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Championship · Matchweek 38
MiddlesbroughMID
1–1
FT
Bristol CityBristol City

Momentum

– MIDBristol City –
now

Match momentum Δ pressure · 0–100

Waiting for pressure data…

Competition

Stage
Regular Season
Round
38

Venue

Stadium
Riverside Stadium, Middlesbrough
Capacity
34,988
Surface
grass

Teams

Coaches
Kim Hellberg · Gerhard Struber
Position
2 · 12
Formation
4-1-4-1 · 5-3-2

Referee

Stephen Martin

Weather

Conditions
scattered clouds
Temperature
10.4° (feels 8.8°)
Wind
4.1
Humidity
52%

Where to watch · 177

2025/2026

#TeamPWDLGFGAGDPtsForm
1 Coventry City 4628117 974552 95 DDWWW
2 Ipswich Town 4623158 804733 84 DWDDW
3 Millwall 46241111 644915 83 DWWDW
4 Southampton 46221410 825626 80 WWDDW
5 Middlesbrough 46221410 724725 80 LDWWD
6 Hull City 46211015 70664 73 LDDLW
7 Wrexham 46191413 69654 71 LWWLD
8 Derby County 4620917 67598 69 LWLWL
9 Norwich City 4619819 63567 65 LWWDL
10 Birmingham City 46171316 57561 64 WDWWD
11 Swansea City 46181018 5759-2 64 WLWDW
12 Bristol City 46171118 59590 62 DLDLW
13 Sheffield United 4618622 66660 60 WWLLW
14 Preston North End 46151516 5562-7 60 WLLWL
15 Queens Park Rangers 46161020 6173-12 58 DLLLL
16 Watford 46141517 5365-12 57 LLLLL
17 Stoke City 46151021 5156-5 55 DLLLL
18 Portsmouth 46141319 4964-15 55 WWLWD
19 Charlton Athletic 46131419 4458-14 53 LDLWL
20 Blackburn Rovers 46131320 4256-14 52 DLDWL
21 West Bromwich Albion (-2) 46131419 4858-10 51 DWWDL
22 Oxford United 46111421 4559-14 47 WLLWL
23 Leicester City (-6) 46121618 5868-10 46 LLDDW
24 Sheffield Wednesday (-18) 4621232 2989-60 0 DDLLW
  • Promotion
  • Promotion Play-off
  • Relegation

Middlesbrough

DDWWL 2W 2D 1L · 8 pts (1.6 ppg) · GF 8 GA 3 · xG 10.93–4.06 · xPts 10.45

  • L H Charlton Athletic 0–1 xG 2.58–0.9 UK CHAMP
  • W A Queens Park Rangers 4–0 xG 4.24–0.78 UK CHAMP
  • W A Birmingham City 3–1 xG 0.74–0.7 UK CHAMP
  • D H Leicester City 1–1 xG 1.39–0.64 UK CHAMP
  • D H Oxford United 0–0 xG 1.99–1.04 UK CHAMP

Bristol City

WLLLL 1W 0D 4L · 3 pts (0.6 ppg) · GF 3 GA 8 · xG 6.36–7.54 · xPts 6.16

  • L A Leicester City 0–2 xG 1.13–1.24 UK CHAMP
  • L H Coventry City 0–2 xG 1.5–1.3 UK CHAMP
  • L A Port Vale 0–1 aet xG 1.62–1.29 UK FA Cup
  • L H Watford 1–2 xG 0.95–1.37 UK CHAMP
  • W A Blackburn Rovers 2–1 xG 1.17–2.34 UK CHAMP

