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Championship · Matchweek 39
Queens Park RangersQPR
6–1
FT
PortsmouthPortsmouth

Momentum

– QPRPortsmouth –
now

Match momentum Δ pressure · 0–100

Waiting for pressure data…

Competition

Stage
Regular Season
Round
39

Venue

Stadium
MATRADE Loftus Road, London
Capacity
18,500
Surface
grass

Teams

Coaches
Julien Stéphan · John Mousinho
Position
17 · 20
Formation
4-4-2 · 4-2-3-1

Referee

John Busby

Weather

Conditions
clear sky
Temperature
13.8° (feels 12.2°)
Wind
3.6
Humidity
37%

Where to watch · 177

2025/2026

#TeamPWDLGFGAGDPtsForm
1 Coventry City 4628117 974552 95 DDWWW
2 Ipswich Town 4623158 804733 84 DWDDW
3 Millwall 46241111 644915 83 DWWDW
4 Southampton 46221410 825626 80 WWDDW
5 Middlesbrough 46221410 724725 80 LDWWD
6 Hull City 46211015 70664 73 LDDLW
7 Wrexham 46191413 69654 71 LWWLD
8 Derby County 4620917 67598 69 LWLWL
9 Norwich City 4619819 63567 65 LWWDL
10 Birmingham City 46171316 57561 64 WDWWD
11 Swansea City 46181018 5759-2 64 WLWDW
12 Bristol City 46171118 59590 62 DLDLW
13 Sheffield United 4618622 66660 60 WWLLW
14 Preston North End 46151516 5562-7 60 WLLWL
15 Queens Park Rangers 46161020 6173-12 58 DLLLL
16 Watford 46141517 5365-12 57 LLLLL
17 Stoke City 46151021 5156-5 55 DLLLL
18 Portsmouth 46141319 4964-15 55 WWLWD
19 Charlton Athletic 46131419 4458-14 53 LDLWL
20 Blackburn Rovers 46131320 4256-14 52 DLDWL
21 West Bromwich Albion (-2) 46131419 4858-10 51 DWWDL
22 Oxford United 46111421 4559-14 47 WLLWL
23 Leicester City (-6) 46121618 5868-10 46 LLDDW
24 Sheffield Wednesday (-18) 4621232 2989-60 0 DDLLW
  • Promotion
  • Promotion Play-off
  • Relegation

Queens Park Rangers

LLLLW 1W 0D 4L · 3 pts (0.6 ppg) · GF 3 GA 13 · xG 4.15–9.96 · xPts 4.15

  • W A Leicester City 3–1 xG 1.41–0.51 UK CHAMP
  • L A Birmingham City 0–1 xG 0.59–2.04 UK CHAMP
  • L H Middlesbrough 0–4 xG 0.78–4.24 UK CHAMP
  • L H Sheffield United 0–2 xG 1.08–1.45 UK CHAMP
  • L A Southampton 0–5 xG 0.28–1.71 UK CHAMP

Portsmouth

LLDLL 0W 1D 4L · 1 pts (0.2 ppg) · GF 3 GA 7 · xG 6.28–3.99 · xPts 8.46

  • L H Derby County 0–1 xG 2.18–1.29 UK CHAMP
  • L H Swansea City 1–2 xG 1.02–0.56 UK CHAMP
  • D A Blackburn Rovers 1–1 xG 0.79–1.18 UK CHAMP
  • L H Hull City 0–1 xG 1.39–0.32 UK CHAMP
  • L A Wrexham 1–2 xG 0.9–0.63 UK CHAMP

