KickoffDNA
0 live
Sign in
Championship · Matchweek 41
Preston North EndPNE
1–1
FT
Queens Park RangersQPR

Momentum

– PNEQPR –
now

Match momentum Δ pressure · 0–100

Waiting for pressure data…

Competition

Stage
Regular Season
Round
41

Venue

Stadium
Deepdale, Preston
Capacity
23,408
Surface
grass
Attendance
15,046

Teams

Coaches
Paul Heckingbottom · Julien Stéphan
Position
15 · 11
Formation
5-3-2 · 4-4-2

Referee

Thomas Kirk

Weather

Conditions
broken clouds
Temperature
13.8° (feels 12.6°)
Wind
5.0
Humidity
53%

Where to watch · 177

2025/2026

#TeamPWDLGFGAGDPtsForm
1 Coventry City 4628117 974552 95 DDWWW
2 Ipswich Town 4623158 804733 84 DWDDW
3 Millwall 46241111 644915 83 DWWDW
4 Southampton 46221410 825626 80 WWDDW
5 Middlesbrough 46221410 724725 80 LDWWD
6 Hull City 46211015 70664 73 LDDLW
7 Wrexham 46191413 69654 71 LWWLD
8 Derby County 4620917 67598 69 LWLWL
9 Norwich City 4619819 63567 65 LWWDL
10 Birmingham City 46171316 57561 64 WDWWD
11 Swansea City 46181018 5759-2 64 WLWDW
12 Bristol City 46171118 59590 62 DLDLW
13 Sheffield United 4618622 66660 60 WWLLW
14 Preston North End 46151516 5562-7 60 WLLWL
15 Queens Park Rangers 46161020 6173-12 58 DLLLL
16 Watford 46141517 5365-12 57 LLLLL
17 Stoke City 46151021 5156-5 55 DLLLL
18 Portsmouth 46141319 4964-15 55 WWLWD
19 Charlton Athletic 46131419 4458-14 53 LDLWL
20 Blackburn Rovers 46131320 4256-14 52 DLDWL
21 West Bromwich Albion (-2) 46131419 4858-10 51 DWWDL
22 Oxford United 46111421 4559-14 47 WLLWL
23 Leicester City (-6) 46121618 5868-10 46 LLDDW
24 Sheffield Wednesday (-18) 4621232 2989-60 0 DDLLW
  • Promotion
  • Promotion Play-off
  • Relegation

Preston North End

LLLWD 1W 1D 3L · 4 pts (0.8 ppg) · GF 6 GA 11 · xG 5.79–11.39 · xPts 5.1

  • D A Leicester City 2–2 xG 0.65–2.2 UK CHAMP
  • W H Stoke City 3–1 xG 1.81–1.25 UK CHAMP
  • L A Norwich City 0–2 xG 1.91–0.61 UK CHAMP
  • L A Coventry City 0–3 xG 0.47–5.01 UK CHAMP
  • L H Oxford United 1–3 xG 0.94–2.33 UK CHAMP

Queens Park Rangers

LLWWW 3W 0D 2L · 9 pts (1.8 ppg) · GF 11 GA 8 · xG 6.73–8.99 · xPts 6.45

  • W H Watford 2–1 xG 2.51–0.72 UK CHAMP
  • W H Portsmouth 6–1 xG 1.43–1.49 UK CHAMP
  • W A Leicester City 3–1 xG 1.41–0.51 UK CHAMP
  • L A Birmingham City 0–1 xG 0.59–2.04 UK CHAMP
  • L H Middlesbrough 0–4 xG 0.78–4.24 UK CHAMP

