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Championship · Matchweek 40
Stoke CityStoke City
2–0
FT
Sheffield WednesdaySHF

Momentum

– Stoke CitySHF –
now

Match momentum Δ pressure · 0–100

Waiting for pressure data…

Competition

Stage
Regular Season
Round
40

Venue

Stadium
Bet365 Stadium, Stoke
Capacity
30,089
Surface
grass
Attendance
25,450

Teams

Coaches
Mark Robins · Henrik Pedersen
Position
15 · 24
Formation
3-4-2-1 · 3-4-2-1

Referee

Michael Salisbury

Weather

Conditions
overcast clouds
Temperature
13.4° (feels 12.3°)
Wind
9.4
Humidity
56%

Where to watch · 177

2025/2026

#TeamPWDLGFGAGDPtsForm
1 Coventry City 4628117 974552 95 DDWWW
2 Ipswich Town 4623158 804733 84 DWDDW
3 Millwall 46241111 644915 83 DWWDW
4 Southampton 46221410 825626 80 WWDDW
5 Middlesbrough 46221410 724725 80 LDWWD
6 Hull City 46211015 70664 73 LDDLW
7 Wrexham 46191413 69654 71 LWWLD
8 Derby County 4620917 67598 69 LWLWL
9 Norwich City 4619819 63567 65 LWWDL
10 Birmingham City 46171316 57561 64 WDWWD
11 Swansea City 46181018 5759-2 64 WLWDW
12 Bristol City 46171118 59590 62 DLDLW
13 Sheffield United 4618622 66660 60 WWLLW
14 Preston North End 46151516 5562-7 60 WLLWL
15 Queens Park Rangers 46161020 6173-12 58 DLLLL
16 Watford 46141517 5365-12 57 LLLLL
17 Stoke City 46151021 5156-5 55 DLLLL
18 Portsmouth 46141319 4964-15 55 WWLWD
19 Charlton Athletic 46131419 4458-14 53 LDLWL
20 Blackburn Rovers 46131320 4256-14 52 DLDWL
21 West Bromwich Albion (-2) 46131419 4858-10 51 DWWDL
22 Oxford United 46111421 4559-14 47 WLLWL
23 Leicester City (-6) 46121618 5868-10 46 LLDDW
24 Sheffield Wednesday (-18) 4621232 2989-60 0 DDLLW
  • Promotion
  • Promotion Play-off
  • Relegation

Stoke City

LLDWL 1W 1D 3L · 4 pts (0.8 ppg) · GF 8 GA 11 · xG 8.05–8.69 · xPts 6.71

  • L A Preston North End 1–3 xG 1.25–1.81 UK CHAMP
  • W H Watford 3–1 xG 2.11–1.64 UK CHAMP
  • D H Ipswich Town 3–3 xG 2.87–1.24 UK CHAMP
  • L A Swansea City 0–2 xG 1.52–1.25 UK CHAMP
  • L A Coventry City 1–2 xG 0.31–2.75 UK CHAMP

Sheffield Wednesday

LLDLL 0W 1D 4L · 1 pts (0.2 ppg) · GF 4 GA 11 · xG 4.19–11.01 · xPts 2.96

  • L A Hull City 1–3 xG 0.8–2.36 UK CHAMP
  • L H Ipswich Town 0–2 xG 0.47–2.69 UK CHAMP
  • D H Watford 1–1 xG 1.54–2.21 UK CHAMP
  • L A Derby County 1–2 xG 0.54–1.71 UK CHAMP
  • L H Southampton 1–3 xG 0.85–2.04 UK CHAMP

