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Championship · Matchweek 40

Momentum

Norwich CityPortsmouth
now

Match momentum Δ pressure · 0–100

Waiting for pressure data…

Competition

Stage
Regular Season
Round
40

Venue

Stadium
Carrow Road, Norwich
Capacity
27,244
Surface
grass
Attendance
26,613

Teams

Coaches
Philippe Clement · John Mousinho
Position
10 · 21
Formation
4-2-3-1 · 4-2-3-1

Referee

Stephen Martin

Weather

Conditions
broken clouds
Temperature
16.1° (feels 15.7°)
Wind
9.3
Humidity
72%

Where to watch · 177

2025/2026

#TeamPWDLGFGAGDPtsForm
1 Coventry City 4628117 974552 95 DDWWW
2 Ipswich Town 4623158 804733 84 DWDDW
3 Millwall 46241111 644915 83 DWWDW
4 Southampton 46221410 825626 80 WWDDW
5 Middlesbrough 46221410 724725 80 LDWWD
6 Hull City 46211015 70664 73 LDDLW
7 Wrexham 46191413 69654 71 LWWLD
8 Derby County 4620917 67598 69 LWLWL
9 Norwich City 4619819 63567 65 LWWDL
10 Birmingham City 46171316 57561 64 WDWWD
11 Swansea City 46181018 5759-2 64 WLWDW
12 Bristol City 46171118 59590 62 DLDLW
13 Sheffield United 4618622 66660 60 WWLLW
14 Preston North End 46151516 5562-7 60 WLLWL
15 Queens Park Rangers 46161020 6173-12 58 DLLLL
16 Watford 46141517 5365-12 57 LLLLL
17 Stoke City 46151021 5156-5 55 DLLLL
18 Portsmouth 46141319 4964-15 55 WWLWD
19 Charlton Athletic 46131419 4458-14 53 LDLWL
20 Blackburn Rovers 46131320 4256-14 52 DLDWL
21 West Bromwich Albion (-2) 46131419 4858-10 51 DWWDL
22 Oxford United 46111421 4559-14 47 WLLWL
23 Leicester City (-6) 46121618 5868-10 46 LLDDW
24 Sheffield Wednesday (-18) 4621232 2989-60 0 DDLLW
  • Promotion
  • Promotion Play-off
  • Relegation

Norwich City

LWWLW 3W 0D 2L · 9 pts (1.8 ppg) · GF 5 GA 5 · xG 7.28–7.1 · xPts 6.97

  • W A Charlton Athletic 1–0 xG 1.86–1.51 UK CHAMP
  • L A Southampton 0–1 xG 1.04–0.72 UK CHAMP
  • W H Preston North End 2–0 xG 0.61–1.91 UK CHAMP
  • W H Sheffield United 2–1 xG 2.49–0.97 UK CHAMP
  • L A Leeds United 0–3 xG 1.28–1.99 UK FA Cup

Portsmouth

LDLLL 0W 1D 4L · 1 pts (0.2 ppg) · GF 3 GA 11 · xG 6.86–4.79 · xPts 8.31

  • L A Queens Park Rangers 1–6 xG 1.49–1.43 UK CHAMP
  • L H Derby County 0–1 xG 2.18–1.29 UK CHAMP
  • L H Swansea City 1–2 xG 1.02–0.56 UK CHAMP
  • D A Blackburn Rovers 1–1 xG 0.79–1.18 UK CHAMP
  • L H Hull City 0–1 xG 1.39–0.32 UK CHAMP

