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Championship · Matchweek 42
MiddlesbroughMID
0–1
FT
PortsmouthPortsmouth

Momentum

– MIDPortsmouth –
now

Match momentum Δ pressure · 0–100

Waiting for pressure data…

Competition

Stage
Regular Season
Round
42

Venue

Stadium
Riverside Stadium, Middlesbrough
Capacity
34,988
Surface
grass
Attendance
27,017

Teams

Coaches
Kim Hellberg · John Mousinho
Position
4 · 21
Formation
4-2-2-2 · 4-2-3-1

Referee

Thomas Kirk

Weather

Conditions
scattered clouds
Temperature
9.4° (feels 6.3°)
Wind
6.7
Humidity
71%

Where to watch · 177

2025/2026

#TeamPWDLGFGAGDPtsForm
1 Coventry City 4628117 974552 95 DDWWW
2 Ipswich Town 4623158 804733 84 DWDDW
3 Millwall 46241111 644915 83 DWWDW
4 Southampton 46221410 825626 80 WWDDW
5 Middlesbrough 46221410 724725 80 LDWWD
6 Hull City 46211015 70664 73 LDDLW
7 Wrexham 46191413 69654 71 LWWLD
8 Derby County 4620917 67598 69 LWLWL
9 Norwich City 4619819 63567 65 LWWDL
10 Birmingham City 46171316 57561 64 WDWWD
11 Swansea City 46181018 5759-2 64 WLWDW
12 Bristol City 46171118 59590 62 DLDLW
13 Sheffield United 4618622 66660 60 WWLLW
14 Preston North End 46151516 5562-7 60 WLLWL
15 Queens Park Rangers 46161020 6173-12 58 DLLLL
16 Watford 46141517 5365-12 57 LLLLL
17 Stoke City 46151021 5156-5 55 DLLLL
18 Portsmouth 46141319 4964-15 55 WWLWD
19 Charlton Athletic 46131419 4458-14 53 LDLWL
20 Blackburn Rovers 46131320 4256-14 52 DLDWL
21 West Bromwich Albion (-2) 46131419 4858-10 51 DWWDL
22 Oxford United 46111421 4559-14 47 WLLWL
23 Leicester City (-6) 46121618 5868-10 46 LLDDW
24 Sheffield Wednesday (-18) 4621232 2989-60 0 DDLLW
  • Promotion
  • Promotion Play-off
  • Relegation

Middlesbrough

LDDLD 0W 3D 2L · 3 pts (0.6 ppg) · GF 4 GA 6 · xG 12.65–5.16 · xPts 11.28

  • D A Swansea City 2–2 xG 3.13–2.28 UK CHAMP
  • L H Millwall 1–2 xG 3.62–1.07 UK CHAMP
  • D A Blackburn Rovers 0–0 xG 1.51–0.49 UK CHAMP
  • D H Bristol City 1–1 xG 1.82–0.41 UK CHAMP
  • L H Charlton Athletic 0–1 xG 2.58–0.9 UK CHAMP

Portsmouth

LLLDD 0W 2D 3L · 2 pts (0.4 ppg) · GF 5 GA 12 · xG 6.12–4.72 · xPts 7.66

  • D H Oxford United 2–2 xG 0.97–0.89 UK CHAMP
  • D A Norwich City 1–1 xG 0.47–0.54 UK CHAMP
  • L A Queens Park Rangers 1–6 xG 1.49–1.43 UK CHAMP
  • L H Derby County 0–1 xG 2.18–1.29 UK CHAMP
  • L H Swansea City 1–2 xG 1.02–0.56 UK CHAMP

