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Championship · Matchweek 41
Bristol CityBristol City
1–0
FT
Sheffield UnitedSHU

Momentum

– Bristol CitySHU –
now

Match momentum Δ pressure · 0–100

Waiting for pressure data…

Competition

Stage
Regular Season
Round
41

Venue

Stadium
Ashton Gate Stadium, Bristol
Capacity
27,000
Surface
grass
Attendance
21,858

Teams

Coaches
Roy Hodgson · Chris Wilder
Position
13 · 17
Formation
4-2-3-1 · 5-3-2

Referee

Lewis Smith

Weather

Conditions
few clouds
Temperature
15.8° (feels 14.9°)
Wind
6.2
Humidity
57%

Where to watch · 177

2025/2026

#TeamPWDLGFGAGDPtsForm
1 Coventry City 4628117 974552 95 DDWWW
2 Ipswich Town 4623158 804733 84 DWDDW
3 Millwall 46241111 644915 83 DWWDW
4 Southampton 46221410 825626 80 WWDDW
5 Middlesbrough 46221410 724725 80 LDWWD
6 Hull City 46211015 70664 73 LDDLW
7 Wrexham 46191413 69654 71 LWWLD
8 Derby County 4620917 67598 69 LWLWL
9 Norwich City 4619819 63567 65 LWWDL
10 Birmingham City 46171316 57561 64 WDWWD
11 Swansea City 46181018 5759-2 64 WLWDW
12 Bristol City 46171118 59590 62 DLDLW
13 Sheffield United 4618622 66660 60 WWLLW
14 Preston North End 46151516 5562-7 60 WLLWL
15 Queens Park Rangers 46161020 6173-12 58 DLLLL
16 Watford 46141517 5365-12 57 LLLLL
17 Stoke City 46151021 5156-5 55 DLLLL
18 Portsmouth 46141319 4964-15 55 WWLWD
19 Charlton Athletic 46131419 4458-14 53 LDLWL
20 Blackburn Rovers 46131320 4256-14 52 DLDWL
21 West Bromwich Albion (-2) 46131419 4858-10 51 DWWDL
22 Oxford United 46111421 4559-14 47 WLLWL
23 Leicester City (-6) 46121618 5868-10 46 LLDDW
24 Sheffield Wednesday (-18) 4621232 2989-60 0 DDLLW
  • Promotion
  • Promotion Play-off
  • Relegation

Bristol City

LLDLW 1W 1D 3L · 4 pts (0.8 ppg) · GF 3 GA 7 · xG 5.73–9.26 · xPts 5.05

  • W A Charlton Athletic 2–1 xG 2.46–1.9 UK CHAMP
  • L H West Bromwich Albion 0–1 xG 0.24–2.99 UK CHAMP
  • D A Middlesbrough 1–1 xG 0.41–1.82 UK CHAMP
  • L A Leicester City 0–2 xG 1.13–1.24 UK CHAMP
  • L H Coventry City 0–2 xG 1.5–1.3 UK CHAMP

Sheffield United

DLDLD 0W 3D 2L · 3 pts (0.6 ppg) · GF 7 GA 9 · xG 6.91–8.59 · xPts 5.92

  • D H Swansea City 3–3 xG 1.22–2.01 UK CHAMP
  • L H Wrexham 1–2 xG 2.35–1.32 UK CHAMP
  • D A Birmingham City 1–1 xG 1.22–1.66 UK CHAMP
  • L A Norwich City 1–2 xG 0.97–2.49 UK CHAMP
  • D H West Bromwich Albion 1–1 xG 1.14–1.11 UK CHAMP

