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Championship · Matchweek 40

Momentum

WBAWrexham
now

Match momentum Δ pressure · 0–100

Waiting for pressure data…

Competition

Stage
Regular Season
Round
40

Venue

Stadium
The Hawthorns, West Bromwich
Capacity
26,445
Surface
grass
Attendance
25,927

Teams

Coaches
James Morrison · Phil Parkinson
Position
20 · 7
Formation
4-4-2 · 3-4-2-1

Referee

Andy Madley

Weather

Conditions
clear sky
Temperature
14.9° (feels 14.2°)
Wind
6.7
Humidity
70%

Where to watch · 177

2025/2026

#TeamPWDLGFGAGDPtsForm
1 Coventry City 4628117 974552 95 DDWWW
2 Ipswich Town 4623158 804733 84 DWDDW
3 Millwall 46241111 644915 83 DWWDW
4 Southampton 46221410 825626 80 WWDDW
5 Middlesbrough 46221410 724725 80 LDWWD
6 Hull City 46211015 70664 73 LDDLW
7 Wrexham 46191413 69654 71 LWWLD
8 Derby County 4620917 67598 69 LWLWL
9 Norwich City 4619819 63567 65 LWWDL
10 Birmingham City 46171316 57561 64 WDWWD
11 Swansea City 46181018 5759-2 64 WLWDW
12 Bristol City 46171118 59590 62 DLDLW
13 Sheffield United 4618622 66660 60 WWLLW
14 Preston North End 46151516 5562-7 60 WLLWL
15 Queens Park Rangers 46161020 6173-12 58 DLLLL
16 Watford 46141517 5365-12 57 LLLLL
17 Stoke City 46151021 5156-5 55 DLLLL
18 Portsmouth 46141319 4964-15 55 WWLWD
19 Charlton Athletic 46131419 4458-14 53 LDLWL
20 Blackburn Rovers 46131320 4256-14 52 DLDWL
21 West Bromwich Albion (-2) 46131419 4858-10 51 DWWDL
22 Oxford United 46111421 4559-14 47 WLLWL
23 Leicester City (-6) 46121618 5868-10 46 LLDDW
24 Sheffield Wednesday (-18) 4621232 2989-60 0 DDLLW
  • Promotion
  • Promotion Play-off
  • Relegation

West Bromwich Albion

LDDWW 2W 2D 1L · 8 pts (1.6 ppg) · GF 7 GA 4 · xG 10.61–3.65 · xPts 10.69

  • W A Bristol City 1–0 xG 2.99–0.24 UK CHAMP
  • W H Hull City 3–0 xG 2.98–0.39 UK CHAMP
  • D H Southampton 1–1 xG 2.26–0.96 UK CHAMP
  • D A Sheffield United 1–1 xG 1.11–1.14 UK CHAMP
  • L A Oxford United 1–2 xG 1.27–0.91 UK CHAMP

Wrexham

LLWLW 2W 0D 3L · 6 pts (1.2 ppg) · GF 8 GA 10 · xG 5.33–8.29 · xPts 4.88

  • W A Sheffield United 2–1 xG 1.32–2.35 UK CHAMP
  • L A Watford 1–3 xG 0.33–1.57 UK CHAMP
  • W H Swansea City 2–0 xG 0.76–0.82 UK CHAMP
  • L H Hull City 1–2 xG 1.09–1.47 UK CHAMP
  • L H Chelsea 2–4 aet xG 1.84–2.09 UK FA Cup

