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Championship · Matchweek 41
PortsmouthPortsmouth
2–2
FT
Oxford UnitedOXF

Momentum

– PortsmouthOXF –
now

Match momentum Δ pressure · 0–100

Waiting for pressure data…

Competition

Stage
Regular Season
Round
41

Venue

Stadium
Fratton Park, Portsmouth
Capacity
20,688
Surface
grass
Attendance
20,356

Teams

Coaches
John Mousinho · Matt Bloomfield
Position
21 · 23
Formation
4-2-3-1 · 4-2-3-1

Referee

Joshua Smith

Weather

Conditions
scattered clouds
Temperature
13.3° (feels 12.2°)
Wind
6.4
Humidity
59%

Where to watch · 177

2025/2026

#TeamPWDLGFGAGDPtsForm
1 Coventry City 4628117 974552 95 DDWWW
2 Ipswich Town 4623158 804733 84 DWDDW
3 Millwall 46241111 644915 83 DWWDW
4 Southampton 46221410 825626 80 WWDDW
5 Middlesbrough 46221410 724725 80 LDWWD
6 Hull City 46211015 70664 73 LDDLW
7 Wrexham 46191413 69654 71 LWWLD
8 Derby County 4620917 67598 69 LWLWL
9 Norwich City 4619819 63567 65 LWWDL
10 Birmingham City 46171316 57561 64 WDWWD
11 Swansea City 46181018 5759-2 64 WLWDW
12 Bristol City 46171118 59590 62 DLDLW
13 Sheffield United 4618622 66660 60 WWLLW
14 Preston North End 46151516 5562-7 60 WLLWL
15 Queens Park Rangers 46161020 6173-12 58 DLLLL
16 Watford 46141517 5365-12 57 LLLLL
17 Stoke City 46151021 5156-5 55 DLLLL
18 Portsmouth 46141319 4964-15 55 WWLWD
19 Charlton Athletic 46131419 4458-14 53 LDLWL
20 Blackburn Rovers 46131320 4256-14 52 DLDWL
21 West Bromwich Albion (-2) 46131419 4858-10 51 DWWDL
22 Oxford United 46111421 4559-14 47 WLLWL
23 Leicester City (-6) 46121618 5868-10 46 LLDDW
24 Sheffield Wednesday (-18) 4621232 2989-60 0 DDLLW
  • Promotion
  • Promotion Play-off
  • Relegation

Portsmouth

DLLLD 0W 2D 3L · 2 pts (0.4 ppg) · GF 4 GA 11 · xG 5.94–5.01 · xPts 7.3

  • D A Norwich City 1–1 xG 0.47–0.54 UK CHAMP
  • L A Queens Park Rangers 1–6 xG 1.49–1.43 UK CHAMP
  • L H Derby County 0–1 xG 2.18–1.29 UK CHAMP
  • L H Swansea City 1–2 xG 1.02–0.56 UK CHAMP
  • D A Blackburn Rovers 1–1 xG 0.79–1.18 UK CHAMP

Oxford United

WWDLD 2W 2D 1L · 8 pts (1.6 ppg) · GF 6 GA 5 · xG 9.19–5.59 · xPts 9.04

  • D H Hull City 1–1 xG 3.18–0.68 UK CHAMP
  • L A Southampton 0–2 xG 0.68–2.29 UK CHAMP
  • D H Charlton Athletic 1–1 xG 1.45–0.93 UK CHAMP
  • W H Blackburn Rovers 1–0 xG 1.56–0.75 UK CHAMP
  • W A Preston North End 3–1 xG 2.33–0.94 UK CHAMP

All meetings · 4 matches since 2024

Portsmouth 22 draws0 Oxford United

Goals 6–3 · 2.25 per match · BTTS 50% · over 2.5 25%

Last 10 · 4 matches

Portsmouth 22 draws0 Oxford United

Goals 6–3 · 2.25 per match · BTTS 50% · over 2.5 25%

Last 5 · 4 matches

Portsmouth 22 draws0 Oxford United

Goals 6–3 · 2.25 per match · BTTS 50% · over 2.5 25%

Recent meetings

  • D Portsmouth 2–2 Oxford United UK CHAMP · Regular Season
  • W Oxford United 0–1 Portsmouth UK CHAMP · Regular Season
  • W Oxford United 0–2 Portsmouth UK CHAMP · Regular Season
  • D Portsmouth 1–1 Oxford United UK CHAMP · Regular Season
MetricPortsmouth all · 46Portsmouth at home · 23Oxford United all · 46Oxford United away · 23
Results
Matches46234623
Points per game1.201.301.020.78
W / D / L14 / 13 / 198 / 6 / 911 / 14 / 214 / 6 / 13
Goals for / match1.071.090.980.91
Goals against / match1.391.001.281.39
Clean sheets22%26%17%13%
Failed to score28%30%41%44%
Both teams scored54%48%52%56%
Over 2.544%39%46%48%
Expected goals
xG for / match1.181.461.170.99
xG against / match1.241.121.431.68
xG difference-0.060.34-0.25-0.70
Finishing vs xG-0.11-0.37-0.20-0.07
xPts / match1.361.601.210.95
Points vs xPts-0.16-0.30-0.19-0.17
Game state
Scored first46%48%39%35%
PPG when scoring first2.192.272.061.63
PPG when conceding first0.300.360.220.17
Came back from behind27%31%19%13%
Leads held64%67%58%44%
Minutes leading18%23%21%19%
Minutes level51%51%47%47%
Minutes trailing31%27%32%34%
First goal (min)50452829
First goal conceded (min)41453538
Timing
Goals scored in 2nd half61%56%38%38%
Goals conceded in 2nd half55%56%41%41%
Late goals for (76'+)0.280.350.150.13
Late goals against0.280.130.150.26
Style
Possession50%54%40%38%
Shots12.215.411.99.8
On target3.74.43.42.6
Shot conversion9%7%8%9%
Shots inside box65%67%54%53%
Big chances created1.61.81.61.6
Corners5.66.34.03.4
xG from set plays40%41%40%33%
Goals from headers16%20%16%19%
Pressure index11.714.86.43.8
Dominant minutes49.757.033.723.1
Pass accuracy74%74%69%70%
Fouls10.29.810.811.0
Cards1.931.741.672.04