All meetings · 23 matches since 2007

Bristol City 73 draws13 Sheffield United

Goals 26–35 · 2.65 per match · BTTS 44% · over 2.5 52%

Last 10 · 10 matches

Bristol City 22 draws6 Sheffield United

Goals 8–15 · 2.3 per match · BTTS 40% · over 2.5 40%

Last 5 · 5 matches

Bristol City 21 draws2 Sheffield United

Goals 6–8 · 2.8 per match · BTTS 40% · over 2.5 60%

Recent meetings

  • W Bristol City 1–0 Sheffield United UK CHAMP · Regular Season
  • W Sheffield United 1–4 Bristol City UK CHAMP · Regular Season
  • L Sheffield United 3–0 Bristol City UK CHAMP · Promotion Play-offs - Semi-finals · leg 2/2
  • L Bristol City 0–3 Sheffield United UK CHAMP · Promotion Play-offs - Semi-finals · leg 1/2
  • D Sheffield United 1–1 Bristol City UK CHAMP · Regular Season
  • L Bristol City 1–2 Sheffield United UK CHAMP · Regular Season
  • L Sheffield United 1–0 Bristol City UK CHAMP · Regular Season
  • L Bristol City 0–1 Sheffield United UK CHAMP · Regular Season
  • D Bristol City 1–1 Sheffield United UK CHAMP · Regular Season
  • L Sheffield United 2–0 Bristol City UK CHAMP · Regular Season
MetricBristol City all · 46Bristol City at home · 23Sheffield United all · 46Sheffield United away · 23
Results
Matches46234623
Points per game1.351.351.301.26
W / D / L17 / 11 / 189 / 4 / 1018 / 6 / 229 / 2 / 12
Goals for / match1.281.431.431.22
Goals against / match1.281.351.431.43
Clean sheets30%35%22%22%
Failed to score33%30%24%35%
Both teams scored46%39%56%44%
Over 2.546%48%59%44%
Expected goals
xG for / match1.181.211.641.42
xG against / match1.481.491.311.47
xG difference-0.29-0.280.32-0.06
Finishing vs xG0.100.22-0.20-0.20
xPts / match1.201.211.571.34
Points vs xPts0.150.13-0.26-0.08
Game state
Scored first39%44%54%52%
PPG when scoring first2.332.201.841.83
PPG when conceding first0.670.670.650.64
Came back from behind31%29%18%20%
Leads held77%75%62%64%
Minutes leading30%33%27%26%
Minutes level41%38%44%46%
Minutes trailing29%29%29%28%
First goal (min)32283935
First goal conceded (min)30314038
Timing
Goals scored in 2nd half46%52%54%46%
Goals conceded in 2nd half44%48%62%67%
Late goals for (76'+)0.240.350.200.13
Late goals against0.240.300.260.26
Style
Possession49%52%52%47%
Shots12.212.713.411.3
On target4.14.04.33.7
Shot conversion10%11%11%11%
Shots inside box60%59%68%68%
Big chances created1.92.02.52.3
Corners4.84.76.65.7
xG from set plays24%20%35%30%
Goals from headers21%21%8%4%
Pressure index11.914.515.19.6
Dominant minutes43.948.950.541.5
Pass accuracy78%80%76%73%
Fouls9.58.810.310.8
Cards1.831.651.962.13

Goal timing for / against per 15 min

Bristol City

0–15'911
16–30'1115
31–45'127
46–60'115
61–75'510
76–90'1111

Sheffield United

0–15'118
16–30'911
31–45'106
46–60'1619
61–75'1110
76–90'912

Pressure DNA · intensity v an average side in the same situations, SD units

Bristol City · 7 matches

Pressure above an average side in the same situations (+0.35) · stands out: as underdog +0.72

Tempo

Overall intensity+0.357
Early press (0-15, level)+0.347
Late push (76+, level)+0.213
Late chase (76+, behind)+0.134

Game state

When ahead+0.114
When level+0.397
When behind+0.514
10 min after conceding+0.077
10 min after scoring+0.565

Situations

At home+0.033
Away+0.614
3 days rest or fewer+0.372
4+ days rest+0.355

Opposition

v mid-tier opponents+0.514
v bottom-tier opponents+0.153
As favourite+0.022
Evenly matched+0.162
As underdog+0.723

Conceded

Pressure conceded-0.127
Conceded when ahead-0.294
Conceded late (76+)-0.387

Congested vs rested +0.02 · Ahead vs level -0.28 · Behind vs level +0.13

Sheffield United · 7 matches

Pressure below an average side in the same situations (-0.18) · stands out: 10 min after conceding -0.49

Tempo

Overall intensity-0.187
Early press (0-15, level)-0.017
Late push (76+, level)-0.365
Late chase (76+, behind)-0.392