All meetings · 2 matches since 2025

West Bromwich Albion 11 draws0 Wrexham

Goals 5–4 · 4.5 per match · BTTS 100% · over 2.5 100%

Last 10 · 2 matches

West Bromwich Albion 11 draws0 Wrexham

Goals 5–4 · 4.5 per match · BTTS 100% · over 2.5 100%

Last 5 · 2 matches

West Bromwich Albion 11 draws0 Wrexham

Goals 5–4 · 4.5 per match · BTTS 100% · over 2.5 100%

Recent meetings

  • D West Bromwich Albion 2–2 Wrexham UK CHAMP · Regular Season
  • W Wrexham 2–3 West Bromwich Albion UK CHAMP · Regular Season
MetricWest Bromwich Albion all · 46West Bromwich Albion at home · 23Wrexham all · 46Wrexham away · 23
Results
Matches46234623
Points per game1.151.481.541.48
W / D / L13 / 14 / 198 / 10 / 519 / 14 / 139 / 7 / 7
Goals for / match1.041.221.501.22
Goals against / match1.261.091.411.22
Clean sheets30%35%26%30%
Failed to score33%30%13%22%
Both teams scored50%52%65%56%
Over 2.546%44%50%44%
Expected goals
xG for / match1.441.671.220.91
xG against / match1.050.781.481.68
xG difference0.390.89-0.26-0.77
Finishing vs xG-0.40-0.450.280.31
xPts / match1.621.951.220.91
Points vs xPts-0.47-0.480.320.57
Game state
Scored first41%52%52%48%
PPG when scoring first2.052.002.081.91
PPG when conceding first0.380.860.951.10
Came back from behind17%29%46%42%
Leads held62%57%63%64%
Minutes leading25%32%31%32%
Minutes level50%52%46%49%
Minutes trailing25%16%23%20%
First goal (min)42383736
First goal conceded (min)45504043
Timing
Goals scored in 2nd half52%54%54%61%
Goals conceded in 2nd half53%64%55%61%
Late goals for (76'+)0.260.170.370.26
Late goals against0.260.300.410.48
Style
Possession52%54%48%45%
Shots13.415.211.38.5
On target4.14.73.82.7
Shot conversion8%8%13%14%
Shots inside box65%63%66%64%
Big chances created2.12.42.31.7
Corners5.26.14.53.7
xG from set plays36%41%32%25%
Goals from headers26%22%29%15%
Pressure index13.416.310.17.1
Dominant minutes52.957.341.932.4
Pass accuracy80%81%78%76%
Fouls10.210.19.710.5
Cards1.831.611.591.91

Goal timing for / against per 15 min

West Bromwich Albion

0–15'66
16–30'89
31–45'912
46–60'511
61–75'88
76–90'1212

Wrexham

0–15'98
16–30'119
31–45'1212
46–60'138
61–75'79
76–90'1719

Pressure DNA · intensity v an average side in the same situations, SD units

West Bromwich Albion · 7 matches

Pressure in line with an average side in the same situations (+0.14) · stands out: 10 min after scoring +0.38

Tempo

Overall intensity+0.147
Early press (0-15, level)+0.027
Late push (76+, level)-0.292

Game state

When ahead+0.085
When level+0.197
When behind-0.033
10 min after conceding-0.105
10 min after scoring+0.387

Situations

At home+0.274
Away-0.043
3 days rest or fewer+0.052
4+ days rest+0.175

Opposition

v mid-tier opponents+0.003
v bottom-tier opponents+0.234
As favourite+0.224
As underdog-0.072

Conceded

Pressure conceded-0.047
Conceded when ahead-0.165
Conceded late (76+)-0.257

Congested vs rested -0.11 · Ahead vs level -0.11 · Behind vs level -0.22

Wrexham · 7 matches

Pressure in line with an average side in the same situations (+0.02) · stands out: v bottom-tier opponents +0.16

Tempo

Overall intensity+0.027
Early press (0-15, level)-0.137
Late push (76+, level)-0.044

Game state

When ahead+0.122
When level+0.017
When behind-0.034
10 min after conceding-0.135
10 min after scoring+0.135

Situations

At home+0.053
Away+0.004
3 days rest or fewer+0.073
4+ days rest-0.014

Opposition

v mid-tier opponents-0.103
v bottom-tier opponents+0.163
As favourite+0.053
Evenly matched+0.033