All meetings · 31 matches since 2007

Middlesbrough 78 draws16 Bristol City

Goals 36–47 · 2.68 per match · BTTS 64% · over 2.5 58%

Last 10 · 10 matches

Middlesbrough 13 draws6 Bristol City

Goals 11–18 · 2.9 per match · BTTS 80% · over 2.5 60%

Last 5 · 5 matches

Middlesbrough 01 draws4 Bristol City

Goals 3–9 · 2.4 per match · BTTS 60% · over 2.5 40%

Recent meetings

  • D Middlesbrough 1–1 Bristol City UK CHAMP · Regular Season
  • L Bristol City 2–0 Middlesbrough UK CHAMP · Regular Season
  • L Bristol City 2–1 Middlesbrough UK CHAMP · Regular Season
  • L Middlesbrough 0–2 Bristol City UK CHAMP · Regular Season
  • L Middlesbrough 1–2 Bristol City UK CHAMP · Regular Season
  • L Bristol City 3–2 Middlesbrough UK CHAMP · Regular Season
  • D Bristol City 2–2 Middlesbrough UK CHAMP · Regular Season
  • D Middlesbrough 1–1 Bristol City UK CHAMP · Regular Season
  • L Bristol City 2–1 Middlesbrough UK CHAMP · Regular Season
  • W Middlesbrough 2–1 Bristol City neutral UK CHAMP · Regular Season
MetricMiddlesbrough all · 49Middlesbrough at home · 24Bristol City all · 46Bristol City away · 23
Results
Matches49244623
Points per game1.651.791.351.35
W / D / L22 / 15 / 1212 / 7 / 517 / 11 / 188 / 7 / 8
Goals for / match1.491.421.281.13
Goals against / match1.020.751.281.22
Clean sheets29%42%30%26%
Failed to score26%29%33%35%
Both teams scored55%46%46%52%
Over 2.553%42%46%44%
Expected goals
xG for / match1.591.621.181.16
xG against / match1.050.951.481.46
xG difference0.530.67-0.29-0.31
Finishing vs xG-0.10-0.210.10-0.03
xPts / match1.701.801.201.19
Points vs xPts-0.04-0.010.150.16
Game state
Scored first53%54%39%35%
PPG when scoring first2.462.622.332.50
PPG when conceding first0.670.710.670.67
Came back from behind46%38%31%33%
Leads held79%86%77%80%
Minutes leading32%33%30%28%
Minutes level49%52%41%43%
Minutes trailing19%15%29%29%
First goal (min)37383236
First goal conceded (min)46473029
Timing
Goals scored in 2nd half51%53%46%38%
Goals conceded in 2nd half55%61%44%39%
Late goals for (76'+)0.220.170.240.13
Late goals against0.290.290.240.17
Style
Possession59%60%49%46%
Shots16.217.312.211.7
On target4.85.24.14.2
Shot conversion9%8%10%10%
Shots inside box64%63%60%62%
Big chances created2.42.31.91.9
Corners6.87.84.85.0
xG from set plays24%30%24%29%
Goals from headers12%15%21%20%
Pressure index19.721.011.99.3
Dominant minutes63.163.143.939.0
Pass accuracy84%84%78%76%
Fouls9.39.29.510.3
Cards1.611.081.832.00

Goal timing for / against per 15 min

Middlesbrough

0–15'97
16–30'1010
31–45'175
46–60'136
61–75'138
76–90'1113

Bristol City

0–15'911
16–30'1115
31–45'127
46–60'115
61–75'510
76–90'1111

Pressure DNA · intensity v an average side in the same situations, SD units

Middlesbrough · 7 matches

Pressure above an average side in the same situations (+0.38) · stands out: when behind +1.00

Tempo

Overall intensity+0.387
Early press (0-15, level)+0.477
Late push (76+, level)+0.294

Game state

When ahead+0.196
When level+0.237
When behind+1.004
10 min after conceding+0.276
10 min after scoring+0.697

Situations

At home+0.464
Away+0.263
3 days rest or fewer+0.822
4+ days rest+0.205

Opposition

v mid-tier opponents+0.415
v bottom-tier opponents+0.282
As favourite+0.435
Evenly matched+0.262

Conceded

Pressure conceded-0.137
Conceded when ahead-0.116
Conceded late (76+)-0.417

Congested vs rested +0.62 · Ahead vs level -0.04 · Behind vs level +0.77

Bristol City · 7 matches

Pressure above an average side in the same situations (+0.35) · stands out: as underdog +0.72

Tempo

Overall intensity+0.357
Early press (0-15, level)+0.347
Late push (76+, level)+0.213
Late chase (76+, behind)+0.134

Game state

When ahead+0.114
When level+0.397
When behind+0.514
10 min after conceding+0.077
10 min after scoring+0.565

