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Championship · Matchweek 38
West Bromwich AlbionWBA
3–0
FT
Hull CityHull City

Momentum

– WBAHull City –
now

Match momentum Δ pressure · 0–100

Waiting for pressure data…

Competition

Stage
Regular Season
Round
38

Venue

Stadium
The Hawthorns, West Bromwich
Capacity
26,445
Surface
grass

Teams

Coaches
James Morrison · Sergej Jakirović
Position
23 · 5
Formation
4-4-2 · 3-4-2-1

Referee

Joshua Smith

Weather

Conditions
light rain
Temperature
8.4° (feels 7.1°)
Wind
2.3
Humidity
61%

Where to watch · 177

2025/2026

#TeamPWDLGFGAGDPtsForm
1 Coventry City 4628117 974552 95 DDWWW
2 Ipswich Town 4623158 804733 84 DWDDW
3 Millwall 46241111 644915 83 DWWDW
4 Southampton 46221410 825626 80 WWDDW
5 Middlesbrough 46221410 724725 80 LDWWD
6 Hull City 46211015 70664 73 LDDLW
7 Wrexham 46191413 69654 71 LWWLD
8 Derby County 4620917 67598 69 LWLWL
9 Norwich City 4619819 63567 65 LWWDL
10 Birmingham City 46171316 57561 64 WDWWD
11 Swansea City 46181018 5759-2 64 WLWDW
12 Bristol City 46171118 59590 62 DLDLW
13 Sheffield United 4618622 66660 60 WWLLW
14 Preston North End 46151516 5562-7 60 WLLWL
15 Queens Park Rangers 46161020 6173-12 58 DLLLL
16 Watford 46141517 5365-12 57 LLLLL
17 Stoke City 46151021 5156-5 55 DLLLL
18 Portsmouth 46141319 4964-15 55 WWLWD
19 Charlton Athletic 46131419 4458-14 53 LDLWL
20 Blackburn Rovers 46131320 4256-14 52 DLDWL
21 West Bromwich Albion (-2) 46131419 4858-10 51 DWWDL
22 Oxford United 46111421 4559-14 47 WLLWL
23 Leicester City (-6) 46121618 5868-10 46 LLDDW
24 Sheffield Wednesday (-18) 4621232 2989-60 0 DDLLW
  • Promotion
  • Promotion Play-off
  • Relegation

West Bromwich Albion

LDLDD 0W 3D 2L · 3 pts (0.6 ppg) · GF 4 GA 7 · xG 7.34–3.93 · xPts 9.16

  • D H Southampton 1–1 xG 2.26–0.96 UK CHAMP
  • D A Sheffield United 1–1 xG 1.11–1.14 UK CHAMP
  • L A Oxford United 1–2 xG 1.27–0.91 UK CHAMP
  • D H Charlton Athletic 1–1 xG 1.77–0.2 UK CHAMP
  • L H Coventry City 0–2 xG 0.93–0.72 UK CHAMP

Hull City

WWLLW 3W 0D 2L · 9 pts (1.8 ppg) · GF 8 GA 7 · xG 5.35–7.88 · xPts 5.05

  • W A Wrexham 2–1 xG 1.47–1.09 UK CHAMP
  • L H Millwall 1–3 xG 2.44–1.5 UK CHAMP
  • L A Ipswich Town 0–1 xG 0.35–1.66 UK CHAMP
  • W A Portsmouth 1–0 xG 0.32–1.39 UK CHAMP
  • W H Derby County 4–2 xG 0.78–2.23 UK CHAMP