All meetings · 20 matches since 2003

Middlesbrough 39 draws8 Portsmouth

Goals 19–28 · 2.35 per match · BTTS 55% · over 2.5 45%

Last 10 · 10 matches

Middlesbrough 15 draws4 Portsmouth

Goals 12–14 · 2.6 per match · BTTS 70% · over 2.5 60%

Last 5 · 5 matches

Middlesbrough 11 draws3 Portsmouth

Goals 6–7 · 2.6 per match · BTTS 60% · over 2.5 60%

Recent meetings

  • L Middlesbrough 0–1 Portsmouth UK CHAMP · Regular Season
  • L Portsmouth 1–0 Middlesbrough UK CHAMP · Regular Season
  • L Portsmouth 2–1 Middlesbrough UK CHAMP · Regular Season
  • D Middlesbrough 2–2 Portsmouth UK CHAMP · Regular Season
  • W Portsmouth 1–3 Middlesbrough UK CHAMP · Regular Season
  • D Middlesbrough 2–2 Portsmouth UK CHAMP · Regular Season
  • D Portsmouth 0–0 Middlesbrough UK CHAMP · Regular Season
  • D Middlesbrough 2–2 Portsmouth UK CHAMP · Regular Season
  • D Middlesbrough 1–1 Portsmouth UK PL · Regular Season
  • L Portsmouth 2–1 Middlesbrough UK PL · Regular Season
MetricMiddlesbrough all · 49Middlesbrough at home · 24Portsmouth all · 46Portsmouth away · 23
Results
Matches49244623
Points per game1.651.791.201.09
W / D / L22 / 15 / 1212 / 7 / 514 / 13 / 196 / 7 / 10
Goals for / match1.491.421.071.04
Goals against / match1.020.751.391.78
Clean sheets29%42%22%17%
Failed to score26%29%28%26%
Both teams scored55%46%54%61%
Over 2.553%42%44%48%
Expected goals
xG for / match1.591.621.180.89
xG against / match1.050.951.241.37
xG difference0.530.67-0.06-0.47
Finishing vs xG-0.10-0.21-0.110.15
xPts / match1.701.801.361.11
Points vs xPts-0.04-0.01-0.16-0.02
Game state
Scored first53%54%46%44%
PPG when scoring first2.462.622.192.10
PPG when conceding first0.670.710.300.25
Came back from behind46%38%27%23%
Leads held79%86%64%60%
Minutes leading32%33%18%14%
Minutes level49%52%51%51%
Minutes trailing19%15%31%34%
First goal (min)37385054
First goal conceded (min)46474138
Timing
Goals scored in 2nd half51%53%61%67%
Goals conceded in 2nd half55%61%55%54%
Late goals for (76'+)0.220.170.280.22
Late goals against0.290.290.280.43
Style
Possession59%60%50%47%
Shots16.217.312.29.0
On target4.85.23.73.0
Shot conversion9%8%9%12%
Shots inside box64%63%65%63%
Big chances created2.42.31.61.3
Corners6.87.85.65.0
xG from set plays24%30%40%40%
Goals from headers12%15%16%12%
Pressure index19.721.011.78.5
Dominant minutes63.163.149.742.4
Pass accuracy84%84%74%74%
Fouls9.39.210.210.5
Cards1.611.081.932.13

Goal timing for / against per 15 min

Middlesbrough

0–15'97
16–30'1010
31–45'175
46–60'136
61–75'138
76–90'1113

Portsmouth

0–15'59
16–30'512
31–45'98
46–60'814
61–75'98
76–90'1313

Pressure DNA · intensity v an average side in the same situations, SD units

Middlesbrough · 7 matches

Pressure above an average side in the same situations (+0.38) · stands out: when behind +1.00

Tempo

Overall intensity+0.387
Early press (0-15, level)+0.477
Late push (76+, level)+0.294

Game state

When ahead+0.196
When level+0.237
When behind+1.004
10 min after conceding+0.276
10 min after scoring+0.697

Situations

At home+0.464
Away+0.263
3 days rest or fewer+0.822
4+ days rest+0.205

Opposition

v mid-tier opponents+0.415
v bottom-tier opponents+0.282
As favourite+0.435
Evenly matched+0.262

Conceded

Pressure conceded-0.137
Conceded when ahead-0.116
Conceded late (76+)-0.417

Congested vs rested +0.61 · Ahead vs level -0.04 · Behind vs level +0.77

Portsmouth · 6 matches

Pressure in line with an average side in the same situations (+0.01) · stands out: late chase (76+, behind) -0.39

Tempo

Overall intensity+0.016
Early press (0-15, level)-0.056
Late chase (76+, behind)-0.393

