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Championship · Matchweek 41
Swansea CitySwansea City
2–2
FT
MiddlesbroughMID

Momentum

– Swansea CityMID –
now

Match momentum Δ pressure · 0–100

Waiting for pressure data…

Competition

Stage
Regular Season
Round
41

Venue

Stadium
Swansea.com Stadium, Swansea
Capacity
20,827
Surface
grass
Attendance
18,168

Teams

Coaches
Vítor Matos · Kim Hellberg
Position
16 · 4
Formation
4-5-1 · 4-2-2-2

Referee

Matt Donohue

Weather

Conditions
few clouds
Temperature
12.1° (feels 11.4°)
Wind
4.5
Humidity
78%

Where to watch · 177

2025/2026

#TeamPWDLGFGAGDPtsForm
1 Coventry City 4628117 974552 95 DDWWW
2 Ipswich Town 4623158 804733 84 DWDDW
3 Millwall 46241111 644915 83 DWWDW
4 Southampton 46221410 825626 80 WWDDW
5 Middlesbrough 46221410 724725 80 LDWWD
6 Hull City 46211015 70664 73 LDDLW
7 Wrexham 46191413 69654 71 LWWLD
8 Derby County 4620917 67598 69 LWLWL
9 Norwich City 4619819 63567 65 LWWDL
10 Birmingham City 46171316 57561 64 WDWWD
11 Swansea City 46181018 5759-2 64 WLWDW
12 Bristol City 46171118 59590 62 DLDLW
13 Sheffield United 4618622 66660 60 WWLLW
14 Preston North End 46151516 5562-7 60 WLLWL
15 Queens Park Rangers 46161020 6173-12 58 DLLLL
16 Watford 46141517 5365-12 57 LLLLL
17 Stoke City 46151021 5156-5 55 DLLLL
18 Portsmouth 46141319 4964-15 55 WWLWD
19 Charlton Athletic 46131419 4458-14 53 LDLWL
20 Blackburn Rovers 46131320 4256-14 52 DLDWL
21 West Bromwich Albion (-2) 46131419 4858-10 51 DWWDL
22 Oxford United 46111421 4559-14 47 WLLWL
23 Leicester City (-6) 46121618 5868-10 46 LLDDW
24 Sheffield Wednesday (-18) 4621232 2989-60 0 DDLLW
  • Promotion
  • Promotion Play-off
  • Relegation

Swansea City

WWLLD 2W 1D 2L · 7 pts (1.4 ppg) · GF 7 GA 9 · xG 5.83–7.0 · xPts 6.07

  • D A Sheffield United 3–3 xG 2.01–1.22 UK CHAMP
  • L H Coventry City 0–3 xG 1.18–2.49 UK CHAMP
  • L A Wrexham 0–2 xG 0.82–0.76 UK CHAMP
  • W A Portsmouth 2–1 xG 0.56–1.02 UK CHAMP
  • W H Stoke City 2–0 xG 1.25–1.52 UK CHAMP

Middlesbrough

WLDDL 1W 2D 2L · 5 pts (1.0 ppg) · GF 6 GA 4 · xG 13.76–3.66 · xPts 12.26

  • L H Millwall 1–2 xG 3.62–1.07 UK CHAMP
  • D A Blackburn Rovers 0–0 xG 1.51–0.49 UK CHAMP
  • D H Bristol City 1–1 xG 1.82–0.41 UK CHAMP
  • L H Charlton Athletic 0–1 xG 2.58–0.9 UK CHAMP
  • W A Queens Park Rangers 4–0 xG 4.24–0.78 UK CHAMP

