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Championship · Matchweek 41
MillwallMillwall
1–2
FT
Norwich CityNorwich City

Momentum

– MillwallNorwich City –
now

Match momentum Δ pressure · 0–100

Waiting for pressure data…

Competition

Stage
Regular Season
Round
41

Venue

Stadium
The Den, London
Capacity
20,146
Surface
grass
Attendance
18,855

Teams

Coaches
Alex Neil · Philippe Clement
Position
2 · 11
Formation
4-2-3-1 · 4-2-3-1

Referee

Samuel Allison

Weather

Conditions
clear sky
Temperature
15.7° (feels 14.3°)
Wind
3.1
Humidity
38%

Where to watch · 177

2025/2026

#TeamPWDLGFGAGDPtsForm
1 Coventry City 4628117 974552 95 DDWWW
2 Ipswich Town 4623158 804733 84 DWDDW
3 Millwall 46241111 644915 83 DWWDW
4 Southampton 46221410 825626 80 WWDDW
5 Middlesbrough 46221410 724725 80 LDWWD
6 Hull City 46211015 70664 73 LDDLW
7 Wrexham 46191413 69654 71 LWWLD
8 Derby County 4620917 67598 69 LWLWL
9 Norwich City 4619819 63567 65 LWWDL
10 Birmingham City 46171316 57561 64 WDWWD
11 Swansea City 46181018 5759-2 64 WLWDW
12 Bristol City 46171118 59590 62 DLDLW
13 Sheffield United 4618622 66660 60 WWLLW
14 Preston North End 46151516 5562-7 60 WLLWL
15 Queens Park Rangers 46161020 6173-12 58 DLLLL
16 Watford 46141517 5365-12 57 LLLLL
17 Stoke City 46151021 5156-5 55 DLLLL
18 Portsmouth 46141319 4964-15 55 WWLWD
19 Charlton Athletic 46131419 4458-14 53 LDLWL
20 Blackburn Rovers 46131320 4256-14 52 DLDWL
21 West Bromwich Albion (-2) 46131419 4858-10 51 DWWDL
22 Oxford United 46111421 4559-14 47 WLLWL
23 Leicester City (-6) 46121618 5868-10 46 LLDDW
24 Sheffield Wednesday (-18) 4621232 2989-60 0 DDLLW
  • Promotion
  • Promotion Play-off
  • Relegation

Millwall

WWLDW 3W 1D 1L · 10 pts (2.0 ppg) · GF 8 GA 5 · xG 6.76–11.07 · xPts 4.89

  • W A Middlesbrough 2–1 xG 1.07–3.62 UK CHAMP
  • D A Ipswich Town 1–1 xG 1.52–2.07 UK CHAMP
  • L H Blackburn Rovers 1–2 xG 1.03–2.07 UK CHAMP
  • W H Derby County 1–0 xG 1.64–0.88 UK CHAMP
  • W A Hull City 3–1 xG 1.5–2.44 UK CHAMP

Norwich City

WWLWD 3W 1D 1L · 10 pts (2.0 ppg) · GF 6 GA 3 · xG 6.54–5.58 · xPts 7.36

  • D H Portsmouth 1–1 xG 0.54–0.47 UK CHAMP
  • W A Charlton Athletic 1–0 xG 1.86–1.51 UK CHAMP
  • L A Southampton 0–1 xG 1.04–0.72 UK CHAMP
  • W H Preston North End 2–0 xG 0.61–1.91 UK CHAMP
  • W H Sheffield United 2–1 xG 2.49–0.97 UK CHAMP

