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Championship · Matchweek 38
Leicester CityLEI
1–3
FT
Queens Park RangersQPR

Momentum

– LEIQPR –
now

Match momentum Δ pressure · 0–100

Waiting for pressure data…

Competition

Stage
Regular Season
Round
38

Venue

Stadium
King Power Stadium, Leicester
Capacity
32,312
Surface
grass

Teams

Coaches
Gary Rowett · Julien Stéphan
Position
22 · 18
Formation
4-2-3-1 · 4-4-2

Referee

Dean Whitestone

Weather

Conditions
clear sky
Temperature
9.7° (feels 8.3°)
Wind
2.6
Humidity
60%

Where to watch · 177

2025/2026

#TeamPWDLGFGAGDPtsForm
1 Coventry City 4628117 974552 95 DDWWW
2 Ipswich Town 4623158 804733 84 DWDDW
3 Millwall 46241111 644915 83 DWWDW
4 Southampton 46221410 825626 80 WWDDW
5 Middlesbrough 46221410 724725 80 LDWWD
6 Hull City 46211015 70664 73 LDDLW
7 Wrexham 46191413 69654 71 LWWLD
8 Derby County 4620917 67598 69 LWLWL
9 Norwich City 4619819 63567 65 LWWDL
10 Birmingham City 46171316 57561 64 WDWWD
11 Swansea City 46181018 5759-2 64 WLWDW
12 Bristol City 46171118 59590 62 DLDLW
13 Sheffield United 4618622 66660 60 WWLLW
14 Preston North End 46151516 5562-7 60 WLLWL
15 Queens Park Rangers 46161020 6173-12 58 DLLLL
16 Watford 46141517 5365-12 57 LLLLL
17 Stoke City 46151021 5156-5 55 DLLLL
18 Portsmouth 46141319 4964-15 55 WWLWD
19 Charlton Athletic 46131419 4458-14 53 LDLWL
20 Blackburn Rovers 46131320 4256-14 52 DLDWL
21 West Bromwich Albion (-2) 46131419 4858-10 51 DWWDL
22 Oxford United 46111421 4559-14 47 WLLWL
23 Leicester City (-6) 46121618 5868-10 46 LLDDW
24 Sheffield Wednesday (-18) 4621232 2989-60 0 DDLLW
  • Promotion
  • Promotion Play-off
  • Relegation

Leicester City

DDLDW 1W 3D 1L · 6 pts (1.2 ppg) · GF 6 GA 6 · xG 4.4–8.95 · xPts 4.12

  • W H Bristol City 2–0 xG 1.24–1.13 UK CHAMP
  • D A Ipswich Town 1–1 xG 0.38–2.67 UK CHAMP
  • L H Norwich City 0–2 xG 0.57–1.58 UK CHAMP
  • D A Middlesbrough 1–1 xG 0.64–1.39 UK CHAMP
  • D A Stoke City 2–2 xG 1.58–2.18 UK CHAMP

Queens Park Rangers

WLLLL 1W 0D 4L · 3 pts (0.6 ppg) · GF 3 GA 13 · xG 3.6–11.65 · xPts 2.68

  • L A Birmingham City 0–1 xG 0.59–2.04 UK CHAMP
  • L H Middlesbrough 0–4 xG 0.78–4.24 UK CHAMP
  • L H Sheffield United 0–2 xG 1.08–1.45 UK CHAMP
  • L A Southampton 0–5 xG 0.28–1.71 UK CHAMP
  • W A Hull City 3–1 xG 0.86–2.2 UK CHAMP

