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Championship · Matchweek 40
Coventry CityCVC
3–2
FT
Derby CountyDerby County

Momentum

– CVCDerby County –
now

Match momentum Δ pressure · 0–100

Waiting for pressure data…

Competition

Stage
Regular Season
Round
40

Venue

Stadium
The Coventry Building Society Arena, Coventry
Capacity
32,609
Surface
grass
Attendance
31,349

Teams

Coaches
Frank Lampard · John Eustace
Position
1 · 8
Formation
4-2-3-1 · 4-2-3-1

Referee

Tom Nield

Weather

Conditions
clear sky
Temperature
10.1° (feels 9.1°)
Wind
4.6
Humidity
76%

Where to watch · 177

2025/2026

#TeamPWDLGFGAGDPtsForm
1 Coventry City 4628117 974552 95 DDWWW
2 Ipswich Town 4623158 804733 84 DWDDW
3 Millwall 46241111 644915 83 DWWDW
4 Southampton 46221410 825626 80 WWDDW
5 Middlesbrough 46221410 724725 80 LDWWD
6 Hull City 46211015 70664 73 LDDLW
7 Wrexham 46191413 69654 71 LWWLD
8 Derby County 4620917 67598 69 LWLWL
9 Norwich City 4619819 63567 65 LWWDL
10 Birmingham City 46171316 57561 64 WDWWD
11 Swansea City 46181018 5759-2 64 WLWDW
12 Bristol City 46171118 59590 62 DLDLW
13 Sheffield United 4618622 66660 60 WWLLW
14 Preston North End 46151516 5562-7 60 WLLWL
15 Queens Park Rangers 46161020 6173-12 58 DLLLL
16 Watford 46141517 5365-12 57 LLLLL
17 Stoke City 46151021 5156-5 55 DLLLL
18 Portsmouth 46141319 4964-15 55 WWLWD
19 Charlton Athletic 46131419 4458-14 53 LDLWL
20 Blackburn Rovers 46131320 4256-14 52 DLDWL
21 West Bromwich Albion (-2) 46131419 4858-10 51 DWWDL
22 Oxford United 46111421 4559-14 47 WLLWL
23 Leicester City (-6) 46121618 5868-10 46 LLDDW
24 Sheffield Wednesday (-18) 4621232 2989-60 0 DDLLW
  • Promotion
  • Promotion Play-off
  • Relegation

Coventry City

WWWLW 4W 0D 1L · 12 pts (2.4 ppg) · GF 11 GA 3 · xG 14.86–5.51 · xPts 11.11

  • W A Swansea City 3–0 xG 2.49–1.18 UK CHAMP
  • L H Southampton 1–2 xG 3.31–2.05 UK CHAMP
  • W H Preston North End 3–0 xG 5.01–0.47 UK CHAMP
  • W A Bristol City 2–0 xG 1.3–1.5 UK CHAMP
  • W H Stoke City 2–1 xG 2.75–0.31 UK CHAMP

Derby County

WWLWW 4W 0D 1L · 12 pts (2.4 ppg) · GF 7 GA 3 · xG 7.33–5.35 · xPts 8.4

  • W H Birmingham City 1–0 xG 1.91–0.25 UK CHAMP
  • W A Portsmouth 1–0 xG 1.29–2.18 UK CHAMP
  • L A Millwall 0–1 xG 0.88–1.64 UK CHAMP
  • W H Sheffield Wednesday 2–1 xG 1.71–0.54 UK CHAMP
  • W H Blackburn Rovers 3–1 xG 1.54–0.74 UK CHAMP