All meetings · 21 matches since 2005

Millwall 64 draws11 Norwich City

Goals 29–37 · 3.14 per match · BTTS 67% · over 2.5 67%

Last 10 · 10 matches

Millwall 41 draws5 Norwich City

Goals 14–14 · 2.8 per match · BTTS 60% · over 2.5 70%

Last 5 · 5 matches

Millwall 30 draws2 Norwich City

Goals 10–6 · 3.2 per match · BTTS 80% · over 2.5 100%

Recent meetings

  • W Millwall 3–0 Norwich City UK CHAMP · Regular Season
  • L Millwall 1–2 Norwich City UK CHAMP · Regular Season
  • W Norwich City 1–2 Millwall UK CHAMP · Regular Season
  • W Millwall 3–1 Norwich City UK CHAMP · Regular Season
  • L Norwich City 2–1 Millwall UK CHAMP · Regular Season
  • W Millwall 1–0 Norwich City UK CHAMP · Regular Season
  • L Norwich City 3–1 Millwall UK CHAMP · Regular Season
  • L Millwall 2–3 Norwich City UK CHAMP · Regular Season
  • L Norwich City 2–0 Millwall UK CHAMP · Regular Season
  • D Millwall 0–0 Norwich City UK CHAMP · Regular Season
MetricMillwall all · 48Millwall at home · 24Norwich City all · 46Norwich City away · 23
Results
Matches48244623
Points per game1.751.751.411.52
W / D / L24 / 12 / 1213 / 3 / 819 / 8 / 1910 / 5 / 8
Goals for / match1.331.381.371.57
Goals against / match1.061.131.221.22
Clean sheets40%46%20%22%
Failed to score21%21%20%13%
Both teams scored48%38%61%65%
Over 2.546%50%48%52%
Expected goals
xG for / match1.501.631.351.30
xG against / match1.331.151.461.64
xG difference0.180.49-0.10-0.35
Finishing vs xG-0.17-0.260.020.27
xPts / match1.471.631.351.23
Points vs xPts0.280.120.060.29
Game state
Scored first52%58%52%56%
PPG when scoring first2.602.572.082.08
PPG when conceding first0.790.560.680.80
Came back from behind43%27%27%33%
Leads held86%87%68%67%
Minutes leading27%34%28%32%
Minutes level56%50%48%42%
Minutes trailing17%16%24%26%
First goal (min)44374236
First goal conceded (min)43444641
Timing
Goals scored in 2nd half61%52%57%56%
Goals conceded in 2nd half67%82%59%54%
Late goals for (76'+)0.350.330.260.30
Late goals against0.350.460.300.30
Style
Possession48%50%54%52%
Shots12.913.512.611.5
On target4.24.64.54.4
Shot conversion10%10%11%14%
Shots inside box68%71%64%66%
Big chances created2.32.42.32.1
Corners5.76.25.35.0
xG from set plays33%36%25%23%
Goals from headers16%19%10%11%
Pressure index11.914.812.510.8
Dominant minutes44.449.753.247.7
Pass accuracy70%72%79%78%
Fouls12.610.910.210.4
Cards1.901.381.932.30

Goal timing for / against per 15 min

Millwall

0–15'66
16–30'96
31–45'105
46–60'1112
61–75'115
76–90'1717

Norwich City

0–15'78
16–30'87
31–45'128
46–60'913
61–75'156
76–90'1214

Pressure DNA · intensity v an average side in the same situations, SD units

Millwall · 7 matches

Pressure in line with an average side in the same situations (-0.01) · stands out: 10 min after scoring +0.54

Tempo

Overall intensity-0.017
Early press (0-15, level)+0.217

Game state

When ahead+0.045
When level+0.017
When behind-0.133
10 min after conceding-0.344
10 min after scoring+0.546

Situations

Against ten men-0.122
At home+0.043
Away-0.044
3 days rest or fewer-0.322
4+ days rest+0.135

Opposition

v mid-tier opponents+0.054
v bottom-tier opponents-0.073
Evenly matched+0.104
As underdog-0.112

Conceded

Pressure conceded+0.257
Conceded when ahead+0.275
Conceded late (76+)-0.035

Congested vs rested -0.45 · Ahead vs level +0.03 · Behind vs level -0.14

Norwich City · 7 matches

Pressure in line with an average side in the same situations (-0.02) · stands out: 10 min after scoring +0.66

Tempo

Overall intensity-0.027
Early press (0-15, level)-0.197
Late chase (76+, behind)-0.364

Game state

When ahead+0.124
When level-0.147
When behind-0.054
10 min after conceding-0.277
10 min after scoring+0.665

