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Championship · Matchweek 42
Charlton AthleticCHA
1–2
FT
Preston North EndPNE

Momentum

– CHAPNE –
now

Match momentum Δ pressure · 0–100

Waiting for pressure data…

Competition

Stage
Regular Season
Round
42

Venue

Stadium
The Valley, London
Capacity
27,111
Surface
grass
Attendance
18,902

Teams

Coaches
Nathan Jones · Paul Heckingbottom
Position
18 · 14
Formation
3-4-2-1 · 4-4-2

Referee

John Busby

Weather

Conditions
broken clouds
Temperature
12.2° (feels 10.6°)
Wind
9.3
Humidity
43%

Where to watch · 177

2025/2026

#TeamPWDLGFGAGDPtsForm
1 Coventry City 4628117 974552 95 DDWWW
2 Ipswich Town 4623158 804733 84 DWDDW
3 Millwall 46241111 644915 83 DWWDW
4 Southampton 46221410 825626 80 WWDDW
5 Middlesbrough 46221410 724725 80 LDWWD
6 Hull City 46211015 70664 73 LDDLW
7 Wrexham 46191413 69654 71 LWWLD
8 Derby County 4620917 67598 69 LWLWL
9 Norwich City 4619819 63567 65 LWWDL
10 Birmingham City 46171316 57561 64 WDWWD
11 Swansea City 46181018 5759-2 64 WLWDW
12 Bristol City 46171118 59590 62 DLDLW
13 Sheffield United 4618622 66660 60 WWLLW
14 Preston North End 46151516 5562-7 60 WLLWL
15 Queens Park Rangers 46161020 6173-12 58 DLLLL
16 Watford 46141517 5365-12 57 LLLLL
17 Stoke City 46151021 5156-5 55 DLLLL
18 Portsmouth 46141319 4964-15 55 WWLWD
19 Charlton Athletic 46131419 4458-14 53 LDLWL
20 Blackburn Rovers 46131320 4256-14 52 DLDWL
21 West Bromwich Albion (-2) 46131419 4858-10 51 DWWDL
22 Oxford United 46111421 4559-14 47 WLLWL
23 Leicester City (-6) 46121618 5868-10 46 LLDDW
24 Sheffield Wednesday (-18) 4621232 2989-60 0 DDLLW
  • Promotion
  • Promotion Play-off
  • Relegation

Charlton Athletic

WDLLD 1W 2D 2L · 5 pts (1.0 ppg) · GF 4 GA 5 · xG 7.55–9.92 · xPts 5.58

  • D A Watford 1–1 xG 2.3–1.58 UK CHAMP
  • L H Bristol City 1–2 xG 1.9–2.46 UK CHAMP
  • L H Norwich City 0–1 xG 1.51–1.86 UK CHAMP
  • D A Oxford United 1–1 xG 0.93–1.45 UK CHAMP
  • W A Middlesbrough 1–0 xG 0.9–2.58 UK CHAMP

Preston North End

LLWDD 1W 2D 2L · 5 pts (1.0 ppg) · GF 6 GA 9 · xG 5.39–10.27 · xPts 5.31

  • D H Queens Park Rangers 1–1 xG 0.53–1.2 UK CHAMP
  • D A Leicester City 2–2 xG 0.65–2.2 UK CHAMP
  • W H Stoke City 3–1 xG 1.81–1.25 UK CHAMP
  • L A Norwich City 0–2 xG 1.91–0.61 UK CHAMP
  • L A Coventry City 0–3 xG 0.47–5.01 UK CHAMP