All meetings · 23 matches since 2000

Coventry City 87 draws8 Derby County

Goals 34–28 · 2.7 per match · BTTS 65% · over 2.5 39%

Last 10 · 10 matches

Coventry City 43 draws3 Derby County

Goals 14–13 · 2.7 per match · BTTS 60% · over 2.5 30%

Last 5 · 5 matches

Coventry City 21 draws2 Derby County

Goals 10–10 · 4.0 per match · BTTS 80% · over 2.5 60%

Recent meetings

  • W Coventry City 3–2 Derby County UK CHAMP · Regular Season
  • W Derby County 3–5 Coventry City UK CHAMP · Regular Season
  • L Derby County 2–0 Coventry City UK CHAMP · Regular Season
  • L Coventry City 1–2 Derby County UK CHAMP · Regular Season
  • D Derby County 1–1 Coventry City neutral UK CHAMP · Regular Season
  • W Coventry City 1–0 Derby County UK FA Cup · 3rd Round
  • D Coventry City 1–1 Derby County UK CHAMP · Regular Season
  • W Coventry City 1–0 Derby County neutral UK CHAMP · Regular Season
  • D Derby County 1–1 Coventry City UK CHAMP · Regular Season
  • L Derby County 1–0 Coventry City UK CHAMP · Regular Season
MetricCoventry City all · 46Coventry City at home · 23Derby County all · 46Derby County away · 23
Results
Matches46234623
Points per game2.072.391.501.43
W / D / L28 / 11 / 717 / 4 / 220 / 9 / 1710 / 3 / 10
Goals for / match2.112.221.461.57
Goals against / match0.980.831.281.39
Clean sheets37%35%26%22%
Failed to score15%17%9%13%
Both teams scored59%61%65%65%
Over 2.563%65%52%65%
Expected goals
xG for / match2.042.351.231.18
xG against / match1.141.091.321.54
xG difference0.901.27-0.09-0.35
Finishing vs xG0.07-0.140.230.38
xPts / match1.832.031.331.18
Points vs xPts0.230.360.170.25
Game state
Scored first65%56%54%56%
PPG when scoring first2.433.002.242.15
PPG when conceding first1.551.860.620.50
Came back from behind53%71%35%23%
Leads held80%100%69%67%
Minutes leading38%39%30%32%
Minutes level50%48%46%46%
Minutes trailing12%13%24%22%
First goal (min)33354035
First goal conceded (min)45424045
Timing
Goals scored in 2nd half53%59%52%50%
Goals conceded in 2nd half62%47%58%66%
Late goals for (76'+)0.480.570.260.26
Late goals against0.170.170.300.35
Style
Possession55%58%44%40%
Shots16.318.011.010.0
On target5.65.83.63.4
Shot conversion13%12%13%16%
Shots inside box72%72%70%77%
Big chances created2.83.22.22.2
Corners5.35.94.53.6
xG from set plays36%34%39%33%
Goals from headers20%14%28%25%
Pressure index17.021.310.18.6
Dominant minutes58.865.339.934.2
Pass accuracy80%82%73%70%
Fouls9.69.512.312.8
Cards1.611.352.632.96

Goal timing for / against per 15 min

Coventry City

0–15'155
16–30'106
31–45'216
46–60'189
61–75'1111
76–90'228

Derby County

0–15'811
16–30'95
31–45'159
46–60'135
61–75'1015
76–90'1214

Pressure DNA · intensity v an average side in the same situations, SD units

Coventry City · 4 matches

Pressure in line with an average side in the same situations (-0.10) · stands out: early press (0-15, level) -0.28

Tempo

Overall intensity-0.104
Early press (0-15, level)-0.284
Late chase (76+, behind)-0.242

Game state

When level+0.024
When behind-0.224
10 min after conceding-0.264

Situations

At home+0.102
Away-0.342
4+ days rest-0.104

Opposition

v top-tier opponents-0.163
As underdog-0.163

Conceded

Pressure conceded+0.074
Conceded late (76+)-0.462

Behind vs level -0.24

Derby County · 7 matches

Pressure in line with an average side in the same situations (-0.15) · stands out: late chase (76+, behind) -0.31

Tempo

Overall intensity-0.157
Early press (0-15, level)+0.297
Late push (76+, level)-0.552
Late chase (76+, behind)-0.315

Game state

When ahead-0.053
When level-0.057
When behind-0.256
10 min after conceding-0.286
10 min after scoring+0.254

