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Championship · Matchweek 40
Leicester CityLEI
2–2
FT
Preston North EndPNE

Momentum

– LEIPNE –
now

Match momentum Δ pressure · 0–100

Waiting for pressure data…

Competition

Stage
Regular Season
Round
40

Venue

Stadium
King Power Stadium, Leicester
Capacity
32,312
Surface
grass
Attendance
28,797

Teams

Coaches
Gary Rowett · Paul Heckingbottom
Position
22 · 13
Formation
4-2-3-1 · 5-3-2

Referee

Ben Speedie

Weather

Conditions
overcast clouds
Temperature
16.0° (feels 15.4°)
Wind
10.3
Humidity
67%

Where to watch · 177

2025/2026

#TeamPWDLGFGAGDPtsForm
1 Coventry City 4628117 974552 95 DDWWW
2 Ipswich Town 4623158 804733 84 DWDDW
3 Millwall 46241111 644915 83 DWWDW
4 Southampton 46221410 825626 80 WWDDW
5 Middlesbrough 46221410 724725 80 LDWWD
6 Hull City 46211015 70664 73 LDDLW
7 Wrexham 46191413 69654 71 LWWLD
8 Derby County 4620917 67598 69 LWLWL
9 Norwich City 4619819 63567 65 LWWDL
10 Birmingham City 46171316 57561 64 WDWWD
11 Swansea City 46181018 5759-2 64 WLWDW
12 Bristol City 46171118 59590 62 DLDLW
13 Sheffield United 4618622 66660 60 WWLLW
14 Preston North End 46151516 5562-7 60 WLLWL
15 Queens Park Rangers 46161020 6173-12 58 DLLLL
16 Watford 46141517 5365-12 57 LLLLL
17 Stoke City 46151021 5156-5 55 DLLLL
18 Portsmouth 46141319 4964-15 55 WWLWD
19 Charlton Athletic 46131419 4458-14 53 LDLWL
20 Blackburn Rovers 46131320 4256-14 52 DLDWL
21 West Bromwich Albion (-2) 46131419 4858-10 51 DWWDL
22 Oxford United 46111421 4559-14 47 WLLWL
23 Leicester City (-6) 46121618 5868-10 46 LLDDW
24 Sheffield Wednesday (-18) 4621232 2989-60 0 DDLLW
  • Promotion
  • Promotion Play-off
  • Relegation

Leicester City

LDWLD 1W 2D 2L · 5 pts (1.0 ppg) · GF 4 GA 6 · xG 4.58–7.12 · xPts 5.41

  • D A Watford 0–0 xG 1.88–0.33 UK CHAMP
  • L H Queens Park Rangers 1–3 xG 0.51–1.41 UK CHAMP
  • W H Bristol City 2–0 xG 1.24–1.13 UK CHAMP
  • D A Ipswich Town 1–1 xG 0.38–2.67 UK CHAMP
  • L H Norwich City 0–2 xG 0.57–1.58 UK CHAMP

Preston North End

LLLLW 1W 0D 4L · 3 pts (0.6 ppg) · GF 4 GA 11 · xG 5.69–11.62 · xPts 4.98

  • W H Stoke City 3–1 xG 1.81–1.25 UK CHAMP
  • L A Norwich City 0–2 xG 1.91–0.61 UK CHAMP
  • L A Coventry City 0–3 xG 0.47–5.01 UK CHAMP
  • L H Oxford United 1–3 xG 0.94–2.33 UK CHAMP
  • L H Millwall 0–2 xG 0.54–2.43 UK CHAMP

All meetings · 14 matches since 2005

Leicester City 54 draws5 Preston North End

Goals 16–12 · 2.0 per match · BTTS 43% · over 2.5 43%

Last 10 · 10 matches

Leicester City 43 draws3 Preston North End

Goals 14–9 · 2.3 per match · BTTS 50% · over 2.5 50%

Last 5 · 5 matches

Leicester City 22 draws1 Preston North End

Goals 10–5 · 3.0 per match · BTTS 60% · over 2.5 80%

Recent meetings

  • D Leicester City 2–2 Preston North End UK CHAMP · Regular Season
  • L Preston North End 2–1 Leicester City UK CHAMP · Regular Season
  • W Preston North End 0–3 Leicester City UK CHAMP · Regular Season
  • W Leicester City 3–0 Preston North End UK CHAMP · Regular Season
  • D Preston North End 1–1 Leicester City UK CHAMP · Regular Season
  • W Leicester City 1–0 Preston North End UK CHAMP · Regular Season
  • W Preston North End 0–1 Leicester City UK CHAMP · Regular Season
  • L Leicester City 1–2 Preston North End UK CHAMP · Regular Season
  • L Leicester City 0–1 Preston North End UK CHAMP · Regular Season
  • D Preston North End 1–1 Leicester City UK CHAMP · Regular Season
MetricLeicester City all · 46Leicester City at home · 23Preston North End all · 46Preston North End away · 23
Results
Matches46234623
Points per game1.131.221.301.26
W / D / L12 / 16 / 187 / 7 / 915 / 15 / 167 / 8 / 8
Goals for / match1.261.351.201.17
Goals against / match1.481.481.351.39
Clean sheets13%13%20%17%
Failed to score20%22%26%26%
Both teams scored72%70%59%61%
Over 2.554%52%48%48%
Expected goals
xG for / match1.281.341.181.14
xG against / match1.471.271.631.83
xG difference-0.190.07-0.45-0.70
Finishing vs xG-0.020.010.020.04
xPts / match1.261.391.131.01
Points vs xPts-0.13-0.170.170.25
Game state
Scored first48%61%41%44%
PPG when scoring first1.731.642.162.00
PPG when conceding first0.550.500.680.67
Came back from behind33%25%38%33%
Leads held46%44%62%54%
Minutes leading26%34%28%30%
Minutes level43%41%45%43%
Minutes trailing31%25%27%27%
First goal (min)40303632
First goal conceded (min)39444240
Timing
Goals scored in 2nd half48%39%51%41%
Goals conceded in 2nd half50%56%50%41%
Late goals for (76'+)0.370.300.260.22
Late goals against0.280.300.300.26
Style
Possession52%54%46%44%
Shots12.913.810.910.6
On target4.24.03.63.8
Shot conversion10%10%11%11%
Shots inside box59%54%68%66%
Big chances created1.72.01.61.6
Corners5.36.14.53.7
xG from set plays34%30%34%33%
Goals from headers12%13%22%22%
Pressure index12.615.38.88.1
Dominant minutes47.152.440.538.6
Pass accuracy80%82%72%72%
Fouls10.810.710.410.7
Cards1.961.742.092.04