All meetings · 12 matches since 2007

Charlton Athletic 21 draws9 Preston North End

Goals 9–18 · 2.25 per match · BTTS 50% · over 2.5 58%

Last 10 · 10 matches

Charlton Athletic 11 draws8 Preston North End

Goals 6–16 · 2.2 per match · BTTS 50% · over 2.5 60%

Last 5 · 5 matches

Charlton Athletic 10 draws4 Preston North End

Goals 4–8 · 2.4 per match · BTTS 60% · over 2.5 60%

Recent meetings

  • W Charlton Athletic 1–0 Preston North End UK CHAMP · Regular Season
  • L Charlton Athletic 1–2 Preston North End UK CHAMP · Regular Season
  • L Preston North End 2–0 Charlton Athletic UK CHAMP · Regular Season
  • L Preston North End 2–1 Charlton Athletic UK FA Cup · 3rd Round
  • L Preston North End 2–1 Charlton Athletic UK CHAMP · Regular Season
  • L Charlton Athletic 0–1 Preston North End UK CHAMP · Regular Season
  • L Preston North End 2–1 Charlton Athletic UK CHAMP · Regular Season
  • L Charlton Athletic 0–3 Preston North End UK CHAMP · Regular Season
  • D Charlton Athletic 0–0 Preston North End neutral UK CHAMP · Regular Season
  • L Preston North End 2–1 Charlton Athletic UK CHAMP · Regular Season
MetricCharlton Athletic all · 46Charlton Athletic at home · 23Preston North End all · 46Preston North End away · 23
Results
Matches46234623
Points per game1.151.351.301.26
W / D / L13 / 14 / 199 / 4 / 1015 / 15 / 167 / 8 / 8
Goals for / match0.961.001.201.17
Goals against / match1.261.131.351.39
Clean sheets28%35%20%17%
Failed to score22%17%26%26%
Both teams scored54%52%59%61%
Over 2.539%44%48%48%
Expected goals
xG for / match1.151.271.181.14
xG against / match1.551.341.631.83
xG difference-0.40-0.08-0.45-0.70
Finishing vs xG-0.19-0.270.020.04
xPts / match1.191.381.131.01
Points vs xPts-0.03-0.030.170.25
Game state
Scored first48%56%41%44%
PPG when scoring first2.052.232.162.00
PPG when conceding first0.270.110.680.67
Came back from behind24%9%38%33%
Leads held59%69%62%54%
Minutes leading16%18%28%30%
Minutes level56%51%45%43%
Minutes trailing28%31%27%27%
First goal (min)56523632
First goal conceded (min)43344240
Timing
Goals scored in 2nd half66%61%51%41%
Goals conceded in 2nd half53%35%50%41%
Late goals for (76'+)0.260.300.260.22
Late goals against0.330.040.300.26
Style
Possession42%45%46%44%
Shots11.012.810.910.6
On target3.54.13.63.8
Shot conversion9%8%11%11%
Shots inside box68%69%68%66%
Big chances created1.92.11.61.6
Corners4.15.14.53.7
xG from set plays39%36%34%33%
Goals from headers19%17%22%22%
Pressure index7.09.38.88.1
Dominant minutes34.441.340.538.6
Pass accuracy70%71%72%72%
Fouls12.011.310.410.7
Cards2.202.302.092.04

Goal timing for / against per 15 min

Charlton Athletic

0–15'28
16–30'58
31–45'811
46–60'78
61–75'108
76–90'1215

Preston North End

0–15'1111
16–30'107
31–45'613
46–60'109
61–75'68
76–90'1214

Pressure DNA · intensity v an average side in the same situations, SD units

Charlton Athletic · 7 matches

Pressure in line with an average side in the same situations (-0.11) · stands out: 10 min after conceding -0.57

Tempo

Overall intensity-0.117
Early press (0-15, level)+0.437
Late push (76+, level)-0.354

Game state

When ahead-0.333
When level-0.027
When behind-0.113
10 min after conceding-0.574
10 min after scoring+0.044

Situations

At home-0.034
Away-0.263
3 days rest or fewer+0.342
4+ days rest-0.225

Opposition

v mid-tier opponents-0.372
v bottom-tier opponents+0.154
Evenly matched+0.182
As underdog-0.304

Conceded

Pressure conceded+0.447
Conceded when ahead+0.363
Conceded late (76+)+0.096

Congested vs rested +0.56 · Ahead vs level -0.30 · Behind vs level -0.09

Preston North End · 7 matches

Pressure below an average side in the same situations (-0.18) · stands out: late chase (76+, behind) -0.54

Tempo

Overall intensity-0.187
Early press (0-15, level)-0.177
Late push (76+, level)+0.013
Late chase (76+, behind)-0.546

Game state

When ahead-0.162
When level+0.017
When behind-0.336
10 min after conceding-0.327
10 min after scoring+0.295