All meetings · 9 matches since 2010

Queens Park Rangers 43 draws2 Portsmouth

Goals 18–9 · 3.0 per match · BTTS 78% · over 2.5 44%

Last 10 · 9 matches

Queens Park Rangers 43 draws2 Portsmouth

Goals 18–9 · 3.0 per match · BTTS 78% · over 2.5 44%

Last 5 · 5 matches

Queens Park Rangers 21 draws2 Portsmouth

Goals 12–7 · 3.8 per match · BTTS 100% · over 2.5 80%

Recent meetings

  • W Portsmouth 1–3 Queens Park Rangers UK CHAMP · Regular Season
  • W Queens Park Rangers 6–1 Portsmouth UK CHAMP · Regular Season
  • D Portsmouth 1–1 Queens Park Rangers UK CHAMP · Regular Season
  • L Portsmouth 2–1 Queens Park Rangers UK CHAMP · Regular Season
  • L Queens Park Rangers 1–2 Portsmouth UK CHAMP · Regular Season
  • W Queens Park Rangers 2–0 Portsmouth UK FA Cup · 4th Round Replays
  • D Portsmouth 1–1 Queens Park Rangers UK FA Cup · 4th Round
  • W Queens Park Rangers 2–0 Portsmouth UK CHAMP · Regular Season
  • D Portsmouth 1–1 Queens Park Rangers UK CHAMP · Regular Season
MetricQueens Park Rangers all · 46Queens Park Rangers at home · 23Portsmouth all · 46Portsmouth away · 23
Results
Matches46234623
Points per game1.261.431.201.09
W / D / L16 / 10 / 2010 / 3 / 1014 / 13 / 196 / 7 / 10
Goals for / match1.331.741.071.04
Goals against / match1.591.611.391.78
Clean sheets22%17%22%17%
Failed to score28%17%28%26%
Both teams scored63%74%54%61%
Over 2.563%78%44%48%
Expected goals
xG for / match1.301.631.180.89
xG against / match1.331.211.241.37
xG difference-0.030.42-0.06-0.47
Finishing vs xG0.020.11-0.110.15
xPts / match1.371.681.361.11
Points vs xPts-0.11-0.24-0.16-0.02
Game state
Scored first33%48%46%44%
PPG when scoring first2.472.272.192.10
PPG when conceding first0.600.600.300.25
Came back from behind26%17%27%23%
Leads held84%77%64%60%
Minutes leading20%30%18%14%
Minutes level46%45%51%51%
Minutes trailing34%26%31%34%
First goal (min)45415054
First goal conceded (min)34434138
Timing
Goals scored in 2nd half57%55%61%67%
Goals conceded in 2nd half48%68%55%54%
Late goals for (76'+)0.390.520.280.22
Late goals against0.260.480.280.43
Style
Possession46%47%50%47%
Shots12.714.312.29.0
On target4.15.03.73.0
Shot conversion10%12%9%12%
Shots inside box63%63%65%63%
Big chances created1.82.41.61.3
Corners4.85.45.65.0
xG from set plays31%28%40%40%
Goals from headers17%15%16%12%
Pressure index11.715.411.78.5
Dominant minutes46.754.449.742.4
Pass accuracy76%75%74%74%
Fouls11.011.110.210.5
Cards1.912.131.932.13

Goal timing for / against per 15 min

Queens Park Rangers

0–15'712
16–30'711
31–45'1215
46–60'716
61–75'107
76–90'1812

Portsmouth

0–15'59
16–30'512
31–45'98
46–60'814
61–75'98
76–90'1313

Pressure DNA · intensity v an average side in the same situations, SD units

Queens Park Rangers · 7 matches

Pressure above an average side in the same situations (+0.29) · stands out: as favourite +0.67

Tempo

Overall intensity+0.297
Early press (0-15, level)+0.047
Late push (76+, level)-0.093

Game state

When ahead+0.414
When level+0.367
When behind-0.233
10 min after conceding-0.315
10 min after scoring+0.394

Situations

At home+0.203
Away+0.354
3 days rest or fewer-0.172
4+ days rest+0.475

Opposition

v mid-tier opponents-0.172
v bottom-tier opponents+0.475
As favourite+0.673
Evenly matched+0.083

Conceded

Pressure conceded-0.077
Conceded when ahead-0.324
Conceded late (76+)-0.397

Congested vs rested -0.65 · Ahead vs level +0.04 · Behind vs level -0.59

Portsmouth · 6 matches

Pressure in line with an average side in the same situations (+0.01) · stands out: late chase (76+, behind) -0.39

Tempo

Overall intensity+0.016
Early press (0-15, level)-0.056
Late chase (76+, behind)-0.393

