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Championship · Matchweek 41
WatfordWatford
1–1
FT
Charlton AthleticCHA

Momentum

– WatfordCHA –
now

Match momentum Δ pressure · 0–100

Waiting for pressure data…

Competition

Stage
Regular Season
Round
41

Venue

Stadium
Vicarage Road, Watford
Capacity
22,200
Surface
grass
Attendance
19,961

Teams

Coaches
Edward Still · Nathan Jones
Position
10 · 18
Formation
4-4-2 · 3-4-2-1

Referee

Andrew Kitchen

Weather

Conditions
overcast clouds
Temperature
15.7° (feels 14.4°)
Wind
1.3
Humidity
40%

Where to watch · 177

2025/2026

#TeamPWDLGFGAGDPtsForm
1 Coventry City 4628117 974552 95 DDWWW
2 Ipswich Town 4623158 804733 84 DWDDW
3 Millwall 46241111 644915 83 DWWDW
4 Southampton 46221410 825626 80 WWDDW
5 Middlesbrough 46221410 724725 80 LDWWD
6 Hull City 46211015 70664 73 LDDLW
7 Wrexham 46191413 69654 71 LWWLD
8 Derby County 4620917 67598 69 LWLWL
9 Norwich City 4619819 63567 65 LWWDL
10 Birmingham City 46171316 57561 64 WDWWD
11 Swansea City 46181018 5759-2 64 WLWDW
12 Bristol City 46171118 59590 62 DLDLW
13 Sheffield United 4618622 66660 60 WWLLW
14 Preston North End 46151516 5562-7 60 WLLWL
15 Queens Park Rangers 46161020 6173-12 58 DLLLL
16 Watford 46141517 5365-12 57 LLLLL
17 Stoke City 46151021 5156-5 55 DLLLL
18 Portsmouth 46141319 4964-15 55 WWLWD
19 Charlton Athletic 46131419 4458-14 53 LDLWL
20 Blackburn Rovers 46131320 4256-14 52 DLDWL
21 West Bromwich Albion (-2) 46131419 4858-10 51 DWWDL
22 Oxford United 46111421 4559-14 47 WLLWL
23 Leicester City (-6) 46121618 5868-10 46 LLDDW
24 Sheffield Wednesday (-18) 4621232 2989-60 0 DDLLW
  • Promotion
  • Promotion Play-off
  • Relegation

Watford

DLWDL 1W 2D 2L · 5 pts (1.0 ppg) · GF 6 GA 7 · xG 6.46–8.37 · xPts 5.98

  • L A Queens Park Rangers 1–2 xG 0.72–2.51 UK CHAMP
  • D H Leicester City 0–0 xG 0.33–1.88 UK CHAMP
  • W H Wrexham 3–1 xG 1.57–0.33 UK CHAMP
  • L A Stoke City 1–3 xG 1.64–2.11 UK CHAMP
  • D A Sheffield Wednesday 1–1 xG 2.21–1.54 UK CHAMP

Charlton Athletic

WWDLL 2W 1D 2L · 7 pts (1.4 ppg) · GF 4 GA 4 · xG 6.33–8.73 · xPts 5.69

  • L H Bristol City 1–2 xG 1.9–2.46 UK CHAMP
  • L H Norwich City 0–1 xG 1.51–1.86 UK CHAMP
  • D A Oxford United 1–1 xG 0.93–1.45 UK CHAMP
  • W A Middlesbrough 1–0 xG 0.9–2.58 UK CHAMP
  • W H Birmingham City 1–0 xG 1.08–0.39 UK CHAMP