All meetings · 9 matches since 2004

Norwich City 24 draws3 Portsmouth

Goals 10–13 · 2.56 per match · BTTS 56% · over 2.5 33%

Last 10 · 9 matches

Norwich City 24 draws3 Portsmouth

Goals 10–13 · 2.56 per match · BTTS 56% · over 2.5 33%

Last 5 · 5 matches

Norwich City 12 draws2 Portsmouth

Goals 6–8 · 2.8 per match · BTTS 60% · over 2.5 40%

Recent meetings

  • D Norwich City 1–1 Portsmouth UK CHAMP · Regular Season
  • W Portsmouth 1–2 Norwich City UK CHAMP · Regular Season
  • L Norwich City 3–5 Portsmouth UK CHAMP · Regular Season
  • D Portsmouth 0–0 Norwich City UK CHAMP · Regular Season
  • L Norwich City 0–1 Portsmouth UK FA Cup · 3rd Round
  • W Portsmouth 0–1 Norwich City UK CHAMP · Regular Season
  • L Norwich City 0–2 Portsmouth UK CHAMP · Regular Season
  • D Portsmouth 1–1 Norwich City UK PL · Regular Season
  • D Norwich City 2–2 Portsmouth UK PL · Regular Season
MetricNorwich City all · 46Norwich City at home · 23Portsmouth all · 46Portsmouth away · 23
Results
Matches46234623
Points per game1.411.301.201.09
W / D / L19 / 8 / 199 / 3 / 1114 / 13 / 196 / 7 / 10
Goals for / match1.371.171.071.04
Goals against / match1.221.221.391.78
Clean sheets20%17%22%17%
Failed to score20%26%28%26%
Both teams scored61%56%54%61%
Over 2.548%44%44%48%
Expected goals
xG for / match1.351.411.180.89
xG against / match1.461.271.241.37
xG difference-0.100.14-0.06-0.47
Finishing vs xG0.02-0.24-0.110.15
xPts / match1.351.461.361.11
Points vs xPts0.06-0.16-0.16-0.02
Game state
Scored first52%48%46%44%
PPG when scoring first2.082.092.192.10
PPG when conceding first0.680.580.300.25
Came back from behind27%21%27%23%
Leads held68%69%64%60%
Minutes leading28%24%18%14%
Minutes level48%53%51%51%
Minutes trailing24%24%31%34%
First goal (min)42495054
First goal conceded (min)46504138
Timing
Goals scored in 2nd half57%59%61%67%
Goals conceded in 2nd half59%64%55%54%
Late goals for (76'+)0.260.220.280.22
Late goals against0.300.300.280.43
Style
Possession54%56%50%47%
Shots12.613.712.29.0
On target4.54.53.73.0
Shot conversion11%9%9%12%
Shots inside box64%62%65%63%
Big chances created2.32.51.61.3
Corners5.35.75.65.0
xG from set plays25%27%40%40%
Goals from headers10%8%16%12%
Pressure index12.514.111.78.5
Dominant minutes53.258.849.742.4
Pass accuracy79%80%74%74%
Fouls10.210.010.210.5
Cards1.931.571.932.13

Goal timing for / against per 15 min

Norwich City

0–15'78
16–30'87
31–45'128
46–60'913
61–75'156
76–90'1214

Portsmouth

0–15'59
16–30'512
31–45'98
46–60'814
61–75'98
76–90'1313

Pressure DNA · intensity v an average side in the same situations, SD units

Norwich City · 7 matches

Pressure in line with an average side in the same situations (-0.02) · stands out: 10 min after scoring +0.66

Tempo

Overall intensity-0.027
Early press (0-15, level)-0.197
Late chase (76+, behind)-0.364

Game state

When ahead+0.124
When level-0.147
When behind-0.054
10 min after conceding-0.277
10 min after scoring+0.665

Situations

At home-0.213
Away+0.114
3 days rest or fewer+0.082
4+ days rest-0.065

Opposition

v mid-tier opponents+0.025
v bottom-tier opponents-0.142
As favourite-0.144
Evenly matched+0.142

Conceded

Pressure conceded+0.027
Conceded when ahead-0.134
Conceded late (76+)-0.146

Congested vs rested +0.14 · Ahead vs level +0.27 · Behind vs level +0.10

Portsmouth · 6 matches

Pressure in line with an average side in the same situations (+0.01) · stands out: late chase (76+, behind) -0.39

Tempo

Overall intensity+0.016
Early press (0-15, level)-0.056
Late chase (76+, behind)-0.393