All meetings · 18 matches since 2005

Stoke City 67 draws5 Sheffield Wednesday

Goals 21–17 · 2.11 per match · BTTS 39% · over 2.5 28%

Last 10 · 10 matches

Stoke City 52 draws3 Sheffield Wednesday

Goals 12–7 · 1.9 per match · BTTS 20% · over 2.5 20%

Last 5 · 5 matches

Stoke City 31 draws1 Sheffield Wednesday

Goals 8–3 · 2.2 per match · BTTS 20% · over 2.5 20%

Recent meetings

  • W Stoke City 2–0 Sheffield Wednesday UK CHAMP · Regular Season
  • W Sheffield Wednesday 0–3 Stoke City UK CHAMP · Regular Season
  • W Stoke City 2–0 Sheffield Wednesday UK CHAMP · Regular Season
  • L Sheffield Wednesday 2–0 Stoke City UK CHAMP · Regular Season
  • D Sheffield Wednesday 1–1 Stoke City UK CHAMP · Regular Season
  • L Stoke City 0–1 Sheffield Wednesday UK CHAMP · Regular Season
  • W Stoke City 1–0 Sheffield Wednesday UK CHAMP · Regular Season
  • D Sheffield Wednesday 0–0 Stoke City UK CHAMP · Regular Season
  • W Stoke City 3–2 Sheffield Wednesday UK CHAMP · Regular Season
  • L Sheffield Wednesday 1–0 Stoke City UK CHAMP · Regular Season
MetricStoke City all · 46Stoke City at home · 23Sheffield Wednesday all · 46Sheffield Wednesday away · 23
Results
Matches46234623
Points per game1.201.430.390.35
W / D / L15 / 10 / 219 / 6 / 82 / 12 / 321 / 5 / 17
Goals for / match1.111.480.630.65
Goals against / match1.221.221.931.96
Clean sheets28%26%9%13%
Failed to score37%22%50%48%
Both teams scored44%61%48%48%
Over 2.544%56%52%56%
Expected goals
xG for / match1.241.440.880.80
xG against / match1.431.192.012.07
xG difference-0.190.26-1.13-1.27
Finishing vs xG-0.130.03-0.25-0.15
xPts / match1.281.550.730.62
Points vs xPts-0.08-0.12-0.34-0.28
Game state
Scored first44%52%26%17%
PPG when scoring first2.252.171.001.00
PPG when conceding first0.270.560.100.12
Came back from behind22%38%9%10%
Leads held71%69%15%20%
Minutes leading24%31%13%9%
Minutes level50%48%41%37%
Minutes trailing27%21%46%53%
First goal (min)37343840
First goal conceded (min)44473628
Timing
Goals scored in 2nd half55%50%48%53%
Goals conceded in 2nd half62%75%55%47%
Late goals for (76'+)0.150.260.070.09
Late goals against0.350.350.430.43
Style
Possession52%53%45%43%
Shots11.212.78.78.0
On target3.84.72.52.5
Shot conversion10%12%7%8%
Shots inside box65%67%68%65%
Big chances created1.82.11.20.9
Corners6.06.44.33.9
xG from set plays28%34%33%29%
Goals from headers16%15%17%7%
Pressure index13.316.36.96.1
Dominant minutes52.757.332.829.2
Pass accuracy78%79%73%72%
Fouls10.410.611.811.9
Cards2.302.261.701.87

Goal timing for / against per 15 min

Stoke City

0–15'88
16–30'55
31–45'108
46–60'1314
61–75'85
76–90'716

Sheffield Wednesday

0–15'516
16–30'79
31–45'315
46–60'713
61–75'416
76–90'320

Pressure DNA · intensity v an average side in the same situations, SD units

Stoke City · 7 matches

Pressure in line with an average side in the same situations (+0.10) · stands out: 10 min after scoring +0.80

Tempo

Overall intensity+0.107
Early press (0-15, level)+0.177
Late push (76+, level)-0.442
Late chase (76+, behind)-0.453

Game state

When ahead+0.166
When level+0.057
When behind+0.113
10 min after conceding-0.265
10 min after scoring+0.807

Situations

At home-0.273
Away+0.314
3 days rest or fewer-0.222
4+ days rest+0.255

Opposition

v mid-tier opponents-0.154
v bottom-tier opponents+0.543
Evenly matched+0.362
As underdog-0.074

Conceded

Pressure conceded+0.117
Conceded when ahead-0.016
Conceded late (76+)+0.326

Congested vs rested -0.47 · Ahead vs level +0.10 · Behind vs level +0.05

Sheffield Wednesday

No pressure profile yet.

