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Championship · Matchweek 39
Swansea CitySwansea City
0–3
FT
Coventry CityCVC

Momentum

– Swansea CityCVC –
now

Match momentum Δ pressure · 0–100

Waiting for pressure data…

Competition

Stage
Regular Season
Round
39

Venue

Stadium
Swansea.com Stadium, Swansea
Capacity
20,827
Surface
grass

Teams

Coaches
Vitor Matos · Frank Lampard
Position
13 · 1
Formation
4-2-3-1 · 4-2-3-1

Referee

Stephen Martin

Weather

Conditions
few clouds
Temperature
9.9° (feels 9.9°)
Wind
1.1
Humidity
79%

Where to watch · 177

2025/2026

#TeamPWDLGFGAGDPtsForm
1 Coventry City 4628117 974552 95 DDWWW
2 Ipswich Town 4623158 804733 84 DWDDW
3 Millwall 46241111 644915 83 DWWDW
4 Southampton 46221410 825626 80 WWDDW
5 Middlesbrough 46221410 724725 80 LDWWD
6 Hull City 46211015 70664 73 LDDLW
7 Wrexham 46191413 69654 71 LWWLD
8 Derby County 4620917 67598 69 LWLWL
9 Norwich City 4619819 63567 65 LWWDL
10 Birmingham City 46171316 57561 64 WDWWD
11 Swansea City 46181018 5759-2 64 WLWDW
12 Bristol City 46171118 59590 62 DLDLW
13 Sheffield United 4618622 66660 60 WWLLW
14 Preston North End 46151516 5562-7 60 WLLWL
15 Queens Park Rangers 46161020 6173-12 58 DLLLL
16 Watford 46141517 5365-12 57 LLLLL
17 Stoke City 46151021 5156-5 55 DLLLL
18 Portsmouth 46141319 4964-15 55 WWLWD
19 Charlton Athletic 46131419 4458-14 53 LDLWL
20 Blackburn Rovers 46131320 4256-14 52 DLDWL
21 West Bromwich Albion (-2) 46131419 4858-10 51 DWWDL
22 Oxford United 46111421 4559-14 47 WLLWL
23 Leicester City (-6) 46121618 5868-10 46 LLDDW
24 Sheffield Wednesday (-18) 4621232 2989-60 0 DDLLW
  • Promotion
  • Promotion Play-off
  • Relegation

Swansea City

DLWWL 2W 1D 2L · 7 pts (1.4 ppg) · GF 5 GA 7 · xG 5.44–6.66 · xPts 5.78

  • L A Wrexham 0–2 xG 0.82–0.76 UK CHAMP
  • W A Portsmouth 2–1 xG 0.56–1.02 UK CHAMP
  • W H Stoke City 2–0 xG 1.25–1.52 UK CHAMP
  • L A Ipswich Town 0–3 xG 0.54–1.4 UK CHAMP
  • D H Preston North End 1–1 xG 2.26–1.96 UK CHAMP

Coventry City

WWWWL 4W 0D 1L · 12 pts (2.4 ppg) · GF 10 GA 4 · xG 13.32–6.11 · xPts 9.79

  • L H Southampton 1–2 xG 3.31–2.05 UK CHAMP
  • W H Preston North End 3–0 xG 5.01–0.47 UK CHAMP
  • W A Bristol City 2–0 xG 1.3–1.5 UK CHAMP
  • W H Stoke City 2–1 xG 2.75–0.31 UK CHAMP
  • W A Sheffield United 2–1 xG 0.95–1.78 UK CHAMP

