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Championship · Matchweek 39

Momentum

BBRMID
now

Match momentum Δ pressure · 0–100

Waiting for pressure data…

Competition

Stage
Regular Season
Round
39

Venue

Stadium
Ewood Park, Blackburn
Capacity
31,367
Surface
grass

Teams

Coaches
Michael O'Neill · Kim Hellberg
Position
19 · 2
Formation
3-4-2-1 · 3-4-2-1

Referee

Oliver Langford

Weather

Conditions
few clouds
Temperature
17.1° (feels 16.4°)
Wind
1.6
Humidity
60%

Where to watch · 177

2025/2026

#TeamPWDLGFGAGDPtsForm
1 Coventry City 4628117 974552 95 DDWWW
2 Ipswich Town 4623158 804733 84 DWDDW
3 Millwall 46241111 644915 83 DWWDW
4 Southampton 46221410 825626 80 WWDDW
5 Middlesbrough 46221410 724725 80 LDWWD
6 Hull City 46211015 70664 73 LDDLW
7 Wrexham 46191413 69654 71 LWWLD
8 Derby County 4620917 67598 69 LWLWL
9 Norwich City 4619819 63567 65 LWWDL
10 Birmingham City 46171316 57561 64 WDWWD
11 Swansea City 46181018 5759-2 64 WLWDW
12 Bristol City 46171118 59590 62 DLDLW
13 Sheffield United 4618622 66660 60 WWLLW
14 Preston North End 46151516 5562-7 60 WLLWL
15 Queens Park Rangers 46161020 6173-12 58 DLLLL
16 Watford 46141517 5365-12 57 LLLLL
17 Stoke City 46151021 5156-5 55 DLLLL
18 Portsmouth 46141319 4964-15 55 WWLWD
19 Charlton Athletic 46131419 4458-14 53 LDLWL
20 Blackburn Rovers 46131320 4256-14 52 DLDWL
21 West Bromwich Albion (-2) 46131419 4858-10 51 DWWDL
22 Oxford United 46111421 4559-14 47 WLLWL
23 Leicester City (-6) 46121618 5868-10 46 LLDDW
24 Sheffield Wednesday (-18) 4621232 2989-60 0 DDLLW
  • Promotion
  • Promotion Play-off
  • Relegation

Blackburn Rovers

LLDLW 1W 1D 3L · 4 pts (0.8 ppg) · GF 5 GA 8 · xG 7.08–6.09 · xPts 7.37

  • W A Millwall 2–1 xG 2.07–1.03 UK CHAMP
  • L A Oxford United 0–1 xG 0.75–1.56 UK CHAMP
  • D H Portsmouth 1–1 xG 1.18–0.79 UK CHAMP
  • L A Derby County 1–3 xG 0.74–1.54 UK CHAMP
  • L H Bristol City 1–2 xG 2.34–1.17 UK CHAMP

Middlesbrough

DWWLD 2W 2D 1L · 8 pts (1.6 ppg) · GF 9 GA 4 · xG 10.76–3.43 · xPts 10.81

  • D H Bristol City 1–1 xG 1.82–0.41 UK CHAMP
  • L H Charlton Athletic 0–1 xG 2.58–0.9 UK CHAMP
  • W A Queens Park Rangers 4–0 xG 4.24–0.78 UK CHAMP
  • W A Birmingham City 3–1 xG 0.74–0.7 UK CHAMP
  • D H Leicester City 1–1 xG 1.39–0.64 UK CHAMP