Situations

At home-0.213
Away+0.114
3 days rest or fewer+0.072
4+ days rest-0.065

Opposition

v mid-tier opponents+0.025
v bottom-tier opponents-0.142
As favourite-0.144
Evenly matched+0.142

Conceded

Pressure conceded+0.027
Conceded when ahead-0.134
Conceded late (76+)-0.146

Congested vs rested +0.14 · Ahead vs level +0.27 · Behind vs level +0.10

Millwall

Current: unbeaten 1 · winless 2 · scoring 3 · conceding 2

FormationUsePPGGFGAxGxGA
4-2-3-140 83%1.81.41.081.541.27
4-4-24 8%1.750.750.751.480.88
4-4-1-12 4%0.51.01.51.252.23
4-1-4-11 2%1.01.01.01.11.34
4-3-1-21 2%3.02.01.01.073.62

Norwich City

Current: winless 1 · scoring 3 · conceding 14

FormationUsePPGGFGAxGxGA
4-2-3-138 83%1.451.391.181.291.43
3-4-2-15 11%1.41.41.21.551.6
3-4-32 4%0.01.02.51.911.56
3-2-4-11 2%3.01.00.01.861.51

Windows with fewer than 5 matches show no figures.

Pre-match movement · ends at kick-off

Every snapshot up to kick-off only — in-play prices are in Match Hub. Movement is in fair-probability points since the first snapshot (overround removed): ▲ shortened, ▼ drifted.

No pre-match movement recorded for this fixture.

Latest prices

bet365 · pre-match line 0.1h before kick-off. Fair % removes the overround; P = Pinnacle fair %.

Fulltime Result

2.2Home 43% P 44%3.25Draw 29% P 28%3.3Away 28% P 28%

Double Chance

1.28Millwall or Draw 37%1.3Millwall or Norwich 36%1.7Draw or Norwich 28%

Draw No Bet

1.51 62%2.52 38%

Both Teams To Score

1.66Yes 56%2.1No 44%

Goals Over/Under

2.51.9Over 50% P 49%1.9Under 50% P 51%

Total Corners

13.0Under 6 7%3.66 - 8 24%2.629 - 11 33%3.7512 - 14 23%7.0Over 14 12%

Number of Cards

3.51.83Over 50% P 50%1.83Under 50% P 50%

Fixtures priced like this · Pinnacle closing price · 2017–2026

Every past fixture whose Pinnacle fair price fell in the same band as this one, and how it finished at 90 minutes. Band = mean price in the band; ± = actual minus price, in probability points.

Match result · home 42.5–45% · away 27.5–30% · 766 fixtures

This matchBandActual±
Home44%44%43%-0.3
Draw28%28%30%+2.4
Away28%29%26%-2.1

In those fixtures: 2.7 goals a game · BTTS 58% · over 2.5 52%

Goals over/under 2.5 · over 47.5–50% · 3,307 fixtures

This matchBandActual±
Over 2.549%49%50%+1.3

Samuel Allison

Career
80 matches · 10 seasons
Cards / match
3.88 (3.8 yellow · 0.03 red)
Fouls / match
22.2 · 5.4 fouls per card
Penalties / match
0.15
Cards to home side
49%

Style in Championship (5-year window · 64 matches)

MetricRefereeLeaguevs peerspct
Cards / match3.834.05-0.4029
Fouls / match22.121.8+0.25
Fouls per card5.95.4+0.47 (+ = lenient)
Penalties / match0.110.17-0.9710
Time added7.37.2+0.1053
First card
33' on average
Card timing
15% in first 30' · 31% in last 15'
Cards to home side
48% (league 45%)

Recent matches

DateYRFoulsPens1st card+min
2026-03-21 40 160 56'2
2026-02-28 30 310 60'8
2026-02-24 50 270 10'8
2026-02-10 · Norwich City 20 200 53'6
2026-01-17 20 200 38'7
2026-01-04 –– 23– –12
2025-12-26 20 260 11'4
2025-12-20 · Millwall 60 270 25'6
2025-12-09 40 250 8'9
2025-11-29 30 230 31'7