Goal timing for / against per 15 min

Leicester City

0–15'1412
16–30'86
31–45'816
46–60'88
61–75'313
76–90'1713

Preston North End

0–15'1111
16–30'107
31–45'613
46–60'109
61–75'68
76–90'1214

Pressure DNA · intensity v an average side in the same situations, SD units

Leicester City

No pressure profile yet.

Preston North End · 7 matches

Pressure below an average side in the same situations (-0.18) · stands out: late chase (76+, behind) -0.54

Tempo

Overall intensity-0.187
Early press (0-15, level)-0.177
Late push (76+, level)+0.013
Late chase (76+, behind)-0.546

Game state

When ahead-0.162
When level+0.017
When behind-0.336
10 min after conceding-0.327
10 min after scoring+0.295

Situations

At home-0.194
Away-0.163
3 days rest or fewer-0.052
4+ days rest-0.235

Opposition

v mid-tier opponents-0.222
v bottom-tier opponents-0.175
Evenly matched-0.154
As underdog-0.223

Conceded

Pressure conceded+0.107
Conceded when ahead+0.172
Conceded late (76+)-0.027

Congested vs rested +0.18 · Ahead vs level -0.17 · Behind vs level -0.34

Leicester City

Current: unbeaten 3 · wins 1 · scoring 3 · clean sheets 1

FormationUsePPGGFGAxGxGA
4-2-3-145 98%1.131.271.491.291.48
4-3-31 2%1.01.01.00.851.11

Preston North End

Current: winless 2 · conceding 22

FormationUsePPGGFGAxGxGA
3-5-214 30%1.51.361.361.191.42
3-1-4-29 20%1.221.111.111.221.23
5-3-27 15%0.710.861.710.971.94
4-4-25 11%1.81.41.61.441.99
3-4-1-25 11%1.21.01.21.231.86

Windows with fewer than 5 matches show no figures.

Pre-match movement · ends at kick-off

Every snapshot up to kick-off only — in-play prices are in Match Hub. Movement is in fair-probability points since the first snapshot (overround removed): ▲ shortened, ▼ drifted.

No pre-match movement recorded for this fixture.

Latest prices

bet365 · pre-match line -1.5h before kick-off · recorded after kick-off. Fair % removes the overround; P = Pinnacle fair %.

Fulltime Result

1.95Home 49% P 53%3.5Draw 27% P 26%3.9Away 24% P 21%

Double Chance

1.25Leicester or Draw 37%1.28Leicester or Preston 37%1.8Draw or Preston 26%

Draw No Bet

1.41 66%2.752 34%

Both Teams To Score

1.83Yes 50%1.83No 50%

Goals Over/Under

2.52.0Over 47% P 48%1.8Under 53% P 52%

Total Corners

11.0Under 6 8%3.46 - 8 26%2.69 - 11 34%4.012 - 14 22%8.0Over 14 11%

Number of Cards

2.51.66Over 56%2.1Under 44%
3.52.2Over 42%1.61Under 58%

Fixtures priced like this · Pinnacle closing price · 2017–2026

Every past fixture whose Pinnacle fair price fell in the same band as this one, and how it finished at 90 minutes. Band = mean price in the band; ± = actual minus price, in probability points.

Match result · home 52.5–55% · away 20–22.5% · 664 fixtures

This matchBandActual±
Home53%54%56%+2.6
Draw26%25%27%+1.4
Away21%21%17%-4.1

In those fixtures: 2.8 goals a game · BTTS 56% · over 2.5 54%

Goals over/under 2.5 · over 47.5–50% · 3,307 fixtures

This matchBandActual±
Over 2.548%49%50%+1.3

Ben Speedie

Career
30 matches · 8 seasons
Cards / match
3.07 (2.97 yellow · 0.07 red)
Fouls / match
21.6 · 6.8 fouls per card
Penalties / match
0.03
Cards to home side
46%

Style in Championship (5-year window · 12 matches)

MetricRefereeLeaguevs peerspct
Cards / match3.04.05-1.910
Fouls / match20.121.8-1.56
Fouls per card7.35.4+2.55 (+ = lenient)
Penalties / match0.080.17-1.338
Time added8.07.2+0.9178
First card
45' on average
Card timing
14% in first 30' · 36% in last 15'
Cards to home side
33% (league 45%)

Recent matches

DateYRFoulsPens1st card+min
2026-03-11 40 240 50'10
2026-02-13 10 150 83'6
2026-01-24 –– 19– –6
2026-01-09 40 210 25'15
2025-12-05 40 170 53'7
2025-09-27 20 230 75'8
2025-09-13 10 150 82'9
2025-08-30 21 161 44'4
2025-08-16 10 220 73'9
2025-04-26 20 200 32'9