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Championship · Matchweek 38

Momentum

CVCSouthampton
now

Match momentum Δ pressure · 0–100

Waiting for pressure data…

Competition

Stage
Regular Season
Round
38

Venue

Stadium
The Coventry Building Society Arena, Coventry
Capacity
32,609
Surface
grass

Teams

Coaches
Frank Lampard · Tonda Eckert
Position
1 · 7
Formation
4-2-3-1 · 4-1-4-1

Referee

Farai Hallam

Weather

Conditions
few clouds
Temperature
10.3° (feels 8.8°)
Wind
4.6
Humidity
53%

Where to watch · 177

2025/2026

#TeamPWDLGFGAGDPtsForm
1 Coventry City 4628117 974552 95 DDWWW
2 Ipswich Town 4623158 804733 84 DWDDW
3 Millwall 46241111 644915 83 DWWDW
4 Southampton 46221410 825626 80 WWDDW
5 Middlesbrough 46221410 724725 80 LDWWD
6 Hull City 46211015 70664 73 LDDLW
7 Wrexham 46191413 69654 71 LWWLD
8 Derby County 4620917 67598 69 LWLWL
9 Norwich City 4619819 63567 65 LWWDL
10 Birmingham City 46171316 57561 64 WDWWD
11 Swansea City 46181018 5759-2 64 WLWDW
12 Bristol City 46171118 59590 62 DLDLW
13 Sheffield United 4618622 66660 60 WWLLW
14 Preston North End 46151516 5562-7 60 WLLWL
15 Queens Park Rangers 46161020 6173-12 58 DLLLL
16 Watford 46141517 5365-12 57 LLLLL
17 Stoke City 46151021 5156-5 55 DLLLL
18 Portsmouth 46141319 4964-15 55 WWLWD
19 Charlton Athletic 46131419 4458-14 53 LDLWL
20 Blackburn Rovers 46131320 4256-14 52 DLDWL
21 West Bromwich Albion (-2) 46131419 4858-10 51 DWWDL
22 Oxford United 46111421 4559-14 47 WLLWL
23 Leicester City (-6) 46121618 5868-10 46 LLDDW
24 Sheffield Wednesday (-18) 4621232 2989-60 0 DDLLW
  • Promotion
  • Promotion Play-off
  • Relegation

Coventry City

WWWWW 5W 0D 0L · 15 pts (3.0 ppg) · GF 11 GA 2 · xG 10.73–4.98 · xPts 8.91

  • W H Preston North End 3–0 xG 5.01–0.47 UK CHAMP
  • W A Bristol City 2–0 xG 1.3–1.5 UK CHAMP
  • W H Stoke City 2–1 xG 2.75–0.31 UK CHAMP
  • W A Sheffield United 2–1 xG 0.95–1.78 UK CHAMP
  • W A West Bromwich Albion 2–0 xG 0.72–0.93 UK CHAMP

Southampton

DWWWD 3W 2D 0L · 11 pts (2.2 ppg) · GF 11 GA 3 · xG 7.86–6.33 · xPts 8.15

  • D A West Bromwich Albion 1–1 xG 0.96–2.26 UK CHAMP
  • W A Fulham 1–0 xG 1.5–2.0 UK FA Cup
  • W A Sheffield Wednesday 3–1 xG 2.04–0.85 UK CHAMP
  • W H Queens Park Rangers 5–0 xG 1.71–0.28 UK CHAMP
  • D H Charlton Athletic 1–1 xG 1.64–0.95 UK CHAMP