All meetings · 34 matches since 2005

Preston North End 1111 draws12 Queens Park Rangers

Goals 40–42 · 2.41 per match · BTTS 56% · over 2.5 41%

Last 10 · 10 matches

Preston North End 22 draws6 Queens Park Rangers

Goals 10–14 · 2.4 per match · BTTS 60% · over 2.5 40%

Last 5 · 5 matches

Preston North End 02 draws3 Queens Park Rangers

Goals 4–7 · 2.2 per match · BTTS 80% · over 2.5 40%

Recent meetings

  • D Preston North End 1–1 Queens Park Rangers UK CHAMP · Regular Season
  • D Queens Park Rangers 1–1 Preston North End UK CHAMP · Regular Season
  • L Preston North End 1–2 Queens Park Rangers UK CHAMP · Regular Season
  • L Queens Park Rangers 2–1 Preston North End UK CHAMP · Regular Season
  • L Queens Park Rangers 1–0 Preston North End UK CHAMP · Regular Season
  • L Preston North End 0–2 Queens Park Rangers UK CHAMP · Regular Season
  • W Queens Park Rangers 0–2 Preston North End UK CHAMP · Regular Season
  • L Preston North End 0–1 Queens Park Rangers UK CHAMP · Regular Season
  • W Preston North End 2–1 Queens Park Rangers UK CHAMP · Regular Season
  • L Queens Park Rangers 3–2 Preston North End UK CHAMP · Regular Season
MetricPreston North End all · 46Preston North End at home · 23Queens Park Rangers all · 46Queens Park Rangers away · 23
Results
Matches46234623
Points per game1.301.351.261.09
W / D / L15 / 15 / 168 / 7 / 816 / 10 / 206 / 7 / 10
Goals for / match1.201.221.330.91
Goals against / match1.351.301.591.57
Clean sheets20%22%22%26%
Failed to score26%26%28%39%
Both teams scored59%56%63%52%
Over 2.548%48%63%48%
Expected goals
xG for / match1.181.221.300.98
xG against / match1.631.421.331.45
xG difference-0.45-0.20-0.03-0.47
Finishing vs xG0.020.000.02-0.07
xPts / match1.131.251.371.07
Points vs xPts0.170.10-0.110.02
Game state
Scored first41%39%33%17%
PPG when scoring first2.162.332.473.00
PPG when conceding first0.680.690.600.60
Came back from behind38%43%26%33%
Leads held62%73%84%100%
Minutes leading28%27%20%10%
Minutes level45%46%46%48%
Minutes trailing27%27%34%42%
First goal (min)36404550
First goal conceded (min)42433423
Timing
Goals scored in 2nd half51%61%57%62%
Goals conceded in 2nd half50%60%48%28%
Late goals for (76'+)0.260.300.390.26
Late goals against0.300.350.260.04
Style
Possession46%48%46%45%
Shots10.911.312.711.1
On target3.63.44.13.2
Shot conversion11%11%10%8%
Shots inside box68%69%63%63%
Big chances created1.61.71.81.2
Corners4.55.34.84.3
xG from set plays34%35%31%34%
Goals from headers22%21%17%20%
Pressure index8.89.511.77.9
Dominant minutes40.542.346.738.9
Pass accuracy72%73%76%76%
Fouls10.410.111.010.8
Cards2.092.131.911.70

Goal timing for / against per 15 min

Preston North End

0–15'1111
16–30'107
31–45'613
46–60'109
61–75'68
76–90'1214

Queens Park Rangers

0–15'712
16–30'711
31–45'1215
46–60'716
61–75'107
76–90'1812

Pressure DNA · intensity v an average side in the same situations, SD units

Preston North End · 7 matches

Pressure below an average side in the same situations (-0.18) · stands out: late chase (76+, behind) -0.54

Tempo

Overall intensity-0.187
Early press (0-15, level)-0.177
Late push (76+, level)+0.013
Late chase (76+, behind)-0.546

Game state

When ahead-0.162
When level+0.017
When behind-0.336
10 min after conceding-0.327
10 min after scoring+0.295

Situations

At home-0.194
Away-0.163
3 days rest or fewer-0.052
4+ days rest-0.235

Opposition

v mid-tier opponents-0.222
v bottom-tier opponents-0.175
Evenly matched-0.154
As underdog-0.223

Conceded

Pressure conceded+0.107
Conceded when ahead+0.172
Conceded late (76+)-0.027

Congested vs rested +0.18 · Ahead vs level -0.17 · Behind vs level -0.34

Queens Park Rangers · 7 matches

Pressure above an average side in the same situations (+0.29) · stands out: as favourite +0.67