Goal timing for / against per 15 min

Portsmouth

0–15'59
16–30'512
31–45'98
46–60'814
61–75'98
76–90'1313

Oxford United

0–15'1013
16–30'108
31–45'814
46–60'511
61–75'56
76–90'77

Pressure DNA · intensity v an average side in the same situations, SD units

Portsmouth · 6 matches

Pressure in line with an average side in the same situations (+0.01) · stands out: late chase (76+, behind) -0.40

Tempo

Overall intensity+0.016
Early press (0-15, level)-0.056
Late chase (76+, behind)-0.403

Game state

When ahead+0.163
When level+0.056
When behind-0.153
10 min after conceding-0.104
10 min after scoring+0.024

Situations

At home-0.013
Away+0.033
4+ days rest-0.015

Opposition

v mid-tier opponents-0.052
v bottom-tier opponents+0.044
Evenly matched-0.004

Conceded

Pressure conceded+0.036
Conceded when ahead+0.013
Conceded late (76+)-0.286

Congested vs rested +0.16 · Ahead vs level +0.11 · Behind vs level -0.20

Oxford United

No pressure profile yet.

Portsmouth

Current: unbeaten 2 · winless 1 · clean sheets 2

FormationUsePPGGFGAxGxGA
4-2-3-143 94%1.261.091.31.181.23
3-4-2-12 4%0.51.01.51.461.28
3-4-31 2%0.00.05.00.341.67

Oxford United

Current: winless 1 · conceding 4

FormationUsePPGGFGAxGxGA
4-2-3-127 59%1.070.931.191.31.37
4-4-26 13%0.831.331.51.331.73
5-4-14 9%1.01.01.50.841.78
3-4-2-14 9%1.00.751.50.781.22
4-1-4-13 6%1.331.01.00.881.11

Windows with fewer than 5 matches show no figures.

Pre-match movement · ends at kick-off

Every snapshot up to kick-off only — in-play prices are in Match Hub. Movement is in fair-probability points since the first snapshot (overround removed): ▲ shortened, ▼ drifted.

No pre-match movement recorded for this fixture.

Latest prices

bet365 · pre-match line 0.1h before kick-off. Fair % removes the overround; P = Pinnacle fair %.

Fulltime Result

1.95Home 48% P 48%3.25Draw 29% P 29%4.0Away 23% P 23%

Double Chance

1.25Portsmouth or Draw 38%1.33Portsmouth or Oxford Utd 36%1.8Draw or Oxford Utd 26%

Draw No Bet

1.361 69%3.02 31%

Both Teams To Score

2.0Yes 46%1.72No 54%

Goals Over/Under

2.52.3Over 41% P 40%1.61Under 59% P 60%

Total Corners

15.0Under 6 6%4.06 - 8 22%2.629 - 11 34%3.512 - 14 25%6.5Over 14 14%

Number of Cards

4.51.83Over 50%1.83Under 50%

Fixtures priced like this · Pinnacle closing price · 2017–2026

Every past fixture whose Pinnacle fair price fell in the same band as this one, and how it finished at 90 minutes. Band = mean price in the band; ± = actual minus price, in probability points.

Match result · home 47.5–50% · away 22.5–25% · 808 fixtures

This matchBandActual±
Home48%49%47%-1.9
Draw29%28%29%+1.7
Away23%24%24%+0.3

In those fixtures: 2.6 goals a game · BTTS 54% · over 2.5 48%

Goals over/under 2.5 · over 37.5–40% · 1,310 fixtures

This matchBandActual±
Over 2.540%39%39%+0.7

Joshua Smith

Career
156 matches · 10 seasons
Cards / match
4.09 (3.95 yellow · 0.08 red)
Fouls / match
22.1 · 5.3 fouls per card
Penalties / match
0.2
Cards to home side
47%

Style in Championship (5-year window · 122 matches)

MetricRefereeLeaguevs peerspct
Cards / match4.34.05+0.4563
Fouls / match22.121.8+0.21
Fouls per card5.35.4-0.42 (+ = lenient)
Penalties / match0.20.17+0.2667
Time added6.97.2-0.3735
First card
35' on average
Card timing
16% in first 30' · 35% in last 15'
Cards to home side
45% (league 45%)

Recent matches

DateYRFoulsPens1st card+min
2026-03-21 70 211 12'9
2026-03-14 51 210 36'11
2026-03-08 –– 12– –5
2026-02-22 82 310 16'9
2026-02-15 30 150 45'6
2026-02-07 71 231 13'6
2026-01-31 30 150 25'12
2026-01-24 50 191 22'7
2026-01-16 20 150 69'5
2026-01-10 –– 12– –7