All meetings · 22 matches since 2009

Swansea City 75 draws10 Middlesbrough

Goals 25–30 · 2.5 per match · BTTS 50% · over 2.5 54%

Last 10 · 10 matches

Swansea City 12 draws7 Middlesbrough

Goals 7–15 · 2.2 per match · BTTS 50% · over 2.5 40%

Last 5 · 5 matches

Swansea City 11 draws3 Middlesbrough

Goals 3–6 · 1.8 per match · BTTS 20% · over 2.5 20%

Recent meetings

  • D Swansea City 2–2 Middlesbrough UK CHAMP · Regular Season
  • L Middlesbrough 1–0 Swansea City UK CHAMP · Regular Season
  • W Swansea City 1–0 Middlesbrough UK CHAMP · Regular Season
  • L Middlesbrough 1–0 Swansea City UK CHAMP · Regular Season
  • L Middlesbrough 2–0 Swansea City UK CHAMP · Regular Season
  • L Swansea City 1–2 Middlesbrough UK CHAMP · Regular Season
  • L Swansea City 1–3 Middlesbrough UK CHAMP · Regular Season
  • L Middlesbrough 2–1 Swansea City neutral UK CHAMP · Regular Season
  • D Swansea City 1–1 Middlesbrough UK CHAMP · Regular Season
  • L Middlesbrough 1–0 Swansea City neutral UK CHAMP · Regular Season
MetricSwansea City all · 46Swansea City at home · 23Middlesbrough all · 49Middlesbrough away · 25
Results
Matches46234925
Points per game1.391.701.651.52
W / D / L18 / 10 / 1811 / 6 / 622 / 15 / 1210 / 8 / 7
Goals for / match1.241.481.491.56
Goals against / match1.281.171.021.28
Clean sheets26%30%29%16%
Failed to score22%9%26%24%
Both teams scored54%61%55%64%
Over 2.550%52%53%64%
Expected goals
xG for / match1.221.351.591.55
xG against / match1.371.371.051.15
xG difference-0.15-0.020.530.40
Finishing vs xG0.020.13-0.100.01
xPts / match1.281.361.701.60
Points vs xPts0.120.34-0.04-0.08
Game state
Scored first48%61%53%52%
PPG when scoring first2.362.362.462.31
PPG when conceding first0.480.670.670.64
Came back from behind28%40%46%50%
Leads held72%69%79%71%
Minutes leading25%28%32%31%
Minutes level48%48%49%47%
Minutes trailing27%23%19%22%
First goal (min)46493736
First goal conceded (min)40374645
Timing
Goals scored in 2nd half65%65%51%49%
Goals conceded in 2nd half52%44%55%52%
Late goals for (76'+)0.350.430.220.28
Late goals against0.300.300.290.28
Style
Possession55%56%59%58%
Shots12.313.616.215.3
On target3.93.84.84.5
Shot conversion10%11%9%10%
Shots inside box58%60%64%65%
Big chances created1.71.72.42.5
Corners4.55.16.85.8
xG from set plays36%36%24%18%
Goals from headers13%16%12%10%
Pressure index12.815.219.718.4
Dominant minutes51.958.063.163.2
Pass accuracy79%80%84%84%
Fouls9.89.19.39.5
Cards2.001.911.612.12

Goal timing for / against per 15 min

Swansea City

0–15'66
16–30'86
31–45'616
46–60'1011
61–75'116
76–90'1614

Middlesbrough

0–15'97
16–30'1010
31–45'175
46–60'136
61–75'138
76–90'1113

Pressure DNA · intensity v an average side in the same situations, SD units

Swansea City · 7 matches

Pressure in line with an average side in the same situations (+0.04) · stands out: 10 min after scoring +0.35

Tempo

Overall intensity+0.047
Early press (0-15, level)+0.097
Late push (76+, level)-0.222

Game state

When ahead+0.214
When level-0.097
When behind-0.102
10 min after conceding-0.093
10 min after scoring+0.355

Situations

At home-0.024
Away+0.123
3 days rest or fewer-0.092
4+ days rest+0.095

Opposition

v mid-tier opponents-0.083
v bottom-tier opponents+0.134
As favourite+0.002
Evenly matched+0.114

Conceded

Pressure conceded-0.017
Conceded when ahead-0.074
Conceded late (76+)-0.237

Congested vs rested -0.18 · Ahead vs level +0.30 · Behind vs level -0.01

Middlesbrough · 7 matches

Pressure above an average side in the same situations (+0.38) · stands out: when behind +1.00

Tempo

Overall intensity+0.387
Early press (0-15, level)+0.477
Late push (76+, level)+0.294

Game state

When ahead+0.196
When level+0.237
When behind+1.004
10 min after conceding+0.276
10 min after scoring+0.697

