
17 Stoke City 46151021 5156-5 55 DLLLL
18 Portsmouth 46141319 4964-15 55 WWLWD
19 Charlton Athletic 46131419 4458-14 53 LDLWL
20 Blackburn Rovers 46131320 4256-14 52 DLDWL
21 West Bromwich Albion (-2) 46131419 4858-10 51 DWWDL
22 Oxford United 46111421 4559-14 47 WLLWL
23 Leicester City (-6) 46121618 5868-10 46 LLDDW
24 Sheffield Wednesday (-18) 4621232 2989-60 0 DDLLW
  • Promotion
  • Promotion Play-off
  • Relegation

Birmingham City

WLLLW 2W 0D 3L · 6 pts (1.2 ppg) · GF 4 GA 8 · xG 4.87–5.76 · xPts 5.92

  • W H Queens Park Rangers 1–0 xG 2.04–0.59 UK CHAMP
  • L A Charlton Athletic 0–1 xG 0.39–1.08 UK CHAMP
  • L H Middlesbrough 1–3 xG 0.7–0.74 UK CHAMP
  • L A Millwall 0–3 xG 0.24–1.46 UK CHAMP
  • W A Norwich City 2–1 xG 1.5–1.9 UK CHAMP

Sheffield United

WLWDL 2W 1D 2L · 7 pts (1.4 ppg) · GF 7 GA 6 · xG 6.72–5.87 · xPts 7.77

  • L A Norwich City 1–2 xG 0.97–2.49 UK CHAMP
  • D H West Bromwich Albion 1–1 xG 1.14–1.11 UK CHAMP
  • W A Queens Park Rangers 2–0 xG 1.45–1.08 UK CHAMP
  • L H Coventry City 1–2 xG 1.78–0.95 UK CHAMP
  • W H Sheffield Wednesday 2–1 xG 1.37–0.23 UK CHAMP

All meetings · 14 matches since 2008

Birmingham City 46 draws4 Sheffield United

Goals 15–14 · 2.07 per match · BTTS 57% · over 2.5 43%

Last 10 · 10 matches

Birmingham City 25 draws3 Sheffield United

Goals 8–11 · 1.9 per match · BTTS 60% · over 2.5 40%

Last 5 · 5 matches

Birmingham City 03 draws2 Sheffield United

Goals 3–7 · 2.0 per match · BTTS 60% · over 2.5 40%

Recent meetings

  • D Sheffield United 0–0 Birmingham City UK CHAMP · Regular Season
  • D Birmingham City 1–1 Sheffield United UK CHAMP · Regular Season
  • L Sheffield United 3–0 Birmingham City UK CHAMP · Regular Season
  • L Birmingham City 1–2 Sheffield United UK CHAMP · Regular Season
  • D Sheffield United 1–1 Birmingham City UK CHAMP · Regular Season
  • L Birmingham City 1–2 Sheffield United UK CHAMP · Regular Season
  • W Sheffield United 0–1 Birmingham City UK CHAMP · Regular Season
  • D Birmingham City 1–1 Sheffield United UK CHAMP · Regular Season
  • D Sheffield United 0–0 Birmingham City UK CHAMP · Regular Season
  • W Birmingham City 2–1 Sheffield United UK CHAMP · Regular Season
MetricBirmingham City all · 46Birmingham City at home · 23Sheffield United all · 46Sheffield United away · 23
Results
Matches46234623
Points per game1.391.911.301.26
W / D / L17 / 13 / 1612 / 8 / 318 / 6 / 229 / 2 / 12
Goals for / match1.241.701.431.22
Goals against / match1.220.961.431.43
Clean sheets22%30%22%22%
Failed to score24%9%24%35%
Both teams scored56%65%56%44%
Over 2.546%48%59%44%
Expected goals
xG for / match1.491.911.641.42
xG against / match1.141.001.311.47
xG difference0.350.910.32-0.06
Finishing vs xG-0.25-0.21-0.20-0.20
xPts / match1.571.921.571.34
Points vs xPts-0.18-0.01-0.26-0.08
Game state
Scored first50%78%54%52%
PPG when scoring first2.352.331.841.83
PPG when conceding first0.410.250.650.64
Came back from behind33%40%18%20%
Leads held71%67%62%64%
Minutes leading28%44%27%26%
Minutes level42%46%44%46%
Minutes trailing31%10%29%28%
First goal (min)39303935
First goal conceded (min)35464038
Timing
Goals scored in 2nd half49%44%54%46%
Goals conceded in 2nd half39%50%62%67%
Late goals for (76'+)0.240.170.200.13
Late goals against0.150.170.260.26
Style
Possession54%55%52%47%
Shots13.617.313.411.3
On target4.15.74.33.7
Shot conversion9%10%11%11%
Shots inside box64%63%68%68%
Big chances created2.43.02.52.3
Corners5.86.66.65.7
xG from set plays30%29%35%30%
Goals from headers21%24%8%4%
Pressure index14.418.315.19.6
Dominant minutes54.364.050.541.5
Pass accuracy77%77%76%73%
Fouls11.711.010.310.8
Cards2.112.001.962.13

Goal timing for / against per 15 min

Birmingham City

0–15'1010
16–30'1112
31–45'812
46–60'98
61–75'87
76–90'117

Sheffield United

0–15'118
16–30'911
31–45'106
46–60'1619
61–75'1110
76–90'912

Pressure DNA · intensity v an average side in the same situations, SD units

Birmingham City · 7 matches

Pressure in line with an average side in the same situations (+0.12) · stands out: 10 min after conceding -0.36

