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Championship · Matchweek 39
Bristol CityBristol City
0–1
FT
West Bromwich AlbionWBA

Momentum

– Bristol CityWBA –
now

Match momentum Δ pressure · 0–100

Waiting for pressure data…

Competition

Stage
Regular Season
Round
39

Venue

Stadium
Ashton Gate Stadium, Bristol
Capacity
27,000
Surface
grass

Teams

Coaches
Gerhard Struber · James Morrison
Position
15 · 21
Formation
3-4-2-1 · 4-4-2

Referee

Thomas Kirk

Weather

Conditions
scattered clouds
Temperature
15.1° (feels 13.9°)
Wind
2.6
Humidity
48%

Where to watch · 177

2025/2026

#TeamPWDLGFGAGDPtsForm
1 Coventry City 4628117 974552 95 DDWWW
2 Ipswich Town 4623158 804733 84 DWDDW
3 Millwall 46241111 644915 83 DWWDW
4 Southampton 46221410 825626 80 WWDDW
5 Middlesbrough 46221410 724725 80 LDWWD
6 Hull City 46211015 70664 73 LDDLW
7 Wrexham 46191413 69654 71 LWWLD
8 Derby County 4620917 67598 69 LWLWL
9 Norwich City 4619819 63567 65 LWWDL
10 Birmingham City 46171316 57561 64 WDWWD
11 Swansea City 46181018 5759-2 64 WLWDW
12 Bristol City 46171118 59590 62 DLDLW
13 Sheffield United 4618622 66660 60 WWLLW
14 Preston North End 46151516 5562-7 60 WLLWL
15 Queens Park Rangers 46161020 6173-12 58 DLLLL
16 Watford 46141517 5365-12 57 LLLLL
17 Stoke City 46151021 5156-5 55 DLLLL
18 Portsmouth 46141319 4964-15 55 WWLWD
19 Charlton Athletic 46131419 4458-14 53 LDLWL
20 Blackburn Rovers 46131320 4256-14 52 DLDWL
21 West Bromwich Albion (-2) 46131419 4858-10 51 DWWDL
22 Oxford United 46111421 4559-14 47 WLLWL
23 Leicester City (-6) 46121618 5868-10 46 LLDDW
24 Sheffield Wednesday (-18) 4621232 2989-60 0 DDLLW
  • Promotion
  • Promotion Play-off
  • Relegation

Bristol City

LLLLD 0W 1D 4L · 1 pts (0.2 ppg) · GF 2 GA 8 · xG 5.6–7.02 · xPts 5.87

  • D A Middlesbrough 1–1 xG 0.41–1.82 UK CHAMP
  • L A Leicester City 0–2 xG 1.13–1.24 UK CHAMP
  • L H Coventry City 0–2 xG 1.5–1.3 UK CHAMP
  • L A Port Vale 0–1 aet xG 1.62–1.29 UK FA Cup
  • L H Watford 1–2 xG 0.95–1.37 UK CHAMP

West Bromwich Albion

DLDDW 1W 3D 1L · 6 pts (1.2 ppg) · GF 7 GA 5 · xG 9.39–3.6 · xPts 10.39

  • W H Hull City 3–0 xG 2.98–0.39 UK CHAMP
  • D H Southampton 1–1 xG 2.26–0.96 UK CHAMP
  • D A Sheffield United 1–1 xG 1.11–1.14 UK CHAMP
  • L A Oxford United 1–2 xG 1.27–0.91 UK CHAMP
  • D H Charlton Athletic 1–1 xG 1.77–0.2 UK CHAMP