All meetings · 19 matches since 2005

Leicester City 82 draws9 Queens Park Rangers

Goals 34–32 · 3.47 per match · BTTS 74% · over 2.5 68%

Last 10 · 10 matches

Leicester City 50 draws5 Queens Park Rangers

Goals 20–17 · 3.7 per match · BTTS 70% · over 2.5 70%

Last 5 · 5 matches

Leicester City 20 draws3 Queens Park Rangers

Goals 11–12 · 4.6 per match · BTTS 100% · over 2.5 100%

Recent meetings

  • L Leicester City 1–3 Queens Park Rangers UK CHAMP · Regular Season
  • L Queens Park Rangers 4–1 Leicester City UK CHAMP · Regular Season
  • W Leicester City 6–2 Queens Park Rangers UK FA Cup · 3rd Round
  • L Leicester City 1–2 Queens Park Rangers UK CHAMP · Regular Season
  • W Queens Park Rangers 1–2 Leicester City UK CHAMP · Regular Season
  • W Leicester City 5–1 Queens Park Rangers UK PL · Regular Season
  • L Queens Park Rangers 3–2 Leicester City neutral UK PL · Regular Season
  • W Leicester City 1–0 Queens Park Rangers UK CHAMP · Regular Season
  • W Queens Park Rangers 0–1 Leicester City neutral UK CHAMP · Regular Season
  • L Queens Park Rangers 1–0 Leicester City UK CHAMP · Regular Season
MetricLeicester City all · 46Leicester City at home · 23Queens Park Rangers all · 46Queens Park Rangers away · 23
Results
Matches46234623
Points per game1.131.221.261.09
W / D / L12 / 16 / 187 / 7 / 916 / 10 / 206 / 7 / 10
Goals for / match1.261.351.330.91
Goals against / match1.481.481.591.57
Clean sheets13%13%22%26%
Failed to score20%22%28%39%
Both teams scored72%70%63%52%
Over 2.554%52%63%48%
Expected goals
xG for / match1.281.341.300.98
xG against / match1.471.271.331.45
xG difference-0.190.07-0.03-0.47
Finishing vs xG-0.020.010.02-0.07
xPts / match1.261.391.371.07
Points vs xPts-0.13-0.17-0.110.02
Game state
Scored first48%61%33%17%
PPG when scoring first1.731.642.473.00
PPG when conceding first0.550.500.600.60
Came back from behind33%25%26%33%
Leads held46%44%84%100%
Minutes leading26%34%20%10%
Minutes level43%41%46%48%
Minutes trailing31%25%34%42%
First goal (min)40304550
First goal conceded (min)39443423
Timing
Goals scored in 2nd half48%39%57%62%
Goals conceded in 2nd half50%56%48%28%
Late goals for (76'+)0.370.300.390.26
Late goals against0.280.300.260.04
Style
Possession52%54%46%45%
Shots12.913.812.711.1
On target4.24.04.13.2
Shot conversion10%10%10%8%
Shots inside box59%54%63%63%
Big chances created1.72.01.81.2
Corners5.36.14.84.3
xG from set plays34%30%31%34%
Goals from headers12%13%17%20%
Pressure index12.615.311.77.9
Dominant minutes47.152.446.738.9
Pass accuracy80%82%76%76%
Fouls10.810.711.010.8
Cards1.961.741.911.70

Goal timing for / against per 15 min

Leicester City

0–15'1412
16–30'86
31–45'816
46–60'88
61–75'313
76–90'1713

Queens Park Rangers

0–15'712
16–30'711
31–45'1215
46–60'716
61–75'107
76–90'1812

Pressure DNA · intensity v an average side in the same situations, SD units

Leicester City

No pressure profile yet.