Tempo

Overall intensity+0.127
Early press (0-15, level)+0.137
Late push (76+, level)-0.194
Late chase (76+, behind)-0.552

Game state

When ahead+0.152
When level+0.247
When behind-0.295
10 min after conceding-0.366
10 min after scoring+0.296

Situations

At home-0.063
Away+0.274
3 days rest or fewer+0.362
4+ days rest+0.035

Opposition

v mid-tier opponents+0.155
v bottom-tier opponents+0.072
Evenly matched+0.093
As underdog+0.263

Conceded

Pressure conceded-0.117
Conceded when ahead-0.122
Conceded late (76+)-0.207

Congested vs rested +0.33 · Ahead vs level -0.09 · Behind vs level -0.53

Sheffield United · 7 matches

Pressure below an average side in the same situations (-0.18) · stands out: 10 min after conceding -0.49

Tempo

Overall intensity-0.187
Early press (0-15, level)-0.017
Late push (76+, level)-0.365
Late chase (76+, behind)-0.392

Game state

When ahead-0.373
When level-0.117
When behind-0.355
10 min after conceding-0.495
10 min after scoring-0.104

Situations

At home-0.154
Away-0.223
3 days rest or fewer-0.202
4+ days rest-0.175

Opposition

v mid-tier opponents-0.094
v bottom-tier opponents-0.303
As favourite-0.202
Evenly matched-0.204

Conceded

Pressure conceded+0.347
Conceded when ahead+0.303
Conceded late (76+)+0.197

Congested vs rested -0.02 · Ahead vs level -0.26 · Behind vs level -0.23

Birmingham City

Current: unbeaten 1 · wins 1 · scoring 6 · conceding 6

FormationUsePPGGFGAxGxGA
4-2-3-140 87%1.381.331.281.541.16
4-4-22 4%1.50.50.51.160.61
4-4-1-12 4%1.51.01.51.730.5
3-4-31 2%0.00.01.00.251.91
4-1-4-11 2%3.01.00.00.831.5

Sheffield United

Current: winless 1 · conceding 5

FormationUsePPGGFGAxGxGA
4-2-3-119 41%1.261.631.791.471.44
4-4-211 24%2.01.640.911.641.36
3-4-2-16 13%1.01.331.671.891.36
4-2-2-24 9%2.01.750.252.50.62
4-3-33 6%0.00.01.01.01.34

Windows with fewer than 5 matches show no figures.

Pre-match movement · ends at kick-off

Every snapshot up to kick-off only — in-play prices are in Match Hub. Movement is in fair-probability points since the first snapshot (overround removed): ▲ shortened, ▼ drifted.

No pre-match movement recorded for this fixture.

Latest prices

bet365 · pre-match line 0.0h before kick-off. Fair % removes the overround; P = Pinnacle fair %.

Fulltime Result

2.05Home 46% P 46%3.5Draw 27% P 26%3.4Away 28% P 28%

Double Chance

1.28Birmingham or Draw 37% P 36%1.28Birmingham or Sheff Utd 37% P 37%1.8Draw or Sheff Utd 26% P 27%

Draw No Bet

1.441 65%2.622 35%

Both Teams To Score

1.72Yes 54% P 56%2.0No 46% P 44%

Goals Over/Under

2.51.9Over 50% P 52%1.9Under 50% P 48%

Total Corners

11.0Under 6 8%3.46 - 8 26%2.69 - 11 34%4.012 - 14 22%8.0Over 14 11%

Number of Cards

4.52.0Over 46%1.72Under 54%

Fixtures priced like this · Pinnacle closing price · 2017–2026

Every past fixture whose Pinnacle fair price fell in the same band as this one, and how it finished at 90 minutes. Band = mean price in the band; ± = actual minus price, in probability points.

Match result · home 45–47.5% · away 27.5–30% · 305 fixtures

This matchBandActual±
Home46%46%50%+4.6
Draw26%26%23%-2.4
Away28%28%26%-2.2

In those fixtures: 3.0 goals a game · BTTS 56% · over 2.5 55%

Both teams to score · yes 55–57.5% · 2,581 fixtures

This matchBandActual±
Yes56%56%57%+1.1

Goals over/under 2.5 · over 50–52.5% · 3,575 fixtures

This matchBandActual±
Over 2.552%51%51%-0.1

Tim Robinson

Career
329 matches · 16 seasons
Cards / match
3.97 (3.82 yellow · 0.08 red)
Fouls / match
23.2 · 5.4 fouls per card
Penalties / match
0.21
Cards to home side
44%

Style in Championship (5-year window · 80 matches)

MetricRefereeLeaguevs peerspct
Cards / match4.654.05+1.0892
Fouls / match22.621.8+0.71
Fouls per card4.95.4-1.01 (+ = lenient)
Penalties / match0.190.17+0.1363
Time added6.77.2-0.6024
First card
36' on average
Card timing
12% in first 30' · 30% in last 15'
Cards to home side
44% (league 45%)

Recent matches

DateYRFoulsPens1st card+min
2026-03-03 10 220 64'13
2026-02-28 40 230 45'11
2026-02-15 40 220 69'4
2026-02-11 20 250 75'4
2026-02-07 40 160 56'7
2026-02-01 41 160 35'14
2026-01-17 50 210 18'4
2026-01-10 40 210 45'9
2026-01-03 40 240 22'5
2025-12-26 30 230 49'4