All meetings · 18 matches since 2008

Swansea City 78 draws3 Coventry City

Goals 20–18 · 2.11 per match · BTTS 50% · over 2.5 39%

Last 10 · 10 matches

Swansea City 34 draws3 Coventry City

Goals 13–15 · 2.8 per match · BTTS 60% · over 2.5 60%

Last 5 · 5 matches

Swansea City 11 draws3 Coventry City

Goals 4–9 · 2.6 per match · BTTS 40% · over 2.5 60%

Recent meetings

  • L Swansea City 0–3 Coventry City UK CHAMP · Regular Season
  • L Coventry City 1–0 Swansea City UK CHAMP · Regular Season
  • L Swansea City 0–2 Coventry City UK CHAMP · Regular Season
  • W Coventry City 1–2 Swansea City UK CHAMP · Regular Season
  • D Coventry City 2–2 Swansea City UK CHAMP · Regular Season
  • D Swansea City 1–1 Coventry City UK CHAMP · Regular Season
  • D Swansea City 0–0 Coventry City UK CHAMP · Regular Season
  • D Coventry City 3–3 Swansea City UK CHAMP · Regular Season
  • W Swansea City 3–1 Coventry City UK CHAMP · Regular Season
  • W Coventry City 1–2 Swansea City UK CHAMP · Regular Season
MetricSwansea City all · 46Swansea City at home · 23Coventry City all · 46Coventry City away · 23
Results
Matches46234623
Points per game1.391.702.071.74
W / D / L18 / 10 / 1811 / 6 / 628 / 11 / 711 / 7 / 5
Goals for / match1.241.482.112.00
Goals against / match1.281.170.981.13
Clean sheets26%30%37%39%
Failed to score22%9%15%13%
Both teams scored54%61%59%56%
Over 2.550%52%63%61%
Expected goals
xG for / match1.221.352.041.73
xG against / match1.371.371.141.19
xG difference-0.15-0.020.900.54
Finishing vs xG0.020.130.070.27
xPts / match1.281.361.831.64
Points vs xPts0.120.340.230.10
Game state
Scored first48%61%65%74%
PPG when scoring first2.362.362.432.00
PPG when conceding first0.480.671.551.00
Came back from behind28%40%53%38%
Leads held72%69%80%61%
Minutes leading25%28%38%38%
Minutes level48%48%50%51%
Minutes trailing27%23%12%11%
First goal (min)46493332
First goal conceded (min)40374548
Timing
Goals scored in 2nd half65%65%53%46%
Goals conceded in 2nd half52%44%62%73%
Late goals for (76'+)0.350.430.480.39
Late goals against0.300.300.170.17
Style
Possession55%56%55%52%
Shots12.313.616.314.7
On target3.93.85.65.3
Shot conversion10%11%13%14%
Shots inside box58%60%72%71%
Big chances created1.71.72.82.4
Corners4.55.15.34.7
xG from set plays36%36%36%38%
Goals from headers13%16%20%26%
Pressure index12.815.217.012.7
Dominant minutes51.958.058.852.4
Pass accuracy79%80%80%79%
Fouls9.89.19.69.8
Cards2.001.911.611.87

Goal timing for / against per 15 min

Swansea City

0–15'66
16–30'86
31–45'616
46–60'1011
61–75'116
76–90'1614

Coventry City

0–15'155
16–30'106
31–45'216
46–60'189
61–75'1111
76–90'228

Pressure DNA · intensity v an average side in the same situations, SD units

Swansea City · 7 matches

Pressure in line with an average side in the same situations (+0.04) · stands out: 10 min after scoring +0.35

Tempo

Overall intensity+0.047
Early press (0-15, level)+0.097
Late push (76+, level)-0.222

Game state

When ahead+0.214
When level-0.097
When behind-0.102
10 min after conceding-0.093
10 min after scoring+0.355

Situations

At home-0.024
Away+0.123
3 days rest or fewer-0.092
4+ days rest+0.095

Opposition

v mid-tier opponents-0.083
v bottom-tier opponents+0.134
As favourite+0.002
Evenly matched+0.114

Conceded

Pressure conceded-0.017
Conceded when ahead-0.074
Conceded late (76+)-0.237

Congested vs rested -0.18 · Ahead vs level +0.30 · Behind vs level -0.01

Coventry City · 4 matches

Pressure in line with an average side in the same situations (-0.10) · stands out: early press (0-15, level) -0.28

Tempo

Overall intensity-0.104
Early press (0-15, level)-0.284
Late chase (76+, behind)-0.242

