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Championship · Matchweek 40
Charlton AthleticCHA
1–2
FT
Bristol CityBristol City

Momentum

– CHABristol City –
now

Match momentum Δ pressure · 0–100

Waiting for pressure data…

Competition

Stage
Regular Season
Round
40

Venue

Stadium
The Valley, London
Capacity
27,111
Surface
grass
Attendance
20,925

Teams

Coaches
Nathan Jones · Roy Hodgson
Position
18 · 16
Formation
3-5-2 · 4-3-2-1

Referee

Ben Toner

Weather

Conditions
overcast clouds
Temperature
15.8° (feels 15.3°)
Wind
6.7
Humidity
73%

Where to watch · 177

2025/2026

#TeamPWDLGFGAGDPtsForm
1 Coventry City 4628117 974552 95 DDWWW
2 Ipswich Town 4623158 804733 84 DWDDW
3 Millwall 46241111 644915 83 DWWDW
4 Southampton 46221410 825626 80 WWDDW
5 Middlesbrough 46221410 724725 80 LDWWD
6 Hull City 46211015 70664 73 LDDLW
7 Wrexham 46191413 69654 71 LWWLD
8 Derby County 4620917 67598 69 LWLWL
9 Norwich City 4619819 63567 65 LWWDL
10 Birmingham City 46171316 57561 64 WDWWD
11 Swansea City 46181018 5759-2 64 WLWDW
12 Bristol City 46171118 59590 62 DLDLW
13 Sheffield United 4618622 66660 60 WWLLW
14 Preston North End 46151516 5562-7 60 WLLWL
15 Queens Park Rangers 46161020 6173-12 58 DLLLL
16 Watford 46141517 5365-12 57 LLLLL
17 Stoke City 46151021 5156-5 55 DLLLL
18 Portsmouth 46141319 4964-15 55 WWLWD
19 Charlton Athletic 46131419 4458-14 53 LDLWL
20 Blackburn Rovers 46131320 4256-14 52 DLDWL
21 West Bromwich Albion (-2) 46131419 4858-10 51 DWWDL
22 Oxford United 46111421 4559-14 47 WLLWL
23 Leicester City (-6) 46121618 5868-10 46 LLDDW
24 Sheffield Wednesday (-18) 4621232 2989-60 0 DDLLW
  • Promotion
  • Promotion Play-off
  • Relegation

Charlton Athletic

LWWDL 2W 1D 2L · 7 pts (1.4 ppg) · GF 3 GA 3 · xG 6.04–7.02 · xPts 6.58

  • L H Norwich City 0–1 xG 1.51–1.86 UK CHAMP
  • D A Oxford United 1–1 xG 0.93–1.45 UK CHAMP
  • W A Middlesbrough 1–0 xG 0.9–2.58 UK CHAMP
  • W H Birmingham City 1–0 xG 1.08–0.39 UK CHAMP
  • L H Wrexham 0–1 xG 1.62–0.75 UK CHAMP

Bristol City

LLLDL 0W 1D 4L · 1 pts (0.2 ppg) · GF 1 GA 7 · xG 4.89–8.64 · xPts 4.94

  • L H West Bromwich Albion 0–1 xG 0.24–2.99 UK CHAMP
  • D A Middlesbrough 1–1 xG 0.41–1.82 UK CHAMP
  • L A Leicester City 0–2 xG 1.13–1.24 UK CHAMP
  • L H Coventry City 0–2 xG 1.5–1.3 UK CHAMP
  • L A Port Vale 0–1 aet xG 1.62–1.29 UK FA Cup