Game state

When ahead+0.163
When level+0.056
When behind-0.153
10 min after conceding-0.104
10 min after scoring+0.034

Situations

At home-0.013
Away+0.033
4+ days rest-0.015

Opposition

v mid-tier opponents-0.052
v bottom-tier opponents+0.044
Evenly matched-0.004

Conceded

Pressure conceded+0.036
Conceded when ahead+0.013
Conceded late (76+)-0.286

Congested vs rested +0.16 · Ahead vs level +0.11 · Behind vs level -0.19

Queens Park Rangers

Current: unbeaten 2 · winless 3 · scoring 1 · conceding 1

FormationUsePPGGFGAxGxGA
4-2-3-123 50%1.391.261.481.321.24
4-4-223 50%1.131.391.71.281.42

Portsmouth

Current: unbeaten 2 · winless 1 · clean sheets 2

FormationUsePPGGFGAxGxGA
4-2-3-143 94%1.261.091.31.181.23
3-4-2-12 4%0.51.01.51.461.28
3-4-31 2%0.00.05.00.341.67

Windows with fewer than 5 matches show no figures.

Pre-match movement · ends at kick-off

Every snapshot up to kick-off only — in-play prices are in Match Hub. Movement is in fair-probability points since the first snapshot (overround removed): ▲ shortened, ▼ drifted.

No pre-match movement recorded for this fixture.

Latest prices

bet365 · pre-match line -1.2h before kick-off · recorded after kick-off. Fair % removes the overround; P = Pinnacle fair %.

Fulltime Result

2.9Home 32% P 33%3.1Draw 30% P 30%2.5Away 37% P 37%

Double Chance

1.5QPR or Draw 32% P 32%1.36QPR or Portsmouth 35% P 35%1.4Draw or Portsmouth 34% P 33%

Draw No Bet

2.01 46%1.722 54%

Both Teams To Score

1.9Yes 49% P 48%1.8No 51% P 52%

Goals Over/Under

2.52.37Over 40% P 40%1.57Under 60% P 60%

Total Corners

11.0Under 6 8%3.56 - 8 25%2.69 - 11 34%4.012 - 14 22%8.0Over 14 11%

Number of Cards

3.51.61Over 58%2.2Under 42%

Fixtures priced like this · Pinnacle closing price · 2017–2026

Every past fixture whose Pinnacle fair price fell in the same band as this one, and how it finished at 90 minutes. Band = mean price in the band; ± = actual minus price, in probability points.

Match result · home 32.5–35% · away 35–37.5% · 692 fixtures

This matchBandActual±
Home33%34%34%+0.6
Draw30%30%27%-2.5
Away37%36%38%+2.0

In those fixtures: 2.5 goals a game · BTTS 53% · over 2.5 45%

Both teams to score · yes 47.5–50% · 2,898 fixtures

This matchBandActual±
Yes48%49%49%+0.0

Goals over/under 2.5 · over 40–42.5% · 2,093 fixtures

This matchBandActual±
Over 2.540%41%41%-0.4

John Busby

Career
130 matches · 13 seasons
Cards / match
3.9 (3.82 yellow · 0.05 red)
Fouls / match
20.7 · 5.1 fouls per card
Penalties / match
0.15
Cards to home side
46%

Style in Championship (5-year window · 113 matches)

MetricRefereeLeaguevs peerspct
Cards / match3.874.05-0.3337
Fouls / match20.921.8-0.87
Fouls per card5.55.4-0.15 (+ = lenient)
Penalties / match0.150.17-0.3829
Time added7.87.2+0.6769
First card
37' on average
Card timing
15% in first 30' · 33% in last 15'
Cards to home side
45% (league 45%)

Recent matches

DateYRFoulsPens1st card+min
2026-03-07 60 300 19'6
2026-02-25 50 260 9'10
2026-02-21 30 170 76'13
2026-02-07 21 210 5'7
2026-01-31 30 211 33'8
2026-01-17 · Portsmouth 20 250 31'7
2026-01-10 50 200 36'9
2026-01-04 20 200 66'8
2025-12-29 11 130 76'10
2025-11-08 70 180 30'14