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Championship · Matchweek 41

Momentum

BBRWBA
now

Match momentum Δ pressure · 0–100

Waiting for pressure data…

Competition

Stage
Regular Season
Round
41

Venue

Stadium
Ewood Park, Blackburn
Capacity
31,367
Surface
grass
Attendance
21,581

Teams

Coaches
Michael O'Neill · James Morrison
Position
19 · 20
Formation
3-4-2-1 · 4-4-2

Referee

Robert Jones

Weather

Conditions
broken clouds
Temperature
14.9° (feels 13.8°)
Wind
5.1
Humidity
52%

Where to watch · 177

2025/2026

#TeamPWDLGFGAGDPtsForm
1 Coventry City 4628117 974552 95 DDWWW
2 Ipswich Town 4623158 804733 84 DWDDW
3 Millwall 46241111 644915 83 DWWDW
4 Southampton 46221410 825626 80 WWDDW
5 Middlesbrough 46221410 724725 80 LDWWD
6 Hull City 46211015 70664 73 LDDLW
7 Wrexham 46191413 69654 71 LWWLD
8 Derby County 4620917 67598 69 LWLWL
9 Norwich City 4619819 63567 65 LWWDL
10 Birmingham City 46171316 57561 64 WDWWD
11 Swansea City 46181018 5759-2 64 WLWDW
12 Bristol City 46171118 59590 62 DLDLW
13 Sheffield United 4618622 66660 60 WWLLW
14 Preston North End 46151516 5562-7 60 WLLWL
15 Queens Park Rangers 46161020 6173-12 58 DLLLL
16 Watford 46141517 5365-12 57 LLLLL
17 Stoke City 46151021 5156-5 55 DLLLL
18 Portsmouth 46141319 4964-15 55 WWLWD
19 Charlton Athletic 46131419 4458-14 53 LDLWL
20 Blackburn Rovers 46131320 4256-14 52 DLDWL
21 West Bromwich Albion (-2) 46131419 4858-10 51 DWWDL
22 Oxford United 46111421 4559-14 47 WLLWL
23 Leicester City (-6) 46121618 5868-10 46 LLDDW
24 Sheffield Wednesday (-18) 4621232 2989-60 0 DDLLW
  • Promotion
  • Promotion Play-off
  • Relegation

Blackburn Rovers

DLWDW 2W 2D 1L · 8 pts (1.6 ppg) · GF 4 GA 3 · xG 6.15–5.98 · xPts 6.86

  • W A Birmingham City 1–0 xG 1.66–1.09 UK CHAMP
  • D H Middlesbrough 0–0 xG 0.49–1.51 UK CHAMP
  • W A Millwall 2–1 xG 2.07–1.03 UK CHAMP
  • L A Oxford United 0–1 xG 0.75–1.56 UK CHAMP
  • D H Portsmouth 1–1 xG 1.18–0.79 UK CHAMP

West Bromwich Albion

DDWWD 2W 3D 0L · 9 pts (1.8 ppg) · GF 8 GA 4 · xG 11.17–4.57 · xPts 10.45

  • D H Wrexham 2–2 xG 1.83–1.83 UK CHAMP
  • W A Bristol City 1–0 xG 2.99–0.24 UK CHAMP
  • W H Hull City 3–0 xG 2.98–0.39 UK CHAMP
  • D H Southampton 1–1 xG 2.26–0.96 UK CHAMP
  • D A Sheffield United 1–1 xG 1.11–1.14 UK CHAMP