Game state

When ahead-0.373
When level-0.117
When behind-0.355
10 min after conceding-0.495
10 min after scoring-0.104

Situations

At home-0.154
Away-0.223
3 days rest or fewer-0.202
4+ days rest-0.175

Opposition

v mid-tier opponents-0.094
v bottom-tier opponents-0.303
As favourite-0.202
Evenly matched-0.204

Conceded

Pressure conceded+0.347
Conceded when ahead+0.303
Conceded late (76+)+0.197

Congested vs rested -0.02 · Ahead vs level -0.26 · Behind vs level -0.23

Bristol City

Current: winless 2 · conceding 7

FormationUsePPGGFGAxGxGA
3-4-2-125 54%1.481.441.41.161.42
4-2-3-18 17%1.131.251.380.971.51
3-5-25 11%0.81.01.01.521.38
3-4-1-24 9%1.00.751.51.481.44
4-3-2-11 2%3.02.01.02.461.9

Sheffield United

Current: winless 1 · conceding 5

FormationUsePPGGFGAxGxGA
4-2-3-119 41%1.261.631.791.471.44
4-4-211 24%2.01.640.911.641.36
3-4-2-16 13%1.01.331.671.891.36
4-2-2-24 9%2.01.750.252.50.62
4-3-33 6%0.00.01.01.01.34

Windows with fewer than 5 matches show no figures.

Pre-match movement · ends at kick-off

Every snapshot up to kick-off only — in-play prices are in Match Hub. Movement is in fair-probability points since the first snapshot (overround removed): ▲ shortened, ▼ drifted.

No pre-match movement recorded for this fixture.

Latest prices

bet365 · pre-match line 0.1h before kick-off. Fair % removes the overround; P = Pinnacle fair %.

Fulltime Result

2.55Home 37% P 38%3.3Draw 29% P 28%2.75Away 34% P 34%

Double Chance

1.57Bristol City or Draw 30%1.28Bristol City or Sheff Utd 37%1.4Draw or Sheff Utd 33%

Draw No Bet

2.21 42%1.612 58%

Both Teams To Score

1.61Yes 58%2.2No 42%

Goals Over/Under

2.51.72Over 55% P 50%2.1Under 45% P 50%

Total Corners

13.0Under 6 7%3.56 - 8 25%2.69 - 11 34%3.7512 - 14 23%8.0Over 14 11%

Number of Cards

3.51.83Over 50% P 53%1.83Under 50% P 47%

Fixtures priced like this · Pinnacle closing price · 2017–2026

Every past fixture whose Pinnacle fair price fell in the same band as this one, and how it finished at 90 minutes. Band = mean price in the band; ± = actual minus price, in probability points.

Match result · home 37.5–40% · away 32.5–35% · 571 fixtures

This matchBandActual±
Home38%39%39%+0.5
Draw28%28%28%-0.0
Away34%34%33%-0.4

In those fixtures: 2.6 goals a game · BTTS 56% · over 2.5 46%

Goals over/under 2.5 · over 50–52.5% · 3,575 fixtures

This matchBandActual±
Over 2.550%51%51%-0.1

Lewis Smith

Career
75 matches · 7 seasons
Cards / match
3.67 (3.57 yellow · 0.05 red)
Fouls / match
20.8 · 5.5 fouls per card
Penalties / match
0.21
Cards to home side
45%

Style in Championship (5-year window · 51 matches)

MetricRefereeLeaguevs peerspct
Cards / match3.94.05-0.2841
Fouls / match20.821.8-1.01
Fouls per card5.65.4+0.11 (+ = lenient)
Penalties / match0.160.17-0.3043
Time added8.27.2+1.1488
First card
34' on average
Card timing
17% in first 30' · 31% in last 15'
Cards to home side
45% (league 45%)

Recent matches

DateYRFoulsPens1st card+min
2026-03-18 80 260 27'9
2026-03-11 –– 18– –4
2026-03-03 60 240 36'14
2026-02-27 · Bristol City 50 160 26'10
2026-02-21 61 240 30'6
2026-02-14 31 220 101'8
2026-01-31 · Sheffield United 30 170 69'14
2026-01-25 30 230 70'7
2026-01-17 50 220 85'7
2026-01-10 30 170 26'6