KickoffDNA
0 live
Sign in
Championship · Matchweek 40
Queens Park RangersQPR
2–1
FT
WatfordWatford

Momentum

– QPRWatford –
now

Match momentum Δ pressure · 0–100

Waiting for pressure data…

Competition

Stage
Regular Season
Round
40

Venue

Stadium
MATRADE Loftus Road, London
Capacity
18,500
Surface
grass
Attendance
17,532

Teams

Coaches
Julien Stéphan · Edward Still
Position
12 · 9
Formation
4-4-2 · 4-4-2

Referee

Ruebyn Ricardo

Weather

Conditions
overcast clouds
Temperature
15.5° (feels 15.0°)
Wind
9.8
Humidity
75%

Where to watch · 177

2025/2026

#TeamPWDLGFGAGDPtsForm
1 Coventry City 4628117 974552 95 DDWWW
2 Ipswich Town 4623158 804733 84 DWDDW
3 Millwall 46241111 644915 83 DWWDW
4 Southampton 46221410 825626 80 WWDDW
5 Middlesbrough 46221410 724725 80 LDWWD
6 Hull City 46211015 70664 73 LDDLW
7 Wrexham 46191413 69654 71 LWWLD
8 Derby County 4620917 67598 69 LWLWL
9 Norwich City 4619819 63567 65 LWWDL
10 Birmingham City 46171316 57561 64 WDWWD
11 Swansea City 46181018 5759-2 64 WLWDW
12 Bristol City 46171118 59590 62 DLDLW
13 Sheffield United 4618622 66660 60 WWLLW
14 Preston North End 46151516 5562-7 60 WLLWL
15 Queens Park Rangers 46161020 6173-12 58 DLLLL
16 Watford 46141517 5365-12 57 LLLLL
17 Stoke City 46151021 5156-5 55 DLLLL
18 Portsmouth 46141319 4964-15 55 WWLWD
19 Charlton Athletic 46131419 4458-14 53 LDLWL
20 Blackburn Rovers 46131320 4256-14 52 DLDWL
21 West Bromwich Albion (-2) 46131419 4858-10 51 DWWDL
22 Oxford United 46111421 4559-14 47 WLLWL
23 Leicester City (-6) 46121618 5868-10 46 LLDDW
24 Sheffield Wednesday (-18) 4621232 2989-60 0 DDLLW
  • Promotion
  • Promotion Play-off
  • Relegation

Queens Park Rangers

LLLWW 2W 0D 3L · 6 pts (1.2 ppg) · GF 9 GA 9 · xG 5.3–9.73 · xPts 5.12

  • W H Portsmouth 6–1 xG 1.43–1.49 UK CHAMP
  • W A Leicester City 3–1 xG 1.41–0.51 UK CHAMP
  • L A Birmingham City 0–1 xG 0.59–2.04 UK CHAMP
  • L H Middlesbrough 0–4 xG 0.78–4.24 UK CHAMP
  • L H Sheffield United 0–2 xG 1.08–1.45 UK CHAMP

Watford

WDLWD 2W 2D 1L · 8 pts (1.6 ppg) · GF 7 GA 6 · xG 7.12–6.8 · xPts 7.25

  • D H Leicester City 0–0 xG 0.33–1.88 UK CHAMP
  • W H Wrexham 3–1 xG 1.57–0.33 UK CHAMP
  • L A Stoke City 1–3 xG 1.64–2.11 UK CHAMP
  • D A Sheffield Wednesday 1–1 xG 2.21–1.54 UK CHAMP
  • W A Bristol City 2–1 xG 1.37–0.95 UK CHAMP

