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Championship · Matchweek 38
Norwich CityNorwich City
2–0
FT
Preston North EndPNE

Momentum

– Norwich CityPNE –
now

Match momentum Δ pressure · 0–100

Waiting for pressure data…

Competition

Stage
Regular Season
Round
38

Venue

Stadium
Carrow Road, Norwich
Capacity
27,244
Surface
grass

Teams

Coaches
Philippe Clement · Paul Heckingbottom
Position
15 · 14
Formation
4-2-3-1 · 5-3-2

Referee

Gavin Ward

Weather

Conditions
few clouds
Temperature
8.9° (feels 6.6°)
Wind
4.1
Humidity
58%

Where to watch · 185

2025/2026

#TeamPWDLGFGAGDPtsForm
1 Coventry City 4628117 974552 95 DDWWW
2 Ipswich Town 4623158 804733 84 DWDDW
3 Millwall 46241111 644915 83 DWWDW
4 Southampton 46221410 825626 80 WWDDW
5 Middlesbrough 46221410 724725 80 LDWWD
6 Hull City 46211015 70664 73 LDDLW
7 Wrexham 46191413 69654 71 LWWLD
8 Derby County 4620917 67598 69 LWLWL
9 Norwich City 4619819 63567 65 LWWDL
10 Birmingham City 46171316 57561 64 WDWWD
11 Swansea City 46181018 5759-2 64 WLWDW
12 Bristol City 46171118 59590 62 DLDLW
13 Sheffield United 4618622 66660 60 WWLLW
14 Preston North End 46151516 5562-7 60 WLLWL
15 Queens Park Rangers 46161020 6173-12 58 DLLLL
16 Watford 46141517 5365-12 57 LLLLL
17 Stoke City 46151021 5156-5 55 DLLLL
18 Portsmouth 46141319 4964-15 55 WWLWD
19 Charlton Athletic 46131419 4458-14 53 LDLWL
20 Blackburn Rovers 46131320 4256-14 52 DLDWL
21 West Bromwich Albion (-2) 46131419 4858-10 51 DWWDL
22 Oxford United 46111421 4559-14 47 WLLWL
23 Leicester City (-6) 46121618 5868-10 46 LLDDW
24 Sheffield Wednesday (-18) 4621232 2989-60 0 DDLLW
  • Promotion
  • Promotion Play-off
  • Relegation

Norwich City

LWWLW 3W 0D 2L · 9 pts (1.8 ppg) · GF 7 GA 6 · xG 9.54–5.43 · xPts 9.54

  • W H Sheffield United 2–1 xG 2.49–0.97 UK CHAMP
  • L A Leeds United 0–3 xG 1.28–1.99 UK FA Cup
  • W A Leicester City 2–0 xG 1.58–0.57 UK CHAMP
  • W H Sheffield Wednesday 2–0 xG 2.3–0.4 UK CHAMP
  • L H Birmingham City 1–2 xG 1.9–1.5 UK CHAMP

Preston North End

LDLLL 0W 1D 4L · 1 pts (0.2 ppg) · GF 2 GA 10 · xG 4.1–13.36 · xPts 2.62

  • L A Coventry City 0–3 xG 0.47–5.01 UK CHAMP
  • L H Oxford United 1–3 xG 0.94–2.33 UK CHAMP
  • L H Millwall 0–2 xG 0.54–2.43 UK CHAMP
  • D A Swansea City 1–1 xG 1.96–2.26 UK CHAMP
  • L A Blackburn Rovers 0–1 xG 0.18–1.33 UK CHAMP

