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Championship · Matchweek 38
WrexhamWrexham
2–0
FT
Swansea CitySwansea City

Momentum

– WrexhamSwansea City –
now

Match momentum Δ pressure · 0–100

Waiting for pressure data…

Competition

Stage
Regular Season
Round
38

Venue

Stadium
Racecourse Ground, Racecourse Ground
Capacity
10,771
Surface
grass
Attendance
10,641

Teams

Coaches
Phil Parkinson · Vítor Matos
Position
6 · 11
Formation
3-4-2-1 · 4-3-3

Referee

Tom Nield

Weather

Conditions
overcast clouds
Temperature
2.2° (feels -0.1°)
Wind
2.2
Humidity
91%

Where to watch · 177

2025/2026

#TeamPWDLGFGAGDPtsForm
1 Coventry City 4628117 974552 95 DDWWW
2 Ipswich Town 4623158 804733 84 DWDDW
3 Millwall 46241111 644915 83 DWWDW
4 Southampton 46221410 825626 80 WWDDW
5 Middlesbrough 46221410 724725 80 LDWWD
6 Hull City 46211015 70664 73 LDDLW
7 Wrexham 46191413 69654 71 LWWLD
8 Derby County 4620917 67598 69 LWLWL
9 Norwich City 4619819 63567 65 LWWDL
10 Birmingham City 46171316 57561 64 WDWWD
11 Swansea City 46181018 5759-2 64 WLWDW
12 Bristol City 46171118 59590 62 DLDLW
13 Sheffield United 4618622 66660 60 WWLLW
14 Preston North End 46151516 5562-7 60 WLLWL
15 Queens Park Rangers 46161020 6173-12 58 DLLLL
16 Watford 46141517 5365-12 57 LLLLL
17 Stoke City 46151021 5156-5 55 DLLLL
18 Portsmouth 46141319 4964-15 55 WWLWD
19 Charlton Athletic 46131419 4458-14 53 LDLWL
20 Blackburn Rovers 46131320 4256-14 52 DLDWL
21 West Bromwich Albion (-2) 46131419 4858-10 51 DWWDL
22 Oxford United 46111421 4559-14 47 WLLWL
23 Leicester City (-6) 46121618 5868-10 46 LLDDW
24 Sheffield Wednesday (-18) 4621232 2989-60 0 DDLLW
  • Promotion
  • Promotion Play-off
  • Relegation

Wrexham

WWWLL 3W 0D 2L · 9 pts (1.8 ppg) · GF 11 GA 10 · xG 6.37–7.29 · xPts 6.12

  • L H Hull City 1–2 xG 1.09–1.47 UK CHAMP
  • L H Chelsea 2–4 aet xG 1.84–2.09 UK FA Cup
  • W A Charlton Athletic 1–0 xG 0.75–1.62 UK CHAMP
  • W H Portsmouth 2–1 xG 0.63–0.9 UK CHAMP
  • W H Ipswich Town 5–3 xG 2.06–1.21 UK CHAMP

Swansea City

WDLWW 3W 1D 1L · 10 pts (2.0 ppg) · GF 6 GA 5 · xG 5.7–6.84 · xPts 5.85

  • W A Portsmouth 2–1 xG 0.56–1.02 UK CHAMP
  • W H Stoke City 2–0 xG 1.25–1.52 UK CHAMP
  • L A Ipswich Town 0–3 xG 0.54–1.4 UK CHAMP
  • D H Preston North End 1–1 xG 2.26–1.96 UK CHAMP
  • W H Bristol City 1–0 xG 1.08–0.94 UK CHAMP