All meetings · 26 matches since 2002

Blackburn Rovers 811 draws7 West Bromwich Albion

Goals 30–29 · 2.27 per match · BTTS 58% · over 2.5 38%

Last 10 · 10 matches

Blackburn Rovers 34 draws3 West Bromwich Albion

Goals 9–10 · 1.9 per match · BTTS 50% · over 2.5 40%

Last 5 · 5 matches

Blackburn Rovers 12 draws2 West Bromwich Albion

Goals 3–5 · 1.6 per match · BTTS 20% · over 2.5 20%

Recent meetings

  • D Blackburn Rovers 0–0 West Bromwich Albion UK CHAMP · Regular Season
  • L West Bromwich Albion 1–0 Blackburn Rovers UK CHAMP · Regular Season
  • W West Bromwich Albion 0–2 Blackburn Rovers UK CHAMP · Regular Season
  • D Blackburn Rovers 0–0 West Bromwich Albion UK CHAMP · Regular Season
  • L West Bromwich Albion 4–1 Blackburn Rovers UK CHAMP · Regular Season
  • W Blackburn Rovers 2–1 West Bromwich Albion UK CHAMP · Regular Season
  • D West Bromwich Albion 1–1 Blackburn Rovers UK CHAMP · Regular Season
  • W Blackburn Rovers 2–1 West Bromwich Albion UK CHAMP · Regular Season
  • D West Bromwich Albion 0–0 Blackburn Rovers UK CHAMP · Regular Season
  • L Blackburn Rovers 1–2 West Bromwich Albion UK CHAMP · Regular Season
MetricBlackburn Rovers all · 46Blackburn Rovers at home · 23West Bromwich Albion all · 46West Bromwich Albion away · 23
Results
Matches46234623
Points per game1.130.911.150.83
W / D / L13 / 13 / 204 / 9 / 1013 / 14 / 195 / 4 / 14
Goals for / match0.910.831.040.87
Goals against / match1.221.171.261.43
Clean sheets26%22%30%26%
Failed to score35%30%33%35%
Both teams scored48%56%50%48%
Over 2.539%30%46%48%
Expected goals
xG for / match1.201.261.441.21
xG against / match1.301.151.051.32
xG difference-0.100.110.39-0.11
Finishing vs xG-0.28-0.43-0.40-0.34
xPts / match1.321.461.621.29
Points vs xPts-0.19-0.54-0.47-0.47
Game state
Scored first46%39%41%30%
PPG when scoring first1.761.222.052.14
PPG when conceding first0.520.670.380.14
Came back from behind26%38%17%12%
Leads held56%40%62%71%
Minutes leading21%14%25%18%
Minutes level55%61%50%49%
Minutes trailing24%24%25%33%
First goal (min)44514246
First goal conceded (min)49534541
Timing
Goals scored in 2nd half48%58%52%50%
Goals conceded in 2nd half59%52%53%46%
Late goals for (76'+)0.220.350.260.35
Late goals against0.390.430.260.22
Style
Possession48%48%52%50%
Shots11.511.613.411.7
On target3.23.24.13.5
Shot conversion8%7%8%7%
Shots inside box67%69%65%67%
Big chances created2.01.72.11.9
Corners5.35.85.24.2
xG from set plays27%30%36%30%
Goals from headers27%26%26%30%
Pressure index10.110.713.410.4
Dominant minutes44.645.852.948.6
Pass accuracy74%73%80%79%
Fouls10.59.810.210.4
Cards2.172.001.832.04

Goal timing for / against per 15 min

Blackburn Rovers

0–15'54
16–30'67
31–45'1112
46–60'69
61–75'46
76–90'1018

West Bromwich Albion

0–15'66
16–30'89
31–45'912
46–60'511
61–75'88
76–90'1212

Pressure DNA · intensity v an average side in the same situations, SD units

Blackburn Rovers · 7 matches

Pressure in line with an average side in the same situations (+0.04) · stands out: 10 min after scoring +0.55

Tempo

Overall intensity+0.047
Early press (0-15, level)-0.197
Late push (76+, level)+0.512
Late chase (76+, behind)-0.353

Game state

When ahead-0.145
When level+0.067
When behind+0.155
10 min after conceding+0.236
10 min after scoring+0.556

Situations

At home+0.004
Away+0.103
3 days rest or fewer+0.282
4+ days rest-0.055

Opposition

v mid-tier opponents+0.016
Evenly matched+0.125
As underdog-0.142

Conceded

Pressure conceded-0.067
Conceded when ahead+0.045
Conceded late (76+)-0.057

Congested vs rested +0.32 · Ahead vs level -0.21 · Behind vs level +0.09

West Bromwich Albion · 7 matches

Pressure in line with an average side in the same situations (+0.14) · stands out: 10 min after scoring +0.38

Tempo

Overall intensity+0.147
Early press (0-15, level)+0.027
Late push (76+, level)-0.292