All meetings · 28 matches since 2006

Norwich City 910 draws9 Preston North End

Goals 34–31 · 2.32 per match · BTTS 43% · over 2.5 36%

Last 10 · 10 matches

Norwich City 35 draws2 Preston North End

Goals 15–10 · 2.5 per match · BTTS 50% · over 2.5 40%

Last 5 · 5 matches

Norwich City 22 draws1 Preston North End

Goals 6–4 · 2.0 per match · BTTS 40% · over 2.5 20%

Recent meetings

  • W Norwich City 2–0 Preston North End UK CHAMP · Regular Season
  • D Preston North End 1–1 Norwich City UK CHAMP · Regular Season
  • L Norwich City 0–1 Preston North End UK CHAMP · Regular Season
  • D Preston North End 2–2 Norwich City UK CHAMP · Regular Season
  • W Preston North End 0–1 Norwich City UK CHAMP · Regular Season
  • D Norwich City 0–0 Preston North End UK CHAMP · Regular Season
  • W Preston North End 0–4 Norwich City UK CHAMP · Regular Season
  • L Norwich City 2–3 Preston North End UK CHAMP · Regular Season
  • D Preston North End 1–1 Norwich City UK CHAMP · Regular Season
  • D Norwich City 2–2 Preston North End UK CHAMP · Regular Season
MetricNorwich City all · 46Norwich City at home · 23Preston North End all · 46Preston North End away · 23
Results
Matches46234623
Points per game1.411.301.301.26
W / D / L19 / 8 / 199 / 3 / 1115 / 15 / 167 / 8 / 8
Goals for / match1.371.171.201.17
Goals against / match1.221.221.351.39
Clean sheets20%17%20%17%
Failed to score20%26%26%26%
Both teams scored61%56%59%61%
Over 2.548%44%48%48%
Expected goals
xG for / match1.351.411.181.14
xG against / match1.461.271.631.83
xG difference-0.100.14-0.45-0.70
Finishing vs xG0.02-0.240.020.04
xPts / match1.351.461.131.01
Points vs xPts0.06-0.160.170.25
Game state
Scored first52%48%41%44%
PPG when scoring first2.082.092.162.00
PPG when conceding first0.680.580.680.67
Came back from behind27%21%38%33%
Leads held68%69%62%54%
Minutes leading28%24%28%30%
Minutes level48%53%45%43%
Minutes trailing24%24%27%27%
First goal (min)42493632
First goal conceded (min)46504240
Timing
Goals scored in 2nd half57%59%51%41%
Goals conceded in 2nd half59%64%50%41%
Late goals for (76'+)0.260.220.260.22
Late goals against0.300.300.300.26
Style
Possession54%56%46%44%
Shots12.613.710.910.6
On target4.54.53.63.8
Shot conversion11%9%11%11%
Shots inside box64%62%68%66%
Big chances created2.32.51.61.6
Corners5.35.74.53.7
xG from set plays25%27%34%33%
Goals from headers10%8%22%22%
Pressure index12.514.18.88.1
Dominant minutes53.258.840.538.6
Pass accuracy79%80%72%72%
Fouls10.210.010.410.7
Cards1.931.572.092.04

Goal timing for / against per 15 min

Norwich City

0–15'78
16–30'87
31–45'128
46–60'913
61–75'156
76–90'1214

Preston North End

0–15'1111
16–30'107
31–45'613
46–60'109
61–75'68
76–90'1214

Pressure DNA · intensity v an average side in the same situations, SD units

Norwich City · 7 matches

Pressure in line with an average side in the same situations (-0.02) · stands out: 10 min after scoring +0.66

Tempo

Overall intensity-0.027
Early press (0-15, level)-0.197
Late chase (76+, behind)-0.364

Game state

When ahead+0.124
When level-0.147
When behind-0.054
10 min after conceding-0.277
10 min after scoring+0.665

Situations

At home-0.213
Away+0.114
3 days rest or fewer+0.082
4+ days rest-0.065

Opposition

v mid-tier opponents+0.025
v bottom-tier opponents-0.142
As favourite-0.144
Evenly matched+0.142

Conceded

Pressure conceded+0.027
Conceded when ahead-0.134
Conceded late (76+)-0.146

Congested vs rested +0.14 · Ahead vs level +0.27 · Behind vs level +0.10

Preston North End · 7 matches

Pressure below an average side in the same situations (-0.18) · stands out: late chase (76+, behind) -0.54

Tempo

Overall intensity-0.187
Early press (0-15, level)-0.177
Late push (76+, level)+0.013
Late chase (76+, behind)-0.546

Game state

When ahead-0.162
When level+0.017
When behind-0.336
10 min after conceding-0.327
10 min after scoring+0.295