All meetings · 21 matches since 2007

Bristol City 64 draws11 West Bromwich Albion

Goals 24–40 · 3.05 per match · BTTS 52% · over 2.5 62%

Last 10 · 10 matches

Bristol City 42 draws4 West Bromwich Albion

Goals 11–11 · 2.2 per match · BTTS 30% · over 2.5 40%

Last 5 · 5 matches

Bristol City 20 draws3 West Bromwich Albion

Goals 4–7 · 2.2 per match · BTTS 40% · over 2.5 40%

Recent meetings

  • L Bristol City 0–1 West Bromwich Albion UK CHAMP · Regular Season
  • W West Bromwich Albion 1–2 Bristol City UK CHAMP · Regular Season
  • W Bristol City 2–1 West Bromwich Albion UK CHAMP · Regular Season
  • L West Bromwich Albion 2–0 Bristol City UK CHAMP · Regular Season
  • L West Bromwich Albion 2–0 Bristol City UK CHAMP · Regular Season
  • D Bristol City 0–0 West Bromwich Albion UK CHAMP · Regular Season
  • W Bristol City 3–0 West Bromwich Albion UK FA Cup · 4th Round
  • L Bristol City 0–2 West Bromwich Albion UK CHAMP · Regular Season
  • W West Bromwich Albion 0–2 Bristol City UK CHAMP · Regular Season
  • D Bristol City 2–2 West Bromwich Albion UK CHAMP · Regular Season
MetricBristol City all · 46Bristol City at home · 23West Bromwich Albion all · 46West Bromwich Albion away · 23
Results
Matches46234623
Points per game1.351.351.150.83
W / D / L17 / 11 / 189 / 4 / 1013 / 14 / 195 / 4 / 14
Goals for / match1.281.431.040.87
Goals against / match1.281.351.261.43
Clean sheets30%35%30%26%
Failed to score33%30%33%35%
Both teams scored46%39%50%48%
Over 2.546%48%46%48%
Expected goals
xG for / match1.181.211.441.21
xG against / match1.481.491.051.32
xG difference-0.29-0.280.39-0.11
Finishing vs xG0.100.22-0.40-0.34
xPts / match1.201.211.621.29
Points vs xPts0.150.13-0.47-0.47
Game state
Scored first39%44%41%30%
PPG when scoring first2.332.202.052.14
PPG when conceding first0.670.670.380.14
Came back from behind31%29%17%12%
Leads held77%75%62%71%
Minutes leading30%33%25%18%
Minutes level41%38%50%49%
Minutes trailing29%29%25%33%
First goal (min)32284246
First goal conceded (min)30314541
Timing
Goals scored in 2nd half46%52%52%50%
Goals conceded in 2nd half44%48%53%46%
Late goals for (76'+)0.240.350.260.35
Late goals against0.240.300.260.22
Style
Possession49%52%52%50%
Shots12.212.713.411.7
On target4.14.04.13.5
Shot conversion10%11%8%7%
Shots inside box60%59%65%67%
Big chances created1.92.02.11.9
Corners4.84.75.24.2
xG from set plays24%20%36%30%
Goals from headers21%21%26%30%
Pressure index11.914.513.410.4
Dominant minutes43.948.952.948.6
Pass accuracy78%80%80%79%
Fouls9.58.810.210.4
Cards1.831.651.832.04

Goal timing for / against per 15 min

Bristol City

0–15'911
16–30'1115
31–45'127
46–60'115
61–75'510
76–90'1111

West Bromwich Albion

0–15'66
16–30'89
31–45'912
46–60'511
61–75'88
76–90'1212

Pressure DNA · intensity v an average side in the same situations, SD units

Bristol City · 7 matches

Pressure above an average side in the same situations (+0.35) · stands out: as underdog +0.72

Tempo

Overall intensity+0.357
Early press (0-15, level)+0.347
Late push (76+, level)+0.213
Late chase (76+, behind)+0.134

Game state

When ahead+0.114
When level+0.397
When behind+0.514
10 min after conceding+0.077
10 min after scoring+0.565

Situations

At home+0.033
Away+0.614
3 days rest or fewer+0.372
4+ days rest+0.355

Opposition

v mid-tier opponents+0.514
v bottom-tier opponents+0.153
As favourite+0.022
Evenly matched+0.162
As underdog+0.723

Conceded

Pressure conceded-0.127
Conceded when ahead-0.294
Conceded late (76+)-0.387

Congested vs rested +0.02 · Ahead vs level -0.28 · Behind vs level +0.13

West Bromwich Albion · 7 matches

Pressure in line with an average side in the same situations (+0.14) · stands out: 10 min after scoring +0.38

Tempo

Overall intensity+0.147
Early press (0-15, level)+0.027
Late push (76+, level)-0.292

Game state

When ahead+0.085
When level+0.197
When behind-0.033
10 min after conceding-0.105
10 min after scoring+0.387