All meetings · 17 matches since 2000

Coventry City 38 draws6 Southampton

Goals 20–26 · 2.71 per match · BTTS 82% · over 2.5 47%

Last 10 · 10 matches

Coventry City 14 draws5 Southampton

Goals 12–18 · 3.0 per match · BTTS 80% · over 2.5 60%

Last 5 · 5 matches

Coventry City 02 draws3 Southampton

Goals 5–8 · 2.6 per match · BTTS 100% · over 2.5 60%

Recent meetings

  • L Coventry City 1–2 Southampton UK CHAMP · Regular Season
  • D Southampton 1–1 Coventry City UK CHAMP · Regular Season
  • L Southampton 2–1 Coventry City UK CHAMP · Regular Season
  • D Coventry City 1–1 Southampton UK CHAMP · Regular Season
  • L Southampton 2–1 Coventry City aet neutral UK FA Cup · 4th Round
  • L Southampton 4–0 Coventry City UK CHAMP · Regular Season
  • L Coventry City 2–4 Southampton UK CHAMP · Regular Season
  • D Southampton 1–1 Coventry City neutral UK CHAMP · Regular Season
  • W Coventry City 4–1 Southampton UK CHAMP · Regular Season
  • D Southampton 0–0 Coventry City neutral UK CHAMP · Regular Season
MetricCoventry City all · 46Coventry City at home · 23Southampton all · 48Southampton away · 24
Results
Matches46234824
Points per game2.072.391.751.54
W / D / L28 / 11 / 717 / 4 / 223 / 15 / 1010 / 7 / 7
Goals for / match2.112.221.751.83
Goals against / match0.980.831.191.54
Clean sheets37%35%25%8%
Failed to score15%17%12%8%
Both teams scored59%61%71%88%
Over 2.563%65%62%71%
Expected goals
xG for / match2.042.351.711.64
xG against / match1.141.091.331.57
xG difference0.901.270.380.06
Finishing vs xG0.07-0.140.040.20
xPts / match1.832.031.591.41
Points vs xPts0.230.360.160.13
Game state
Scored first65%56%52%54%
PPG when scoring first2.433.002.241.85
PPG when conceding first1.551.861.261.20
Came back from behind53%71%54%46%
Leads held80%100%72%62%
Minutes leading38%39%34%31%
Minutes level50%48%49%49%
Minutes trailing12%13%18%20%
First goal (min)33354040
First goal conceded (min)45424446
Timing
Goals scored in 2nd half53%59%55%61%
Goals conceded in 2nd half62%47%61%65%
Late goals for (76'+)0.480.570.380.50
Late goals against0.170.170.270.38
Style
Possession55%58%56%54%
Shots16.318.014.413.1
On target5.65.85.35.1
Shot conversion13%12%12%14%
Shots inside box72%72%68%71%
Big chances created2.83.22.92.8
Corners5.35.95.85.0
xG from set plays36%34%28%32%
Goals from headers20%14%22%19%
Pressure index17.021.317.914.7
Dominant minutes58.865.359.054.2
Pass accuracy80%82%83%82%
Fouls9.69.510.711.5
Cards1.611.351.882.13

Goal timing for / against per 15 min

Coventry City

0–15'155
16–30'106
31–45'216
46–60'189
61–75'1111
76–90'228

Southampton

0–15'135
16–30'178
31–45'79
46–60'1710
61–75'1212
76–90'1713

Pressure DNA · intensity v an average side in the same situations, SD units

Coventry City · 4 matches

Pressure in line with an average side in the same situations (-0.10) · stands out: early press (0-15, level) -0.28

Tempo

Overall intensity-0.104
Early press (0-15, level)-0.284
Late chase (76+, behind)-0.242

Game state

When level+0.024
When behind-0.224
10 min after conceding-0.264

Situations

At home+0.102
Away-0.342
4+ days rest-0.104

Opposition

v top-tier opponents-0.163
As underdog-0.163

Conceded

Pressure conceded+0.074
Conceded late (76+)-0.462

Behind vs level -0.24

Southampton · 7 matches

Pressure above an average side in the same situations (+0.18) · stands out: late push (76+, level) +0.39

Tempo

Overall intensity+0.187
Early press (0-15, level)-0.267
Late push (76+, level)+0.393

Game state

When ahead+0.196
When level+0.037
When behind+0.622
10 min after conceding-0.187
10 min after scoring+0.297