Situations

At home+0.464
Away+0.263
3 days rest or fewer+0.822
4+ days rest+0.205

Opposition

v mid-tier opponents+0.415
v bottom-tier opponents+0.282
As favourite+0.435
Evenly matched+0.262

Conceded

Pressure conceded-0.137
Conceded when ahead-0.116
Conceded late (76+)-0.417

Congested vs rested +0.62 · Ahead vs level -0.04 · Behind vs level +0.77

Swansea City

Current: unbeaten 1 · wins 1 · scoring 2 · conceding 2

FormationUsePPGGFGAxGxGA
4-2-3-122 48%1.321.231.411.191.3
4-1-4-111 24%1.821.360.731.351.38
4-3-37 15%1.431.141.141.131.33
3-4-2-12 4%0.01.03.00.80.88
4-4-1-11 2%3.01.00.00.611.68

Middlesbrough

Current: unbeaten 5 · winless 1 · scoring 7 · conceding 2

FormationUsePPGGFGAxGxGA
3-4-2-114 29%1.431.140.931.521.11
4-2-3-111 22%2.452.00.731.541.13
4-2-2-28 16%0.750.630.881.921.08
4-4-25 10%2.42.41.61.131.07
4-3-33 6%2.331.670.01.250.75

Windows with fewer than 5 matches show no figures.

Pre-match movement · ends at kick-off

Every snapshot up to kick-off only — in-play prices are in Match Hub. Movement is in fair-probability points since the first snapshot (overround removed): ▲ shortened, ▼ drifted.

No pre-match movement recorded for this fixture.

Latest prices

bet365 · pre-match line 0.0h before kick-off. Fair % removes the overround; P = Pinnacle fair %.

Fulltime Result

3.8Home 25% P 25%3.75Draw 25% P 25%1.85Away 51% P 50%

Double Chance

1.9Swansea or Draw 25%1.28Swansea or Middlesbrough 37%1.25Draw or Middlesbrough 38%

Draw No Bet

2.751 34%1.42 66%

Both Teams To Score

1.61Yes 58%2.2No 42%

Goals Over/Under

2.51.72Over 55% P 57%2.1Under 45% P 43%

Total Corners

10.0Under 6 9%3.256 - 8 27%2.69 - 11 33%4.012 - 14 22%9.0Over 14 10%

Number of Cards

3.51.61Over 58% P 57%2.2Under 42% P 43%
4.52.0Over 46%1.72Under 54%

Fixtures priced like this · Pinnacle closing price · 2017–2026

Every past fixture whose Pinnacle fair price fell in the same band as this one, and how it finished at 90 minutes. Band = mean price in the band; ± = actual minus price, in probability points.

Match result · home 22.5–25% · away 50–52.5% · 348 fixtures

This matchBandActual±
Home25%24%27%+3.4
Draw25%25%29%+3.7
Away50%51%44%-7.1

In those fixtures: 2.7 goals a game · BTTS 55% · over 2.5 54%

Goals over/under 2.5 · over 55–57.5% · 2,507 fixtures

This matchBandActual±
Over 2.557%56%56%-0.2

Matt Donohue

Career
202 matches · 10 seasons
Cards / match
4.26 (4.07 yellow · 0.1 red)
Fouls / match
23.4 · 5.4 fouls per card
Penalties / match
0.17
Cards to home side
47%

Style in Championship (5-year window · 134 matches)

MetricRefereeLeaguevs peerspct
Cards / match4.634.05+1.0590
Fouls / match23.021.8+0.99
Fouls per card5.05.4-0.77 (+ = lenient)
Penalties / match0.150.17-0.4126
Time added7.27.2-0.0247
First card
36' on average
Card timing
14% in first 30' · 36% in last 15'
Cards to home side
47% (league 45%)

Recent matches

DateYRFoulsPens1st card+min
2026-03-14 70 312 30'7
2026-03-10 30 200 55'10
2026-03-07 62 150 29'12
2026-03-04 60 260 17'10
2026-02-24 40 250 30'10
2026-02-14 20 140 3'4
2026-01-31 20 180 11'6
2026-01-20 30 240 68'11
2026-01-17 70 210 29'13
2026-01-07 30 261 43'7