Game state

When level+0.024
When behind-0.224
10 min after conceding-0.264

Situations

At home+0.102
Away-0.342
4+ days rest-0.104

Opposition

v top-tier opponents-0.163
As underdog-0.163

Conceded

Pressure conceded+0.074
Conceded late (76+)-0.462

Behind vs level -0.24

Swansea City

Current: unbeaten 1 · wins 1 · scoring 2 · conceding 2

FormationUsePPGGFGAxGxGA
4-2-3-122 48%1.321.231.411.191.3
4-1-4-111 24%1.821.360.731.351.38
4-3-37 15%1.431.141.141.131.33
3-4-2-12 4%0.01.03.00.80.88
4-4-1-11 2%3.01.00.00.611.68

Coventry City

Current: winless 4 · conceding 4

FormationUsePPGGFGAxGxGA
4-2-3-136 78%2.142.170.862.091.12
4-4-24 9%2.252.251.51.831.58
4-3-31 2%3.03.01.02.011.29
3-4-1-21 2%1.01.01.02.311.43
4-1-4-11 2%0.02.03.01.310.85

Windows with fewer than 5 matches show no figures.

Pre-match movement · ends at kick-off

Every snapshot up to kick-off only — in-play prices are in Match Hub. Movement is in fair-probability points since the first snapshot (overround removed): ▲ shortened, ▼ drifted.

No pre-match movement recorded for this fixture.

Latest prices

bet365 · pre-match line -1.6h before kick-off · recorded after kick-off. Fair % removes the overround; P = Pinnacle fair %.

Fulltime Result

3.0Home 32% P 28%3.5Draw 27% P 27%2.3Away 41% P 44%

Double Chance

1.57Swansea or Draw 30% P 28%1.28Swansea or Coventry 36% P 36%1.36Draw or Coventry 34% P 36%

Draw No Bet

2.21 42%1.612 58%

Both Teams To Score

1.72Yes 54% P 56%2.0No 46% P 44%

Goals Over/Under

2.51.9Over 50% P 51%1.9Under 50% P 49%

Total Corners

11.0Under 6 8%3.46 - 8 26%2.69 - 11 34%4.012 - 14 22%9.0Over 14 10%

Number of Cards

3.51.61Over 58%2.2Under 42%
4.51.8Over 51%1.9Under 49%
5.52.0Over 46%1.72Under 54%

Fixtures priced like this · Pinnacle closing price · 2017–2026

Every past fixture whose Pinnacle fair price fell in the same band as this one, and how it finished at 90 minutes. Band = mean price in the band; ± = actual minus price, in probability points.

Match result · home 27.5–30% · away 42.5–45% · 505 fixtures

This matchBandActual±
Home28%29%23%-5.8
Draw27%28%27%-0.3
Away44%44%50%+6.1

In those fixtures: 2.8 goals a game · BTTS 56% · over 2.5 57%

Both teams to score · yes 55–57.5% · 2,581 fixtures

This matchBandActual±
Yes56%56%57%+1.1

Goals over/under 2.5 · over 50–52.5% · 3,575 fixtures

This matchBandActual±
Over 2.551%51%51%-0.1

Stephen Martin

Career
78 matches · 5 seasons
Cards / match
4.68 (4.58 yellow · 0.04 red)
Fouls / match
22.9 · 4.8 fouls per card
Penalties / match
0.12
Cards to home side
44%

Style in Championship (5-year window · 72 matches)

MetricRefereeLeaguevs peerspct
Cards / match4.64.05+0.9986
Fouls / match23.021.8+1.06
Fouls per card5.25.4-0.59 (+ = lenient)
Penalties / match0.110.17-0.9412
Time added7.77.2+0.5667
First card
35' on average
Card timing
15% in first 30' · 32% in last 15'
Cards to home side
43% (league 45%)

Recent matches

DateYRFoulsPens1st card+min
2026-03-14 60 190 35'8
2026-03-10 70 201 7'6
2026-02-21 30 210 17'7
2026-02-14 50 260 36'15
2026-01-31 40 190 22'7
2026-01-20 51 250 45'10
2026-01-10 30 211 14'5
2026-01-05 10 160 77'7
2025-12-26 60 170 28'9
2025-12-20 50 280 37'8