All meetings · 14 matches since 2006

Watford 46 draws4 Charlton Athletic

Goals 22–19 · 2.93 per match · BTTS 64% · over 2.5 50%

Last 10 · 10 matches

Watford 42 draws4 Charlton Athletic

Goals 17–14 · 3.1 per match · BTTS 60% · over 2.5 50%

Last 5 · 5 matches

Watford 11 draws3 Charlton Athletic

Goals 7–6 · 2.6 per match · BTTS 40% · over 2.5 40%

Recent meetings

  • D Watford 1–1 Charlton Athletic UK CHAMP · Regular Season
  • L Charlton Athletic 1–0 Watford UK CHAMP · Regular Season
  • W Watford 5–0 Charlton Athletic neutral UK CHAMP · Regular Season
  • L Charlton Athletic 1–0 Watford neutral UK CHAMP · Regular Season
  • L Charlton Athletic 3–1 Watford neutral UK CHAMP · Regular Season
  • D Watford 1–1 Charlton Athletic neutral UK CHAMP · Regular Season
  • L Watford 3–4 Charlton Athletic neutral UK CHAMP · Regular Season
  • W Charlton Athletic 1–2 Watford UK CHAMP · Regular Season
  • W Charlton Athletic 2–3 Watford neutral UK CHAMP · Regular Season
  • W Watford 1–0 Charlton Athletic neutral UK CHAMP · Regular Season
MetricWatford all · 46Watford at home · 23Charlton Athletic all · 46Charlton Athletic away · 23
Results
Matches46234623
Points per game1.241.611.150.96
W / D / L14 / 15 / 1710 / 7 / 613 / 14 / 194 / 10 / 9
Goals for / match1.151.300.960.91
Goals against / match1.411.171.261.39
Clean sheets15%22%28%22%
Failed to score30%30%22%26%
Both teams scored59%52%54%56%
Over 2.548%44%39%35%
Expected goals
xG for / match1.341.501.151.03
xG against / match1.251.151.551.76
xG difference0.100.34-0.40-0.72
Finishing vs xG-0.19-0.19-0.19-0.12
xPts / match1.431.571.191.00
Points vs xPts-0.200.04-0.03-0.04
Game state
Scored first26%30%48%39%
PPG when scoring first2.332.712.051.78
PPG when conceding first0.841.130.270.38
Came back from behind47%60%24%36%
Leads held67%91%59%44%
Minutes leading18%25%16%14%
Minutes level49%48%56%61%
Minutes trailing34%27%28%26%
First goal (min)48425661
First goal conceded (min)34364350
Timing
Goals scored in 2nd half58%50%66%71%
Goals conceded in 2nd half48%52%53%69%
Late goals for (76'+)0.300.300.260.22
Late goals against0.280.220.330.61
Style
Possession51%52%42%40%
Shots13.815.711.09.2
On target4.45.43.53.0
Shot conversion8%8%9%10%
Shots inside box58%57%68%68%
Big chances created2.12.41.91.7
Corners4.95.44.13.2
xG from set plays27%23%39%44%
Goals from headers14%17%19%20%
Pressure index10.912.47.04.7
Dominant minutes47.052.234.427.4
Pass accuracy80%81%70%69%
Fouls11.011.112.012.7
Cards2.151.872.202.09

Goal timing for / against per 15 min

Watford

0–15'59
16–30'613
31–45'1112
46–60'910
61–75'88
76–90'1413

Charlton Athletic

0–15'28
16–30'58
31–45'811
46–60'78
61–75'108
76–90'1215

Pressure DNA · intensity v an average side in the same situations, SD units

Watford · 7 matches

Pressure in line with an average side in the same situations (-0.09) · stands out: late push (76+, level) -0.45

Tempo

Overall intensity-0.097
Early press (0-15, level)-0.117
Late push (76+, level)-0.453
Late chase (76+, behind)-0.193

Game state

When ahead-0.144
When level-0.157
When behind+0.004
10 min after conceding-0.177
10 min after scoring-0.015

Situations

At home-0.234
Away+0.093
3 days rest or fewer+0.062
4+ days rest-0.155

Opposition

v mid-tier opponents+0.024
v bottom-tier opponents-0.122
As underdog-0.085

Conceded

Pressure conceded+0.277
Conceded when ahead+0.454
Conceded late (76+)-0.017

Congested vs rested +0.21 · Ahead vs level +0.01 · Behind vs level +0.16

Charlton Athletic · 7 matches

Pressure in line with an average side in the same situations (-0.11) · stands out: 10 min after conceding -0.57

Tempo

Overall intensity-0.117
Early press (0-15, level)+0.437
Late push (76+, level)-0.354

Game state

When ahead-0.333
When level-0.027
When behind-0.113
10 min after conceding-0.574
10 min after scoring+0.044

