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Championship · Matchweek 38

Momentum

OXFCHA
now

Match momentum Δ pressure · 0–100

Waiting for pressure data…

Competition

Stage
Regular Season
Round
38

Venue

Stadium
The Kassam Stadium, Oxford
Capacity
12,500
Surface
grass

Teams

Coaches
Matt Bloomfield · Nathan Jones
Position
22 · 17
Formation
4-2-3-1 · 3-5-2

Referee

Matt Donohue

Weather

Conditions
scattered clouds
Temperature
11.1° (feels 9.5°)
Wind
4.6
Humidity
46%

Where to watch · 177

2025/2026

#TeamPWDLGFGAGDPtsForm
1 Coventry City 4628117 974552 95 DDWWW
2 Ipswich Town 4623158 804733 84 DWDDW
3 Millwall 46241111 644915 83 DWWDW
4 Southampton 46221410 825626 80 WWDDW
5 Middlesbrough 46221410 724725 80 LDWWD
6 Hull City 46211015 70664 73 LDDLW
7 Wrexham 46191413 69654 71 LWWLD
8 Derby County 4620917 67598 69 LWLWL
9 Norwich City 4619819 63567 65 LWWDL
10 Birmingham City 46171316 57561 64 WDWWD
11 Swansea City 46181018 5759-2 64 WLWDW
12 Bristol City 46171118 59590 62 DLDLW
13 Sheffield United 4618622 66660 60 WWLLW
14 Preston North End 46151516 5562-7 60 WLLWL
15 Queens Park Rangers 46161020 6173-12 58 DLLLL
16 Watford 46141517 5365-12 57 LLLLL
17 Stoke City 46151021 5156-5 55 DLLLL
18 Portsmouth 46141319 4964-15 55 WWLWD
19 Charlton Athletic 46131419 4458-14 53 LDLWL
20 Blackburn Rovers 46131320 4256-14 52 DLDWL
21 West Bromwich Albion (-2) 46131419 4858-10 51 DWWDL
22 Oxford United 46111421 4559-14 47 WLLWL
23 Leicester City (-6) 46121618 5868-10 46 LLDDW
24 Sheffield Wednesday (-18) 4621232 2989-60 0 DDLLW
  • Promotion
  • Promotion Play-off
  • Relegation

Oxford United

DLWWW 3W 1D 1L · 10 pts (2.0 ppg) · GF 7 GA 4 · xG 7.49–6.88 · xPts 7.29

  • W H Blackburn Rovers 1–0 xG 1.56–0.75 UK CHAMP
  • W A Preston North End 3–1 xG 2.33–0.94 UK CHAMP
  • W H West Bromwich Albion 2–1 xG 0.91–1.27 UK CHAMP
  • L A Stoke City 1–2 xG 1.65–1.93 UK CHAMP
  • D A Middlesbrough 0–0 xG 1.04–1.99 UK CHAMP

Charlton Athletic

DDLWW 2W 2D 1L · 8 pts (1.6 ppg) · GF 4 GA 3 · xG 4.75–7.12 · xPts 5.61

  • W A Middlesbrough 1–0 xG 0.9–2.58 UK CHAMP
  • W H Birmingham City 1–0 xG 1.08–0.39 UK CHAMP
  • L H Wrexham 0–1 xG 1.62–0.75 UK CHAMP
  • D A West Bromwich Albion 1–1 xG 0.2–1.77 UK CHAMP
  • D A Southampton 1–1 xG 0.95–1.64 UK CHAMP

All meetings · 4 matches since 2014

Oxford United 02 draws2 Charlton Athletic

Goals 3–7 · 2.5 per match · BTTS 50% · over 2.5 50%

Last 10 · 4 matches

Oxford United 02 draws2 Charlton Athletic

Goals 3–7 · 2.5 per match · BTTS 50% · over 2.5 50%

Last 5 · 4 matches

Oxford United 02 draws2 Charlton Athletic

Goals 3–7 · 2.5 per match · BTTS 50% · over 2.5 50%

Recent meetings

  • D Oxford United 1–1 Charlton Athletic UK CHAMP · Regular Season
  • L Charlton Athletic 1–0 Oxford United UK CHAMP · Regular Season
  • L Oxford United 0–3 Charlton Athletic UK FA Cup · 3rd Round Replays
  • D Charlton Athletic 2–2 Oxford United UK FA Cup · 3rd Round
MetricOxford United all · 46Oxford United at home · 23Charlton Athletic all · 46Charlton Athletic away · 23
Results
Matches46234623
Points per game1.021.261.150.96
W / D / L11 / 14 / 217 / 8 / 813 / 14 / 194 / 10 / 9
Goals for / match0.981.040.960.91
Goals against / match1.281.171.261.39
Clean sheets17%22%28%22%
Failed to score41%39%22%26%
Both teams scored52%48%54%56%
Over 2.546%44%39%35%
Expected goals
xG for / match1.171.361.151.03
xG against / match1.431.171.551.76
xG difference-0.250.19-0.40-0.72
Finishing vs xG-0.20-0.32-0.19-0.12
xPts / match1.211.481.191.00
Points vs xPts-0.19-0.22-0.03-0.04
Game state
Scored first39%44%48%39%
PPG when scoring first2.062.402.051.78
PPG when conceding first0.220.270.270.38
Came back from behind19%27%24%36%
Leads held58%70%59%44%
Minutes leading21%23%16%14%
Minutes level47%47%56%61%
Minutes trailing32%30%28%26%
First goal (min)28265661
First goal conceded (min)35334350
Timing
Goals scored in 2nd half38%38%66%71%
Goals conceded in 2nd half41%41%53%69%
Late goals for (76'+)0.150.170.260.22
Late goals against0.150.040.330.61
Style
Possession40%42%42%40%
Shots11.914.111.09.2
On target3.44.23.53.0
Shot conversion8%7%9%10%
Shots inside box54%55%68%68%
Big chances created1.61.71.91.7
Corners4.04.64.13.2
xG from set plays40%46%39%44%
Goals from headers16%12%19%20%
Pressure index6.49.17.04.7
Dominant minutes33.744.234.427.4
Pass accuracy69%69%70%69%
Fouls10.810.512.012.7
Cards1.671.302.202.09