All meetings · 42 matches since 2001

Blackburn Rovers 1815 draws9 Middlesbrough

Goals 40–33 · 1.74 per match · BTTS 43% · over 2.5 29%

Last 10 · 10 matches

Blackburn Rovers 53 draws2 Middlesbrough

Goals 9–7 · 1.6 per match · BTTS 40% · over 2.5 40%

Last 5 · 5 matches

Blackburn Rovers 22 draws1 Middlesbrough

Goals 3–3 · 1.2 per match · BTTS 20% · over 2.5 20%

Recent meetings

  • W Blackburn Rovers 2–1 Middlesbrough UK CHAMP · Regular Season
  • D Blackburn Rovers 0–0 Middlesbrough UK CHAMP · Regular Season
  • D Middlesbrough 0–0 Blackburn Rovers UK CHAMP · Regular Season
  • L Blackburn Rovers 0–2 Middlesbrough UK CHAMP · Regular Season
  • W Middlesbrough 0–1 Blackburn Rovers UK FA Cup · 3rd Round
  • W Middlesbrough 0–1 Blackburn Rovers UK CHAMP · Regular Season
  • D Middlesbrough 0–0 Blackburn Rovers UK CHAMP · Regular Season
  • W Blackburn Rovers 2–1 Middlesbrough UK CHAMP · Regular Season
  • L Blackburn Rovers 1–2 Middlesbrough UK CHAMP · Regular Season
  • W Middlesbrough 1–2 Blackburn Rovers neutral UK CHAMP · Regular Season
MetricBlackburn Rovers all · 46Blackburn Rovers at home · 23Middlesbrough all · 49Middlesbrough away · 25
Results
Matches46234925
Points per game1.130.911.651.52
W / D / L13 / 13 / 204 / 9 / 1022 / 15 / 1210 / 8 / 7
Goals for / match0.910.831.491.56
Goals against / match1.221.171.021.28
Clean sheets26%22%29%16%
Failed to score35%30%26%24%
Both teams scored48%56%55%64%
Over 2.539%30%53%64%
Expected goals
xG for / match1.201.261.591.55
xG against / match1.301.151.051.15
xG difference-0.100.110.530.40
Finishing vs xG-0.28-0.43-0.100.01
xPts / match1.321.461.701.60
Points vs xPts-0.19-0.54-0.04-0.08
Game state
Scored first46%39%53%52%
PPG when scoring first1.761.222.462.31
PPG when conceding first0.520.670.670.64
Came back from behind26%38%46%50%
Leads held56%40%79%71%
Minutes leading21%14%32%31%
Minutes level55%61%49%47%
Minutes trailing24%24%19%22%
First goal (min)44513736
First goal conceded (min)49534645
Timing
Goals scored in 2nd half48%58%51%49%
Goals conceded in 2nd half59%52%55%52%
Late goals for (76'+)0.220.350.220.28
Late goals against0.390.430.290.28
Style
Possession48%48%59%58%
Shots11.511.616.215.3
On target3.23.24.84.5
Shot conversion8%7%9%10%
Shots inside box67%69%64%65%
Big chances created2.01.72.42.5
Corners5.35.86.85.8
xG from set plays27%30%24%18%
Goals from headers27%26%12%10%
Pressure index10.110.719.718.4
Dominant minutes44.645.863.163.2
Pass accuracy74%73%84%84%
Fouls10.59.89.39.5
Cards2.172.001.612.12

Goal timing for / against per 15 min

Blackburn Rovers

0–15'54
16–30'67
31–45'1112
46–60'69
61–75'46
76–90'1018

Middlesbrough

0–15'97
16–30'1010
31–45'175
46–60'136
61–75'138
76–90'1113

Pressure DNA · intensity v an average side in the same situations, SD units

Blackburn Rovers · 7 matches

Pressure in line with an average side in the same situations (+0.04) · stands out: 10 min after scoring +0.55

Tempo

Overall intensity+0.047
Early press (0-15, level)-0.197
Late push (76+, level)+0.512
Late chase (76+, behind)-0.353

Game state

When ahead-0.145
When level+0.067
When behind+0.155
10 min after conceding+0.236
10 min after scoring+0.556

Situations

At home+0.004
Away+0.103
3 days rest or fewer+0.282
4+ days rest-0.055

Opposition

v mid-tier opponents+0.016
Evenly matched+0.125
As underdog-0.142

Conceded

Pressure conceded-0.067
Conceded when ahead+0.045
Conceded late (76+)-0.057

Congested vs rested +0.32 · Ahead vs level -0.21 · Behind vs level +0.09

Middlesbrough · 7 matches

Pressure above an average side in the same situations (+0.38) · stands out: when behind +1.00

Tempo

Overall intensity+0.387
Early press (0-15, level)+0.477
Late push (76+, level)+0.294

Game state

When ahead+0.196
When level+0.237
When behind+1.004
10 min after conceding+0.276
10 min after scoring+0.697

Situations

At home+0.464
Away+0.263
3 days rest or fewer+0.822
4+ days rest+0.205

Opposition

v mid-tier opponents+0.415
v bottom-tier opponents+0.282
As favourite+0.435
Evenly matched+0.262