Stoke City

Current: unbeaten 4 · wins 1 · scoring 7 · conceding 2

FormationUsePPGGFGAxGxGA
4-2-3-141 89%1.241.11.151.21.34
3-4-2-13 6%1.331.331.331.762.14
4-4-22 4%0.01.02.51.292.17

Sheffield Wednesday

Current: unbeaten 1 · wins 1 · scoring 2 · conceding 4

FormationUsePPGGFGAxGxGA
3-4-2-113 28%0.540.381.540.851.98
3-5-212 26%0.670.751.750.831.9
4-2-3-16 13%0.00.332.330.472.39
3-4-34 9%0.250.752.01.051.86
5-3-24 9%0.250.52.01.052.15

Windows with fewer than 5 matches show no figures.

Pre-match movement · ends at kick-off

Every snapshot up to kick-off only — in-play prices are in Match Hub. Movement is in fair-probability points since the first snapshot (overround removed): ▲ shortened, ▼ drifted.

No pre-match movement recorded for this fixture.

Latest prices

bet365 · pre-match line -0.9h before kick-off · recorded after kick-off. Fair % removes the overround; P = Pinnacle fair %.

Fulltime Result

1.44Home 65% P 68%4.2Draw 22% P 20%7.5Away 13% P 13%

Double Chance

1.08Stoke or Draw 44%1.2Stoke or Sheff Wed 39%2.75Draw or Sheff Wed 17%

Draw No Bet

1.111 85%6.52 15%

Both Teams To Score

1.9Yes 49%1.8No 51%

Goals Over/Under

2.51.72Over 55% P 56%2.1Under 45% P 44%

Total Corners

13.0Under 6 7%3.756 - 8 23%2.629 - 11 33%3.612 - 14 24%7.0Over 14 12%

Number of Cards

3.52.25Over 41%1.57Under 59%

Fixtures priced like this · Pinnacle closing price · 2017–2026

Every past fixture whose Pinnacle fair price fell in the same band as this one, and how it finished at 90 minutes. Band = mean price in the band; ± = actual minus price, in probability points.

Match result · home 67.5–70% · away 12.5–15% · 243 fixtures

This matchBandActual±
Home68%68%68%-0.1
Draw20%18%18%-0.3
Away13%13%14%+0.4

In those fixtures: 3.4 goals a game · BTTS 56% · over 2.5 65%

Goals over/under 2.5 · over 55–57.5% · 2,507 fixtures

This matchBandActual±
Over 2.556%56%56%-0.2

Michael Salisbury

Career
139 matches · 12 seasons
Cards / match
3.52 (3.35 yellow · 0.14 red)
Fouls / match
21.6 · 5.9 fouls per card
Penalties / match
0.26
Cards to home side
48%

Style in Championship (5-year window · 34 matches)

MetricRefereeLeaguevs peerspct
Cards / match3.384.05-1.2214
Fouls / match22.121.8+0.26
Fouls per card6.55.4+1.47 (+ = lenient)
Penalties / match0.150.17-0.4422
Time added6.57.2-0.8316
First card
35' on average
Card timing
18% in first 30' · 24% in last 15'
Cards to home side
48% (league 45%)

Recent matches

DateYRFoulsPens1st card+min
2026-03-21 30 180 16'5
2026-02-01 41 161 31'7
2026-01-24 20 140 45'7
2026-01-07 50 212 7'13
2025-12-30 80 293 13'10
2025-12-08 50 291 38'11
2025-12-02 60 280 22'7
2025-11-22 31 220 45'13
2025-11-08 40 280 25'10
2025-11-01 30 211 35'7