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Championship · Matchweek 41
WrexhamWrexham
1–5
FT
SouthamptonSouthampton

Momentum

– WrexhamSouthampton –
now

Match momentum Δ pressure · 0–100

Waiting for pressure data…

Competition

Stage
Regular Season
Round
41

Venue

Stadium
Racecourse Ground, Racecourse Ground
Capacity
10,771
Surface
grass
Attendance
10,547

Teams

Coaches
Phil Parkinson · Tonda Eckert
Position
6 · 7
Formation
3-5-2 · 4-2-3-1

Referee

Gavin Ward

Weather

Conditions
overcast clouds
Temperature
13.9° (feels 13.1°)
Wind
5.2
Humidity
65%

Where to watch · 177

2025/2026

#TeamPWDLGFGAGDPtsForm
1 Coventry City 4628117 974552 95 DDWWW
2 Ipswich Town 4623158 804733 84 DWDDW
3 Millwall 46241111 644915 83 DWWDW
4 Southampton 46221410 825626 80 WWDDW
5 Middlesbrough 46221410 724725 80 LDWWD
6 Hull City 46211015 70664 73 LDDLW
7 Wrexham 46191413 69654 71 LWWLD
8 Derby County 4620917 67598 69 LWLWL
9 Norwich City 4619819 63567 65 LWWDL
10 Birmingham City 46171316 57561 64 WDWWD
11 Swansea City 46181018 5759-2 64 WLWDW
12 Bristol City 46171118 59590 62 DLDLW
13 Sheffield United 4618622 66660 60 WWLLW
14 Preston North End 46151516 5562-7 60 WLLWL
15 Queens Park Rangers 46161020 6173-12 58 DLLLL
16 Watford 46141517 5365-12 57 LLLLL
17 Stoke City 46151021 5156-5 55 DLLLL
18 Portsmouth 46141319 4964-15 55 WWLWD
19 Charlton Athletic 46131419 4458-14 53 LDLWL
20 Blackburn Rovers 46131320 4256-14 52 DLDWL
21 West Bromwich Albion (-2) 46131419 4858-10 51 DWWDL
22 Oxford United 46111421 4559-14 47 WLLWL
23 Leicester City (-6) 46121618 5868-10 46 LLDDW
24 Sheffield Wednesday (-18) 4621232 2989-60 0 DDLLW
  • Promotion
  • Promotion Play-off
  • Relegation

Wrexham

LWLWD 2W 1D 2L · 7 pts (1.4 ppg) · GF 8 GA 8 · xG 5.33–8.04 · xPts 5.02

  • D A West Bromwich Albion 2–2 xG 1.83–1.83 UK CHAMP
  • W A Sheffield United 2–1 xG 1.32–2.35 UK CHAMP
  • L A Watford 1–3 xG 0.33–1.57 UK CHAMP
  • W H Swansea City 2–0 xG 0.76–0.82 UK CHAMP
  • L H Hull City 1–2 xG 1.09–1.47 UK CHAMP

Southampton

DWWWW 4W 1D 0L · 13 pts (2.6 ppg) · GF 8 GA 3 · xG 6.84–9.11 · xPts 5.62

  • W H Arsenal 2–1 xG 0.81–1.82 UK FA Cup
  • W H Oxford United 2–0 xG 2.29–0.68 UK CHAMP
  • W H Norwich City 1–0 xG 0.72–1.04 UK CHAMP
  • W A Coventry City 2–1 xG 2.05–3.31 UK CHAMP
  • D A West Bromwich Albion 1–1 xG 0.96–2.26 UK CHAMP