All meetings · 3 matches since 2025

Wrexham 11 draws1 Swansea City

Goals 3–2 · 1.67 per match · BTTS 33% · over 2.5 33%

Last 10 · 3 matches

Wrexham 11 draws1 Swansea City

Goals 3–2 · 1.67 per match · BTTS 33% · over 2.5 33%

Last 5 · 3 matches

Wrexham 11 draws1 Swansea City

Goals 3–2 · 1.67 per match · BTTS 33% · over 2.5 33%

Recent meetings

  • D Swansea City 0–0 Wrexham UK CHAMP · Regular Season
  • W Wrexham 2–0 Swansea City UK CHAMP · Regular Season
  • L Swansea City 2–1 Wrexham UK CHAMP · Regular Season
MetricWrexham all · 46Wrexham at home · 23Swansea City all · 46Swansea City away · 23
Results
Matches46234623
Points per game1.541.611.391.09
W / D / L19 / 14 / 1310 / 7 / 618 / 10 / 187 / 4 / 12
Goals for / match1.501.781.241.00
Goals against / match1.411.611.281.39
Clean sheets26%22%26%22%
Failed to score13%4%22%35%
Both teams scored65%74%54%48%
Over 2.550%56%50%48%
Expected goals
xG for / match1.221.541.221.10
xG against / match1.481.281.371.37
xG difference-0.260.26-0.15-0.27
Finishing vs xG0.280.240.02-0.10
xPts / match1.221.541.281.19
Points vs xPts0.320.070.12-0.11
Game state
Scored first52%56%48%35%
PPG when scoring first2.082.232.362.38
PPG when conceding first0.950.800.480.36
Came back from behind46%50%28%20%
Leads held63%62%72%78%
Minutes leading31%30%25%22%
Minutes level46%43%48%47%
Minutes trailing23%26%27%31%
First goal (min)37384643
First goal conceded (min)40374042
Timing
Goals scored in 2nd half54%49%65%65%
Goals conceded in 2nd half55%51%52%59%
Late goals for (76'+)0.370.480.350.26
Late goals against0.410.350.300.30
Style
Possession48%51%55%54%
Shots11.314.112.311.0
On target3.84.83.94.0
Shot conversion13%13%10%9%
Shots inside box66%68%58%56%
Big chances created2.32.81.71.8
Corners4.55.24.54.0
xG from set plays32%36%36%36%
Goals from headers29%38%13%9%
Pressure index10.113.112.810.5
Dominant minutes41.951.351.945.9
Pass accuracy78%80%79%79%
Fouls9.78.89.810.6
Cards1.591.262.002.09

Goal timing for / against per 15 min

Wrexham

0–15'98
16–30'119
31–45'1212
46–60'138
61–75'79
76–90'1719

Swansea City

0–15'66
16–30'86
31–45'616
46–60'1011
61–75'116
76–90'1614

Pressure DNA · intensity v an average side in the same situations, SD units

Wrexham · 7 matches

Pressure in line with an average side in the same situations (+0.02) · stands out: v bottom-tier opponents +0.16

Tempo

Overall intensity+0.027
Early press (0-15, level)-0.137
Late push (76+, level)-0.044

Game state

When ahead+0.122
When level+0.017
When behind-0.034
10 min after conceding-0.135
10 min after scoring+0.135

Situations

At home+0.053
Away+0.004
3 days rest or fewer+0.073
4+ days rest-0.014

Opposition

v mid-tier opponents-0.103
v bottom-tier opponents+0.163
As favourite+0.053
Evenly matched+0.033

Conceded

Pressure conceded+0.087
Conceded when ahead+0.062
Conceded late (76+)-0.165

Congested vs rested +0.07 · Ahead vs level +0.12 · Behind vs level -0.04

Swansea City · 7 matches

Pressure in line with an average side in the same situations (+0.04) · stands out: 10 min after scoring +0.35

Tempo

Overall intensity+0.047
Early press (0-15, level)+0.097
Late push (76+, level)-0.222

Game state

When ahead+0.214
When level-0.097
When behind-0.102
10 min after conceding-0.093
10 min after scoring+0.355

Situations

At home-0.024
Away+0.123
3 days rest or fewer-0.092
4+ days rest+0.095

Opposition

v mid-tier opponents-0.083
v bottom-tier opponents+0.134
As favourite+0.002
Evenly matched+0.114