Situations

At home+0.274
Away-0.043
3 days rest or fewer+0.052
4+ days rest+0.175

Opposition

v mid-tier opponents+0.003
v bottom-tier opponents+0.234
As favourite+0.224
As underdog-0.072

Conceded

Pressure conceded-0.047
Conceded when ahead-0.165
Conceded late (76+)-0.257

Congested vs rested -0.11 · Ahead vs level -0.11 · Behind vs level -0.22

Bristol City

Current: winless 2 · conceding 7

FormationUsePPGGFGAxGxGA
3-4-2-125 54%1.481.441.41.161.42
4-2-3-18 17%1.131.251.380.971.51
3-5-25 11%0.81.01.01.521.38
3-4-1-24 9%1.00.751.51.481.44
4-3-2-11 2%3.02.01.02.461.9

West Bromwich Albion

Current: unbeaten 4 · winless 1 · scoring 8 · conceding 1

FormationUsePPGGFGAxGxGA
4-2-3-124 52%1.251.171.291.480.98
4-4-217 37%1.291.00.821.521.08
3-4-2-13 6%0.00.03.00.861.62
5-4-12 4%0.51.52.01.180.75

Windows with fewer than 5 matches show no figures.

Pre-match movement · ends at kick-off

Every snapshot up to kick-off only — in-play prices are in Match Hub. Movement is in fair-probability points since the first snapshot (overround removed): ▲ shortened, ▼ drifted.

No pre-match movement recorded for this fixture.

Latest prices

bet365 · pre-match line 0.1h before kick-off. Fair % removes the overround; P = Pinnacle fair %.

Fulltime Result

2.6Home 36% P 36%3.3Draw 28% P 28%2.6Away 36% P 36%

Double Chance

1.5Bristol City or Draw 31% P 32%1.33Bristol City or West Brom 35% P 36%1.4Draw or West Brom 33% P 32%

Draw No Bet

1.91 49%1.82 51%

Both Teams To Score

1.8Yes 51% P 52%1.9No 49% P 48%

Goals Over/Under

2.52.1Over 45% P 46%1.72Under 55% P 54%

Total Corners

10.0Under 6 9%3.16 - 8 28%2.69 - 11 34%4.3312 - 14 20%10.0Over 14 9%

Number of Cards

3.51.61Over 58% P 54%2.2Under 42% P 46%

Fixtures priced like this · Pinnacle closing price · 2017–2026

Every past fixture whose Pinnacle fair price fell in the same band as this one, and how it finished at 90 minutes. Band = mean price in the band; ± = actual minus price, in probability points.

Match result · home 35–37.5% · away 35–37.5% · 584 fixtures

This matchBandActual±
Home36%36%35%-0.6
Draw28%28%28%+0.2
Away36%36%36%+0.4

In those fixtures: 2.8 goals a game · BTTS 58% · over 2.5 53%

Both teams to score · yes 50–52.5% · 3,449 fixtures

This matchBandActual±
Yes52%51%51%-0.6

Goals over/under 2.5 · over 45–47.5% · 2,885 fixtures

This matchBandActual±
Over 2.546%46%45%-1.2

Thomas Kirk

Career
51 matches · 5 seasons
Cards / match
4.55 (4.39 yellow · 0.04 red)
Fouls / match
22.1 · 4.8 fouls per card
Penalties / match
0.26
Cards to home side
45%

Style in Championship (5-year window · 34 matches)

MetricRefereeLeaguevs peerspct
Cards / match4.444.05+0.7074
Fouls / match21.721.8-0.12
Fouls per card4.95.4-0.98 (+ = lenient)
Penalties / match0.210.17+0.3974
Time added8.07.2+0.9178
First card
35' on average
Card timing
16% in first 30' · 38% in last 15'
Cards to home side
41% (league 45%)

Recent matches

DateYRFoulsPens1st card+min
2026-03-14 30 190 51'10
2026-03-10 40 271 42'8
2026-03-02 60 230 58'9
2026-02-22 81 321 15'11
2026-02-15 70 291 33'7
2026-02-08 40 240 12'4
2026-01-26 30 190 18'11
2026-01-21 40 250 53'7
2026-01-11 70 310 51'13
2026-01-07 62 280 43'10