Tempo

Overall intensity+0.297
Early press (0-15, level)+0.047
Late push (76+, level)-0.093

Game state

When ahead+0.414
When level+0.367
When behind-0.233
10 min after conceding-0.325
10 min after scoring+0.394

Situations

At home+0.203
Away+0.354
3 days rest or fewer-0.172
4+ days rest+0.475

Opposition

v mid-tier opponents-0.172
v bottom-tier opponents+0.475
As favourite+0.673
Evenly matched+0.083

Conceded

Pressure conceded-0.077
Conceded when ahead-0.324
Conceded late (76+)-0.397

Congested vs rested -0.65 · Ahead vs level +0.04 · Behind vs level -0.59

Preston North End

Current: winless 2 · conceding 22

FormationUsePPGGFGAxGxGA
3-5-214 30%1.51.361.361.191.42
3-1-4-29 20%1.221.111.111.221.23
5-3-27 15%0.710.861.710.971.94
3-4-1-25 11%1.21.01.21.231.86
4-4-25 11%1.81.41.61.441.99

Queens Park Rangers

Current: unbeaten 2 · winless 3 · scoring 1 · conceding 1

FormationUsePPGGFGAxGxGA
4-4-223 50%1.131.391.71.281.42
4-2-3-123 50%1.391.261.481.321.24

Windows with fewer than 5 matches show no figures.

Pre-match movement · ends at kick-off

Every snapshot up to kick-off only — in-play prices are in Match Hub. Movement is in fair-probability points since the first snapshot (overround removed): ▲ shortened, ▼ drifted.

No pre-match movement recorded for this fixture.

Latest prices

bet365 · pre-match line -0.1h before kick-off · recorded after kick-off. Fair % removes the overround; P = Pinnacle fair %.

Fulltime Result

2.45Home 38% P 38%3.4Draw 27% P 28%2.7Away 35% P 35%

Double Chance

1.4Preston or Draw 34%1.3Preston or QPR 36%1.57Draw or QPR 30%

Draw No Bet

1.661 56%2.12 44%

Both Teams To Score

1.72Yes 54%2.0No 46%

Goals Over/Under

2.51.9Over 50% P 50%1.9Under 50% P 50%

Total Corners

13.0Under 6 7%3.756 - 8 23%2.629 - 11 33%3.612 - 14 24%7.0Over 14 12%

Number of Cards

3.51.83Over 50%1.83Under 50%

Fixtures priced like this · Pinnacle closing price · 2017–2026

Every past fixture whose Pinnacle fair price fell in the same band as this one, and how it finished at 90 minutes. Band = mean price in the band; ± = actual minus price, in probability points.

Match result · home 37.5–40% · away 32.5–35% · 571 fixtures

This matchBandActual±
Home38%39%39%+0.5
Draw28%28%28%-0.0
Away35%34%33%-0.4

In those fixtures: 2.6 goals a game · BTTS 56% · over 2.5 46%

Goals over/under 2.5 · over 47.5–50% · 3,307 fixtures

This matchBandActual±
Over 2.550%49%50%+1.3

Thomas Kirk

Career
51 matches · 5 seasons
Cards / match
4.55 (4.39 yellow · 0.04 red)
Fouls / match
22.1 · 4.8 fouls per card
Penalties / match
0.26
Cards to home side
45%

Style in Championship (5-year window · 34 matches)

MetricRefereeLeaguevs peerspct
Cards / match4.444.05+0.7074
Fouls / match21.721.8-0.12
Fouls per card4.95.4-0.98 (+ = lenient)
Penalties / match0.210.17+0.3974
Time added8.07.2+0.9178
First card
35' on average
Card timing
16% in first 30' · 38% in last 15'
Cards to home side
41% (league 45%)

Recent matches

DateYRFoulsPens1st card+min
2026-03-21 20 160 38'2
2026-03-14 30 190 51'10
2026-03-10 40 271 42'8
2026-03-02 60 230 58'9
2026-02-22 81 321 15'11
2026-02-15 70 291 33'7
2026-02-08 40 240 12'4
2026-01-26 30 190 18'11
2026-01-21 40 250 53'7
2026-01-11 · Queens Park Rangers 70 310 51'13