Conceded

Pressure conceded-0.017
Conceded when ahead-0.074
Conceded late (76+)-0.237

Congested vs rested -0.18 · Ahead vs level +0.30 · Behind vs level -0.01

Wrexham

Current: winless 3 · conceding 2

FormationUsePPGGFGAxGxGA
3-4-2-123 50%1.611.571.391.171.25
3-5-28 17%0.50.881.880.962.43
3-5-1-16 13%1.51.171.51.641.12
3-1-4-23 6%2.332.00.670.91.43
3-4-1-23 6%1.671.331.01.341.59

Swansea City

Current: unbeaten 1 · wins 1 · scoring 2 · conceding 2

FormationUsePPGGFGAxGxGA
4-2-3-122 48%1.321.231.411.191.3
4-1-4-111 24%1.821.360.731.351.38
4-3-37 15%1.431.141.141.131.33
3-4-2-12 4%0.01.03.00.80.88
4-4-1-11 2%3.01.00.00.611.68

Windows with fewer than 5 matches show no figures.

Pre-match movement · ends at kick-off

Every snapshot up to kick-off only — in-play prices are in Match Hub. Movement is in fair-probability points since the first snapshot (overround removed): ▲ shortened, ▼ drifted.

No pre-match movement recorded for this fixture.

Latest prices

bet365 · pre-match line -0.2h before kick-off · recorded after kick-off. Fair % removes the overround; P = Pinnacle fair %.

Fulltime Result

2.25Home 42% P 41%3.25Draw 29% P 29%3.2Away 29% P 30%

Double Chance

1.36Wrexham or Draw 35% P 35%1.33Wrexham or Swansea 35% P 36%1.57Draw or Swansea 30% P 29%

Draw No Bet

1.611 58%2.22 42%

Both Teams To Score

1.72Yes 54% P 52%2.0No 46% P 48%

Goals Over/Under

2.51.9Over 50% P 46%1.9Under 50% P 54%

Total Corners

10.0Under 6 9%3.26 - 8 28%2.69 - 11 34%4.3312 - 14 20%10.0Over 14 9%

Number of Cards

3.51.66Over 56%2.1Under 44%

Fixtures priced like this · Pinnacle closing price · 2017–2026

Every past fixture whose Pinnacle fair price fell in the same band as this one, and how it finished at 90 minutes. Band = mean price in the band; ± = actual minus price, in probability points.

Match result · home 40–42.5% · away 30–32.5% · 701 fixtures

This matchBandActual±
Home41%41%41%-0.1
Draw29%28%26%-1.9
Away30%31%33%+2.1

In those fixtures: 2.7 goals a game · BTTS 55% · over 2.5 52%

Both teams to score · yes 50–52.5% · 3,449 fixtures

This matchBandActual±
Yes52%51%51%-0.6

Goals over/under 2.5 · over 45–47.5% · 2,885 fixtures

This matchBandActual±
Over 2.546%46%45%-1.2

Tom Nield

Career
79 matches · 11 seasons
Cards / match
3.9 (3.86 yellow · 0.03 red)
Fouls / match
23.7 · 5.7 fouls per card
Penalties / match
0.17
Cards to home side
44%

Style in Championship (5-year window · 62 matches)

MetricRefereeLeaguevs peerspct
Cards / match4.114.05+0.1057
Fouls / match23.321.8+1.25
Fouls per card5.85.4+0.29 (+ = lenient)
Penalties / match0.140.17-0.4520
Time added7.67.2+0.4463
First card
37' on average
Card timing
16% in first 30' · 37% in last 15'
Cards to home side
43% (league 45%)

Recent matches

DateYRFoulsPens1st card+min
2026-03-10 50 241 36'5
2026-03-07 20 140 83'5
2026-02-28 40 190 79'6
2026-01-30 20 240 11'8
2026-01-24 61 261 39'11
2026-01-17 · Swansea City –– 24– –7
2026-01-10 50 320 34'9
2026-01-01 40 170 30'8
2025-12-20 30 231 35'8
2025-12-06 30 170 8'10