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Championship · Matchweek 40
Oxford UnitedOXF
1–1
FT
Hull CityHull City

Momentum

– OXFHull City –
now

Match momentum Δ pressure · 0–100

Waiting for pressure data…

Competition

Stage
Regular Season
Round
40

Venue

Stadium
The Kassam Stadium, Oxford
Capacity
12,500
Surface
grass
Attendance
11,477

Teams

Coaches
Matt Bloomfield · Sergej Jakirović
Position
23 · 5
Formation
4-2-3-1 · 4-2-3-1

Referee

Oliver Langford

Weather

Conditions
overcast clouds
Temperature
13.9° (feels 13.5°)
Wind
12.3
Humidity
80%

Where to watch · 177

2025/2026

#TeamPWDLGFGAGDPtsForm
1 Coventry City 4628117 974552 95 DDWWW
2 Ipswich Town 4623158 804733 84 DWDDW
3 Millwall 46241111 644915 83 DWWDW
4 Southampton 46221410 825626 80 WWDDW
5 Middlesbrough 46221410 724725 80 LDWWD
6 Hull City 46211015 70664 73 LDDLW
7 Wrexham 46191413 69654 71 LWWLD
8 Derby County 4620917 67598 69 LWLWL
9 Norwich City 4619819 63567 65 LWWDL
10 Birmingham City 46171316 57561 64 WDWWD
11 Swansea City 46181018 5759-2 64 WLWDW
12 Bristol City 46171118 59590 62 DLDLW
13 Sheffield United 4618622 66660 60 WWLLW
14 Preston North End 46151516 5562-7 60 WLLWL
15 Queens Park Rangers 46161020 6173-12 58 DLLLL
16 Watford 46141517 5365-12 57 LLLLL
17 Stoke City 46151021 5156-5 55 DLLLL
18 Portsmouth 46141319 4964-15 55 WWLWD
19 Charlton Athletic 46131419 4458-14 53 LDLWL
20 Blackburn Rovers 46131320 4256-14 52 DLDWL
21 West Bromwich Albion (-2) 46131419 4858-10 51 DWWDL
22 Oxford United 46111421 4559-14 47 WLLWL
23 Leicester City (-6) 46121618 5868-10 46 LLDDW
24 Sheffield Wednesday (-18) 4621232 2989-60 0 DDLLW
  • Promotion
  • Promotion Play-off
  • Relegation

Oxford United

WWWDL 3W 1D 1L · 10 pts (2.0 ppg) · GF 7 GA 5 · xG 6.92–6.18 · xPts 7.47

  • L A Southampton 0–2 xG 0.68–2.29 UK CHAMP
  • D H Charlton Athletic 1–1 xG 1.45–0.93 UK CHAMP
  • W H Blackburn Rovers 1–0 xG 1.56–0.75 UK CHAMP
  • W A Preston North End 3–1 xG 2.33–0.94 UK CHAMP
  • W H West Bromwich Albion 2–1 xG 0.91–1.27 UK CHAMP

Hull City

LLWLW 2W 0D 3L · 6 pts (1.2 ppg) · GF 6 GA 9 · xG 7.0–8.03 · xPts 6.5

  • W H Sheffield Wednesday 3–1 xG 2.36–0.8 UK CHAMP
  • L A West Bromwich Albion 0–3 xG 0.39–2.98 UK CHAMP
  • W A Wrexham 2–1 xG 1.47–1.09 UK CHAMP
  • L H Millwall 1–3 xG 2.44–1.5 UK CHAMP
  • L A Ipswich Town 0–1 xG 0.35–1.66 UK CHAMP

All meetings · 4 matches since 2024

Oxford United 11 draws2 Hull City

Goals 5–6 · 2.75 per match · BTTS 75% · over 2.5 50%

Last 10 · 4 matches

Oxford United 11 draws2 Hull City

Goals 5–6 · 2.75 per match · BTTS 75% · over 2.5 50%

Last 5 · 4 matches

Oxford United 11 draws2 Hull City

Goals 5–6 · 2.75 per match · BTTS 75% · over 2.5 50%

Recent meetings

  • D Oxford United 1–1 Hull City UK CHAMP · Regular Season
  • L Hull City 3–2 Oxford United UK CHAMP · Regular Season
  • L Hull City 2–1 Oxford United UK CHAMP · Regular Season
  • W Oxford United 1–0 Hull City UK CHAMP · Regular Season
MetricOxford United all · 46Oxford United at home · 23Hull City all · 49Hull City away · 24
Results
Matches46234924
Points per game1.021.261.631.58
W / D / L11 / 14 / 217 / 8 / 823 / 11 / 1511 / 5 / 8
Goals for / match0.981.041.491.54
Goals against / match1.281.171.351.33
Clean sheets17%22%29%29%
Failed to score41%39%18%12%
Both teams scored52%48%61%62%
Over 2.546%44%61%67%
Expected goals
xG for / match1.171.361.371.27
xG against / match1.431.171.661.91
xG difference-0.250.19-0.29-0.63
Finishing vs xG-0.20-0.320.120.27
xPts / match1.211.481.251.09
Points vs xPts-0.19-0.220.380.49
Game state
Scored first39%44%57%67%
PPG when scoring first2.062.402.182.00
PPG when conceding first0.220.270.880.71
Came back from behind19%27%35%33%
Leads held58%70%72%65%
Minutes leading21%23%30%32%
Minutes level47%47%53%52%
Minutes trailing32%30%17%16%
First goal (min)28263233
First goal conceded (min)35334044
Timing
Goals scored in 2nd half38%38%45%49%
Goals conceded in 2nd half41%41%52%62%
Late goals for (76'+)0.150.170.270.33
Late goals against0.150.040.310.38
Style
Possession40%42%45%43%
Shots11.914.111.111.0
On target3.44.24.14.3
Shot conversion8%7%13%14%
Shots inside box54%55%68%68%
Big chances created1.61.72.22.3
Corners4.04.64.44.6
xG from set plays40%46%21%13%
Goals from headers16%12%14%19%
Pressure index6.49.19.37.6
Dominant minutes33.744.239.832.6
Pass accuracy69%69%72%71%
Fouls10.810.511.211.5
Cards1.671.302.553.04