Goal timing for / against per 15 min

Oxford United

0–15'1013
16–30'108
31–45'814
46–60'511
61–75'56
76–90'77

Charlton Athletic

0–15'28
16–30'58
31–45'811
46–60'78
61–75'108
76–90'1215

Pressure DNA · intensity v an average side in the same situations, SD units

Oxford United

No pressure profile yet.

Charlton Athletic · 7 matches

Pressure in line with an average side in the same situations (-0.11) · stands out: 10 min after conceding -0.57

Tempo

Overall intensity-0.117
Early press (0-15, level)+0.437
Late push (76+, level)-0.354

Game state

When ahead-0.333
When level-0.027
When behind-0.113
10 min after conceding-0.574
10 min after scoring+0.044

Situations

At home-0.034
Away-0.263
3 days rest or fewer+0.342
4+ days rest-0.225

Opposition

v mid-tier opponents-0.372
v bottom-tier opponents+0.154
Evenly matched+0.182
As underdog-0.304

Conceded

Pressure conceded+0.447
Conceded when ahead+0.363
Conceded late (76+)+0.096

Congested vs rested +0.56 · Ahead vs level -0.30 · Behind vs level -0.09

Oxford United

Current: winless 1 · conceding 4

FormationUsePPGGFGAxGxGA
4-2-3-127 59%1.070.931.191.31.37
4-4-26 13%0.831.331.51.331.73
3-4-2-14 9%1.00.751.50.781.22
5-4-14 9%1.01.01.50.841.78
4-1-4-13 6%1.331.01.00.881.11

Charlton Athletic

Current: unbeaten 2 · winless 4 · clean sheets 2

FormationUsePPGGFGAxGxGA
3-1-4-214 30%0.860.861.641.081.41
3-5-210 22%1.10.91.01.031.55
3-4-2-16 13%0.830.831.51.421.54
3-4-1-25 11%1.00.61.01.021.72
4-2-3-13 6%1.331.01.331.261.01

Windows with fewer than 5 matches show no figures.

Pre-match movement · ends at kick-off

Every snapshot up to kick-off only — in-play prices are in Match Hub. Movement is in fair-probability points since the first snapshot (overround removed): ▲ shortened, ▼ drifted.

No pre-match movement recorded for this fixture.

Latest prices

bet365 · pre-match line -0.2h before kick-off · recorded after kick-off. Fair % removes the overround; P = Pinnacle fair %.

Fulltime Result

2.15Home 43% P 43%3.2Draw 29% P 30%3.4Away 27% P 27%

Double Chance

1.3Oxford Utd or Draw 37% P 36%1.36Oxford Utd or Charlton 35% P 35%1.66Draw or Charlton 29% P 29%

Draw No Bet

1.531 61%2.372 39%

Both Teams To Score

2.0Yes 46% P 47%1.72No 54% P 53%

Goals Over/Under

2.52.37Over 40% P 41%1.57Under 60% P 59%

Total Corners

11.0Under 6 8%3.46 - 8 26%2.69 - 11 34%4.012 - 14 22%8.0Over 14 11%

Number of Cards

3.51.9Over 49% P 52%1.8Under 51% P 48%
4.52.1Over 44%1.66Under 56%

Fixtures priced like this · Pinnacle closing price · 2017–2026

Every past fixture whose Pinnacle fair price fell in the same band as this one, and how it finished at 90 minutes. Band = mean price in the band; ± = actual minus price, in probability points.

Match result · home 42.5–45% · away 25–27.5% · 725 fixtures

This matchBandActual±
Home43%44%44%-0.2
Draw30%30%28%-1.4
Away27%26%28%+1.6

In those fixtures: 2.5 goals a game · BTTS 53% · over 2.5 45%

Both teams to score · yes 45–47.5% · 2,102 fixtures

This matchBandActual±
Yes47%46%47%+0.3

Goals over/under 2.5 · over 40–42.5% · 2,093 fixtures

This matchBandActual±
Over 2.541%41%41%-0.4

Matt Donohue

Career
202 matches · 10 seasons
Cards / match
4.26 (4.07 yellow · 0.1 red)
Fouls / match
23.4 · 5.4 fouls per card
Penalties / match
0.17
Cards to home side
47%

Style in Championship (5-year window · 134 matches)

MetricRefereeLeaguevs peerspct
Cards / match4.634.05+1.0590
Fouls / match23.021.8+0.99
Fouls per card5.05.4-0.77 (+ = lenient)
Penalties / match0.150.17-0.4126
Time added7.27.2-0.0247
First card
36' on average
Card timing
14% in first 30' · 36% in last 15'
Cards to home side
47% (league 45%)

Recent matches

DateYRFoulsPens1st card+min
2026-03-10 30 200 55'10
2026-03-07 62 150 29'12
2026-03-04 60 260 17'10
2026-02-24 40 250 30'10
2026-02-14 20 140 3'4
2026-01-31 20 180 11'6
2026-01-20 30 240 68'11
2026-01-17 70 210 29'13
2026-01-07 30 261 43'7
2025-12-29 30 250 41'6