Situations

At home-0.034
Away-0.263
3 days rest or fewer+0.342
4+ days rest-0.225

Opposition

v mid-tier opponents-0.372
v bottom-tier opponents+0.154
Evenly matched+0.182
As underdog-0.304

Conceded

Pressure conceded+0.447
Conceded when ahead+0.363
Conceded late (76+)+0.096

Congested vs rested +0.56 · Ahead vs level -0.30 · Behind vs level -0.09

Watford

Current: winless 1 · scoring 2 · conceding 14

FormationUsePPGGFGAxGxGA
4-4-221 46%1.481.291.291.251.32
4-2-3-110 22%1.31.21.11.250.83
3-5-25 11%0.40.82.00.861.68
3-4-1-23 6%2.332.01.333.01.2
4-3-32 4%0.00.52.01.481.61

Charlton Athletic

Current: unbeaten 2 · winless 4 · clean sheets 2

FormationUsePPGGFGAxGxGA
3-1-4-214 30%0.860.861.641.081.41
3-5-210 22%1.10.91.01.031.55
3-4-2-16 13%0.830.831.51.421.54
3-4-1-25 11%1.00.61.01.021.72
4-2-3-13 6%1.331.01.331.261.01

Windows with fewer than 5 matches show no figures.

Pre-match movement · ends at kick-off

Every snapshot up to kick-off only — in-play prices are in Match Hub. Movement is in fair-probability points since the first snapshot (overround removed): ▲ shortened, ▼ drifted.

No pre-match movement recorded for this fixture.

Latest prices

bet365 · pre-match line -0.6h before kick-off · recorded after kick-off. Fair % removes the overround; P = Pinnacle fair %.

Fulltime Result

2.0Home 47% P 49%3.2Draw 29% P 28%4.0Away 24% P 23%

Double Chance

1.22Watford or Draw 39%1.33Watford or Charlton 36%1.83Draw or Charlton 26%

Draw No Bet

1.361 69%3.02 31%

Both Teams To Score

1.83Yes 50%1.83No 50%

Goals Over/Under

2.52.1Over 45% P 46%1.72Under 55% P 54%

Total Corners

11.0Under 6 8%3.256 - 8 27%2.69 - 11 34%4.012 - 14 22%9.0Over 14 10%

Number of Cards

3.51.66Over 56%2.1Under 44%

Fixtures priced like this · Pinnacle closing price · 2017–2026

Every past fixture whose Pinnacle fair price fell in the same band as this one, and how it finished at 90 minutes. Band = mean price in the band; ± = actual minus price, in probability points.

Match result · home 47.5–50% · away 22.5–25% · 808 fixtures

This matchBandActual±
Home49%49%47%-1.9
Draw28%28%29%+1.7
Away23%24%24%+0.3

In those fixtures: 2.6 goals a game · BTTS 54% · over 2.5 48%

Goals over/under 2.5 · over 45–47.5% · 2,885 fixtures

This matchBandActual±
Over 2.546%46%45%-1.2

Andrew Kitchen

Career
95 matches · 8 seasons
Cards / match
3.09 (3.01 yellow · 0.05 red)
Fouls / match
22.4 · 7.1 fouls per card
Penalties / match
0.18
Cards to home side
46%

Style in Championship (5-year window · 78 matches)

MetricRefereeLeaguevs peerspct
Cards / match3.334.05-1.318
Fouls / match22.821.8+0.84
Fouls per card7.05.4+2.15 (+ = lenient)
Penalties / match0.180.17+0.0155
Time added7.57.2+0.3357
First card
43' on average
Card timing
11% in first 30' · 31% in last 15'
Cards to home side
44% (league 45%)

Recent matches

DateYRFoulsPens1st card+min
2026-03-14 11 150 59'10
2026-03-06 20 190 22'9
2026-02-28 20 130 90'10
2026-02-24 20 200 43'9
2026-02-14 50 320 27'7
2026-01-31 · Charlton Athletic 21 191 15'16
2026-01-20 30 190 19'6
2026-01-17 40 210 25'7
2025-12-26 30 191 65'6
2025-12-13 · Charlton Athletic 70 170 56'9