Goal timing for / against per 15 min

Oxford United

0–15'1013
16–30'108
31–45'814
46–60'511
61–75'56
76–90'77

Hull City

0–15'117
16–30'1413
31–45'1512
46–60'910
61–75'119
76–90'1315

Pressure DNA · intensity v an average side in the same situations, SD units

Oxford United

No pressure profile yet.

Hull City · 4 matches

Pressure below an average side in the same situations (-0.42) · stands out: early press (0-15, level) -0.57

Tempo

Overall intensity-0.424
Early press (0-15, level)-0.574
Late push (76+, level)-0.503

Game state

When ahead-0.363
When level-0.444
10 min after scoring+0.133

Situations

At home-0.452
Away-0.392
4+ days rest-0.424

Opposition

v top-tier opponents-0.393
As underdog-0.424

Conceded

Pressure conceded+0.364
Conceded when ahead+0.583
Conceded late (76+)+0.274

Ahead vs level +0.08 · Behind vs level -0.08

Oxford United

Current: winless 1 · conceding 4

FormationUsePPGGFGAxGxGA
4-2-3-127 59%1.070.931.191.31.37
4-4-26 13%0.831.331.51.331.73
3-4-2-14 9%1.00.751.50.781.22
5-4-14 9%1.01.01.50.841.78
4-1-4-13 6%1.331.01.00.881.11

Hull City

Current: unbeaten 8 · winless 2 · scoring 1 · conceding 1

FormationUsePPGGFGAxGxGA
4-2-3-136 74%1.641.611.441.491.76
3-4-2-16 12%1.51.01.171.091.37
3-4-1-22 4%0.51.52.01.251.52
4-4-22 4%3.01.50.51.091.08
3-5-21 2%3.01.00.00.521.73

Windows with fewer than 5 matches show no figures.

Pre-match movement · ends at kick-off

Every snapshot up to kick-off only — in-play prices are in Match Hub. Movement is in fair-probability points since the first snapshot (overround removed): ▲ shortened, ▼ drifted.

No pre-match movement recorded for this fixture.

Latest prices

bet365 · pre-match line -1.0h before kick-off · recorded after kick-off. Fair % removes the overround; P = Pinnacle fair %.

Fulltime Result

2.37Home 40% P 40%3.4Draw 28% P 27%2.87Away 33% P 33%

Double Chance

1.36Oxford Utd or Draw 35%1.36Oxford Utd or Hull 35%1.53Draw or Hull 31%

Draw No Bet

1.661 56%2.12 44%

Both Teams To Score

1.83Yes 50%1.83No 50%

Goals Over/Under

2.52.2Over 43% P 50%1.66Under 57% P 50%

Total Corners

13.0Under 6 7%3.756 - 8 23%2.629 - 11 33%3.612 - 14 24%7.0Over 14 12%

Number of Cards

3.51.66Over 56%2.1Under 44%
4.52.2Over 42%1.61Under 58%

Fixtures priced like this · Pinnacle closing price · 2017–2026

Every past fixture whose Pinnacle fair price fell in the same band as this one, and how it finished at 90 minutes. Band = mean price in the band; ± = actual minus price, in probability points.

Match result · home 37.5–40% · away 32.5–35% · 571 fixtures

This matchBandActual±
Home40%39%39%+0.5
Draw27%28%28%-0.0
Away33%34%33%-0.4

In those fixtures: 2.6 goals a game · BTTS 56% · over 2.5 46%

Goals over/under 2.5 · over 50–52.5% · 3,575 fixtures

This matchBandActual±
Over 2.550%51%51%-0.1

Oliver Langford

Career
352 matches · 18 seasons
Cards / match
3.36 (3.22 yellow · 0.1 red)
Fouls / match
20.8 · 5.1 fouls per card
Penalties / match
0.23
Cards to home side
43%

Style in Championship (5-year window · 118 matches)

MetricRefereeLeaguevs peerspct
Cards / match3.84.05-0.4626
Fouls / match20.821.8-0.97
Fouls per card5.65.4+0.02 (+ = lenient)
Penalties / match0.150.17-0.3533
Time added7.57.2+0.3357
First card
35' on average
Card timing
17% in first 30' · 36% in last 15'
Cards to home side
41% (league 45%)

Recent matches

DateYRFoulsPens1st card+min
2026-03-21 20 150 24'5
2026-03-07 30 180 33'6
2026-02-24 10 180 16'8
2026-02-21 · Oxford United 40 200 39'6
2026-02-07 · Hull City 20 180 81'12
2026-01-24 51 260 12'6
2026-01-17 62 200 35'8
2026-01-09 20 191 71'8
2026-01-04 30 190 64'8
2025-12-29 50 230 57'4