Situations

At home+0.034
Away+0.363
3 days rest or fewer+0.252
4+ days rest+0.155

Opposition

v mid-tier opponents+0.234
v bottom-tier opponents+0.123
As favourite+0.206

Conceded

Pressure conceded+0.117
Conceded when ahead+0.166
Conceded late (76+)-0.446

Congested vs rested +0.09 · Ahead vs level +0.16 · Behind vs level +0.60

Coventry City

Current: winless 4 · conceding 4

FormationUsePPGGFGAxGxGA
4-2-3-136 78%2.142.170.862.091.12
4-4-24 9%2.252.251.51.831.58
3-4-2-11 2%1.01.01.01.40.96
5-4-11 2%1.01.01.01.870.48
3-4-1-21 2%1.01.01.02.311.43

Southampton

Current: unbeaten 6 · wins 2 · scoring 8 · conceding 8

FormationUsePPGGFGAxGxGA
4-2-3-120 42%2.051.950.951.521.23
3-4-2-117 35%1.181.651.651.951.44
3-4-34 8%1.51.51.51.071.7
5-4-12 4%2.01.50.02.420.33
4-2-2-22 4%2.02.01.52.560.86

Windows with fewer than 5 matches show no figures.

Pre-match movement · ends at kick-off

Every snapshot up to kick-off only — in-play prices are in Match Hub. Movement is in fair-probability points since the first snapshot (overround removed): ▲ shortened, ▼ drifted.

No pre-match movement recorded for this fixture.

Latest prices

bet365 · pre-match line -0.1h before kick-off · recorded after kick-off. Fair % removes the overround; P = Pinnacle fair %.

Fulltime Result

1.9Home 49% P 50%3.6Draw 26% P 26%3.75Away 25% P 25%

Double Chance

1.25Coventry or Draw 38% P 38%1.25Coventry or Southampton 38% P 37%1.9Draw or Southampton 25% P 25%

Draw No Bet

1.441 65%2.622 35%

Both Teams To Score

1.57Yes 59% P 56%2.25No 41% P 44%

Goals Over/Under

2.51.66Over 57% P 53%2.2Under 43% P 47%

Total Corners

13.0Under 6 7%3.756 - 8 23%2.629 - 11 33%3.612 - 14 24%7.0Over 14 12%

Number of Cards

3.51.72Over 54%2.0Under 46%
4.52.2Over 42%1.61Under 58%

Fixtures priced like this · Pinnacle closing price · 2017–2026

Every past fixture whose Pinnacle fair price fell in the same band as this one, and how it finished at 90 minutes. Band = mean price in the band; ± = actual minus price, in probability points.

Match result · home 47.5–50% · away 22.5–25% · 809 fixtures

This matchBandActual±
Home50%49%47%-1.9
Draw26%28%29%+1.6
Away25%24%24%+0.2

In those fixtures: 2.6 goals a game · BTTS 54% · over 2.5 48%

Both teams to score · yes 55–57.5% · 2,581 fixtures

This matchBandActual±
Yes56%56%57%+1.1

Goals over/under 2.5 · over 52.5–55% · 2,943 fixtures

This matchBandActual±
Over 2.553%54%55%+0.8

Farai Hallam

Career
52 matches · 4 seasons
Cards / match
3.58 (3.52 yellow · 0.0 red)
Fouls / match
21.9 · 6.0 fouls per card
Penalties / match
0.12
Cards to home side
36%

Style in Championship (5-year window · 36 matches)

MetricRefereeLeaguevs peerspct
Cards / match4.04.05-0.1049
Fouls / match23.021.8+1.01
Fouls per card6.15.4+0.76 (+ = lenient)
Penalties / match0.110.17-0.9214
Time added7.17.2-0.1441
First card
35' on average
Card timing
12% in first 30' · 37% in last 15'
Cards to home side
36% (league 45%)
VAR events / match
1.0

Recent matches

DateYRFoulsPens1st card+min
2026-03-06 30 200 17'9
2026-02-28 30 150 17'7
2026-02-21 10 200 39'10
2026-02-13 40 160 45'4
2026-02-11 30 190 35'7
2026-01-31 · Southampton 50 260 30'7
2026-01-24 40 300 57'9
2026-01-17 70 190 21'7
2026-01-12 10 130 32'7
2026-01-04 30 190 25'6