All meetings · 23 matches since 2005

Queens Park Rangers 95 draws9 Watford

Goals 28–33 · 2.65 per match · BTTS 61% · over 2.5 61%

Last 10 · 10 matches

Queens Park Rangers 52 draws3 Watford

Goals 14–14 · 2.8 per match · BTTS 70% · over 2.5 70%

Last 5 · 5 matches

Queens Park Rangers 21 draws2 Watford

Goals 7–6 · 2.6 per match · BTTS 80% · over 2.5 80%

Recent meetings

  • W Queens Park Rangers 2–1 Watford UK CHAMP · Regular Season
  • L Watford 2–1 Queens Park Rangers UK CHAMP · Regular Season
  • W Queens Park Rangers 3–1 Watford UK CHAMP · Regular Season
  • D Watford 0–0 Queens Park Rangers UK CHAMP · Regular Season
  • L Queens Park Rangers 1–2 Watford UK CHAMP · Regular Season
  • L Watford 4–0 Queens Park Rangers neutral UK CHAMP · Regular Season
  • W Queens Park Rangers 1–0 Watford UK CHAMP · Regular Season
  • W Watford 2–3 Queens Park Rangers UK CHAMP · Regular Season
  • W Watford 1–2 Queens Park Rangers neutral UK CHAMP · Regular Season
  • D Queens Park Rangers 1–1 Watford UK CHAMP · Regular Season
MetricQueens Park Rangers all · 46Queens Park Rangers at home · 23Watford all · 46Watford away · 23
Results
Matches46234623
Points per game1.261.431.240.87
W / D / L16 / 10 / 2010 / 3 / 1014 / 15 / 174 / 8 / 11
Goals for / match1.331.741.151.00
Goals against / match1.591.611.411.65
Clean sheets22%17%15%9%
Failed to score28%17%30%30%
Both teams scored63%74%59%65%
Over 2.563%78%48%52%
Expected goals
xG for / match1.301.631.341.19
xG against / match1.331.211.251.34
xG difference-0.030.420.10-0.15
Finishing vs xG0.020.11-0.19-0.19
xPts / match1.371.681.431.30
Points vs xPts-0.11-0.24-0.20-0.43
Game state
Scored first33%48%26%22%
PPG when scoring first2.472.272.331.80
PPG when conceding first0.600.600.840.59
Came back from behind26%17%47%35%
Leads held84%77%67%40%
Minutes leading20%30%18%10%
Minutes level46%45%49%50%
Minutes trailing34%26%34%40%
First goal (min)45414853
First goal conceded (min)34433432
Timing
Goals scored in 2nd half57%55%58%70%
Goals conceded in 2nd half48%68%48%45%
Late goals for (76'+)0.390.520.300.30
Late goals against0.260.480.280.35
Style
Possession46%47%51%51%
Shots12.714.313.812.0
On target4.15.04.43.5
Shot conversion10%12%8%8%
Shots inside box63%63%58%58%
Big chances created1.82.42.12.0
Corners4.85.44.94.4
xG from set plays31%28%27%31%
Goals from headers17%15%14%9%
Pressure index11.715.410.99.5
Dominant minutes46.754.447.041.8
Pass accuracy76%75%80%79%
Fouls11.011.111.010.8
Cards1.912.132.152.43

Goal timing for / against per 15 min

Queens Park Rangers

0–15'712
16–30'711
31–45'1215
46–60'716
61–75'107
76–90'1812

Watford

0–15'59
16–30'613
31–45'1112
46–60'910
61–75'88
76–90'1413

Pressure DNA · intensity v an average side in the same situations, SD units

Queens Park Rangers · 7 matches

Pressure above an average side in the same situations (+0.29) · stands out: as favourite +0.67

Tempo

Overall intensity+0.297
Early press (0-15, level)+0.047
Late push (76+, level)-0.093

Game state

When ahead+0.414
When level+0.367
When behind-0.233
10 min after conceding-0.325
10 min after scoring+0.394

Situations

At home+0.203
Away+0.354
3 days rest or fewer-0.172
4+ days rest+0.475

Opposition

v mid-tier opponents-0.172
v bottom-tier opponents+0.475
As favourite+0.673
Evenly matched+0.083

Conceded

Pressure conceded-0.077
Conceded when ahead-0.324
Conceded late (76+)-0.397

Congested vs rested -0.65 · Ahead vs level +0.04 · Behind vs level -0.59

Watford · 7 matches

Pressure in line with an average side in the same situations (-0.09) · stands out: late push (76+, level) -0.45

Tempo

Overall intensity-0.097
Early press (0-15, level)-0.117
Late push (76+, level)-0.453
Late chase (76+, behind)-0.193