Situations

At home-0.194
Away-0.163
3 days rest or fewer-0.052
4+ days rest-0.235

Opposition

v mid-tier opponents-0.222
v bottom-tier opponents-0.175
Evenly matched-0.154
As underdog-0.223

Conceded

Pressure conceded+0.107
Conceded when ahead+0.172
Conceded late (76+)-0.027

Congested vs rested +0.18 · Ahead vs level -0.17 · Behind vs level -0.34

Charlton Athletic

Current: unbeaten 2 · winless 4 · clean sheets 2

FormationUsePPGGFGAxGxGA
3-1-4-214 30%0.860.861.641.081.41
3-5-210 22%1.10.91.01.031.55
3-4-2-16 13%0.830.831.51.421.54
3-4-1-25 11%1.00.61.01.021.72
4-2-3-13 6%1.331.01.331.261.01

Preston North End

Current: winless 2 · conceding 22

FormationUsePPGGFGAxGxGA
3-5-214 30%1.51.361.361.191.42
3-1-4-29 20%1.221.111.111.221.23
5-3-27 15%0.710.861.710.971.94
3-4-1-25 11%1.21.01.21.231.86
4-4-25 11%1.81.41.61.441.99

Windows with fewer than 5 matches show no figures.

Pre-match movement · ends at kick-off

Every snapshot up to kick-off only — in-play prices are in Match Hub. Movement is in fair-probability points since the first snapshot (overround removed): ▲ shortened, ▼ drifted.

No pre-match movement recorded for this fixture.

Latest prices

bet365 · pre-match line -1.3h before kick-off · recorded after kick-off. Fair % removes the overround; P = Pinnacle fair %.

Fulltime Result

2.1Home 45% P 41%3.3Draw 28% P 29%3.5Away 27% P 29%

Double Chance

1.28Charlton or Draw 37%1.33Charlton or Preston 35%1.7Draw or Preston 28%

Draw No Bet

1.51 62%2.52 38%

Both Teams To Score

1.83Yes 50%1.83No 50%

Goals Over/Under

2.52.1Over 45% P 44%1.72Under 55% P 56%

Total Corners

9.0Under 6 10%3.06 - 8 29%2.629 - 11 34%4.512 - 14 20%11.0Over 14 8%

Number of Cards

3.51.83Over 50% P 53%1.83Under 50% P 47%

Fixtures priced like this · Pinnacle closing price · 2017–2026

Every past fixture whose Pinnacle fair price fell in the same band as this one, and how it finished at 90 minutes. Band = mean price in the band; ± = actual minus price, in probability points.

Match result · home 40–42.5% · away 27.5–30% · 815 fixtures

This matchBandActual±
Home41%41%42%+0.5
Draw29%30%27%-2.4
Away29%29%31%+1.9

In those fixtures: 2.4 goals a game · BTTS 47% · over 2.5 43%

Goals over/under 2.5 · over 42.5–45% · 2,473 fixtures

This matchBandActual±
Over 2.544%44%43%-1.2

John Busby

Career
130 matches · 13 seasons
Cards / match
3.9 (3.82 yellow · 0.05 red)
Fouls / match
20.7 · 5.1 fouls per card
Penalties / match
0.15
Cards to home side
46%

Style in Championship (5-year window · 113 matches)

MetricRefereeLeaguevs peerspct
Cards / match3.874.05-0.3335
Fouls / match20.921.8-0.89
Fouls per card5.55.4-0.15 (+ = lenient)
Penalties / match0.150.17-0.4029
Time added7.87.2+0.6871
First card
37' on average
Card timing
15% in first 30' · 33% in last 15'
Cards to home side
45% (league 45%)

Recent matches

DateYRFoulsPens1st card+min
2026-04-03 20 210 21'8
2026-03-21 60 261 22'4
2026-03-07 60 300 19'6
2026-02-25 50 260 9'10
2026-02-21 · Charlton Athletic 30 170 76'13
2026-02-07 21 210 5'7
2026-01-31 · Preston North End 30 211 33'8
2026-01-17 20 250 31'7
2026-01-10 50 200 36'9
2026-01-04 20 200 66'8