Situations

At home-0.174
Away-0.123
3 days rest or fewer-0.212
4+ days rest-0.125

Opposition

v mid-tier opponents-0.223
v bottom-tier opponents-0.033
Evenly matched-0.193
As underdog-0.153

Conceded

Pressure conceded+0.257
Conceded when ahead+0.203
Conceded late (76+)+0.207

Congested vs rested -0.09 · Ahead vs level -0.00 · Behind vs level -0.20

Coventry City

Current: winless 4 · conceding 4

FormationUsePPGGFGAxGxGA
4-2-3-136 78%2.142.170.862.091.12
4-4-24 9%2.252.251.51.831.58
3-4-31 2%3.02.01.02.550.79
4-1-4-11 2%0.02.03.01.310.85
3-4-1-21 2%1.01.01.02.311.43

Derby County

Current: winless 3 · scoring 1 · conceding 3

FormationUsePPGGFGAxGxGA
4-2-3-124 52%1.621.461.131.481.25
3-4-2-111 24%1.821.551.180.921.35
3-4-1-25 11%1.21.41.61.031.95
4-4-24 9%0.251.02.250.831.09
3-4-31 2%3.03.00.01.470.12

Windows with fewer than 5 matches show no figures.

Pre-match movement · ends at kick-off

Every snapshot up to kick-off only — in-play prices are in Match Hub. Movement is in fair-probability points since the first snapshot (overround removed): ▲ shortened, ▼ drifted.

No pre-match movement recorded for this fixture.

Latest prices

bet365 · pre-match line -1.2h before kick-off · recorded after kick-off. Fair % removes the overround; P = Pinnacle fair %.

Fulltime Result

1.61Home 59% P 59%4.0Draw 24% P 23%5.25Away 18% P 17%

Double Chance

1.16Coventry or Draw 41%1.25Coventry or Derby 38%2.15Draw or Derby 22%

Draw No Bet

1.251 75%3.752 25%

Both Teams To Score

1.72Yes 54%2.0No 46%

Goals Over/Under

2.51.72Over 55% P 55%2.1Under 45% P 45%

Total Corners

13.0Under 6 7%3.56 - 8 25%2.629 - 11 34%3.7512 - 14 23%8.0Over 14 11%

Number of Cards

3.51.72Over 54%2.0Under 46%
4.52.2Over 42%1.61Under 58%

Fixtures priced like this · Pinnacle closing price · 2017–2026

Every past fixture whose Pinnacle fair price fell in the same band as this one, and how it finished at 90 minutes. Band = mean price in the band; ± = actual minus price, in probability points.

Match result · home 57.5–60% · away 15–17.5% · 555 fixtures

This matchBandActual±
Home59%59%57%-1.5
Draw23%25%28%+3.8
Away17%16%14%-2.2

In those fixtures: 2.7 goals a game · BTTS 54% · over 2.5 49%

Goals over/under 2.5 · over 55–57.5% · 2,507 fixtures

This matchBandActual±
Over 2.555%56%56%-0.2

Tom Nield

Career
79 matches · 11 seasons
Cards / match
3.9 (3.86 yellow · 0.03 red)
Fouls / match
23.7 · 5.7 fouls per card
Penalties / match
0.17
Cards to home side
44%

Style in Championship (5-year window · 62 matches)

MetricRefereeLeaguevs peerspct
Cards / match4.114.05+0.1057
Fouls / match23.321.8+1.27
Fouls per card5.85.4+0.29 (+ = lenient)
Penalties / match0.140.17-0.4720
Time added7.67.2+0.4463
First card
37' on average
Card timing
16% in first 30' · 37% in last 15'
Cards to home side
43% (league 45%)

Recent matches

DateYRFoulsPens1st card+min
2026-03-13 20 200 62'9
2026-03-10 50 241 36'5
2026-03-07 20 140 83'5
2026-02-28 40 190 79'6
2026-01-30 · Derby County 20 240 11'8
2026-01-24 61 261 39'11
2026-01-17 –– 24– –7
2026-01-10 · Coventry City 50 320 34'9
2026-01-01 40 170 30'8
2025-12-20 30 231 35'8