All meetings · 2 matches since 2025

Wrexham 00 draws2 Southampton

Goals 2–7 · 4.5 per match · BTTS 100% · over 2.5 100%

Last 10 · 2 matches

Wrexham 00 draws2 Southampton

Goals 2–7 · 4.5 per match · BTTS 100% · over 2.5 100%

Last 5 · 2 matches

Wrexham 00 draws2 Southampton

Goals 2–7 · 4.5 per match · BTTS 100% · over 2.5 100%

Recent meetings

  • L Wrexham 1–5 Southampton UK CHAMP · Regular Season
  • L Southampton 2–1 Wrexham UK CHAMP · Regular Season
MetricWrexham all · 46Wrexham at home · 23Southampton all · 48Southampton away · 24
Results
Matches46234824
Points per game1.541.611.751.54
W / D / L19 / 14 / 1310 / 7 / 623 / 15 / 1010 / 7 / 7
Goals for / match1.501.781.751.83
Goals against / match1.411.611.191.54
Clean sheets26%22%25%8%
Failed to score13%4%12%8%
Both teams scored65%74%71%88%
Over 2.550%56%62%71%
Expected goals
xG for / match1.221.541.711.64
xG against / match1.481.281.331.57
xG difference-0.260.260.380.06
Finishing vs xG0.280.240.040.20
xPts / match1.221.541.591.41
Points vs xPts0.320.070.160.13
Game state
Scored first52%56%52%54%
PPG when scoring first2.082.232.241.85
PPG when conceding first0.950.801.261.20
Came back from behind46%50%54%46%
Leads held63%62%72%62%
Minutes leading31%30%34%31%
Minutes level46%43%49%49%
Minutes trailing23%26%18%20%
First goal (min)37384040
First goal conceded (min)40374446
Timing
Goals scored in 2nd half54%49%55%61%
Goals conceded in 2nd half55%51%61%65%
Late goals for (76'+)0.370.480.380.50
Late goals against0.410.350.270.38
Style
Possession48%51%56%54%
Shots11.314.114.413.1
On target3.84.85.35.1
Shot conversion13%13%12%14%
Shots inside box66%68%68%71%
Big chances created2.32.82.92.8
Corners4.55.25.85.0
xG from set plays32%36%28%32%
Goals from headers29%38%22%19%
Pressure index10.113.117.914.7
Dominant minutes41.951.359.054.2
Pass accuracy78%80%83%82%
Fouls9.78.810.711.5
Cards1.591.261.882.13

Goal timing for / against per 15 min

Wrexham

0–15'98
16–30'119
31–45'1212
46–60'138
61–75'79
76–90'1719

Southampton

0–15'135
16–30'178
31–45'79
46–60'1710
61–75'1212
76–90'1713

Pressure DNA · intensity v an average side in the same situations, SD units

Wrexham · 7 matches

Pressure in line with an average side in the same situations (+0.02) · stands out: v bottom-tier opponents +0.16

Tempo

Overall intensity+0.027
Early press (0-15, level)-0.137
Late push (76+, level)-0.044

Game state

When ahead+0.122
When level+0.017
When behind-0.034
10 min after conceding-0.135
10 min after scoring+0.135

Situations

At home+0.053
Away+0.004
3 days rest or fewer+0.073
4+ days rest-0.014

Opposition

v mid-tier opponents-0.103
v bottom-tier opponents+0.163
As favourite+0.053
Evenly matched+0.033

Conceded

Pressure conceded+0.087
Conceded when ahead+0.062
Conceded late (76+)-0.165

Congested vs rested +0.07 · Ahead vs level +0.12 · Behind vs level -0.04

Southampton · 7 matches

Pressure above an average side in the same situations (+0.18) · stands out: late push (76+, level) +0.39

Tempo

Overall intensity+0.187
Early press (0-15, level)-0.267
Late push (76+, level)+0.393

Game state

When ahead+0.196
When level+0.037
When behind+0.622
10 min after conceding-0.187
10 min after scoring+0.297