Conceded

Pressure conceded-0.137
Conceded when ahead-0.116
Conceded late (76+)-0.417

Congested vs rested +0.62 · Ahead vs level -0.04 · Behind vs level +0.77

Blackburn Rovers

Current: unbeaten 1 · wins 1 · scoring 3 · conceding 3

FormationUsePPGGFGAxGxGA
3-4-1-217 37%1.060.941.291.311.11
4-2-3-113 28%1.080.921.231.131.34
3-4-2-112 26%1.170.831.081.151.35
3-5-22 4%1.51.51.01.062.12
5-3-21 2%3.01.00.01.330.18

Middlesbrough

Current: unbeaten 5 · winless 1 · scoring 7 · conceding 2

FormationUsePPGGFGAxGxGA
3-4-2-114 29%1.431.140.931.521.11
4-2-3-111 22%2.452.00.731.541.13
4-2-2-28 16%0.750.630.881.921.08
4-4-25 10%2.42.41.61.131.07
3-4-1-23 6%1.01.672.670.881.17

Windows with fewer than 5 matches show no figures.

Pre-match movement · ends at kick-off

Every snapshot up to kick-off only — in-play prices are in Match Hub. Movement is in fair-probability points since the first snapshot (overround removed): ▲ shortened, ▼ drifted.

No pre-match movement recorded for this fixture.

Latest prices

bet365 · pre-match line -1.0h before kick-off · recorded after kick-off. Fair % removes the overround; P = Pinnacle fair %.

Fulltime Result

4.33Home 22% P 22%3.6Draw 26% P 26%1.8Away 52% P 53%

Double Chance

1.8Blackburn or Draw 26% P 24%1.28Blackburn or Middlesbrough 37% P 37%1.25Draw or Middlesbrough 37% P 39%

Draw No Bet

2.751 34%1.42 66%

Both Teams To Score

1.72Yes 54% P 52%2.0No 46% P 48%

Goals Over/Under

2.51.9Over 50% P 49%1.9Under 50% P 51%

Total Corners

11.0Under 6 8%3.56 - 8 25%2.69 - 11 34%4.012 - 14 22%8.0Over 14 11%

Number of Cards

3.51.61Over 58%2.2Under 42%

Fixtures priced like this · Pinnacle closing price · 2017–2026

Every past fixture whose Pinnacle fair price fell in the same band as this one, and how it finished at 90 minutes. Band = mean price in the band; ± = actual minus price, in probability points.

Match result · home 20–22.5% · away 52.5–55% · 365 fixtures

This matchBandActual±
Home22%21%23%+1.8
Draw26%25%25%-0.3
Away53%54%52%-1.4

In those fixtures: 2.8 goals a game · BTTS 53% · over 2.5 53%

Both teams to score · yes 50–52.5% · 3,449 fixtures

This matchBandActual±
Yes52%51%51%-0.6

Goals over/under 2.5 · over 47.5–50% · 3,307 fixtures

This matchBandActual±
Over 2.549%49%50%+1.3

Oliver Langford

Career
352 matches · 18 seasons
Cards / match
3.36 (3.22 yellow · 0.1 red)
Fouls / match
20.8 · 5.1 fouls per card
Penalties / match
0.23
Cards to home side
43%

Style in Championship (5-year window · 118 matches)

MetricRefereeLeaguevs peerspct
Cards / match3.84.05-0.4626
Fouls / match20.821.8-0.97
Fouls per card5.65.4+0.02 (+ = lenient)
Penalties / match0.150.17-0.3533
Time added7.57.2+0.3357
First card
35' on average
Card timing
17% in first 30' · 36% in last 15'
Cards to home side
41% (league 45%)

Recent matches

DateYRFoulsPens1st card+min
2026-03-07 30 180 33'6
2026-02-24 10 180 16'8
2026-02-21 · Middlesbrough 40 200 39'6
2026-02-07 20 180 81'12
2026-01-24 51 260 12'6
2026-01-17 62 200 35'8
2026-01-09 20 191 71'8
2026-01-04 · Middlesbrough 30 190 64'8
2025-12-29 · Blackburn Rovers 50 230 57'4
2025-12-19 40 180 18'8