Conceded

Pressure conceded+0.087
Conceded when ahead+0.062
Conceded late (76+)-0.165

Congested vs rested +0.07 · Ahead vs level +0.12 · Behind vs level -0.04

West Bromwich Albion

Current: unbeaten 4 · winless 1 · scoring 8 · conceding 1

FormationUsePPGGFGAxGxGA
4-2-3-124 52%1.251.171.291.480.98
4-4-217 37%1.291.00.821.521.08
3-4-2-13 6%0.00.03.00.861.62
5-4-12 4%0.51.52.01.180.75

Wrexham

Current: winless 3 · conceding 2

FormationUsePPGGFGAxGxGA
3-4-2-123 50%1.611.571.391.171.25
3-5-28 17%0.50.881.880.962.43
3-5-1-16 13%1.51.171.51.641.12
3-4-1-23 6%1.671.331.01.341.59
3-1-4-23 6%2.332.00.670.91.43

Windows with fewer than 5 matches show no figures.

Pre-match movement · ends at kick-off

Every snapshot up to kick-off only — in-play prices are in Match Hub. Movement is in fair-probability points since the first snapshot (overround removed): ▲ shortened, ▼ drifted.

No pre-match movement recorded for this fixture.

Latest prices

bet365 · pre-match line -1.4h before kick-off · recorded after kick-off. Fair % removes the overround; P = Pinnacle fair %.

Fulltime Result

2.15Home 44% P 45%3.3Draw 29% P 28%3.4Away 28% P 28%

Double Chance

1.28West Brom or Draw 37%1.33West Brom or Wrexham 35%1.7Draw or Wrexham 28%

Draw No Bet

1.51 62%2.52 38%

Both Teams To Score

1.8Yes 51%1.9No 49%

Goals Over/Under

2.52.0Over 47% P 46%1.8Under 53% P 54%

Total Corners

10.0Under 6 9%3.16 - 8 28%2.629 - 11 34%4.3312 - 14 20%10.0Over 14 9%

Number of Cards

3.51.72Over 54% P 51%2.0Under 46% P 49%

Fixtures priced like this · Pinnacle closing price · 2017–2026

Every past fixture whose Pinnacle fair price fell in the same band as this one, and how it finished at 90 minutes. Band = mean price in the band; ± = actual minus price, in probability points.

Match result · home 42.5–45% · away 27.5–30% · 766 fixtures

This matchBandActual±
Home45%44%43%-0.3
Draw28%28%30%+2.4
Away28%29%26%-2.1

In those fixtures: 2.7 goals a game · BTTS 58% · over 2.5 52%

Goals over/under 2.5 · over 45–47.5% · 2,885 fixtures

This matchBandActual±
Over 2.546%46%45%-1.2

Andy Madley

Career
313 matches · 16 seasons
Cards / match
3.42 (3.29 yellow · 0.08 red)
Fouls / match
21.8 · 5.7 fouls per card
Penalties / match
0.2
Cards to home side
45%

Style in Championship (5-year window · 17 matches)

MetricRefereeLeaguevs peerspct
Cards / match4.534.05+0.8782
Fouls / match23.221.8+1.19
Fouls per card5.15.4-0.64 (+ = lenient)
Penalties / match0.180.17-0.0353
Time added6.97.2-0.3735
First card
36' on average
Card timing
9% in first 30' · 36% in last 15'
Cards to home side
54% (league 45%)

Recent matches

DateYRFoulsPens1st card+min
2026-03-14 23 61'14
2026-03-09 20 262 80'10
2026-03-05 51 281 7'13
2026-03-01 40 250 30'13
2026-02-21 40 220 37'11
2026-02-10 41 291 57'8
2026-02-07 40 322 44'13
2026-01-24 21 300 26'7
2026-01-17 30 181 40'9
2026-01-07 20 110 67'4