Game state

When ahead-0.144
When level-0.157
When behind+0.004
10 min after conceding-0.177
10 min after scoring-0.015

Situations

At home-0.234
Away+0.093
3 days rest or fewer+0.062
4+ days rest-0.155

Opposition

v mid-tier opponents+0.024
v bottom-tier opponents-0.122
As underdog-0.085

Conceded

Pressure conceded+0.277
Conceded when ahead+0.454
Conceded late (76+)-0.017

Congested vs rested +0.21 · Ahead vs level +0.01 · Behind vs level +0.16

Queens Park Rangers

Current: unbeaten 2 · winless 3 · scoring 1 · conceding 1

FormationUsePPGGFGAxGxGA
4-2-3-123 50%1.391.261.481.321.24
4-4-223 50%1.131.391.71.281.42

Watford

Current: winless 1 · scoring 2 · conceding 14

FormationUsePPGGFGAxGxGA
4-4-221 46%1.481.291.291.251.32
4-2-3-110 22%1.31.21.11.250.83
3-5-25 11%0.40.82.00.861.68
3-4-1-23 6%2.332.01.333.01.2
4-3-32 4%0.00.52.01.481.61

Windows with fewer than 5 matches show no figures.

Pre-match movement · ends at kick-off

Every snapshot up to kick-off only — in-play prices are in Match Hub. Movement is in fair-probability points since the first snapshot (overround removed): ▲ shortened, ▼ drifted.

No pre-match movement recorded for this fixture.

Latest prices

bet365 · pre-match line -0.9h before kick-off · recorded after kick-off. Fair % removes the overround; P = Pinnacle fair %.

Fulltime Result

2.5Home 38% P 37%3.3Draw 29% P 29%2.8Away 34% P 34%

Double Chance

1.44QPR or Draw 33%1.3QPR or Watford 36%1.5Draw or Watford 31%

Draw No Bet

1.831 50%1.832 50%

Both Teams To Score

1.72Yes 54%2.0No 46%

Goals Over/Under

2.52.0Over 47% P 48%1.8Under 53% P 52%

Total Corners

11.0Under 6 8%3.46 - 8 26%2.69 - 11 34%4.012 - 14 22%8.0Over 14 11%

Number of Cards

4.51.83Over 50%1.83Under 50%

Fixtures priced like this · Pinnacle closing price · 2017–2026

Every past fixture whose Pinnacle fair price fell in the same band as this one, and how it finished at 90 minutes. Band = mean price in the band; ± = actual minus price, in probability points.

Match result · home 35–37.5% · away 32.5–35% · 702 fixtures

This matchBandActual±
Home37%36%35%-1.6
Draw29%30%32%+2.1
Away34%34%33%-0.6

In those fixtures: 2.4 goals a game · BTTS 53% · over 2.5 46%

Goals over/under 2.5 · over 47.5–50% · 3,307 fixtures

This matchBandActual±
Over 2.548%49%50%+1.3

Ruebyn Ricardo

Career
36 matches · 5 seasons
Cards / match
4.47 (4.36 yellow · 0.03 red)
Fouls / match
21.8 · 4.6 fouls per card
Penalties / match
0.17
Cards to home side
44%

Style in Championship (5-year window · 26 matches)

MetricRefereeLeaguevs peerspct
Cards / match5.384.05+2.4198
Fouls / match22.621.8+0.67
Fouls per card4.55.4-1.52 (+ = lenient)
Penalties / match0.150.17-0.3435
Time added7.57.2+0.3357
First card
34' on average
Card timing
16% in first 30' · 30% in last 15'
Cards to home side
42% (league 45%)

Recent matches

DateYRFoulsPens1st card+min
2026-03-07 81 190 23'9
2026-02-25 –– 15– –9
2026-02-17 50 240 40'8
2026-02-07 91 200 34'10
2026-01-17 · Watford 80 290 45'12
2026-01-01 40 210 59'8
2025-12-29 –– 21– –6
2025-12-20 81 311 28'12
2025-12-13 70 300 17'8
2025-11-26 30 180 41'6