All meetings · 12 matches since 2007

Charlton Athletic 43 draws5 Bristol City

Goals 15–14 · 2.42 per match · BTTS 58% · over 2.5 42%

Last 10 · 10 matches

Charlton Athletic 32 draws5 Bristol City

Goals 13–13 · 2.6 per match · BTTS 60% · over 2.5 50%

Last 5 · 5 matches

Charlton Athletic 11 draws3 Bristol City

Goals 5–7 · 2.4 per match · BTTS 60% · over 2.5 60%

Recent meetings

  • L Charlton Athletic 1–2 Bristol City UK CHAMP · Regular Season
  • D Bristol City 0–0 Charlton Athletic UK CHAMP · Regular Season
  • W Charlton Athletic 3–2 Bristol City UK CHAMP · Regular Season
  • L Bristol City 2–1 Charlton Athletic UK CHAMP · Regular Season
  • L Charlton Athletic 0–1 Bristol City UK CHAMP · Regular Season
  • D Bristol City 1–1 Charlton Athletic UK CHAMP · Regular Season
  • W Charlton Athletic 4–1 Bristol City UK CHAMP · Regular Season
  • W Bristol City 0–2 Charlton Athletic UK CHAMP · Regular Season
  • L Bristol City 2–1 Charlton Athletic UK CHAMP · Regular Season
  • L Charlton Athletic 0–2 Bristol City neutral UK CHAMP · Regular Season
MetricCharlton Athletic all · 46Charlton Athletic at home · 23Bristol City all · 46Bristol City away · 23
Results
Matches46234623
Points per game1.151.351.351.35
W / D / L13 / 14 / 199 / 4 / 1017 / 11 / 188 / 7 / 8
Goals for / match0.961.001.281.13
Goals against / match1.261.131.281.22
Clean sheets28%35%30%26%
Failed to score22%17%33%35%
Both teams scored54%52%46%52%
Over 2.539%44%46%44%
Expected goals
xG for / match1.151.271.181.16
xG against / match1.551.341.481.46
xG difference-0.40-0.08-0.29-0.31
Finishing vs xG-0.19-0.270.10-0.03
xPts / match1.191.381.201.19
Points vs xPts-0.03-0.030.150.16
Game state
Scored first48%56%39%35%
PPG when scoring first2.052.232.332.50
PPG when conceding first0.270.110.670.67
Came back from behind24%9%31%33%
Leads held59%69%77%80%
Minutes leading16%18%30%28%
Minutes level56%51%41%43%
Minutes trailing28%31%29%29%
First goal (min)56523236
First goal conceded (min)43343029
Timing
Goals scored in 2nd half66%61%46%38%
Goals conceded in 2nd half53%35%44%39%
Late goals for (76'+)0.260.300.240.13
Late goals against0.330.040.240.17
Style
Possession42%45%49%46%
Shots11.012.812.211.7
On target3.54.14.14.2
Shot conversion9%8%10%10%
Shots inside box68%69%60%62%
Big chances created1.92.11.91.9
Corners4.15.14.85.0
xG from set plays39%36%24%29%
Goals from headers19%17%21%20%
Pressure index7.09.311.99.3
Dominant minutes34.441.343.939.0
Pass accuracy70%71%78%76%
Fouls12.011.39.510.3
Cards2.202.301.832.00

Goal timing for / against per 15 min

Charlton Athletic

0–15'28
16–30'58
31–45'811
46–60'78
61–75'108
76–90'1215

Bristol City

0–15'911
16–30'1115
31–45'127
46–60'115
61–75'510
76–90'1111

Pressure DNA · intensity v an average side in the same situations, SD units

Charlton Athletic · 7 matches

Pressure in line with an average side in the same situations (-0.11) · stands out: 10 min after conceding -0.57

Tempo

Overall intensity-0.117
Early press (0-15, level)+0.437
Late push (76+, level)-0.354

Game state

When ahead-0.333
When level-0.027
When behind-0.113
10 min after conceding-0.574
10 min after scoring+0.044

Situations

At home-0.034
Away-0.263
3 days rest or fewer+0.342
4+ days rest-0.225

Opposition

v mid-tier opponents-0.372
v bottom-tier opponents+0.154
Evenly matched+0.182
As underdog-0.304

Conceded

Pressure conceded+0.447
Conceded when ahead+0.363
Conceded late (76+)+0.096

Congested vs rested +0.56 · Ahead vs level -0.30 · Behind vs level -0.09

Bristol City · 7 matches

Pressure above an average side in the same situations (+0.35) · stands out: as underdog +0.72

Tempo

Overall intensity+0.357
Early press (0-15, level)+0.347
Late push (76+, level)+0.213
Late chase (76+, behind)+0.134

Game state

When ahead+0.114
When level+0.397
When behind+0.514
10 min after conceding+0.077
10 min after scoring+0.565