Situations

At home+0.034
Away+0.363
3 days rest or fewer+0.252
4+ days rest+0.155

Opposition

v mid-tier opponents+0.234
v bottom-tier opponents+0.123
As favourite+0.206

Conceded

Pressure conceded+0.117
Conceded when ahead+0.166
Conceded late (76+)-0.446

Congested vs rested +0.09 · Ahead vs level +0.16 · Behind vs level +0.59

Wrexham

Current: winless 3 · conceding 2

FormationUsePPGGFGAxGxGA
3-4-2-123 50%1.611.571.391.171.25
3-5-28 17%0.50.881.880.962.43
3-5-1-16 13%1.51.171.51.641.12
3-1-4-23 6%2.332.00.670.91.43
3-4-1-23 6%1.671.331.01.341.59

Southampton

Current: unbeaten 6 · wins 2 · scoring 8 · conceding 8

FormationUsePPGGFGAxGxGA
4-2-3-120 42%2.051.950.951.521.23
3-4-2-117 35%1.181.651.651.951.44
3-4-34 8%1.51.51.51.071.7
4-1-4-12 4%3.01.50.51.392.18
4-2-2-22 4%2.02.01.52.560.86

Windows with fewer than 5 matches show no figures.

Pre-match movement · ends at kick-off

Every snapshot up to kick-off only — in-play prices are in Match Hub. Movement is in fair-probability points since the first snapshot (overround removed): ▲ shortened, ▼ drifted.

No pre-match movement recorded for this fixture.

Latest prices

bet365 · pre-match line -0.0h before kick-off · recorded after kick-off. Fair % removes the overround; P = Pinnacle fair %.

Fulltime Result

2.62Home 36% P 38%3.2Draw 30% P 28%2.75Away 34% P 34%

Double Chance

1.5Wrexham or Draw 32%1.36Wrexham or Southampton 35%1.44Draw or Southampton 33%

Draw No Bet

1.831 50%1.832 50%

Both Teams To Score

1.66Yes 56%2.1No 44%

Goals Over/Under

2.51.9Over 50% P 49%1.9Under 50% P 51%

Total Corners

11.0Under 6 8%3.56 - 8 25%2.69 - 11 34%4.012 - 14 22%8.0Over 14 11%

Number of Cards

3.51.72Over 54%2.0Under 46%
4.52.2Over 42%1.61Under 58%

Fixtures priced like this · Pinnacle closing price · 2017–2026

Every past fixture whose Pinnacle fair price fell in the same band as this one, and how it finished at 90 minutes. Band = mean price in the band; ± = actual minus price, in probability points.

Match result · home 37.5–40% · away 32.5–35% · 571 fixtures

This matchBandActual±
Home38%39%39%+0.5
Draw28%28%28%-0.0
Away34%34%33%-0.4

In those fixtures: 2.6 goals a game · BTTS 56% · over 2.5 46%

Goals over/under 2.5 · over 47.5–50% · 3,307 fixtures

This matchBandActual±
Over 2.549%49%50%+1.3

Gavin Ward

Career
292 matches · 18 seasons
Cards / match
3.58 (3.43 yellow · 0.09 red)
Fouls / match
21.6 · 4.6 fouls per card
Penalties / match
0.2
Cards to home side
43%

Style in Championship (5-year window · 124 matches)

MetricRefereeLeaguevs peerspct
Cards / match3.834.05-0.4029
Fouls / match20.821.8-1.02
Fouls per card5.55.4+0.00 (+ = lenient)
Penalties / match0.160.17-0.2445
Time added7.27.2-0.0247
First card
39' on average
Card timing
13% in first 30' · 36% in last 15'
Cards to home side
44% (league 45%)

Recent matches

DateYRFoulsPens1st card+min
2026-03-21 50 280 32'8
2026-03-14 20 230 13'6
2026-03-10 30 190 33'12
2026-02-28 · Southampton 10 230 89'8
2026-02-21 30 110 50'9
2026-02-14 60 270 37'5
2026-02-09 51 250 65'7
2026-01-24 20 211 26'8
2026-01-11 30 140 54'7
2026-01-01 20 180 55'6