Game state

When ahead+0.163
When level+0.056
When behind-0.153
10 min after conceding-0.104
10 min after scoring+0.034

Situations

At home-0.013
Away+0.033
4+ days rest-0.015

Opposition

v mid-tier opponents-0.052
v bottom-tier opponents+0.044
Evenly matched-0.004

Conceded

Pressure conceded+0.036
Conceded when ahead+0.013
Conceded late (76+)-0.286

Congested vs rested +0.16 · Ahead vs level +0.11 · Behind vs level -0.19

Middlesbrough

Current: unbeaten 5 · winless 1 · scoring 7 · conceding 2

FormationUsePPGGFGAxGxGA
3-4-2-114 29%1.431.140.931.521.11
4-2-3-111 22%2.452.00.731.541.13
4-2-2-28 16%0.750.630.881.921.08
4-4-25 10%2.42.41.61.131.07
4-3-33 6%2.331.670.01.250.75

Portsmouth

Current: unbeaten 2 · winless 1 · clean sheets 2

FormationUsePPGGFGAxGxGA
4-2-3-143 94%1.261.091.31.181.23
3-4-2-12 4%0.51.01.51.461.28
3-4-31 2%0.00.05.00.341.67

Windows with fewer than 5 matches show no figures.

Pre-match movement · ends at kick-off

Every snapshot up to kick-off only — in-play prices are in Match Hub. Movement is in fair-probability points since the first snapshot (overround removed): ▲ shortened, ▼ drifted.

No pre-match movement recorded for this fixture.

Latest prices

bet365 · pre-match line -3.0h before kick-off · recorded after kick-off. Fair % removes the overround; P = Pinnacle fair %.

Fulltime Result

1.5Home 63% P 66%4.2Draw 22% P 21%6.5Away 15% P 13%

Double Chance

1.12Middlesbrough or Draw 42%1.22Middlesbrough or Portsmouth 38%2.37Draw or Portsmouth 20%

Draw No Bet

1.161 81%5.02 19%

Both Teams To Score

1.8Yes 51%1.9No 49%

Goals Over/Under

2.51.72Over 55% P 55%2.1Under 45% P 45%

Total Corners

15.0Under 6 6%4.06 - 8 22%2.629 - 11 34%3.512 - 14 25%6.5Over 14 14%

Number of Cards

3.51.72Over 54%2.0Under 46%

Fixtures priced like this · Pinnacle closing price · 2017–2026

Every past fixture whose Pinnacle fair price fell in the same band as this one, and how it finished at 90 minutes. Band = mean price in the band; ± = actual minus price, in probability points.

Match result · home 65–67.5% · away 12.5–15% · 566 fixtures

This matchBandActual±
Home66%66%69%+3.3
Draw21%20%20%-0.7
Away13%14%11%-2.7

In those fixtures: 3.1 goals a game · BTTS 51% · over 2.5 58%

Goals over/under 2.5 · over 55–57.5% · 2,508 fixtures

This matchBandActual±
Over 2.555%56%56%-0.2

Thomas Kirk

Career
51 matches · 5 seasons
Cards / match
4.55 (4.39 yellow · 0.04 red)
Fouls / match
22.1 · 4.8 fouls per card
Penalties / match
0.26
Cards to home side
45%

Style in Championship (5-year window · 34 matches)

MetricRefereeLeaguevs peerspct
Cards / match4.444.05+0.7074
Fouls / match21.721.8-0.11
Fouls per card4.95.4-0.97 (+ = lenient)
Penalties / match0.210.17+0.3974
Time added8.07.2+0.9078
First card
35' on average
Card timing
16% in first 30' · 38% in last 15'
Cards to home side
41% (league 45%)

Recent matches

DateYRFoulsPens1st card+min
2026-04-06 40 120 13'9
2026-03-21 20 160 38'2
2026-03-14 30 190 51'10
2026-03-10 40 271 42'8
2026-03-02 · Middlesbrough 60 230 58'9
2026-02-22 81 321 15'11
2026-02-15 70 291 33'7
2026-02-08 40 240 12'4
2026-01-26 30 190 18'11
2026-01-21 40 250 53'7