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Championship · Matchweek 40
Birmingham CityBRC
0–1
FT
Blackburn RoversBBR

Momentum

– BRCBBR –
now

Match momentum Δ pressure · 0–100

Waiting for pressure data…

Competition

Stage
Regular Season
Round
40

Venue

Stadium
St. Andrew's Stadium, Birmingham
Capacity
29,409
Surface
grass

Teams

Coaches
Chris Davies · Michael O'Neill
Position
11 · 19
Formation
4-2-3-1 · 3-4-2-1

Referee

John Busby

Weather

Conditions
clear sky
Temperature
15.3° (feels 14.6°)
Wind
6.7
Humidity
66%

Where to watch · 177

2025/2026

#TeamPWDLGFGAGDPtsForm
1 Coventry City 4628117 974552 95 DDWWW
2 Ipswich Town 4623158 804733 84 DWDDW
3 Millwall 46241111 644915 83 DWWDW
4 Southampton 46221410 825626 80 WWDDW
5 Middlesbrough 46221410 724725 80 LDWWD
6 Hull City 46211015 70664 73 LDDLW
7 Wrexham 46191413 69654 71 LWWLD
8 Derby County 4620917 67598 69 LWLWL
9 Norwich City 4619819 63567 65 LWWDL
10 Birmingham City 46171316 57561 64 WDWWD
11 Swansea City 46181018 5759-2 64 WLWDW
12 Bristol City 46171118 59590 62 DLDLW
13 Sheffield United 4618622 66660 60 WWLLW
14 Preston North End 46151516 5562-7 60 WLLWL
15 Queens Park Rangers 46161020 6173-12 58 DLLLL
16 Watford 46141517 5365-12 57 LLLLL
17 Stoke City 46151021 5156-5 55 DLLLL
18 Portsmouth 46141319 4964-15 55 WWLWD
19 Charlton Athletic 46131419 4458-14 53 LDLWL
20 Blackburn Rovers 46131320 4256-14 52 DLDWL
21 West Bromwich Albion (-2) 46131419 4858-10 51 DWWDL
22 Oxford United 46111421 4559-14 47 WLLWL
23 Leicester City (-6) 46121618 5868-10 46 LLDDW
24 Sheffield Wednesday (-18) 4621232 2989-60 0 DDLLW
  • Promotion
  • Promotion Play-off
  • Relegation

Birmingham City

LLWDL 1W 1D 3L · 4 pts (0.8 ppg) · GF 3 GA 6 · xG 5.04–5.53 · xPts 6.32

  • L A Derby County 0–1 xG 0.25–1.91 UK CHAMP
  • D H Sheffield United 1–1 xG 1.66–1.22 UK CHAMP
  • W H Queens Park Rangers 1–0 xG 2.04–0.59 UK CHAMP
  • L A Charlton Athletic 0–1 xG 0.39–1.08 UK CHAMP
  • L H Middlesbrough 1–3 xG 0.7–0.74 UK CHAMP

Blackburn Rovers

LDLWD 1W 2D 2L · 5 pts (1.0 ppg) · GF 4 GA 6 · xG 5.23–6.43 · xPts 5.89

  • D H Middlesbrough 0–0 xG 0.49–1.51 UK CHAMP
  • W A Millwall 2–1 xG 2.07–1.03 UK CHAMP
  • L A Oxford United 0–1 xG 0.75–1.56 UK CHAMP
  • D H Portsmouth 1–1 xG 1.18–0.79 UK CHAMP
  • L A Derby County 1–3 xG 0.74–1.54 UK CHAMP