Queens Park Rangers · 7 matches

Pressure above an average side in the same situations (+0.29) · stands out: as favourite +0.67

Tempo

Overall intensity+0.297
Early press (0-15, level)+0.047
Late push (76+, level)-0.093

Game state

When ahead+0.414
When level+0.367
When behind-0.233
10 min after conceding-0.325
10 min after scoring+0.394

Situations

At home+0.203
Away+0.354
3 days rest or fewer-0.172
4+ days rest+0.475

Opposition

v mid-tier opponents-0.172
v bottom-tier opponents+0.475
As favourite+0.673
Evenly matched+0.083

Conceded

Pressure conceded-0.077
Conceded when ahead-0.324
Conceded late (76+)-0.397

Congested vs rested -0.65 · Ahead vs level +0.04 · Behind vs level -0.59

Leicester City

Current: unbeaten 3 · wins 1 · scoring 3 · clean sheets 1

FormationUsePPGGFGAxGxGA
4-2-3-145 98%1.131.271.491.291.48
4-3-31 2%1.01.01.00.851.11

Queens Park Rangers

Current: unbeaten 2 · winless 3 · scoring 1 · conceding 1

FormationUsePPGGFGAxGxGA
4-2-3-123 50%1.391.261.481.321.24
4-4-223 50%1.131.391.71.281.42

Windows with fewer than 5 matches show no figures.

Pre-match movement · ends at kick-off

Every snapshot up to kick-off only — in-play prices are in Match Hub. Movement is in fair-probability points since the first snapshot (overround removed): ▲ shortened, ▼ drifted.

No pre-match movement recorded for this fixture.

Latest prices

bet365 · pre-match line -0.1h before kick-off · recorded after kick-off. Fair % removes the overround; P = Pinnacle fair %.

Fulltime Result

1.75Home 54% P 53%3.7Draw 25% P 25%4.5Away 21% P 22%

Double Chance

1.25Leicester or Draw 37% P 39%1.28Leicester or QPR 37% P 37%1.8Draw or QPR 26% P 23%

Draw No Bet

1.41 66%2.752 34%

Both Teams To Score

1.8Yes 51% P 53%1.9No 49% P 47%

Goals Over/Under

2.51.9Over 50% P 51%1.9Under 50% P 49%

Total Corners

13.0Under 6 7%3.756 - 8 23%2.629 - 11 33%3.612 - 14 24%6.5Over 14 13%

Number of Cards

2.51.57Over 59%2.25Under 41%
3.52.0Over 46% P 43%1.72Under 54% P 57%

Fixtures priced like this · Pinnacle closing price · 2017–2026

Every past fixture whose Pinnacle fair price fell in the same band as this one, and how it finished at 90 minutes. Band = mean price in the band; ± = actual minus price, in probability points.

Match result · home 52.5–55% · away 20–22.5% · 664 fixtures

This matchBandActual±
Home53%54%56%+2.6
Draw25%25%27%+1.4
Away22%21%17%-4.1

In those fixtures: 2.8 goals a game · BTTS 56% · over 2.5 54%

Both teams to score · yes 52.5–55% · 3,040 fixtures

This matchBandActual±
Yes53%54%54%-0.2

Goals over/under 2.5 · over 50–52.5% · 3,575 fixtures

This matchBandActual±
Over 2.551%51%51%-0.1

Dean Whitestone

Career
255 matches · 17 seasons
Cards / match
2.93 (2.83 yellow · 0.06 red)
Fouls / match
20.1 · 5.2 fouls per card
Penalties / match
0.22
Cards to home side
45%

Style in Championship (5-year window · 108 matches)

MetricRefereeLeaguevs peerspct
Cards / match3.334.05-1.318
Fouls / match20.921.8-0.83
Fouls per card6.35.4+1.16 (+ = lenient)
Penalties / match0.210.17+0.4878
Time added7.37.2+0.1053
First card
42' on average
Card timing
12% in first 30' · 37% in last 15'
Cards to home side
44% (league 45%)

Recent matches

DateYRFoulsPens1st card+min
2026-03-07 30 190 47'8
2026-02-25 31 220 45'15
2026-02-14 20 140 81'10
2026-02-03 60 250 47'6
2026-01-20 70 330 40'9
2026-01-01 · Queens Park Rangers 30 200 45'10
2025-12-09 20 181 11'9
2025-12-05 10 281 58'6
2025-11-22 50 260 37'5
2025-11-08 · Leicester City 20 270 9'12