Game state

When ahead+0.163
When level+0.056
When behind-0.153
10 min after conceding-0.104
10 min after scoring+0.034

Situations

At home-0.013
Away+0.033
4+ days rest-0.015

Opposition

v mid-tier opponents-0.052
v bottom-tier opponents+0.044
Evenly matched-0.004

Conceded

Pressure conceded+0.036
Conceded when ahead+0.013
Conceded late (76+)-0.286

Congested vs rested +0.16 · Ahead vs level +0.11 · Behind vs level -0.19

Norwich City

Current: winless 1 · scoring 3 · conceding 14

FormationUsePPGGFGAxGxGA
4-2-3-138 83%1.451.391.181.291.43
3-4-2-15 11%1.41.41.21.551.6
3-4-32 4%0.01.02.51.911.56
3-2-4-11 2%3.01.00.01.861.51

Portsmouth

Current: unbeaten 2 · winless 1 · clean sheets 2

FormationUsePPGGFGAxGxGA
4-2-3-143 94%1.261.091.31.181.23
3-4-2-12 4%0.51.01.51.461.28
3-4-31 2%0.00.05.00.341.67

Windows with fewer than 5 matches show no figures.

Pre-match movement · ends at kick-off

Every snapshot up to kick-off only — in-play prices are in Match Hub. Movement is in fair-probability points since the first snapshot (overround removed): ▲ shortened, ▼ drifted.

No pre-match movement recorded for this fixture.

Latest prices

bet365 · pre-match line -0.6h before kick-off · recorded after kick-off. Fair % removes the overround; P = Pinnacle fair %.

Fulltime Result

2.05Home 46% P 46%3.7Draw 26% P 27%3.4Away 28% P 27%

Double Chance

1.28Norwich or Draw 37%1.28Norwich or Portsmouth 37%1.8Draw or Portsmouth 26%

Draw No Bet

1.441 65%2.622 35%

Both Teams To Score

1.83Yes 50%1.83No 50%

Goals Over/Under

2.51.9Over 50% P 51%1.9Under 50% P 49%

Total Corners

11.0Under 6 8%3.46 - 8 26%2.69 - 11 34%4.012 - 14 22%8.0Over 14 11%

Number of Cards

3.51.72Over 54%2.0Under 46%

Fixtures priced like this · Pinnacle closing price · 2017–2026

Every past fixture whose Pinnacle fair price fell in the same band as this one, and how it finished at 90 minutes. Band = mean price in the band; ± = actual minus price, in probability points.

Match result · home 45–47.5% · away 25–27.5% · 854 fixtures

This matchBandActual±
Home46%46%44%-1.8
Draw27%28%30%+1.8
Away27%26%26%-0.0

In those fixtures: 2.6 goals a game · BTTS 55% · over 2.5 48%

Goals over/under 2.5 · over 50–52.5% · 3,575 fixtures

This matchBandActual±
Over 2.551%51%51%-0.1

Stephen Martin

Career
78 matches · 5 seasons
Cards / match
4.68 (4.58 yellow · 0.04 red)
Fouls / match
22.9 · 4.8 fouls per card
Penalties / match
0.12
Cards to home side
44%

Style in Championship (5-year window · 72 matches)

MetricRefereeLeaguevs peerspct
Cards / match4.64.05+0.9986
Fouls / match23.021.8+1.04
Fouls per card5.25.4-0.59 (+ = lenient)
Penalties / match0.110.17-0.9214
Time added7.87.2+0.6769
First card
35' on average
Card timing
15% in first 30' · 32% in last 15'
Cards to home side
43% (league 45%)

Recent matches

DateYRFoulsPens1st card+min
2026-03-21 40 251 30'5
2026-03-14 60 190 35'8
2026-03-10 70 201 7'6
2026-02-21 · Portsmouth 30 210 17'7
2026-02-14 50 260 36'15
2026-01-31 40 190 22'7
2026-01-20 51 250 45'10
2026-01-10 30 211 14'5
2026-01-05 10 160 77'7
2025-12-26 60 170 28'9