All meetings · 41 matches since 2002

Birmingham City 1213 draws16 Blackburn Rovers

Goals 51–66 · 2.85 per match · BTTS 66% · over 2.5 54%

Last 10 · 10 matches

Birmingham City 31 draws6 Blackburn Rovers

Goals 10–17 · 2.7 per match · BTTS 50% · over 2.5 60%

Last 5 · 5 matches

Birmingham City 30 draws2 Blackburn Rovers

Goals 6–6 · 2.4 per match · BTTS 40% · over 2.5 40%

Recent meetings

  • L Birmingham City 0–1 Blackburn Rovers UK CHAMP · Regular Season
  • W Blackburn Rovers 1–2 Birmingham City UK CHAMP · Regular Season
  • W Birmingham City 1–0 Blackburn Rovers UK CHAMP · Regular Season
  • L Blackburn Rovers 4–2 Birmingham City UK CHAMP · Regular Season
  • W Birmingham City 1–0 Blackburn Rovers UK CHAMP · Regular Season
  • L Birmingham City 0–1 Blackburn Rovers aet UK FA Cup · 4th Round Replays
  • D Blackburn Rovers 2–2 Birmingham City neutral UK FA Cup · 4th Round
  • L Blackburn Rovers 2–1 Birmingham City UK CHAMP · Regular Season
  • L Birmingham City 1–2 Blackburn Rovers UK CHAMP · Regular Season
  • L Blackburn Rovers 4–0 Birmingham City UK CHAMP · Regular Season
MetricBirmingham City all · 46Birmingham City at home · 23Blackburn Rovers all · 46Blackburn Rovers away · 23
Results
Matches46234623
Points per game1.391.911.131.35
W / D / L17 / 13 / 1612 / 8 / 313 / 13 / 209 / 4 / 10
Goals for / match1.241.700.911.00
Goals against / match1.220.961.221.26
Clean sheets22%30%26%30%
Failed to score24%9%35%39%
Both teams scored56%65%48%39%
Over 2.546%48%39%48%
Expected goals
xG for / match1.491.911.201.13
xG against / match1.141.001.301.45
xG difference0.350.91-0.10-0.31
Finishing vs xG-0.25-0.21-0.28-0.13
xPts / match1.571.921.321.19
Points vs xPts-0.18-0.01-0.190.16
Game state
Scored first50%78%46%52%
PPG when scoring first2.352.331.762.17
PPG when conceding first0.410.250.520.33
Came back from behind33%40%26%9%
Leads held71%67%56%69%
Minutes leading28%44%21%28%
Minutes level42%46%55%48%
Minutes trailing31%10%24%24%
First goal (min)39304436
First goal conceded (min)35464944
Timing
Goals scored in 2nd half49%44%48%39%
Goals conceded in 2nd half39%50%59%66%
Late goals for (76'+)0.240.170.220.09
Late goals against0.150.170.390.35
Style
Possession54%55%48%47%
Shots13.617.311.511.4
On target4.15.73.23.1
Shot conversion9%10%8%9%
Shots inside box64%63%67%66%
Big chances created2.43.02.02.2
Corners5.86.65.34.9
xG from set plays30%29%27%24%
Goals from headers21%24%27%27%
Pressure index14.418.310.19.4
Dominant minutes54.364.044.643.4
Pass accuracy77%77%74%75%
Fouls11.711.010.511.3
Cards2.112.002.172.35

Goal timing for / against per 15 min

Birmingham City

0–15'1010
16–30'1112
31–45'812
46–60'98
61–75'87
76–90'117

Blackburn Rovers

0–15'54
16–30'67
31–45'1112
46–60'69
61–75'46
76–90'1018

Pressure DNA · intensity v an average side in the same situations, SD units

Birmingham City · 7 matches

Pressure in line with an average side in the same situations (+0.12) · stands out: 10 min after conceding -0.36

Tempo

Overall intensity+0.127
Early press (0-15, level)+0.137
Late push (76+, level)-0.194
Late chase (76+, behind)-0.552

Game state

When ahead+0.152
When level+0.247
When behind-0.295
10 min after conceding-0.366
10 min after scoring+0.296

Situations

At home-0.063
Away+0.274
3 days rest or fewer+0.362
4+ days rest+0.035

Opposition

v mid-tier opponents+0.155
v bottom-tier opponents+0.072
Evenly matched+0.093
As underdog+0.263

Conceded

Pressure conceded-0.117
Conceded when ahead-0.122
Conceded late (76+)-0.207

Congested vs rested +0.33 · Ahead vs level -0.09 · Behind vs level -0.53

Blackburn Rovers · 7 matches

Pressure in line with an average side in the same situations (+0.04) · stands out: 10 min after scoring +0.55

Tempo

Overall intensity+0.047
Early press (0-15, level)-0.197
Late push (76+, level)+0.512
Late chase (76+, behind)-0.353