Situations

At home-0.194
Away-0.163
3 days rest or fewer-0.052
4+ days rest-0.235

Opposition

v mid-tier opponents-0.222
v bottom-tier opponents-0.165
Evenly matched-0.154
As underdog-0.223

Conceded

Pressure conceded+0.107
Conceded when ahead+0.172
Conceded late (76+)-0.027

Congested vs rested +0.18 · Ahead vs level -0.17 · Behind vs level -0.34

Norwich City

Current: winless 1 · scoring 3 · conceding 14

FormationUsePPGGFGAxGxGA
4-2-3-138 83%1.451.391.181.291.43
3-4-2-15 11%1.41.41.21.551.6
3-4-32 4%0.01.02.51.911.56
3-2-4-11 2%3.01.00.01.861.51

Preston North End

Current: winless 2 · conceding 22

FormationUsePPGGFGAxGxGA
3-5-214 30%1.51.361.361.191.42
3-1-4-29 20%1.221.111.111.221.23
5-3-27 15%0.710.861.710.971.94
3-4-1-25 11%1.21.01.21.231.86
4-4-25 11%1.81.41.61.441.99

Windows with fewer than 5 matches show no figures.

Pre-match movement · ends at kick-off

Every snapshot up to kick-off only — in-play prices are in Match Hub. Movement is in fair-probability points since the first snapshot (overround removed): ▲ shortened, ▼ drifted.

No pre-match movement recorded for this fixture.

Latest prices

bet365 · pre-match line -0.1h before kick-off · recorded after kick-off. Fair % removes the overround; P = Pinnacle fair %.

Fulltime Result

1.53Home 62% P 62%4.33Draw 22% P 22%5.75Away 16% P 16%

Double Chance

1.14Norwich or Draw 41% P 42%1.2Norwich or Preston 39% P 39%2.37Draw or Preston 20% P 19%

Draw No Bet

1.161 81%5.02 19%

Both Teams To Score

1.83Yes 50% P 50%1.83No 50% P 50%

Goals Over/Under

2.51.72Over 55% P 54%2.1Under 45% P 46%

Total Corners

13.0Under 6 7%3.56 - 8 25%2.629 - 11 34%3.7512 - 14 23%8.0Over 14 11%

Number of Cards

3.52.1Over 44% P 45%1.66Under 56% P 55%

Fixtures priced like this · Pinnacle closing price · 2017–2026

Every past fixture whose Pinnacle fair price fell in the same band as this one, and how it finished at 90 minutes. Band = mean price in the band; ± = actual minus price, in probability points.

Match result · home 60–62.5% · away 15–17.5% · 649 fixtures

This matchBandActual±
Home62%61%62%+0.4
Draw22%23%23%+0.7
Away16%16%15%-1.1

In those fixtures: 3.0 goals a game · BTTS 55% · over 2.5 58%

Both teams to score · yes 50–52.5% · 3,449 fixtures

This matchBandActual±
Yes50%51%51%-0.6

Goals over/under 2.5 · over 52.5–55% · 2,943 fixtures

This matchBandActual±
Over 2.554%54%55%+0.8

Gavin Ward

Career
292 matches · 18 seasons
Cards / match
3.58 (3.43 yellow · 0.09 red)
Fouls / match
21.6 · 4.6 fouls per card
Penalties / match
0.2
Cards to home side
43%

Style in Championship (5-year window · 124 matches)

MetricRefereeLeaguevs peerspct
Cards / match3.834.05-0.4031
Fouls / match20.821.8-0.99
Fouls per card5.55.4+0.00 (+ = lenient)
Penalties / match0.160.17-0.2345
Time added7.27.2-0.0245
First card
39' on average
Card timing
13% in first 30' · 36% in last 15'
Cards to home side
44% (league 45%)

Recent matches

DateYRFoulsPens1st card+min
2026-03-10 30 190 33'12
2026-02-28 10 230 89'8
2026-02-21 30 110 50'9
2026-02-14 60 270 37'5
2026-02-09 51 250 65'7
2026-01-24 20 211 26'8
2026-01-11 30 140 54'7
2026-01-01 · Preston North End 20 180 55'6
2025-12-29 30 220 83'11
2025-12-13 31 190 57'9