Situations

At home+0.033
Away+0.614
3 days rest or fewer+0.372
4+ days rest+0.355

Opposition

v mid-tier opponents+0.514
v bottom-tier opponents+0.153
As favourite+0.022
Evenly matched+0.162
As underdog+0.723

Conceded

Pressure conceded-0.127
Conceded when ahead-0.294
Conceded late (76+)-0.387

Congested vs rested +0.02 · Ahead vs level -0.28 · Behind vs level +0.13

Middlesbrough

Current: unbeaten 5 · winless 1 · scoring 7 · conceding 2

FormationUsePPGGFGAxGxGA
3-4-2-114 29%1.431.140.931.521.11
4-2-3-111 22%2.452.00.731.541.13
4-2-2-28 16%0.750.630.881.921.08
4-4-25 10%2.42.41.61.131.07
3-4-1-23 6%1.01.672.670.881.17

Bristol City

Current: winless 2 · conceding 7

FormationUsePPGGFGAxGxGA
3-4-2-125 54%1.481.441.41.161.42
4-2-3-18 17%1.131.251.380.971.51
3-5-25 11%0.81.01.01.521.38
3-4-1-24 9%1.00.751.51.481.44
4-3-2-11 2%3.02.01.02.461.9

Windows with fewer than 5 matches show no figures.

Pre-match movement · ends at kick-off

Every snapshot up to kick-off only — in-play prices are in Match Hub. Movement is in fair-probability points since the first snapshot (overround removed): ▲ shortened, ▼ drifted.

No pre-match movement recorded for this fixture.

Latest prices

bet365 · pre-match line -0.1h before kick-off · recorded after kick-off. Fair % removes the overround; P = Pinnacle fair %.

Fulltime Result

1.42Home 66% P 67%4.75Draw 20% P 19%6.5Away 14% P 14%

Double Chance

1.11Middlesbrough or Draw 43% P 43%1.18Middlesbrough or Bristol City 40% P 40%2.75Draw or Bristol City 17% P 16%

Draw No Bet

1.141 83%5.52 17%

Both Teams To Score

1.66Yes 56% P 54%2.1No 44% P 46%

Goals Over/Under

2.51.53Over 62% P 62%2.5Under 38% P 38%

Total Corners

11.0Under 6 8%3.46 - 8 26%2.629 - 11 33%4.012 - 14 22%8.0Over 14 11%

Number of Cards

3.51.72Over 54% P 52%2.0Under 46% P 48%

Fixtures priced like this · Pinnacle closing price · 2017–2026

Every past fixture whose Pinnacle fair price fell in the same band as this one, and how it finished at 90 minutes. Band = mean price in the band; ± = actual minus price, in probability points.

Match result · home 65–67.5% · away 12.5–15% · 566 fixtures

This matchBandActual±
Home67%66%69%+3.3
Draw19%20%20%-0.7
Away14%14%11%-2.7

In those fixtures: 3.1 goals a game · BTTS 51% · over 2.5 58%

Both teams to score · yes 52.5–55% · 3,040 fixtures

This matchBandActual±
Yes54%54%54%-0.2

Goals over/under 2.5 · over 60–62.5% · 2,027 fixtures

This matchBandActual±
Over 2.562%61%63%+1.5

Stephen Martin

Career
78 matches · 5 seasons
Cards / match
4.68 (4.58 yellow · 0.04 red)
Fouls / match
22.9 · 4.8 fouls per card
Penalties / match
0.12
Cards to home side
44%

Style in Championship (5-year window · 72 matches)

MetricRefereeLeaguevs peerspct
Cards / match4.64.05+0.9986
Fouls / match23.021.8+1.06
Fouls per card5.25.4-0.59 (+ = lenient)
Penalties / match0.110.17-0.9412
Time added7.77.2+0.5667
First card
35' on average
Card timing
15% in first 30' · 32% in last 15'
Cards to home side
43% (league 45%)

Recent matches

DateYRFoulsPens1st card+min
2026-03-10 70 201 7'6
2026-02-21 30 210 17'7
2026-02-14 50 260 36'15
2026-01-31 40 190 22'7
2026-01-20 51 250 45'10
2026-01-10 30 211 14'5
2026-01-05 10 160 77'7
2025-12-26 60 170 28'9
2025-12-20 50 280 37'8
2025-12-13 · Bristol City 40 280 57'6