All meetings · 26 matches since 2006

West Bromwich Albion 146 draws6 Hull City

Goals 41–27 · 2.62 per match · BTTS 50% · over 2.5 42%

Last 10 · 10 matches

West Bromwich Albion 62 draws2 Hull City

Goals 18–9 · 2.7 per match · BTTS 50% · over 2.5 40%

Last 5 · 5 matches

West Bromwich Albion 22 draws1 Hull City

Goals 7–4 · 2.2 per match · BTTS 60% · over 2.5 40%

Recent meetings

  • W West Bromwich Albion 3–0 Hull City UK CHAMP · Regular Season
  • L Hull City 1–0 West Bromwich Albion UK CHAMP · Regular Season
  • D West Bromwich Albion 1–1 Hull City UK CHAMP · Regular Season
  • W Hull City 1–2 West Bromwich Albion UK CHAMP · Regular Season
  • D Hull City 1–1 West Bromwich Albion UK CHAMP · Regular Season
  • W West Bromwich Albion 3–1 Hull City UK CHAMP · Regular Season
  • L Hull City 2–0 West Bromwich Albion UK CHAMP · Regular Season
  • W West Bromwich Albion 5–2 Hull City UK CHAMP · Regular Season
  • W Hull City 0–2 West Bromwich Albion UK CHAMP · Regular Season
  • W West Bromwich Albion 1–0 Hull City UK CHAMP · Regular Season
MetricWest Bromwich Albion all · 46West Bromwich Albion at home · 23Hull City all · 49Hull City away · 24
Results
Matches46234924
Points per game1.151.481.631.58
W / D / L13 / 14 / 198 / 10 / 523 / 11 / 1511 / 5 / 8
Goals for / match1.041.221.491.54
Goals against / match1.261.091.351.33
Clean sheets30%35%29%29%
Failed to score33%30%18%12%
Both teams scored50%52%61%62%
Over 2.546%44%61%67%
Expected goals
xG for / match1.441.671.371.27
xG against / match1.050.781.661.91
xG difference0.390.89-0.29-0.63
Finishing vs xG-0.40-0.450.120.27
xPts / match1.621.951.251.09
Points vs xPts-0.47-0.480.380.49
Game state
Scored first41%52%57%67%
PPG when scoring first2.052.002.182.00
PPG when conceding first0.380.860.880.71
Came back from behind17%29%35%33%
Leads held62%57%72%65%
Minutes leading25%32%30%32%
Minutes level50%52%53%52%
Minutes trailing25%16%17%16%
First goal (min)42383233
First goal conceded (min)45504044
Timing
Goals scored in 2nd half52%54%45%49%
Goals conceded in 2nd half53%64%52%62%
Late goals for (76'+)0.260.170.270.33
Late goals against0.260.300.310.38
Style
Possession52%54%45%43%
Shots13.415.211.111.0
On target4.14.74.14.3
Shot conversion8%8%13%14%
Shots inside box65%63%68%68%
Big chances created2.12.42.22.3
Corners5.26.14.44.6
xG from set plays36%41%21%13%
Goals from headers26%22%14%19%
Pressure index13.416.39.37.6
Dominant minutes52.957.339.832.6
Pass accuracy80%81%72%71%
Fouls10.210.111.211.5
Cards1.831.612.553.04

Goal timing for / against per 15 min

West Bromwich Albion

0–15'66
16–30'89
31–45'912
46–60'511
61–75'88
76–90'1212

Hull City

0–15'117
16–30'1413
31–45'1512
46–60'910
61–75'119
76–90'1315

Pressure DNA · intensity v an average side in the same situations, SD units

West Bromwich Albion · 7 matches

Pressure in line with an average side in the same situations (+0.14) · stands out: 10 min after scoring +0.38

Tempo

Overall intensity+0.147
Early press (0-15, level)+0.027
Late push (76+, level)-0.292

Game state

When ahead+0.085
When level+0.197
When behind-0.033
10 min after conceding-0.105
10 min after scoring+0.387

Situations

At home+0.274
Away-0.043
3 days rest or fewer+0.052
4+ days rest+0.175

Opposition

v mid-tier opponents+0.003
v bottom-tier opponents+0.234
As favourite+0.224
As underdog-0.072

Conceded

Pressure conceded-0.047
Conceded when ahead-0.165
Conceded late (76+)-0.257

Congested vs rested -0.11 · Ahead vs level -0.11 · Behind vs level -0.22

Hull City · 4 matches

Pressure below an average side in the same situations (-0.42) · stands out: early press (0-15, level) -0.57

Tempo

Overall intensity-0.424
Early press (0-15, level)-0.574
Late push (76+, level)-0.503