Game state

When ahead+0.085
When level+0.197
When behind-0.033
10 min after conceding-0.105
10 min after scoring+0.387

Situations

At home+0.274
Away-0.043
3 days rest or fewer+0.052
4+ days rest+0.175

Opposition

v mid-tier opponents+0.003
v bottom-tier opponents+0.234
As favourite+0.224
As underdog-0.072

Conceded

Pressure conceded-0.047
Conceded when ahead-0.165
Conceded late (76+)-0.257

Congested vs rested -0.11 · Ahead vs level -0.11 · Behind vs level -0.22

Blackburn Rovers

Current: unbeaten 1 · wins 1 · scoring 3 · conceding 3

FormationUsePPGGFGAxGxGA
3-4-1-217 37%1.060.941.291.311.11
4-2-3-113 28%1.080.921.231.131.34
3-4-2-112 26%1.170.831.081.151.35
3-5-22 4%1.51.51.01.062.12
5-3-21 2%3.01.00.01.330.18

West Bromwich Albion

Current: unbeaten 4 · winless 1 · scoring 8 · conceding 1

FormationUsePPGGFGAxGxGA
4-2-3-124 52%1.251.171.291.480.98
4-4-217 37%1.291.00.821.521.08
3-4-2-13 6%0.00.03.00.861.62
5-4-12 4%0.51.52.01.180.75

Windows with fewer than 5 matches show no figures.

Pre-match movement · ends at kick-off

Every snapshot up to kick-off only — in-play prices are in Match Hub. Movement is in fair-probability points since the first snapshot (overround removed): ▲ shortened, ▼ drifted.

No pre-match movement recorded for this fixture.

Latest prices

bet365 · pre-match line -0.1h before kick-off · recorded after kick-off. Fair % removes the overround; P = Pinnacle fair %.

Fulltime Result

3.0Home 31% P 33%3.0Draw 31% P 31%2.5Away 38% P 36%

Double Chance

1.4Blackburn or Draw 33%1.36Blackburn or West Brom 34%1.44Draw or West Brom 32%

Draw No Bet

1.831 50%1.832 50%

Both Teams To Score

1.9Yes 49%1.8No 51%

Goals Over/Under

2.52.37Over 40% P 39%1.57Under 60% P 61%

Total Corners

11.0Under 6 8%3.46 - 8 26%2.69 - 11 34%4.012 - 14 22%8.0Over 14 11%

Number of Cards

3.51.66Over 56%2.1Under 44%
4.52.2Over 42%1.61Under 58%

Fixtures priced like this · Pinnacle closing price · 2017–2026

Every past fixture whose Pinnacle fair price fell in the same band as this one, and how it finished at 90 minutes. Band = mean price in the band; ± = actual minus price, in probability points.

Match result · home 32.5–35% · away 35–37.5% · 691 fixtures

This matchBandActual±
Home33%34%34%+0.5
Draw31%30%27%-2.5
Away36%36%38%+2.0

In those fixtures: 2.5 goals a game · BTTS 53% · over 2.5 45%

Goals over/under 2.5 · over 37.5–40% · 1,310 fixtures

This matchBandActual±
Over 2.539%39%39%+0.7

Robert Jones

Career
222 matches · 15 seasons
Cards / match
3.84 (3.75 yellow · 0.05 red)
Fouls / match
23.9 · 5.9 fouls per card
Penalties / match
0.27
Cards to home side
47%

Style in Championship (5-year window · 22 matches)

MetricRefereeLeaguevs peerspct
Cards / match4.184.05+0.2359
Fouls / match22.621.8+0.71
Fouls per card5.75.4+0.16 (+ = lenient)
Penalties / match0.180.17+0.0557
Time added6.07.2-1.414
First card
23' on average
Card timing
28% in first 30' · 27% in last 15'
Cards to home side
53% (league 45%)

Recent matches

DateYRFoulsPens1st card+min
2026-02-10 80 222 8'9
2026-02-01 60 270 11'13
2026-01-17 60 230 17'6
2025-12-30 30 120 28'10
2025-12-27 30 180 36'6
2025-12-13 40 220 60'10
2025-12-06 70 170 29'10
2025-11-30 50 281 17'9
2025-11-27 50 290 44'10
2025-11-23 60 340 41'12