Situations

At home+0.033
Away+0.614
3 days rest or fewer+0.372
4+ days rest+0.355

Opposition

v mid-tier opponents+0.514
v bottom-tier opponents+0.153
As favourite+0.022
Evenly matched+0.162
As underdog+0.723

Conceded

Pressure conceded-0.127
Conceded when ahead-0.294
Conceded late (76+)-0.387

Congested vs rested +0.02 · Ahead vs level -0.28 · Behind vs level +0.13

Charlton Athletic

Current: unbeaten 2 · winless 4 · clean sheets 2

FormationUsePPGGFGAxGxGA
3-1-4-214 30%0.860.861.641.081.41
3-5-210 22%1.10.91.01.031.55
3-4-2-16 13%0.830.831.51.421.54
3-4-1-25 11%1.00.61.01.021.72
4-2-3-13 6%1.331.01.331.261.01

Bristol City

Current: winless 2 · conceding 7

FormationUsePPGGFGAxGxGA
3-4-2-125 54%1.481.441.41.161.42
4-2-3-18 17%1.131.251.380.971.51
3-5-25 11%0.81.01.01.521.38
3-4-1-24 9%1.00.751.51.481.44
5-3-21 2%1.01.01.00.411.82

Windows with fewer than 5 matches show no figures.

Pre-match movement · ends at kick-off

Every snapshot up to kick-off only — in-play prices are in Match Hub. Movement is in fair-probability points since the first snapshot (overround removed): ▲ shortened, ▼ drifted.

No pre-match movement recorded for this fixture.

Latest prices

bet365 · pre-match line -0.8h before kick-off · recorded after kick-off. Fair % removes the overround; P = Pinnacle fair %.

Fulltime Result

2.35Home 40% P 39%3.2Draw 29% P 30%3.1Away 30% P 31%

Double Chance

1.4Charlton or Draw 34%1.36Charlton or Bristol City 35%1.5Draw or Bristol City 32%

Draw No Bet

1.661 56%2.12 44%

Both Teams To Score

1.83Yes 50%1.83No 50%

Goals Over/Under

2.52.2Over 43% P 44%1.66Under 57% P 56%

Total Corners

11.0Under 6 8%3.256 - 8 27%2.69 - 11 34%4.012 - 14 22%9.0Over 14 10%

Number of Cards

3.51.72Over 54%2.0Under 46%

Fixtures priced like this · Pinnacle closing price · 2017–2026

Every past fixture whose Pinnacle fair price fell in the same band as this one, and how it finished at 90 minutes. Band = mean price in the band; ± = actual minus price, in probability points.

Match result · home 37.5–40% · away 30–32.5% · 800 fixtures

This matchBandActual±
Home39%39%39%-0.2
Draw30%30%31%+1.5
Away31%31%30%-1.3

In those fixtures: 2.4 goals a game · BTTS 54% · over 2.5 44%

Goals over/under 2.5 · over 42.5–45% · 2,473 fixtures

This matchBandActual±
Over 2.544%44%43%-1.2

Ben Toner

Career
64 matches · 12 seasons
Cards / match
3.77 (3.66 yellow · 0.08 red)
Fouls / match
22.1 · 5.2 fouls per card
Penalties / match
0.25
Cards to home side
46%

Style in Championship (5-year window · 42 matches)

MetricRefereeLeaguevs peerspct
Cards / match4.384.05+0.5971
Fouls / match24.721.8+2.54
Fouls per card5.65.4+0.11 (+ = lenient)
Penalties / match0.260.17+1.1792
Time added7.97.2+0.7974
First card
34' on average
Card timing
14% in first 30' · 35% in last 15'
Cards to home side
41% (league 45%)

Recent matches

DateYRFoulsPens1st card+min
2026-03-21 30 210 31'3
2026-03-11 40 180 44'–
2026-02-28 50 260 57'7
2026-02-24 50 301 25'15
2026-02-10 10 240 30'10
2026-01-31 40 300 56'5
2026-01-21 20 210 51'9
2025-12-26 62 300 29'10
2025-12-20 60 220 30'8
2025-12-09 11 180 39'8