Game state

When ahead-0.363
When level-0.444
10 min after scoring+0.133

Situations

At home-0.452
Away-0.392
4+ days rest-0.424

Opposition

v top-tier opponents-0.393
As underdog-0.424

Conceded

Pressure conceded+0.364
Conceded when ahead+0.583
Conceded late (76+)+0.274

Ahead vs level +0.08 · Behind vs level -0.08

West Bromwich Albion

Current: unbeaten 4 · winless 1 · scoring 8 · conceding 1

FormationUsePPGGFGAxGxGA
4-2-3-124 52%1.251.171.291.480.98
4-4-217 37%1.291.00.821.521.08
3-4-2-13 6%0.00.03.00.861.62
5-4-12 4%0.51.52.01.180.75

Hull City

Current: unbeaten 8 · winless 2 · scoring 1 · conceding 1

FormationUsePPGGFGAxGxGA
4-2-3-136 74%1.641.611.441.491.76
3-4-2-16 12%1.51.01.171.091.37
4-4-22 4%3.01.50.51.091.08
3-4-1-22 4%0.51.52.01.251.52
3-5-21 2%3.01.00.00.521.73

Windows with fewer than 5 matches show no figures.

Pre-match movement · ends at kick-off

Every snapshot up to kick-off only — in-play prices are in Match Hub. Movement is in fair-probability points since the first snapshot (overround removed): ▲ shortened, ▼ drifted.

No pre-match movement recorded for this fixture.

Latest prices

bet365 · pre-match line -0.2h before kick-off · recorded after kick-off. Fair % removes the overround; P = Pinnacle fair %.

Fulltime Result

2.05Home 46% P 46%3.4Draw 28% P 28%3.6Away 26% P 26%

Double Chance

1.33West Brom or Draw 36% P 37%1.33West Brom or Hull 36% P 36%1.66Draw or Hull 29% P 27%

Draw No Bet

1.531 61%2.372 39%

Both Teams To Score

1.83Yes 50% P 50%1.83No 50% P 50%

Goals Over/Under

2.52.1Over 45% P 45%1.72Under 55% P 55%

Total Corners

11.0Under 6 8%3.46 - 8 26%2.69 - 11 34%4.012 - 14 22%8.0Over 14 11%

Number of Cards

4.52.2Over 42%1.61Under 58%

Fixtures priced like this · Pinnacle closing price · 2017–2026

Every past fixture whose Pinnacle fair price fell in the same band as this one, and how it finished at 90 minutes. Band = mean price in the band; ± = actual minus price, in probability points.

Match result · home 45–47.5% · away 25–27.5% · 853 fixtures

This matchBandActual±
Home46%46%44%-1.8
Draw28%28%30%+1.8
Away26%26%26%+0.0

In those fixtures: 2.6 goals a game · BTTS 55% · over 2.5 48%

Both teams to score · yes 47.5–50% · 2,898 fixtures

This matchBandActual±
Yes50%49%49%+0.0

Goals over/under 2.5 · over 42.5–45% · 2,473 fixtures

This matchBandActual±
Over 2.545%44%43%-1.2

Joshua Smith

Career
156 matches · 10 seasons
Cards / match
4.09 (3.95 yellow · 0.08 red)
Fouls / match
22.1 · 5.3 fouls per card
Penalties / match
0.2
Cards to home side
47%

Style in Championship (5-year window · 122 matches)

MetricRefereeLeaguevs peerspct
Cards / match4.34.05+0.4563
Fouls / match22.121.8+0.21
Fouls per card5.35.4-0.42 (+ = lenient)
Penalties / match0.20.17+0.2667
Time added6.97.2-0.3735
First card
35' on average
Card timing
16% in first 30' · 35% in last 15'
Cards to home side
45% (league 45%)

Recent matches

DateYRFoulsPens1st card+min
2026-03-08 –– 12– –5
2026-02-22 82 310 16'9
2026-02-15 30 150 45'6
2026-02-07 71 231 13'6
2026-01-31 30 150 25'12
2026-01-24 · Hull City 50 191 22'7
2026-01-16 · West Bromwich Albion 20 150 69'5
2026-01-10 –– 12– –7
2026-01-01 50 170 15'7
2025-12-26 50 220 19'9