Game state

When ahead-0.145
When level+0.067
When behind+0.155
10 min after conceding+0.236
10 min after scoring+0.556

Situations

At home+0.004
Away+0.103
3 days rest or fewer+0.282
4+ days rest-0.055

Opposition

v mid-tier opponents+0.016
Evenly matched+0.125
As underdog-0.142

Conceded

Pressure conceded-0.067
Conceded when ahead+0.045
Conceded late (76+)-0.057

Congested vs rested +0.32 · Ahead vs level -0.21 · Behind vs level +0.09

Birmingham City

Current: unbeaten 1 · wins 1 · scoring 6 · conceding 6

FormationUsePPGGFGAxGxGA
4-2-3-140 87%1.381.331.281.541.16
4-4-22 4%1.50.50.51.160.61
4-4-1-12 4%1.51.01.51.730.5
3-4-31 2%0.00.01.00.251.91
4-1-4-11 2%3.01.00.00.831.5

Blackburn Rovers

Current: unbeaten 1 · wins 1 · scoring 3 · conceding 3

FormationUsePPGGFGAxGxGA
3-4-1-217 37%1.060.941.291.311.11
4-2-3-113 28%1.080.921.231.131.34
3-4-2-112 26%1.170.831.081.151.35
3-5-22 4%1.51.51.01.062.12
3-1-4-21 2%0.00.03.00.782.71

Windows with fewer than 5 matches show no figures.

Pre-match movement · ends at kick-off

Every snapshot up to kick-off only — in-play prices are in Match Hub. Movement is in fair-probability points since the first snapshot (overround removed): ▲ shortened, ▼ drifted.

No pre-match movement recorded for this fixture.

Latest prices

bet365 · pre-match line -1.4h before kick-off · recorded after kick-off. Fair % removes the overround; P = Pinnacle fair %.

Fulltime Result

1.9Home 49% P 55%3.4Draw 28% P 26%4.1Away 23% P 19%

Double Chance

1.18Birmingham or Draw 40%1.28Birmingham or Blackburn 37%2.0Draw or Blackburn 23%

Draw No Bet

1.361 69%3.02 31%

Both Teams To Score

1.83Yes 50%1.83No 50%

Goals Over/Under

2.52.0Over 47% P 47%1.8Under 53% P 53%

Total Corners

11.0Under 6 8%3.46 - 8 26%2.69 - 11 34%4.012 - 14 22%8.0Over 14 11%

Number of Cards

4.52.2Over 42%1.61Under 58%

Fixtures priced like this · Pinnacle closing price · 2017–2026

Every past fixture whose Pinnacle fair price fell in the same band as this one, and how it finished at 90 minutes. Band = mean price in the band; ± = actual minus price, in probability points.

Match result · home 55–57.5% · away 17.5–20% · 762 fixtures

This matchBandActual±
Home55%56%53%-2.8
Draw26%25%26%+1.0
Away19%19%21%+1.8

In those fixtures: 2.7 goals a game · BTTS 53% · over 2.5 52%

Goals over/under 2.5 · over 45–47.5% · 2,885 fixtures

This matchBandActual±
Over 2.547%46%45%-1.2

John Busby

Career
130 matches · 13 seasons
Cards / match
3.9 (3.82 yellow · 0.05 red)
Fouls / match
20.7 · 5.1 fouls per card
Penalties / match
0.15
Cards to home side
46%

Style in Championship (5-year window · 113 matches)

MetricRefereeLeaguevs peerspct
Cards / match3.874.05-0.3335
Fouls / match20.921.8-0.89
Fouls per card5.55.4-0.15 (+ = lenient)
Penalties / match0.150.17-0.4029
Time added7.87.2+0.6871
First card
37' on average
Card timing
15% in first 30' · 33% in last 15'
Cards to home side
45% (league 45%)

Recent matches

DateYRFoulsPens1st card+min
2026-03-21 60 261 22'4
2026-03-07 60 300 19'6
2026-02-25 50 260 9'10
2026-02-21 30 170 76'13
2026-02-07 · Birmingham City 21 210 5'7
2026-01-31 30 211 33'8
2026-01-17 20 250 31'7
2026-01-10 50 200 36'9
2026-01-04 20 200 66'8
2025-12-29 11 130 76'10